Opinion Poll by Sifo, 1–11 February 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 27.6% | 26.9–28.3% | 26.7–28.5% | 26.5–28.7% | 26.2–29.0% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 23.5% | 22.8–24.2% | 22.6–24.4% | 22.5–24.5% | 22.2–24.9% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 18.8% | 18.2–19.4% | 18.0–19.6% | 17.9–19.8% | 17.6–20.1% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.5–10.5% | 9.4–10.6% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–11.0% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7–8.6% | 7.6–8.7% | 7.5–8.8% | 7.3–9.0% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.0–4.6% | 3.9–4.7% | 3.8–4.8% | 3.7–5.0% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3–3.9% | 3.2–4.0% | 3.2–4.1% | 3.0–4.2% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.6–3.1% | 2.5–3.2% | 2.4–3.2% | 2.3–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 105 | 102–108 | 100–111 | 100–112 | 98–113 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 89 | 86–92 | 85–93 | 85–94 | 82–96 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 72 | 68–75 | 68–75 | 67–76 | 66–77 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 38 | 36–40 | 36–40 | 35–41 | 34–43 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 31 | 29–33 | 28–33 | 28–33 | 27–34 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 16 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–18 | 0–19 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–15 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 99 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 100 | 3% | 98% | Last Result |
| 101 | 5% | 95% | |
| 102 | 11% | 90% | |
| 103 | 12% | 79% | |
| 104 | 16% | 67% | |
| 105 | 18% | 51% | Median |
| 106 | 10% | 33% | |
| 107 | 8% | 23% | |
| 108 | 5% | 14% | |
| 109 | 2% | 10% | |
| 110 | 2% | 8% | |
| 111 | 3% | 5% | |
| 112 | 2% | 3% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 85 | 4% | 98% | |
| 86 | 9% | 93% | |
| 87 | 17% | 84% | |
| 88 | 15% | 67% | |
| 89 | 16% | 52% | Median |
| 90 | 12% | 36% | |
| 91 | 7% | 24% | |
| 92 | 8% | 17% | |
| 93 | 5% | 9% | |
| 94 | 2% | 4% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 68 | 8% | 96% | |
| 69 | 7% | 88% | |
| 70 | 7% | 82% | |
| 71 | 16% | 75% | |
| 72 | 25% | 58% | Median |
| 73 | 14% | 34% | |
| 74 | 9% | 19% | |
| 75 | 7% | 10% | |
| 76 | 3% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 36 | 11% | 96% | |
| 37 | 24% | 85% | |
| 38 | 29% | 60% | Median |
| 39 | 19% | 32% | |
| 40 | 8% | 13% | |
| 41 | 3% | 5% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 29 | 16% | 95% | |
| 30 | 25% | 79% | |
| 31 | 28% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 32 | 15% | 26% | |
| 33 | 9% | 11% | |
| 34 | 2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 89% | |
| 2 | 0% | 89% | |
| 3 | 0% | 89% | |
| 4 | 0% | 89% | |
| 5 | 0% | 89% | |
| 6 | 0% | 89% | |
| 7 | 0% | 89% | |
| 8 | 0% | 89% | |
| 9 | 0% | 89% | |
| 10 | 0% | 89% | |
| 11 | 0% | 89% | |
| 12 | 0% | 89% | |
| 13 | 0% | 89% | |
| 14 | 0% | 89% | |
| 15 | 11% | 89% | |
| 16 | 45% | 78% | Median |
| 17 | 24% | 33% | |
| 18 | 7% | 8% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 5% | |
| 9 | 0% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0% | 5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 5% | |
| 14 | 0% | 5% | |
| 15 | 4% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 224 | 100% | 220–232 | 219–235 | 214–236 | 212–239 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 193 | 100% | 190–200 | 188–202 | 185–204 | 182–206 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 173 | 33% | 170–180 | 169–182 | 168–183 | 167–187 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 176 | 67% | 169–179 | 167–180 | 166–181 | 162–182 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 160 | 0% | 157–165 | 155–168 | 154–169 | 150–171 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 142 | 0% | 139–149 | 138–150 | 138–152 | 137–157 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 142 | 0% | 139–147 | 138–150 | 136–150 | 134–153 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 135 | 0% | 132–142 | 132–144 | 131–145 | 129–149 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 135 | 0% | 127–139 | 