Opinion Poll by Demoskop, 29 December 2020–11 January 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 23.2% | 22.0–24.4% | 21.7–24.8% | 21.4–25.1% | 20.9–25.7% |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 23.0% | 21.8–24.2% | 21.5–24.5% | 21.2–24.8% | 20.7–25.4% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.5% | 18.4–20.6% | 18.1–21.0% | 17.8–21.2% | 17.3–21.8% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.1–10.8% | 8.9–11.0% | 8.7–11.2% | 8.3–11.7% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4–10.1% | 8.2–10.3% | 8.0–10.5% | 7.7–11.0% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3–6.6% | 5.1–6.8% | 4.9–7.0% | 4.7–7.3% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.4% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.9–2.8% | 1.8–2.9% | 1.7–3.0% | 1.6–3.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 85 | 80–89 | 79–90 | 78–92 | 76–94 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 84 | 79–88 | 78–89 | 77–90 | 75–93 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 71 | 67–75 | 66–76 | 65–77 | 63–79 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 36 | 33–39 | 32–40 | 32–41 | 30–43 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 33 | 31–37 | 30–38 | 29–38 | 28–40 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 21 | 19–24 | 19–25 | 18–25 | 17–27 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 18 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 15–22 | 0–23 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 79 | 4% | 97% | |
| 80 | 7% | 94% | |
| 81 | 6% | 87% | |
| 82 | 7% | 81% | |
| 83 | 9% | 74% | |
| 84 | 13% | 65% | |
| 85 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 86 | 8% | 39% | |
| 87 | 8% | 31% | |
| 88 | 11% | 24% | |
| 89 | 6% | 13% | |
| 90 | 2% | 7% | |
| 91 | 2% | 5% | |
| 92 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 78 | 3% | 97% | |
| 79 | 5% | 95% | |
| 80 | 6% | 89% | |
| 81 | 8% | 84% | |
| 82 | 16% | 76% | |
| 83 | 8% | 59% | |
| 84 | 10% | 51% | Median |
| 85 | 11% | 41% | |
| 86 | 9% | 30% | |
| 87 | 9% | 20% | |
| 88 | 5% | 12% | |
| 89 | 2% | 7% | |
| 90 | 2% | 5% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 4% | 96% | |
| 67 | 6% | 92% | |
| 68 | 5% | 86% | |
| 69 | 10% | 81% | |
| 70 | 13% | 71% | |
| 71 | 15% | 57% | Median |
| 72 | 10% | 42% | |
| 73 | 9% | 32% | |
| 74 | 9% | 23% | |
| 75 | 6% | 14% | |
| 76 | 4% | 9% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 4% | 98% | |
| 33 | 6% | 94% | |
| 34 | 10% | 88% | |
| 35 | 18% | 78% | |
| 36 | 18% | 60% | Median |
| 37 | 16% | 43% | |
| 38 | 12% | 26% | |
| 39 | 7% | 14% | |
| 40 | 4% | 8% | |
| 41 | 2% | 4% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 30 | 6% | 97% | |
| 31 | 13% | 92% | Last Result |
| 32 | 17% | 79% | |
| 33 | 13% | 62% | Median |
| 34 | 13% | 49% | |
| 35 | 14% | 36% | |
| 36 | 10% | 23% | |
| 37 | 6% | 13% | |
| 38 | 4% | 6% | |
| 39 | 2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 19 | 9% | 95% | |
| 20 | 14% | 87% | |
| 21 | 26% | 73% | Median |
| 22 | 18% | 47% | Last Result |
| 23 | 15% | 29% | |
| 24 | 9% | 15% | |
| 25 | 3% | 6% | |
| 26 | 2% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 15 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 16 | 12% | 95% | Last Result |
| 17 | 18% | 83% | |
| 18 | 19% | 65% | Median |
| 19 | 19% | 46% | |
| 20 | 13% | 27% | |
| 21 | 9% | 14% | |
| 22 | 5% | 6% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet | 201 | 202 | 100% | 197–207 | 196–209 | 194–210 | 192–214 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 177 | 77% | 172–182 | 171–184 | 169–186 | 167–189 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 172 | 23% | 167–177 | 165–178 | 163–180 | 160–182 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 170 | 168 | 6% | 163–173 | 162–175 | 161–176 | 158–180 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 156 | 0% | 151–161 | 149–163 | 148–164 | 146–167 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 140 | 0% | 135–145 | 134–146 | 132–148 | 130–151 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 140 | 0% | 135–145 | 134–146 | 132–148 | 130–151 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 138 | 0% | 133–143 | 132–144 | 130–146 | 126–148 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 