Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 10–22 November 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 26.0% 24.6–27.5% 24.1–27.9% 23.8–28.3% 23.1–29.0%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 21.0% 19.7–22.4% 19.3–22.8% 19.0–23.2% 18.4–23.8%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 20.0% 18.7–21.4% 18.3–21.8% 18.0–22.1% 17.4–22.8%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 11.0% 10.0–12.1% 9.7–12.4% 9.5–12.7% 9.0–13.2%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.3–11.1%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.8–5.5%
Liberalerna 5.5% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.9% 2.3–4.0% 2.0–4.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 96 90–103 88–104 87–105 84–109
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 78 72–83 71–85 70–86 67–89
Sverigedemokraterna 62 74 69–79 67–81 66–83 63–85
Vänsterpartiet 28 41 37–44 36–46 35–47 33–49
Centerpartiet 31 34 30–36 30–38 29–40 26–41
Kristdemokraterna 22 18 16–21 15–22 15–23 0–25
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 15 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–20
Liberalerna 20 0 0 0 0 0–16

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.4% 99.7%  
85 0.7% 99.4%  
86 0.6% 98.7%  
87 1.0% 98%  
88 2% 97%  
89 2% 95%  
90 4% 93%  
91 5% 89%  
92 5% 84%  
93 8% 79%  
94 6% 71%  
95 6% 65%  
96 13% 59% Median
97 9% 46%  
98 5% 36%  
99 6% 31%  
100 7% 25% Last Result
101 5% 18%  
102 2% 13%  
103 3% 11%  
104 5% 8%  
105 1.1% 3%  
106 0.5% 2%  
107 0.9% 2%  
108 0.3% 1.0%  
109 0.2% 0.6%  
110 0.2% 0.4%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.7%  
68 1.0% 99.4%  
69 0.9% 98%  
70 1.4% 98% Last Result
71 2% 96%  
72 7% 94%  
73 4% 88%  
74 5% 84%  
75 11% 78%  
76 9% 67%  
77 8% 58%  
78 6% 51% Median
79 11% 44%  
80 9% 33%  
81 5% 24%  
82 3% 19%  
83 7% 16%  
84 3% 9%  
85 3% 6%  
86 1.3% 3%  
87 1.1% 2%  
88 0.3% 1.0%  
89 0.3% 0.7%  
90 0.1% 0.4%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
63 0.3% 99.8%  
64 0.3% 99.5%  
65 0.9% 99.2%  
66 2% 98%  
67 3% 97%  
68 3% 94%  
69 4% 92%  
70 9% 87%  
71 9% 78%  
72 9% 69%  
73 7% 61%  
74 11% 54% Median
75 10% 43%  
76 5% 33%  
77 7% 28%  
78 8% 22%  
79 4% 14%  
80 3% 10%  
81 2% 7%  
82 1.5% 4%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.4% 1.1%  
85 0.3% 0.7%  
86 0.3% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100% Last Result
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.4% 99.8%  
34 0.9% 99.4%  
35 2% 98.5%  
36 5% 96%  
37 6% 91%  
38 6% 85%  
39 14% 80%  
40 10% 66%  
41 13% 56% Median
42 16% 43%  
43 11% 27%  
44 6% 16%  
45 3% 9%  
46 3% 6%  
47 1.4% 3%  
48 1.1% 2%  
49 0.5% 0.8%  
50 0.2% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.2% 100%  
26 0.6% 99.8%  
27 0.6% 99.2%  
28 0.9% 98.7%  
29 2% 98%  
30 8% 95%  
31 10% 87% Last Result
32 17% 77%  
33 9% 60%  
34 13% 52% Median
35 19% 38%  
36 10% 19%  
37 3% 9%  
38 1.4% 6%  
39 1.3% 5%  
40 2% 3%  
41 1.4% 2%  
42 0.2% 0.3%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0% 98%  
9 0% 98%  
10 0% 98%  
11 0% 98%  
12 0% 98%  
13 0% 98%  
14 0% 98%  
15 4% 98%  
16 9% 94%  
17 18% 85%  
18 18% 67% Median
19 21% 49%  
20 12% 28%  
21 8% 17%  
22 5% 8% Last Result
23 2% 3%  
24 0.8% 1.4%  
25 0.4% 0.5%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 0% 51%  
