Opinion Poll by Demoskop, 26 February–3 March 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 24.5% | 23.4–25.7% | 23.1–26.0% | 22.8–26.3% | 22.3–26.9% |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 24.2% | 23.1–25.4% | 22.8–25.8% | 22.5–26.0% | 22.0–26.6% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 18.2% | 17.2–19.3% | 16.9–19.6% | 16.7–19.9% | 16.2–20.4% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.1–10.7% | 8.9–11.0% | 8.7–11.2% | 8.4–11.6% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6–10.1% | 8.4–10.3% | 8.2–10.5% | 7.8–11.0% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2–6.5% | 5.0–6.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.6–7.2% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7–3.6% | 2.6–3.8% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.2% | 2.2–3.4% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 93 | 88–97 | 87–98 | 86–100 | 84–101 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 92 | 87–96 | 86–97 | 85–98 | 83–101 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 69 | 66–73 | 64–74 | 63–75 | 62–77 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 37 | 35–41 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 32–44 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 35 | 32–38 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 30–42 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 22 | 20–24 | 19–25 | 19–26 | 18–27 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 86 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 87 | 3% | 97% | |
| 88 | 5% | 95% | |
| 89 | 6% | 90% | |
| 90 | 7% | 84% | |
| 91 | 11% | 78% | |
| 92 | 9% | 66% | |
| 93 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 94 | 13% | 45% | |
| 95 | 10% | 32% | |
| 96 | 7% | 22% | |
| 97 | 6% | 15% | |
| 98 | 4% | 9% | |
| 99 | 2% | 5% | |
| 100 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 85 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 86 | 3% | 97% | |
| 87 | 6% | 94% | |
| 88 | 7% | 88% | |
| 89 | 8% | 81% | |
| 90 | 10% | 73% | |
| 91 | 9% | 63% | |
| 92 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 93 | 11% | 40% | |
| 94 | 10% | 29% | |
| 95 | 6% | 20% | |
| 96 | 6% | 13% | |
| 97 | 3% | 7% | |
| 98 | 2% | 4% | |
| 99 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 63 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 5% | 95% | |
| 66 | 5% | 90% | |
| 67 | 12% | 85% | |
| 68 | 10% | 73% | |
| 69 | 16% | 63% | Median |
| 70 | 13% | 47% | |
| 71 | 10% | 34% | |
| 72 | 11% | 24% | |
| 73 | 5% | 13% | |
| 74 | 4% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 34 | 7% | 97% | |
| 35 | 12% | 90% | |
| 36 | 14% | 78% | |
| 37 | 16% | 64% | Median |
| 38 | 13% | 49% | |
| 39 | 15% | 36% | |
| 40 | 11% | 21% | |
| 41 | 6% | 10% | |
| 42 | 2% | 4% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 32 | 6% | 96% | |
| 33 | 13% | 90% | |
| 34 | 15% | 77% | |
| 35 | 16% | 62% | Median |
| 36 | 16% | 46% | |
| 37 | 12% | 30% | |
| 38 | 9% | 18% | |
| 39 | 6% | 9% | |
| 40 | 2% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 4% | 98% | |
| 20 | 13% | 93% | |
| 21 | 22% | 80% | |
| 22 | 22% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 23 | 17% | 36% | |
| 24 | 9% | 18% | |
| 25 | 6% | 9% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.6% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet | 201 | 222 | 100% | 217–227 | 216–228 | 214–229 | 210–232 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 170 | 185 | 99.3% | 180–189 | 178–191 | 177–192 | 174–194 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 184 | 99.1% | 179–190 | 178–190 | 176–191 | 173–194 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 165 | 0.9% | 159–170 | 159–171 | 158–173 | 155–176 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 163 | 0% | 157–167 | 156–168 | 154–170 | 151–172 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 153 | 0% | 148–157 | 146–158 | 145–160 | 142–162 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 153 | 0% | 148–157 | 146–158 | 145–160 | 142–162 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 130 | 0% | 126–135 | 124–137 | 123–138 | 121–140 