135 | 0% | 131–141 | 129–142 | 128–143 | 122–146 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 120 | 0% | 115–125 | 114–126 | 113–127 | 110–130 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 118 | 0% | 114–123 | 113–125 | 111–126 | 109–128 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 118 | 0% | 114–123 | 113–125 | 111–126 | 109–128 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 102 | 0% | 97–107 | 96–108 | 94–109 | 88–111 |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 192 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 193 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 194 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 195 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 196 | 4% | 96% | |
| 197 | 5% | 92% | |
| 198 | 6% | 87% | |
| 199 | 8% | 81% | |
| 200 | 11% | 73% | |
| 201 | 7% | 62% | Last Result |
| 202 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 203 | 9% | 43% | |
| 204 | 8% | 34% | |
| 205 | 6% | 26% | |
| 206 | 9% | 20% | |
| 207 | 3% | 12% | |
| 208 | 3% | 9% | |
| 209 | 2% | 5% | |
| 210 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 211 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 212 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 213 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 217 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 218 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 219 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 168 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 169 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 170 | 2% | 97% | |
| 171 | 3% | 95% | |
| 172 | 4% | 92% | |
| 173 | 6% | 89% | |
| 174 | 6% | 82% | |
| 175 | 9% | 77% | Majority |
| 176 | 10% | 68% | |
| 177 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 178 | 8% | 47% | |
| 179 | 8% | 39% | |
| 180 | 11% | 31% | |
| 181 | 6% | 21% | |
| 182 | 5% | 15% | |
| 183 | 2% | 9% | |
| 184 | 3% | 7% | |
| 185 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 186 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 187 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 162 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 163 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 164 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 165 | 3% | 96% | |
| 166 | 2% | 93% | |
| 167 | 5% | 91% | |
| 168 | 6% | 85% | |
| 169 | 11% | 79% | |
| 170 | 8% | 69% | |
| 171 | 8% | 61% | Median |
| 172 | 11% | 53% | |
| 173 | 10% | 42% | |
| 174 | 9% | 32% | |
| 175 | 6% | 23% | Majority |
| 176 | 6% | 18% | |
| 177 | 4% | 11% | |
| 178 | 3% | 8% | |
| 179 | 2% | 5% | |
| 180 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 181 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 182 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 159 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 160 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 161 | 2% | 98% | |
| 162 | 4% | 96% | |
| 163 | 3% | 92% | |
| 164 | 5% | 89% | |
| 165 | 7% | 84% | |
| 166 | 11% | 77% | |
| 167 | 7% | 66% | |
| 168 | 10% | 59% | |
| 169 | 8% | 49% | Median |
| 170 | 11% | 41% | Last Result |
| 171 | 9% | 29% | |
| 172 | 5% | 20% | |
| 173 | 5% | 15% | |
| 174 | 3% | 9% | |
| 175 | 3% | 6% | Majority |
| 176 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 177 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 178 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 179 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 147 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 148 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 149 | 2% | 97% | |
| 150 | 3% | 95% | |
| 151 | 5% | 91% | |
| 152 | 6% | 86% | |
| 153 | 7% | 79% | |
| 154 | 9% | 72% | |
| 155 | 12% | 63% | |
| 156 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 157 | 10% | 42% | |
| 158 | 5% | 33% | |
| 159 | 12% | 28% | |
| 160 | 5% | 17% | |
| 161 | 4% | 11% | |
| 162 | 2% | 8% | |
| 163 | 3% | 6% | |
| 164 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 165 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 131 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 132 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 133 | 2% | 97% | |
| 134 | 4% | 95% | |
| 135 | 4% | 91% | |
| 136 | 8% | 88% | |
| 137 | 7% | 80% | |