5 0% 51%  
6 0% 51%  
7 0% 51%  
8 0% 51%  
9 0% 51%  
10 0% 51%  
11 0% 51%  
12 0% 51%  
13 0% 51%  
14 0.3% 51%  
15 21% 50% Median
16 12% 29% Last Result
17 11% 17%  
18 4% 6%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.6% 0.8%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0% 2%  
7 0% 2%  
8 0% 2%  
9 0% 2%  
10 0% 2%  
11 0% 2%  
12 0% 2%  
13 0% 2%  
14 0.3% 2%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.4% 0.6%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 207 100% 199–216 198–218 195–220 190–226
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 195 179 72% 171–186 169–189 167–191 163–197
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 174 49% 165–182 163–184 162–186 158–190
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna 154 170 28% 163–178 160–180 158–182 152–186
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna 132 151 0% 144–160 143–161 141–163 137–168
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 144 146 0% 137–153 135–155 133–157 128–162
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 167 138 0% 130–146 128–149 126–151 123–156
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 137 0% 130–145 128–146 126–148 123–152
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 143 130 0% 124–137 122–139 119–141 112–146
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 129 0% 123–136 121–138 119–140 112–144
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 111 0% 105–118 104–121 102–123 100–127
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 111 0% 105–118 103–119 102–121 99–125
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 104 0% 95–114 93–116 92–117 89–121

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
186 0.1% 100%  
187 0% 99.9%  
188 0.1% 99.9%  
189 0.1% 99.8%  
190 0.3% 99.8%  
191 0.3% 99.5%  
192 0.2% 99.2%  
193 0.3% 99.1%  
194 1.2% 98.8%  
195 1.2% 98%  
196 0.8% 96%  
197 0.5% 96%  
198 4% 95%  
199 6% 92%  
200 1.2% 86%  
201 2% 84% Last Result
202 8% 82%  
203 11% 74%  
204 2% 64%  
205 3% 62%  
206 4% 59%  
207 5% 55%  
208 4% 50% Median
209 4% 46%  
210 4% 41%  
211 9% 37%  
212 2% 28%  
213 5% 26%  
214 3% 22%  
215 9% 19%  
216 2% 10%  
217 1.1% 8%  
218 2% 7%  
219 2% 4%  
220 0.6% 3%  
221 0.5% 2%  
222 0.2% 2%  
223 0.4% 1.3%  
224 0.3% 0.9%  
225 0.1% 0.6%  
226 0.1% 0.5%  
227 0.2% 0.4%  
228 0% 0.2%  
229 0.1% 0.2%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
160 0% 100%  
161 0.1% 99.9%  
162 0.2% 99.9%  
163 0.3% 99.7%  
164 0.4% 99.4%  
165 0.3% 99.0%  
166 0.5% 98.7%  
167 2% 98%  
168 1.1% 96%  
169 1.2% 95%  
170 1.2% 94%  
171 3% 93%  
172 7% 90%  
173 2% 83%  
174 8% 81%  
175 4% 72% Majority
176 4% 68%  
177 5% 64%  
178 6% 60%  
179 5% 54%  
180 6% 49%  
181 6% 43%  
182 3% 38%  
183 6% 34%  
184 4% 28%  
185 9% 24%  
186 5% 15% Median
187 2% 10%  
188 2% 7%  
189 2% 5%  
190 0.8% 3%  
191 0.7% 3%  
192 0.4% 2%  
193 0.5% 2%  
194 0.2% 1.1%  
195 0.2% 0.9% Last Result
196 0.2% 0.8%  
197 0.2% 0.6%  
198 0.1% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.2% 99.8%  
158 0.3% 99.6%  
159 0.3% 99.3%  
160 0.4% 99.0%  
161 0.4% 98.6%  
162 1.1% 98%  
163 4% 97%  
164 1.0% 94%  
165 3% 93%  
166 2% 90%  
167 7% 88%  
168 3% 81%  
169 6% 79%  
170 3% 73% Last Result
171 8% 70%  
172 4% 62%  
173 4% 58%  
174 5% 54% Median
175 7% 49% Majority