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 130 | 0% | 126–135 | 124–137 | 123–138 | 121–140 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 129 | 0% | 125–134 | 124–136 | 123–137 | 120–141 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 127 | 0% | 122–132 | 121–133 | 120–135 | 118–139 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 127 | 0% | 122–132 | 121–133 | 120–134 | 117–137 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 92 | 0% | 87–96 | 86–98 | 86–99 | 84–104 |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 210 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 211 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 212 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 213 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 214 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 215 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 216 | 4% | 96% | |
| 217 | 3% | 92% | |
| 218 | 6% | 90% | |
| 219 | 8% | 83% | |
| 220 | 5% | 75% | |
| 221 | 9% | 70% | |
| 222 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 223 | 11% | 45% | |
| 224 | 6% | 34% | |
| 225 | 8% | 28% | |
| 226 | 10% | 20% | |
| 227 | 4% | 11% | |
| 228 | 3% | 7% | |
| 229 | 2% | 4% | |
| 230 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 231 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 232 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 233 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 175 | 0.8% | 99.3% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.6% | 98.5% | |
| 177 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 178 | 2% | 96% | |
| 179 | 4% | 95% | |
| 180 | 4% | 91% | |
| 181 | 7% | 87% | |
| 182 | 11% | 80% | |
| 183 | 8% | 69% | |
| 184 | 8% | 61% | |
| 185 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 186 | 13% | 43% | |
| 187 | 6% | 31% | |
| 188 | 8% | 25% | |
| 189 | 6% | 16% | |
| 190 | 3% | 10% | |
| 191 | 3% | 7% | |
| 192 | 2% | 3% | |
| 193 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 194 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 174 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 175 | 0.7% | 99.1% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 177 | 2% | 97% | |
| 178 | 4% | 95% | |
| 179 | 3% | 92% | |
| 180 | 5% | 89% | |
| 181 | 7% | 84% | |
| 182 | 8% | 77% | |
| 183 | 9% | 69% | |
| 184 | 10% | 60% | Median |
| 185 | 12% | 49% | |
| 186 | 10% | 37% | |
| 187 | 5% | 27% | |
| 188 | 7% | 21% | |
| 189 | 4% | 15% | |
| 190 | 7% | 11% | |
| 191 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 192 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 193 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 194 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 156 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 157 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 158 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 159 | 7% | 97% | |
| 160 | 4% | 89% | |
| 161 | 7% | 85% | |
| 162 | 5% | 79% | |
| 163 | 10% | 73% | |
| 164 | 12% | 63% | Median |
| 165 | 10% | 51% | |
| 166 | 9% | 40% | |
| 167 | 8% | 31% | |
| 168 | 7% | 23% | |
| 169 | 5% | 16% | |
| 170 | 3% | 11% | |
| 171 | 4% | 8% | |
| 172 | 2% | 5% | |
| 173 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 174 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 175 | 0.3% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 152 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 153 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 154 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 155 | 2% | 97% | |
| 156 | 4% | 96% | |
| 157 | 2% | 92% | |
| 158 | 5% | 89% | |
| 159 | 5% | 84% | |
| 160 | 10% | 79% | |
| 161 | 11% | 69% | |
| 162 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 163 | 11% | 51% | |
| 164 | 13% | 40% | |
| 165 | 6% | 27% | |
| 166 | 7% | 20% | |
| 167 | 5% | 13% | |
| 168 | 4% | 9% | |
| 169 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 170 | 2% | 3% | |
| 171 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 172 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 144 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 145 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 146 | 3% | 96% | |