| 138 | 9% | 73% | |
| 139 | 12% | 64% | Median |
| 140 | 6% | 52% | |
| 141 | 15% | 46% | |
| 142 | 8% | 31% | |
| 143 | 6% | 24% | Last Result |
| 144 | 6% | 18% | |
| 145 | 5% | 12% | |
| 146 | 2% | 7% | |
| 147 | 2% | 4% | |
| 148 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 149 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 131 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 132 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 133 | 2% | 97% | |
| 134 | 4% | 95% | |
| 135 | 4% | 91% | |
| 136 | 8% | 88% | |
| 137 | 7% | 80% | |
| 138 | 9% | 73% | |
| 139 | 12% | 64% | Median |
| 140 | 6% | 52% | |
| 141 | 15% | 46% | |
| 142 | 8% | 31% | |
| 143 | 6% | 24% | |
| 144 | 6% | 18% | |
| 145 | 5% | 12% | |
| 146 | 2% | 7% | |
| 147 | 2% | 4% | |
| 148 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 149 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 129 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 130 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 131 | 2% | 97% | |
| 132 | 3% | 95% | |
| 133 | 3% | 93% | |
| 134 | 7% | 89% | |
| 135 | 7% | 82% | |
| 136 | 8% | 75% | |
| 137 | 13% | 66% | |
| 138 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 139 | 9% | 45% | |
| 140 | 7% | 35% | |
| 141 | 11% | 29% | |
| 142 | 5% | 18% | |
| 143 | 5% | 13% | |
| 144 | 3% | 8% | Last Result |
| 145 | 2% | 5% | |
| 146 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 147 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 127 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 128 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 129 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 130 | 5% | 95% | |
| 131 | 5% | 90% | |
| 132 | 7% | 86% | |
| 133 | 10% | 79% | |
| 134 | 7% | 68% | |
| 135 | 12% | 62% | Median |
| 136 | 10% | 49% | |
| 137 | 7% | 39% | |
| 138 | 11% | 32% | |
| 139 | 7% | 22% | |
| 140 | 5% | 15% | |
| 141 | 3% | 10% | |
| 142 | 4% | 7% | |
| 143 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 144 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 112 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 113 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 114 | 5% | 96% | |
| 115 | 3% | 91% | |
| 116 | 6% | 88% | |
| 117 | 7% | 81% | |
| 118 | 11% | 74% | |
| 119 | 12% | 63% | |
| 120 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 121 | 13% | 44% | |
| 122 | 8% | 31% | |
| 123 | 8% | 23% | |
| 124 | 4% | 15% | |
| 125 | 5% | 11% | |
| 126 | 3% | 7% | |
| 127 | 2% | 4% | |
| 128 | 1.0% | 2% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 110 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 111 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 112 | 2% | 97% | |
| 113 | 5% | 95% | |
| 114 | 6% | 90% | |
| 115 | 11% | 84% | |
| 116 | 6% | 73% | |
| 117 | 8% | 67% | |
| 118 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 119 | 8% | 49% | |
| 120 | 15% | 41% | |
| 121 | 9% | 26% | Last Result |
| 122 | 4% | 17% | |
| 123 | 3% | 13% | |
| 124 | 4% | 9% | |
| 125 | 2% | 5% | |
| 126 | 2% | 3% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 110 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 111 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 112 | 2% | 97% | |
| 113 | 5% | 95% | |
| 114 | 6% | 90% | |
| 115 | 11% | 84% | |
| 116 | 6% | 73% | |
| 117 | 8% | 67% | |
| 118 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 119 | 8% | 49% | |
| 120 | 15% | 41% | |
| 121 | 9% | 26% | |
| 122 | 4% | 17% | |
| 123 | 3% | 13% | |
| 124 | 4% | 9% | |
| 125 | 2% | 5% | |
| 126 | 2% | 3% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 95 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 96 | 3% | 97% | |
| 97 | 4% | 93% | |
| 98 | 4% | 89% | |
| 99 | 9% | 85% | |
| 100 | 9% | 76% | |
| 101 | 15% | 67% | |
| 102 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 103 | 9% | 43% | |
| 104 | 10% | 34% | |
| 105 | 8% | 24% | |
| 106 | 5% | 16% | |
| 107 | 5% | 11% | |
| 108 | 3% | 6% | |
| 109 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 110 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Demoskop
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 29 December 2020–11 January 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 2095
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.04%