176 6% 42%  
177 5% 36%  
178 3% 31%  
179 6% 28%  
180 8% 22%  
181 2% 13%  
182 3% 11%  
183 2% 9%  
184 2% 6%  
185 1.3% 4%  
186 1.4% 3%  
187 0.3% 2%  
188 0.5% 1.4%  
189 0.2% 0.9%  
190 0.2% 0.7%  
191 0.1% 0.5%  
192 0.1% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
147 0% 100%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.8%  
150 0.1% 99.8%  
151 0.1% 99.7%  
152 0.2% 99.6%  
153 0.2% 99.4%  
154 0.2% 99.2% Last Result
155 0.2% 99.1%  
156 0.5% 98.9%  
157 0.4% 98%  
158 0.7% 98%  
159 0.8% 97%  
160 2% 97%  
161 2% 95%  
162 2% 93%  
163 5% 90%  
164 9% 85%  
165 4% 76%  
166 6% 72%  
167 3% 66%  
168 6% 62%  
169 6% 57%  
170 5% 51% Median
171 6% 46%  
172 5% 40%  
173 4% 36%  
174 4% 32%  
175 8% 28% Majority
176 2% 19%  
177 7% 17%  
178 3% 10%  
179 1.2% 7%  
180 1.2% 6%  
181 1.1% 5%  
182 2% 4%  
183 0.5% 2%  
184 0.3% 1.3%  
185 0.4% 1.0%  
186 0.3% 0.6%  
187 0.2% 0.3%  
188 0.1% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0% 100% Last Result
133 0% 100%  
134 0.1% 100%  
135 0.1% 99.9%  
136 0.1% 99.8%  
137 0.3% 99.7%  
138 0.3% 99.3%  
139 0.3% 99.1%  
140 0.8% 98.8%  
141 1.2% 98%  
142 2% 97%  
143 4% 95%  
144 2% 91%  
145 8% 90%  
146 7% 82%  
147 2% 75%  
148 3% 73%  
149 4% 70%  
150 11% 65%  
151 8% 54%  
152 4% 46% Median
153 5% 42%  
154 3% 37%  
155 4% 34%  
156 5% 30%  
157 3% 25%  
158 9% 23%  
159 3% 14%  
160 6% 11%  
161 2% 5%  
162 0.9% 4%  
163 0.6% 3%  
164 0.6% 2%  
165 0.5% 2%  
166 0.5% 1.1%  
167 0.1% 0.6%  
168 0.3% 0.5%  
169 0% 0.2%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0.1% 0.1%  
174 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
125 0% 100%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.3% 99.7%  
129 0.1% 99.4%  
130 0.3% 99.2%  
131 0.4% 99.0%  
132 0.5% 98.5%  
133 0.9% 98%  
134 2% 97%  
135 3% 95%  
136 2% 92%  
137 5% 90%  
138 4% 85%  
139 6% 81%  
140 5% 75%  
141 4% 70%  
142 5% 66%  
143 4% 62%  
144 3% 58% Last Result
145 4% 55%  
146 5% 51%  
147 4% 46%  
148 3% 42%  
149 8% 39%  
150 4% 31%  
151 5% 27%  
152 5% 22% Median
153 7% 17%  
154 3% 10%  
155 2% 7%  
156 2% 5%  
157 0.6% 3%  
158 0.8% 2%  
159 0.3% 1.3%  
160 0.3% 1.0%  
161 0.1% 0.7%  
162 0.2% 0.6%  
163 0.1% 0.5%  
164 0.1% 0.4%  
165 0.1% 0.3%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0.1% 100%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.2% 99.8%  
123 0.5% 99.6%  
124 0.8% 99.0%  
125 0.6% 98%  
126 2% 98%  
127 0.5% 96%  
128 2% 95%  
129 3% 93%  
130 1.4% 90%  
131 5% 89%  
132 6% 84%  
133 6% 78%  
134 6% 72%  
135 2% 66%  
136 8% 63%  
137 3% 56%  
138 3% 53%  
139 3% 49%  
140 3% 46%  
141 3% 44%  
142 7% 41%  
143 10% 34%  
144 8% 23%  
145 4% 15% Median
146 2% 12%  
147 2% 10%  
148 2% 8%  
149 1.4% 6%  
150 0.9% 4%  
151 1.1% 4%  
152 0.9% 2%  
153 0.3% 2%  
154 0.4% 1.3%  
155 0.3% 0.9%  
156 0.2% 0.6%  
157 0.1% 0.4%  
158 0.1% 0.3%  
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0% Last Result

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.2% 99.8%  
123 0.3% 99.6%  
124 0.3% 99.3%  
125 0.9% 98.9%  
126 1.1% 98%  
127 1.3% 97%  
128 2% 96% Last Result
129 3% 94%  
130 2% 91%  
131 3% 90%  
132 5% 86%  
133 5% 81%  
134 6% 76%  
135 7% 70%  
136 8% 63%  
137 8% 54% Median
138 10% 47%  
139 9% 37%  
140 6% 29%  
141 4% 23%  
142 4% 19%  
143 3% 15%  
144 2% 12%  
145 3% 10%  
