Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 1–13 December 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 26.0% | 24.6–27.5% | 24.2–27.9% | 23.9–28.3% | 23.2–29.0% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 23.0% | 21.6–24.4% | 21.3–24.8% | 20.9–25.2% | 20.3–25.9% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 20.0% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.5–22.7% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.7–12.4% | 9.5–12.7% | 9.1–13.2% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2–7.9% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.8% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.1% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.1% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 94 | 89–100 | 87–101 | 86–101 | 83–105 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 84 | 79–87 | 77–89 | 75–91 | 72–94 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 70 | 67–77 | 67–79 | 66–80 | 65–82 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 40 | 36–44 | 34–45 | 34–46 | 33–47 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 25 | 22–28 | 21–29 | 21–31 | 19–32 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 19 | 15–21 | 15–21 | 0–22 | 0–24 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 17 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 0–23 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–14 | 0–15 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 86 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 87 | 5% | 97% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 89 | 3% | 91% | |
| 90 | 12% | 87% | |
| 91 | 6% | 75% | |
| 92 | 6% | 70% | |
| 93 | 9% | 64% | |
| 94 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 95 | 15% | 45% | |
| 96 | 10% | 30% | |
| 97 | 3% | 19% | |
| 98 | 2% | 16% | |
| 99 | 4% | 14% | |
| 100 | 3% | 10% | Last Result |
| 101 | 6% | 8% | |
| 102 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 76 | 2% | 97% | |
| 77 | 2% | 96% | |
| 78 | 3% | 94% | |
| 79 | 8% | 91% | |
| 80 | 7% | 82% | |
| 81 | 13% | 76% | |
| 82 | 2% | 63% | |
| 83 | 10% | 60% | |
| 84 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 85 | 17% | 45% | |
| 86 | 11% | 28% | |
| 87 | 7% | 17% | |
| 88 | 4% | 10% | |
| 89 | 3% | 6% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 91 | 2% | 3% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 67 | 11% | 97% | |
| 68 | 14% | 86% | |
| 69 | 20% | 72% | |
| 70 | 17% | 52% | Median |
| 71 | 13% | 35% | |
| 72 | 5% | 22% | |
| 73 | 2% | 17% | |
| 74 | 2% | 16% | |
| 75 | 2% | 14% | |
| 76 | 2% | 12% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 78 | 4% | 9% | |
| 79 | 2% | 5% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 4% | 98% | |
| 35 | 3% | 94% | |
| 36 | 9% | 92% | |
| 37 | 6% | 83% | |
| 38 | 6% | 77% | |
| 39 | 11% | 72% | |
| 40 | 16% | 60% | Median |
| 41 | 15% | 44% | |
| 42 | 6% | 29% | |
| 43 | 7% | 23% | |
| 44 | 8% | 15% | |
| 45 | 3% | 7% | |
| 46 | 3% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 21 | 3% | 98% | |
| 22 | 10% | 95% | |
| 23 | 7% | 85% | |
| 24 | 18% | 78% | |
| 25 | 19% | 61% | Median |
| 26 | 13% | 42% | |
| 27 | 14% | 29% | |
| 28 | 8% | 16% | |
| 29 | 3% | 8% | |
| 30 | 2% | 5% | |
| 31 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0% | 97% | |
| 8 | 0% | 97% | |
| 9 | 0% | 97% | |
| 10 | 0% | 97% | |
| 11 | 0% | 97% | |
| 12 | 0% | 97% | |
| 13 | 0% | 97% | |
| 14 | 0% | 97% | |
| 15 | 9% | 97% | |
| 16 | 4% | 88% | |
| 17 | 3% | 84% | |
| 18 | 19% | 81% | |
| 19 | 14% | 62% | Median |
| 20 | 36% | 48% | |
| 21 | 10% | 12% | |
| 22 | 1.0% | 3% | Last Result |
| 23 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 10 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 11 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 15 | 3% | 98% | |
| 16 | 27% | 95% | Last Result |
| 17 | 26% | 68% | Median |
| 18 | 16% | 42% | |
| 19 | 8% | 26% | |
| 20 | 7% | 18% | |
| 21 | 7% | 11% | |
| 22 | 3% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 3% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 203 | 100% | 194–206 | 193–208 | 190–212 | 189–216 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 177 | 68% | 171–183 | 169–185 | 168–186 | 163–191 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 178 | 78% | 170–182 | 168–182 | 166–186 | 164–191 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 172 | 32% | 166–178 | 164–180 | 163–181 | 158–186 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 154 | 0.1% | 147–160 | 146–162 | 144–164 | 142–169 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 152 | 0% | 146–157 | 144–158 | 142–161 | 135–163 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 136 | 0% | 130–143 | 130–146 | 128–147 | 122–150 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 134 | 0% | 127–140 | 126–141 | 124–142 | 121–145 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 128 | 0% | 121–132 | 118–134 | 116–138 | 113–140 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 127 | 0% | 121–132 | 118–133 | 116–134 | 111–139 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 112 | 0% | 106–118 | 105–118 | 103–120 | 95–123 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 108 | 0% | 104–114 | 101–117 | 100–120 | 96–123 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 108 | 0% | 104–114 | 101–115 | 100–117 | 96–120 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 184 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 185 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 189 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 190 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 191 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 192 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 193 | 3% | 95% | |
