Opinion Poll by SCB, 2–26 November 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 29.4% | 28.5–30.2% | 28.3–30.5% | 28.1–30.7% | 27.7–31.1% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 22.1% | 21.3–22.9% | 21.1–23.1% | 20.9–23.3% | 20.5–23.7% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 17.6% | 16.9–18.3% | 16.7–18.5% | 16.5–18.7% | 16.2–19.1% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.8–9.9% | 8.6–10.0% | 8.5–10.2% | 8.2–10.4% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1–8.1% | 7.0–8.3% | 6.9–8.4% | 6.6–8.6% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0–5.9% | 4.9–6.0% | 4.8–6.1% | 4.6–6.3% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8–4.6% | 3.7–4.7% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.5–5.0% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.7–3.4% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 108 | 104–113 | 103–114 | 103–115 | 101–117 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 81 | 78–86 | 77–86 | 77–87 | 75–88 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 65 | 62–68 | 61–69 | 61–69 | 59–71 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 34 | 32–37 | 32–37 | 31–38 | 30–39 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 28 | 26–30 | 26–31 | 25–31 | 24–32 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 20 | 18–22 | 18–22 | 18–22 | 17–23 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 15 | 0–17 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–18 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 103 | 4% | 98% | |
| 104 | 5% | 94% | |
| 105 | 7% | 89% | |
| 106 | 11% | 82% | |
| 107 | 17% | 71% | |
| 108 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 109 | 11% | 42% | |
| 110 | 7% | 31% | |
| 111 | 8% | 24% | |
| 112 | 5% | 17% | |
| 113 | 4% | 12% | |
| 114 | 3% | 8% | |
| 115 | 3% | 5% | |
| 116 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 77 | 4% | 98% | |
| 78 | 10% | 94% | |
| 79 | 7% | 84% | |
| 80 | 17% | 77% | |
| 81 | 20% | 60% | Median |
| 82 | 8% | 40% | |
| 83 | 10% | 32% | |
| 84 | 6% | 23% | |
| 85 | 7% | 17% | |
| 86 | 6% | 10% | |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 61 | 4% | 98% | |
| 62 | 12% | 94% | Last Result |
| 63 | 9% | 82% | |
| 64 | 14% | 73% | |
| 65 | 23% | 59% | Median |
| 66 | 12% | 36% | |
| 67 | 10% | 24% | |
| 68 | 7% | 14% | |
| 69 | 4% | 7% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 32 | 15% | 97% | |
| 33 | 24% | 82% | |
| 34 | 16% | 58% | Median |
| 35 | 19% | 42% | |
| 36 | 12% | 23% | |
| 37 | 6% | 11% | |
| 38 | 4% | 5% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 26 | 13% | 97% | |
| 27 | 17% | 84% | |
| 28 | 29% | 67% | Median |
| 29 | 19% | 38% | |
| 30 | 14% | 19% | |
| 31 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 32 | 2% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 9% | 98% | |
| 19 | 24% | 89% | |
| 20 | 33% | 66% | Median |
| 21 | 22% | 33% | |
| 22 | 9% | 11% | Last Result |
| 23 | 2% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 77% | |
| 2 | 0% | 77% | |
| 3 | 0% | 77% | |
| 4 | 0% | 77% | |
| 5 | 0% | 77% | |
| 6 | 0% | 77% | |
| 7 | 0% | 77% | |
| 8 | 0% | 77% | |
| 9 | 0% | 77% | |
| 10 | 0% | 77% | |
| 11 | 0% | 77% | |
| 12 | 0% | 77% | |
| 13 | 0% | 77% | |
| 14 | 0% | 77% | |
| 15 | 35% | 77% | Median |
| 16 | 26% | 42% | Last Result |
| 17 | 12% | 15% | |