146 3% 8%  
147 2% 5%  
148 0.6% 3%  
149 0.8% 2%  
150 0.6% 1.4%  
151 0.3% 0.8%  
152 0.1% 0.6%  
153 0.2% 0.5%  
154 0.1% 0.3%  
155 0.1% 0.2%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0.1% 100%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0.1% 99.8%  
111 0.1% 99.7%  
112 0.2% 99.6%  
113 0.1% 99.4%  
114 0.1% 99.3%  
115 0.1% 99.2%  
116 0.2% 99.1%  
117 0.4% 98.8%  
118 0.3% 98%  
119 1.0% 98%  
120 0.7% 97%  
121 1.0% 96%  
122 2% 95%  
123 3% 93%  
124 4% 90%  
125 5% 86%  
126 13% 81%  
127 5% 68%  
128 7% 63%  
129 5% 56%  
130 6% 51% Median
131 6% 45%  
132 9% 39%  
133 3% 30%  
134 8% 27%  
135 5% 18%  
136 2% 13%  
137 3% 11%  
138 2% 9%  
139 1.4% 6%  
140 2% 5%  
141 0.7% 3%  
142 0.7% 2%  
143 0.4% 1.5% Last Result
144 0.3% 1.1%  
145 0.2% 0.7%  
146 0.1% 0.5%  
147 0.1% 0.4%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0.1% 100%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0.1% 99.8%  
111 0.1% 99.7%  
112 0.2% 99.6%  
113 0.1% 99.3%  
114 0.2% 99.2%  
115 0.2% 99.1%  
116 0.3% 98.9%  
117 0.4% 98.6%  
118 0.4% 98%  
119 1.1% 98%  
120 1.0% 97%  
121 1.0% 96%  
122 3% 95%  
123 3% 92% Last Result
124 4% 89%  
125 6% 85%  
126 13% 79%  
127 6% 66%  
128 7% 61%  
129 5% 54%  
130 6% 49% Median
131 6% 43%  
132 9% 37%  
133 3% 28%  
134 8% 25%  
135 5% 17%  
136 2% 11%  
137 3% 10%  
138 2% 7%  
139 1.3% 5%  
140 1.4% 3%  
141 0.5% 2%  
142 0.6% 2%  
143 0.4% 0.9%  
144 0.3% 0.6%  
145 0.1% 0.3%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0.1% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0% 100%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.2% 99.9%  
99 0.2% 99.7%  
100 0.7% 99.5%  
101 1.0% 98.9%  
102 0.9% 98%  
103 2% 97%  
104 3% 95%  
105 4% 92%  
106 1.2% 88%  
107 12% 87%  
108 5% 74%  
109 5% 69%  
110 9% 64%  
111 6% 54%  
112 7% 48% Median
113 6% 42%  
114 6% 36%  
115 7% 30%  
116 6% 23%  
117 3% 17%  
118 5% 14%  
119 2% 9%  
120 1.5% 7%  
121 1.4% 5% Last Result
122 1.0% 4%  
123 0.7% 3%  
124 0.6% 2%  
125 0.4% 1.3%  
126 0.2% 0.9%  
127 0.2% 0.6%  
128 0.1% 0.5%  
129 0.1% 0.4%  
130 0.1% 0.3%  
131 0% 0.2%  
132 0.1% 0.2%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0.1% 100%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.3% 99.8%  
99 0.2% 99.5%  
100 0.7% 99.3%  
101 1.1% 98.6% Last Result
102 1.0% 98%  
103 2% 97%  
104 4% 95%  
105 4% 91%  
106 1.3% 87%  
107 12% 86%  
108 5% 73%  
109 6% 68%  
110 10% 62%  
111 6% 52%  
112 7% 46% Median
113 6% 39%  
114 6% 34%  
115 7% 28%  
116 6% 21%  
117 3% 15%  
118 5% 12%  
119 2% 7%  
120 1.4% 5%  
121 1.2% 3%  
122 0.9% 2%  
123 0.4% 1.3%  
124 0.3% 0.9%  
125 0.3% 0.6%  
126 0.1% 0.3%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.2% 99.7%  
89 0.4% 99.5%  
90 0.3% 99.1%  
91 1.2% 98.8%  
92 0.7% 98%  
93 3% 97%  
94 2% 94%  
95 2% 91%  
96 5% 89%  
97 6% 83%  
98 3% 78%  
99 5% 75%  
100 5% 70%  
101 4% 65%  
102 2% 61%  
103 4% 59%  
104 6% 55%  
105 3% 49%  
106 5% 46%  
107 5% 42%  
108 3% 37%  
109 2% 34%  
110 5% 32%  
111 10% 27% Median
112 3% 17%  
113 3% 14%  
114 2% 11%  
115 3% 9%  
116 2% 5% Last Result
117 1.4% 3%  
118 0.7% 2%  
119 0.4% 1.3%  
120 0.4% 0.9%  
121 0.2% 0.6%  
122 0.2% 0.4%  
123 0.1% 0.2%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0.1% 0.1%  
126 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations