Opinion Poll by Sifo, 11–21 January 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 27.6% | 26.9–28.3% | 26.7–28.5% | 26.5–28.6% | 26.2–29.0% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 22.4% | 21.7–23.0% | 21.6–23.2% | 21.4–23.4% | 21.1–23.7% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 18.6% | 18.0–19.2% | 17.8–19.4% | 17.7–19.5% | 17.4–19.8% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.5–10.5% | 9.4–10.6% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–11.0% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7–8.5% | 7.6–8.7% | 7.5–8.8% | 7.3–9.0% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6–5.2% | 4.5–5.3% | 4.4–5.4% | 4.3–5.6% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4–4.0% | 3.3–4.1% | 3.3–4.2% | 3.1–4.3% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.9–3.5% | 2.9–3.6% | 2.8–3.6% | 2.7–3.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 105 | 101–108 | 100–109 | 99–109 | 97–110 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 85 | 82–87 | 81–88 | 80–89 | 79–90 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 70 | 68–73 | 67–74 | 66–74 | 65–75 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 38 | 36–40 | 35–40 | 35–41 | 34–42 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 31 | 29–33 | 28–33 | 28–33 | 27–34 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 16–21 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–15 | 0–15 | 0–16 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 99 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 100 | 4% | 96% | Last Result |
| 101 | 5% | 92% | |
| 102 | 6% | 87% | |
| 103 | 6% | 81% | |
| 104 | 9% | 76% | |
| 105 | 28% | 66% | Median |
| 106 | 14% | 38% | |
| 107 | 11% | 24% | |
| 108 | 8% | 13% | |
| 109 | 3% | 5% | |
| 110 | 2% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 80 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 81 | 6% | 97% | |
| 82 | 8% | 91% | |
| 83 | 13% | 83% | |
| 84 | 14% | 70% | |
| 85 | 17% | 56% | Median |
| 86 | 18% | 39% | |
| 87 | 11% | 20% | |
| 88 | 5% | 10% | |
| 89 | 4% | 5% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 6% | 97% | |
| 68 | 8% | 91% | |
| 69 | 16% | 83% | |
| 70 | 18% | 67% | Median |
| 71 | 21% | 49% | |
| 72 | 16% | 28% | |
| 73 | 8% | 13% | |
| 74 | 3% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 36 | 13% | 95% | |
| 37 | 23% | 82% | |
| 38 | 26% | 59% | Median |
| 39 | 21% | 32% | |
| 40 | 8% | 11% | |
| 41 | 3% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 28 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 29 | 11% | 95% | |
| 30 | 22% | 83% | |
| 31 | 27% | 61% | Last Result, Median |
| 32 | 24% | 34% | |
| 33 | 8% | 10% | |
| 34 | 2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 11% | 98% | |
| 18 | 37% | 87% | Median |
| 19 | 31% | 50% | |
| 20 | 15% | 19% | |
| 21 | 3% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 87% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 13% | |
| 2 | 0% | 13% | |
| 3 | 0% | 13% | |
| 4 | 0% | 13% | |
| 5 | 0% | 13% | |
| 6 | 0% | 13% | |
| 7 | 0% | 13% | |
| 8 | 0% | 13% | |
| 9 | 0% | 13% | |
| 10 | 0% | 13% | |
| 11 | 0% | 13% | |
| 12 | 0% | 13% | |
| 13 | 0% | 13% | |
| 14 | 0% | 13% | |
| 15 | 10% | 13% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 221 | 100% | 213–224 | 211–225 | 210–226 | 208–227 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 190 | 100% | 184–193 | 181–194 | 180–194 | 178–196 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 175 | 55% | 172–180 | 171–182 | 170–183 | 168–185 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 174 | 45% | 169–177 | 167–178 | 166–179 | 164–181 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 156 | 0% | 150–159 | 149–160 | 148–160 | 146–162 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 144 | 0% | 141–150 | 140–153 | 139–155 | 138–156 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 143 | 0% | 138–146 | 136–147 | 135–148 | 133–149 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 137 | 0% | 133–144 | 132–145 | 131–146 | 130–148 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 135 | 0% | 130–137 | 128–138 | 127–139 | 125–140 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 135 | 0% | 130–137 | 128–138 | 127–139 | 125–140 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 116 | 0% | 112–118 | 110–119 | 109–120 | 107–121 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 116 | 0% | 112–118 | 110–119 | 109–120 | 107–121 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 106 | 0% | 103–114 | 102–116 | 101–117 | 100–118 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 209 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 210 | 2% | 98% | |
| 211 | 4% | 96% | |
| 212 | 2% | 92% | |
| 213 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 214 | 2% | 90% | |
| 215 | 1.0% | 88% | |
| 216 | 0.9% | 87% | |
| 217 | 2% | 86% | |
| 218 | 3% | 85% | |
| 219 | 9% | 82% | |
| 220 | 11% | 73% | |
| 221 | 14% | 62% | Median |
| 222 | 15% | 48% | |
| 223 | 19% | 33% | |
| 224 | 8% | 14% | |
| 225 | 4% | 6% | |
| 226 | 2% | 3% | |
| 227 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 228 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 229 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 178 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 179 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 180 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 181 | 2% | 97% | |