124–140 | 124–140 | 120–141 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 135 | 0% | 127–139 | 124–140 | 124–140 | 120–141 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 119 | 0% | 116–124 | 115–125 | 114–126 | 112–130 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 119 | 0% | 116–124 | 115–125 | 114–126 | 112–130 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 105 | 0% | 102–110 | 101–112 | 101–115 | 99–119 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 212 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 213 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 214 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 215 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 216 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 217 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 218 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 219 | 2% | 96% | |
| 220 | 5% | 94% | |
| 221 | 11% | 89% | |
| 222 | 15% | 79% | |
| 223 | 14% | 64% | |
| 224 | 17% | 50% | |
| 225 | 7% | 33% | Median |
| 226 | 6% | 26% | |
| 227 | 4% | 20% | |
| 228 | 3% | 15% | |
| 229 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 230 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 231 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 232 | 0.9% | 11% | |
| 233 | 1.4% | 10% | |
| 234 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 235 | 4% | 7% | |
| 236 | 2% | 4% | |
| 237 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 238 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 239 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 240 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 241 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 182 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 183 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 184 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 185 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 186 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 187 | 2% | 97% | |
| 188 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 189 | 3% | 94% | |
| 190 | 10% | 91% | |
| 191 | 7% | 80% | |
| 192 | 17% | 73% | |
| 193 | 9% | 56% | |
| 194 | 18% | 47% | Median |
| 195 | 7% | 29% | |
| 196 | 5% | 22% | |
| 197 | 4% | 17% | |
| 198 | 1.1% | 13% | |
| 199 | 1.2% | 12% | |
| 200 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 201 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 202 | 4% | 9% | |
| 203 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 204 | 2% | 4% | |
| 205 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 206 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 207 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 168 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 169 | 4% | 97% | |
| 170 | 6% | 93% | |
| 171 | 14% | 88% | |
| 172 | 16% | 74% | |
| 173 | 11% | 57% | |
| 174 | 13% | 46% | Median |
| 175 | 8% | 33% | Majority |
| 176 | 6% | 25% | |
| 177 | 4% | 19% | |
| 178 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 179 | 2% | 14% | |
| 180 | 2% | 12% | |
| 181 | 3% | 10% | |
| 182 | 2% | 7% | |
| 183 | 3% | 5% | |
| 184 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 185 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 164 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 165 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 166 | 3% | 98% | |
| 167 | 2% | 95% | |
| 168 | 3% | 93% | |
| 169 | 2% | 90% | |
| 170 | 2% | 88% | |
| 171 | 0.6% | 86% | |
| 172 | 4% | 85% | |
| 173 | 6% | 81% | |
| 174 | 8% | 75% | |
| 175 | 13% | 67% | Majority |
| 176 | 11% | 54% | |
| 177 | 16% | 43% | Median |
| 178 | 14% | 26% | |
| 179 | 6% | 12% | |
| 180 | 4% | 7% | |
| 181 | 2% | 3% | |
| 182 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 152 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 153 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 154 | 2% | 98% | |
| 155 | 2% | 96% | |
| 156 | 4% | 94% | |
| 157 | 5% | 90% | |
| 158 | 13% | 86% | |
| 159 | 14% | 72% | |
| 160 | 10% | 58% | |
| 161 | 15% | 48% | Median |
| 162 | 11% | 33% | |
| 163 | 6% | 21% | |
| 164 | 3% | 15% | |
| 165 | 2% | 12% | |
| 166 | 3% | 10% | |
| 167 | 2% | 7% | |