| 18 | 3% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 216 | 100% | 212–227 | 211–228 | 211–230 | 209–231 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 188 | 100% | 185–197 | 183–199 | 183–200 | 181–202 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 183 | 95% | 177–187 | 174–188 | 173–189 | 172–191 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 166 | 5% | 162–172 | 161–175 | 160–176 | 158–177 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 155 | 0% | 147–159 | 146–160 | 145–161 | 142–163 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 146 | 0% | 142–152 | 141–154 | 140–155 | 138–157 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 150 | 0% | 141–154 | 139–155 | 138–155 | 136–157 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 142 | 0% | 138–149 | 138–150 | 137–151 | 135–153 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 129 | 0% | 125–135 | 124–136 | 124–137 | 122–139 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 129 | 0% | 125–135 | 124–136 | 124–137 | 122–139 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 122 | 0% | 112–126 | 110–127 | 109–127 | 107–129 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 109 | 0% | 106–114 | 105–116 | 104–116 | 103–118 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 109 | 0% | 106–114 | 105–116 | 104–116 | 103–118 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 209 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 210 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 211 | 3% | 98% | |
| 212 | 5% | 95% | |
| 213 | 7% | 90% | |
| 214 | 9% | 83% | |
| 215 | 12% | 74% | |
| 216 | 15% | 62% | |
| 217 | 10% | 46% | Median |
| 218 | 7% | 36% | |
| 219 | 2% | 29% | |
| 220 | 3% | 27% | |
| 221 | 1.4% | 24% | |
| 222 | 1.1% | 23% | |
| 223 | 3% | 22% | |
| 224 | 3% | 19% | |
| 225 | 3% | 16% | |
| 226 | 3% | 14% | |
| 227 | 3% | 10% | |
| 228 | 3% | 7% | |
| 229 | 2% | 4% | |
| 230 | 2% | 3% | |
| 231 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 232 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 181 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 182 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 183 | 3% | 98% | |
| 184 | 4% | 95% | |
| 185 | 6% | 91% | |
| 186 | 11% | 85% | |
| 187 | 10% | 74% | |
| 188 | 17% | 64% | |
| 189 | 9% | 47% | Median |
| 190 | 6% | 39% | |
| 191 | 5% | 32% | |
| 192 | 4% | 28% | |
| 193 | 2% | 24% | |
| 194 | 3% | 21% | |
| 195 | 2% | 18% | |
| 196 | 4% | 17% | |
| 197 | 4% | 13% | |
| 198 | 3% | 9% | |
| 199 | 2% | 6% | |
| 200 | 2% | 5% | |
| 201 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 202 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 203 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 169 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 171 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 172 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 173 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 174 | 3% | 97% | |
| 175 | 1.3% | 95% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 93% | |
| 177 | 3% | 90% | |
| 178 | 3% | 87% | |
| 179 | 5% | 84% | |
| 180 | 4% | 78% | |
| 181 | 5% | 74% | |
| 182 | 8% | 69% | |
| 183 | 15% | 62% | |
| 184 | 13% | 47% | |
| 185 | 7% | 34% | Median |
| 186 | 8% | 27% | |
| 187 | 10% | 19% | |
| 188 | 5% | 9% | |
| 189 | 2% | 4% | |
| 190 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 159 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 160 | 2% | 98% | |
| 161 | 5% | 96% | |
| 162 | 10% | 91% | |
| 163 | 8% | 81% | |
| 164 | 7% | 73% | |
| 165 | 13% | 66% | |
| 166 | 15% | 53% | Median |
| 167 | 8% | 38% | |
| 168 | 5% | 31% | |
| 169 | 4% | 26% | |
| 170 | 5% | 22% | |
| 171 | 3% | 16% | |
| 172 | 3% | 13% | |
| 173 | 3% | 10% | |
| 174 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 175 | 3% | 5% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 3% | |
| 177 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 143 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 144 | 0.4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 145 | 2% | 98% | |
| 146 | 4% | 96% | |
| 147 | 3% | 92% | |
| 148 | 3% | 89% | |
| 149 | 3% | 87% | |
| 150 | 4% | 83% | |
| 151 | 3% | 79% | |
| 152 | 1.2% | 77% | |
| 153 | 2% | 75% | |
| 154 | 15% | 73% | |
| 155 | 15% | 58% | |
| 156 | 6% | 44% | |
| 157 | 6% | 38% | Median |
| 158 | 8% | 32% | |
| 159 | 16% | 24% | |
| 160 | 4% | 8% | |
| 161 | 2% | 4% | |
| 162 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 140 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 141 | 4% | 96% | |