| 147 | 3% | 94% | |
| 148 | 5% | 90% | |
| 149 | 7% | 85% | |
| 150 | 8% | 78% | |
| 151 | 9% | 70% | |
| 152 | 8% | 61% | Median |
| 153 | 13% | 52% | |
| 154 | 8% | 39% | |
| 155 | 9% | 31% | |
| 156 | 9% | 22% | |
| 157 | 3% | 13% | |
| 158 | 5% | 10% | |
| 159 | 2% | 4% | |
| 160 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 144 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 145 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 146 | 3% | 96% | |
| 147 | 3% | 94% | |
| 148 | 5% | 90% | |
| 149 | 7% | 85% | |
| 150 | 8% | 78% | |
| 151 | 9% | 70% | |
| 152 | 8% | 61% | Median |
| 153 | 13% | 52% | |
| 154 | 8% | 39% | |
| 155 | 9% | 31% | |
| 156 | 9% | 22% | |
| 157 | 3% | 13% | |
| 158 | 5% | 10% | |
| 159 | 2% | 4% | |
| 160 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 121 | 0.5% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 122 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 123 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 124 | 3% | 97% | |
| 125 | 3% | 94% | |
| 126 | 4% | 90% | |
| 127 | 7% | 86% | |
| 128 | 9% | 79% | |
| 129 | 8% | 71% | |
| 130 | 13% | 63% | Median |
| 131 | 9% | 50% | |
| 132 | 12% | 41% | |
| 133 | 9% | 29% | |
| 134 | 5% | 20% | |
| 135 | 6% | 14% | |
| 136 | 3% | 8% | |
| 137 | 2% | 5% | |
| 138 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 121 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 122 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 123 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 124 | 3% | 97% | |
| 125 | 3% | 94% | |
| 126 | 4% | 90% | |
| 127 | 7% | 86% | |
| 128 | 9% | 79% | |
| 129 | 8% | 71% | |
| 130 | 13% | 63% | Median |
| 131 | 9% | 50% | |
| 132 | 12% | 41% | |
| 133 | 9% | 29% | |
| 134 | 5% | 20% | |
| 135 | 6% | 14% | |
| 136 | 3% | 8% | |
| 137 | 2% | 5% | |
| 138 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 121 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 122 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 123 | 2% | 98% | |
| 124 | 5% | 96% | |
| 125 | 8% | 91% | |
| 126 | 8% | 83% | |
| 127 | 8% | 75% | |
| 128 | 10% | 67% | |
| 129 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 130 | 9% | 49% | |
| 131 | 11% | 40% | |
| 132 | 7% | 28% | |
| 133 | 7% | 21% | |
| 134 | 5% | 14% | |
| 135 | 3% | 9% | |
| 136 | 2% | 6% | |
| 137 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 138 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 119 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 120 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 121 | 4% | 97% | |
| 122 | 3% | 93% | |
| 123 | 6% | 89% | |
| 124 | 9% | 83% | |
| 125 | 6% | 74% | |
| 126 | 12% | 68% | |
| 127 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 128 | 11% | 47% | |
| 129 | 9% | 36% | |
| 130 | 8% | 27% | |
| 131 | 6% | 19% | |
| 132 | 5% | 13% | |
| 133 | 3% | 8% | |
| 134 | 2% | 5% | |
| 135 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 136 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 137 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 119 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 120 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 121 | 4% | 97% | |
| 122 | 4% | 92% | |
| 123 | 6% | 89% | |
| 124 | 9% | 82% | |
| 125 | 6% | 73% | |
| 126 | 12% | 67% | |
| 127 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 128 | 11% | 46% | Last Result |
| 129 | 9% | 35% | |
| 130 | 8% | 25% | |
| 131 | 6% | 17% | |
| 132 | 5% | 11% | |
| 133 | 3% | 6% | |
| 134 | 2% | 4% | |
| 135 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 86 | 3% | 98% | |
| 87 | 5% | 94% | |
| 88 | 7% | 89% | |
| 89 | 7% | 82% | |
| 90 | 10% | 74% | |
| 91 | 9% | 64% | |
| 92 | 14% | 56% | Median |
| 93 | 11% | 41% | |
| 94 | 10% | 31% | |
| 95 | 6% | 21% | |
| 96 | 6% | 15% | |
| 97 | 4% | 9% | |
| 98 | 2% | 5% | |
| 99 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Demoskop
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 26 February–3 March 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 2314
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.88%