| 168 | 3% | 6% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 170 | 2% | 2% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 172 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 138 | 3% | 98% | |
| 139 | 5% | 95% | |
| 140 | 8% | 90% | |
| 141 | 14% | 82% | |
| 142 | 19% | 68% | |
| 143 | 11% | 49% | Median |
| 144 | 9% | 38% | Last Result |
| 145 | 9% | 29% | |
| 146 | 4% | 20% | |
| 147 | 2% | 16% | |
| 148 | 3% | 14% | |
| 149 | 1.4% | 11% | |
| 150 | 5% | 10% | |
| 151 | 2% | 5% | |
| 152 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 153 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 134 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 136 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 137 | 2% | 97% | |
| 138 | 4% | 95% | |
| 139 | 5% | 92% | |
| 140 | 9% | 86% | |
| 141 | 14% | 78% | |
| 142 | 19% | 64% | |
| 143 | 11% | 45% | Median |
| 144 | 9% | 34% | |
| 145 | 9% | 24% | |
| 146 | 4% | 15% | |
| 147 | 2% | 12% | |
| 148 | 3% | 10% | |
| 149 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 150 | 4% | 6% | |
| 151 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 153 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 130 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 131 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 132 | 7% | 96% | |
| 133 | 12% | 89% | |
| 134 | 14% | 78% | |
| 135 | 21% | 64% | |
| 136 | 8% | 43% | Median |
| 137 | 11% | 35% | |
| 138 | 6% | 24% | |
| 139 | 3% | 18% | |
| 140 | 2% | 15% | |
| 141 | 2% | 13% | |
| 142 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 143 | 3% | 10% | |
| 144 | 4% | 7% | |
| 145 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 146 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 123 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 124 | 5% | 98% | |
| 125 | 2% | 94% | |
| 126 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 127 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 128 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 129 | 1.3% | 88% | |
| 130 | 1.3% | 87% | |
| 131 | 1.2% | 86% | |
| 132 | 2% | 84% | |
| 133 | 13% | 82% | |
| 134 | 17% | 69% | |
| 135 | 20% | 52% | |
| 136 | 10% | 32% | Median |
| 137 | 4% | 21% | |
| 138 | 4% | 17% | |
| 139 | 5% | 13% | |
| 140 | 5% | 8% | |
| 141 | 2% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 123 | 0.9% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 124 | 5% | 98% | |
| 125 | 2% | 94% | |
| 126 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 127 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 128 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 129 | 1.3% | 88% | |
| 130 | 1.3% | 87% | |
| 131 | 1.2% | 86% | |
| 132 | 2% | 84% | |
| 133 | 13% | 82% | |
| 134 | 17% | 69% | |
| 135 | 20% | 52% | |
| 136 | 10% | 32% | Median |
| 137 | 4% | 21% | |
| 138 | 4% | 17% | |
| 139 | 5% | 13% | |
| 140 | 5% | 8% | |
| 141 | 2% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 114 | 2% | 98% | |
| 115 | 2% | 97% | |
| 116 | 6% | 94% | |
| 117 | 15% | 89% | |
| 118 | 15% | 74% | |
| 119 | 20% | 59% | |
| 120 | 9% | 39% | Median |
| 121 | 5% | 30% | Last Result |
| 122 | 5% | 25% | |
| 123 | 5% | 20% | |
| 124 | 9% | 14% | |
| 125 | 3% | 6% | |
| 126 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 127 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 114 | 2% | 98% | |
| 115 | 2% | 97% | |
| 116 | 6% | 94% | |
| 117 | 15% | 89% | |
| 118 | 15% | 74% | |
| 119 | 20% | 59% | |
| 120 | 9% | 39% | Median |
| 121 | 5% | 30% | |
| 122 | 5% | 25% | |
| 123 | 5% | 20% | |
| 124 | 9% | 14% | |
| 125 | 3% | 6% | |
| 126 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 127 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 100 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 101 | 4% | 98% | |
| 102 | 11% | 93% | |
| 103 | 12% | 82% | |
| 104 | 16% | 71% | |
| 105 | 18% | 55% | Median |
| 106 | 10% | 37% | |
| 107 | 8% | 27% | |
| 108 | 5% | 19% | |
| 109 | 2% | 14% | |
| 110 | 2% | 12% | |
| 111 | 3% | 10% | |
| 112 | 2% | 7% | |
| 113 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 114 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 115 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 1–11 February 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 6704
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.34%