| 142 | 8% | 93% | |
| 143 | 9% | 84% | |
| 144 | 12% | 75% | |
| 145 | 7% | 63% | |
| 146 | 17% | 56% | Median |
| 147 | 8% | 39% | |
| 148 | 4% | 31% | |
| 149 | 6% | 26% | |
| 150 | 5% | 20% | |
| 151 | 3% | 15% | |
| 152 | 3% | 12% | |
| 153 | 3% | 9% | |
| 154 | 3% | 6% | |
| 155 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 156 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 137 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 138 | 2% | 98% | |
| 139 | 3% | 97% | |
| 140 | 2% | 93% | |
| 141 | 3% | 91% | |
| 142 | 3% | 88% | |
| 143 | 2% | 85% | |
| 144 | 3% | 83% | |
| 145 | 4% | 79% | |
| 146 | 3% | 76% | |
| 147 | 4% | 73% | |
| 148 | 6% | 69% | |
| 149 | 7% | 62% | |
| 150 | 19% | 55% | |
| 151 | 6% | 36% | Median |
| 152 | 12% | 30% | |
| 153 | 6% | 17% | |
| 154 | 5% | 12% | |
| 155 | 4% | 6% | |
| 156 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 136 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 137 | 3% | 98% | |
| 138 | 8% | 95% | |
| 139 | 12% | 87% | |
| 140 | 13% | 75% | |
| 141 | 7% | 62% | |
| 142 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 143 | 9% | 43% | |
| 144 | 8% | 34% | |
| 145 | 5% | 26% | |
| 146 | 5% | 22% | |
| 147 | 4% | 17% | |
| 148 | 3% | 13% | |
| 149 | 3% | 10% | |
| 150 | 3% | 7% | |
| 151 | 2% | 4% | |
| 152 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 123 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 124 | 3% | 98% | |
| 125 | 7% | 94% | |
| 126 | 8% | 88% | |
| 127 | 10% | 80% | |
| 128 | 14% | 70% | |
| 129 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 130 | 10% | 44% | |
| 131 | 8% | 34% | |
| 132 | 5% | 26% | |
| 133 | 5% | 21% | |
| 134 | 5% | 16% | |
| 135 | 4% | 11% | |
| 136 | 2% | 7% | |
| 137 | 3% | 5% | |
| 138 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 123 | 2% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 124 | 3% | 98% | |
| 125 | 7% | 94% | |
| 126 | 8% | 88% | |
| 127 | 10% | 80% | |
| 128 | 14% | 70% | |
| 129 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 130 | 10% | 44% | |
| 131 | 8% | 34% | |
| 132 | 5% | 26% | |
| 133 | 5% | 21% | |
| 134 | 5% | 16% | |
| 135 | 4% | 11% | |
| 136 | 2% | 7% | |
| 137 | 3% | 5% | |
| 138 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 108 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 109 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 110 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 111 | 5% | 95% | |
| 112 | 2% | 90% | |
| 113 | 4% | 88% | |
| 114 | 3% | 84% | |
| 115 | 3% | 81% | |
| 116 | 1.2% | 79% | Last Result |
| 117 | 1.4% | 78% | |
| 118 | 1.3% | 76% | |
| 119 | 5% | 75% | |
| 120 | 6% | 70% | |
| 121 | 8% | 64% | |
| 122 | 16% | 56% | |
| 123 | 8% | 40% | Median |
| 124 | 13% | 32% | |
| 125 | 7% | 19% | |
| 126 | 7% | 12% | |
| 127 | 3% | 6% | |
| 128 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 129 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 104 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 105 | 5% | 96% | |
| 106 | 8% | 91% | |
| 107 | 11% | 82% | |
| 108 | 13% | 72% | |
| 109 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 110 | 8% | 40% | |
| 111 | 5% | 32% | |
| 112 | 6% | 28% | |
| 113 | 6% | 21% | |
| 114 | 6% | 15% | |
| 115 | 4% | 9% | |
| 116 | 4% | 6% | |
| 117 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 104 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 105 | 5% | 96% | |
| 106 | 8% | 91% | |
| 107 | 11% | 82% | |
| 108 | 13% | 72% | |
| 109 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 110 | 8% | 40% | |
| 111 | 5% | 32% | |
| 112 | 6% | 28% | |
| 113 | 6% | 21% | |
| 114 | 6% | 15% | |
| 115 | 4% | 9% | |
| 116 | 4% | 6% | |
| 117 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SCB
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 2–26 November 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 4692
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.59%