| 194 | 4% | 92% | |
| 195 | 0.6% | 87% | |
| 196 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 197 | 1.0% | 86% | |
| 198 | 1.4% | 85% | |
| 199 | 1.4% | 84% | |
| 200 | 3% | 82% | |
| 201 | 11% | 79% | Last Result |
| 202 | 16% | 69% | |
| 203 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 204 | 12% | 41% | |
| 205 | 10% | 29% | |
| 206 | 10% | 18% | |
| 207 | 3% | 9% | |
| 208 | 2% | 6% | |
| 209 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 210 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 211 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 212 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 213 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 214 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 215 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 216 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 217 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 218 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 219 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 223 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 224 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 166 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 167 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 168 | 2% | 98% | |
| 169 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 170 | 3% | 94% | |
| 171 | 6% | 91% | |
| 172 | 4% | 85% | |
| 173 | 3% | 81% | |
| 174 | 10% | 78% | |
| 175 | 11% | 68% | Majority |
| 176 | 5% | 56% | Median |
| 177 | 1.4% | 51% | |
| 178 | 9% | 50% | |
| 179 | 14% | 40% | |
| 180 | 2% | 26% | |
| 181 | 4% | 24% | |
| 182 | 8% | 20% | |
| 183 | 4% | 12% | |
| 184 | 2% | 8% | |
| 185 | 2% | 6% | |
| 186 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 187 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 189 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 159 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 166 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 167 | 2% | 97% | |
| 168 | 3% | 95% | |
| 169 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 170 | 4% | 91% | Last Result |
| 171 | 1.4% | 87% | |
| 172 | 3% | 86% | |
| 173 | 4% | 83% | |
| 174 | 1.4% | 79% | |
| 175 | 5% | 78% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 72% | |
| 177 | 15% | 69% | |
| 178 | 16% | 55% | Median |
| 179 | 6% | 38% | |
| 180 | 20% | 32% | |
| 181 | 2% | 12% | |
| 182 | 6% | 10% | |
| 183 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 184 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 185 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 186 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 187 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 189 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 191 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 160 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 162 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 163 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 164 | 2% | 96% | |
| 165 | 2% | 94% | |
| 166 | 4% | 92% | |
| 167 | 8% | 88% | |
| 168 | 4% | 80% | |
| 169 | 2% | 76% | |
| 170 | 14% | 74% | |
| 171 | 9% | 60% | |
| 172 | 1.4% | 50% | |
| 173 | 5% | 49% | Median |
| 174 | 11% | 44% | |
| 175 | 10% | 32% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 22% | |
| 177 | 4% | 19% | |
| 178 | 6% | 15% | |
| 179 | 3% | 9% | |
| 180 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 181 | 2% | 5% | |
| 182 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 183 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 144 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 145 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 146 | 2% | 96% | |
| 147 | 5% | 94% | |
| 148 | 6% | 89% | |
| 149 | 3% | 83% | |
| 150 | 13% | 80% | |
| 151 | 4% | 68% | |
| 152 | 4% | 64% | |
| 153 | 3% | 60% | |
| 154 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 155 | 12% | 48% | |
| 156 | 11% | 37% | |
| 157 | 5% | 26% | |
| 158 | 9% | 22% | |
| 159 | 2% | 13% | |
| 160 | 2% | 11% | |
| 161 | 2% | 9% | |
| 162 | 2% | 7% | |
| 163 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 164 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 165 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 141 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 142 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 143 | 2% | 97% | |
| 144 | 2% | 95% | Last Result |
| 145 | 3% | 93% | |
| 146 | 6% | 90% | |
| 147 | 5% | 84% | |
| 148 | 13% | 79% | |
| 149 | 2% | 66% | |
| 150 | 8% | 65% | |
| 151 | 2% | 57% | Median |
| 152 | 10% | 54% | |