| 182 | 2% | 95% | |
| 183 | 3% | 93% | |
| 184 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 185 | 2% | 89% | |
| 186 | 3% | 87% | |
| 187 | 4% | 84% | |
| 188 | 8% | 81% | |
| 189 | 9% | 73% | |
| 190 | 16% | 63% | Median |
| 191 | 19% | 47% | |
| 192 | 14% | 28% | |
| 193 | 5% | 13% | |
| 194 | 6% | 9% | |
| 195 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 169 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 170 | 3% | 98% | |
| 171 | 4% | 96% | |
| 172 | 7% | 92% | |
| 173 | 13% | 85% | |
| 174 | 16% | 71% | Median |
| 175 | 12% | 55% | Majority |
| 176 | 13% | 43% | |
| 177 | 10% | 30% | |
| 178 | 5% | 19% | |
| 179 | 2% | 14% | |
| 180 | 2% | 12% | |
| 181 | 3% | 9% | |
| 182 | 2% | 6% | |
| 183 | 2% | 4% | |
| 184 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 185 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 165 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 166 | 2% | 98% | |
| 167 | 2% | 96% | |
| 168 | 3% | 94% | |
| 169 | 2% | 91% | |
| 170 | 2% | 88% | |
| 171 | 5% | 86% | |
| 172 | 10% | 81% | |
| 173 | 13% | 70% | Median |
| 174 | 12% | 57% | |
| 175 | 16% | 45% | Majority |
| 176 | 13% | 29% | |
| 177 | 7% | 15% | |
| 178 | 4% | 8% | |
| 179 | 3% | 4% | |
| 180 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 181 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 148 | 2% | 98% | |
| 149 | 3% | 96% | |
| 150 | 3% | 93% | |
| 151 | 2% | 90% | |
| 152 | 4% | 88% | |
| 153 | 10% | 83% | |
| 154 | 10% | 73% | |
| 155 | 13% | 63% | Median |
| 156 | 18% | 51% | |
| 157 | 13% | 33% | |
| 158 | 9% | 20% | |
| 159 | 6% | 11% | |
| 160 | 3% | 5% | |
| 161 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 139 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 140 | 4% | 96% | |
| 141 | 7% | 92% | |
| 142 | 15% | 86% | |
| 143 | 17% | 71% | Median |
| 144 | 17% | 54% | Last Result |
| 145 | 9% | 37% | |
| 146 | 9% | 28% | |
| 147 | 4% | 19% | |
| 148 | 2% | 15% | |
| 149 | 2% | 13% | |
| 150 | 2% | 11% | |
| 151 | 1.5% | 9% | |
| 152 | 2% | 8% | |
| 153 | 2% | 6% | |
| 154 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 155 | 2% | 3% | |
| 156 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 134 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 135 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 136 | 2% | 97% | |
| 137 | 3% | 95% | |
| 138 | 2% | 92% | |
| 139 | 3% | 90% | |
| 140 | 6% | 87% | |
| 141 | 7% | 80% | |
| 142 | 15% | 73% | |
| 143 | 17% | 58% | Median |
| 144 | 17% | 42% | |
| 145 | 9% | 25% | |
| 146 | 9% | 15% | |
| 147 | 4% | 7% | |
| 148 | 2% | 3% | |
| 149 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 132 | 3% | 97% | |
| 133 | 5% | 94% | |
| 134 | 4% | 89% | |
| 135 | 11% | 85% | |
| 136 | 14% | 75% | Median |
| 137 | 19% | 61% | |
| 138 | 15% | 42% | |
| 139 | 9% | 28% | |
| 140 | 5% | 19% | |
| 141 | 1.5% | 14% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 143 | 2% | 12% | |
| 144 | 2% | 11% | |
| 145 | 5% | 9% | |
| 146 | 2% | 4% | |
| 147 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 127 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 128 | 2% | 96% | |
| 129 | 3% | 95% | |
| 130 | 3% | 92% | |
| 131 | 7% | 88% | |
| 132 | 7% | 82% | |
| 133 | 9% | 75% | |
| 134 | 15% | 66% | Median |
| 135 | 14% | 51% | |
| 136 | 18% | 37% | |
| 137 | 10% | 19% | |
| 138 | 5% | 8% | |
| 139 | 2% | 4% | |
| 140 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 127 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 128 | 2% | 96% | |
| 129 | 3% | 95% | |
| 130 | 3% | 92% | |
| 131 | 7% | 88% | |
| 132 | 7% | 82% | |
| 133 | 9% | 75% | |
| 134 | 15% | 66% | Median |
| 135 | 14% | 51% | |
| 136 | 18% | 37% | |
| 137 | 10% | 19% | |
| 138 | 5% | 8% | |
| 139 | 2% | 4% | |
| 140 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 109 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 110 | 2% | 97% | |
| 111 | 4% | 94% | |
| 112 | 4% | 91% | |
| 113 | 7% | 87% | |
| 114 | 9% | 79% | |
| 115 | 13% | 70% | |
| 116 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 117 | 14% | 40% | |
| 118 | 16% | 26% | |
| 119 | 5% | 9% | |
| 120 | 2% | 4% | |
| 121 | 1.3% | 2% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 109 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 110 | 2% | 97% | |
| 111 | 4% | 94% | |
| 112 | 4% | 91% | |
| 113 | 7% | 87% | |
| 114 | 9% | 79% | |
| 115 | 13% | 70% | |
| 116 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 117 | 14% | 40% | |
| 118 | 16% | 26% | |
| 119 | 5% | 9% | |
| 120 | 2% | 4% | |
| 121 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 101 | 2% | 98% | |
| 102 | 3% | 96% | |
| 103 | 4% | 92% | |
| 104 | 9% | 88% | |
| 105 | 28% | 79% | Median |
| 106 | 14% | 51% | |
| 107 | 11% | 37% | |
| 108 | 8% | 25% | |
| 109 | 3% | 18% | |
| 110 | 2% | 15% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 12% | |
| 114 | 3% | 12% | |
| 115 | 2% | 9% | |
| 116 | 2% | 7% | Last Result |
| 117 | 3% | 5% | |
| 118 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 11–21 January 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 6947
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.37%