| 153 | 11% | 45% | |
| 154 | 11% | 33% | |
| 155 | 7% | 23% | |
| 156 | 1.3% | 15% | |
| 157 | 8% | 14% | |
| 158 | 2% | 6% | |
| 159 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 160 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 161 | 2% | 3% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 163 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 128 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 129 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 130 | 9% | 96% | |
| 131 | 2% | 87% | |
| 132 | 3% | 85% | |
| 133 | 4% | 82% | |
| 134 | 9% | 78% | |
| 135 | 13% | 69% | |
| 136 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 137 | 4% | 49% | |
| 138 | 10% | 45% | |
| 139 | 9% | 36% | |
| 140 | 6% | 27% | |
| 141 | 3% | 21% | |
| 142 | 1.4% | 18% | |
| 143 | 7% | 17% | |
| 144 | 3% | 9% | |
| 145 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 146 | 3% | 6% | |
| 147 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 148 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 124 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 126 | 2% | 95% | |
| 127 | 5% | 94% | |
| 128 | 3% | 89% | Last Result |
| 129 | 5% | 85% | |
| 130 | 11% | 80% | |
| 131 | 7% | 70% | |
| 132 | 3% | 63% | |
| 133 | 3% | 60% | |
| 134 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 135 | 4% | 50% | |
| 136 | 15% | 46% | |
| 137 | 8% | 31% | |
| 138 | 9% | 23% | |
| 139 | 3% | 15% | |
| 140 | 6% | 12% | |
| 141 | 3% | 6% | |
| 142 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 143 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 115 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 116 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 117 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 118 | 2% | 96% | |
| 119 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 120 | 2% | 93% | |
| 121 | 2% | 92% | |
| 122 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 123 | 3% | 88% | |
| 124 | 8% | 85% | |
| 125 | 12% | 77% | |
| 126 | 5% | 65% | |
| 127 | 10% | 60% | |
| 128 | 14% | 50% | Median |
| 129 | 6% | 36% | |
| 130 | 2% | 30% | |
| 131 | 14% | 28% | |
| 132 | 4% | 14% | |
| 133 | 3% | 10% | |
| 134 | 3% | 7% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 136 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 138 | 2% | 3% | |
| 139 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 110 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 114 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 115 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 116 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 117 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 118 | 2% | 96% | |
| 119 | 1.5% | 94% | |
| 120 | 2% | 93% | |
| 121 | 2% | 91% | |
| 122 | 1.1% | 89% | |
| 123 | 3% | 87% | Last Result |
| 124 | 10% | 84% | |
| 125 | 12% | 74% | |
| 126 | 5% | 62% | |
| 127 | 10% | 57% | |
| 128 | 14% | 47% | Median |
| 129 | 6% | 33% | |
| 130 | 2% | 27% | |
| 131 | 14% | 25% | |
| 132 | 4% | 11% | |
| 133 | 3% | 7% | |
| 134 | 2% | 4% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 96 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 103 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 104 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 105 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 106 | 9% | 95% | |
| 107 | 3% | 85% | |
| 108 | 9% | 82% | |
| 109 | 6% | 73% | |
| 110 | 9% | 66% | |
| 111 | 6% | 58% | Median |
| 112 | 20% | 52% | |
| 113 | 5% | 32% | |
| 114 | 6% | 27% | |
| 115 | 4% | 21% | |
| 116 | 5% | 16% | Last Result |
| 117 | 2% | 12% | |
| 118 | 6% | 10% | |
| 119 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 120 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 121 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 123 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 100 | 2% | 98% | |
| 101 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 102 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 103 | 3% | 94% | |
| 104 | 11% | 91% | |
| 105 | 4% | 80% | |
| 106 | 2% | 76% | |
| 107 | 13% | 74% | |
| 108 | 11% | 61% | |
| 109 | 5% | 50% | Median |
| 110 | 7% | 45% | |
| 111 | 13% | 38% | |
| 112 | 9% | 25% | |
| 113 | 2% | 16% | |
| 114 | 5% | 14% | |
| 115 | 3% | 10% | |
| 116 | 2% | 7% | |
| 117 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 118 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 120 | 2% | 3% | |
| 121 | 0.5% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 124 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 100 | 3% | 98% | |
| 101 | 1.0% | 95% | Last Result |
| 102 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 103 | 3% | 93% | |
| 104 | 11% | 90% | |
| 105 | 4% | 79% | |
| 106 | 4% | 75% | |
| 107 | 13% | 71% | |
| 108 | 11% | 58% | |
| 109 | 5% | 47% | Median |
| 110 | 7% | 42% | |
| 111 | 13% | 35% | |
| 112 | 9% | 22% | |
| 113 | 2% | 13% | |
| 114 | 4% | 12% | |
| 115 | 3% | 7% | |
| 116 | 2% | 4% | |
| 117 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 120 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 1–13 December 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1531
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.34%