Opinion Poll by Demoskop, 30 March–7 April 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 25.4% | 24.3–26.5% | 24.0–26.8% | 23.8–27.1% | 23.3–27.6% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 22.8% | 21.8–23.9% | 21.5–24.2% | 21.2–24.4% | 20.7–25.0% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.2% | 18.2–20.2% | 18.0–20.5% | 17.7–20.8% | 17.3–21.2% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.1–10.6% | 8.9–10.8% | 8.7–11.0% | 8.4–11.4% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8–9.1% | 7.6–9.4% | 7.4–9.5% | 7.1–9.9% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7–5.8% | 4.5–6.0% | 4.4–6.1% | 4.2–6.4% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3–4.2% | 3.1–4.4% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.5–4.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 97 | 92–101 | 90–102 | 89–103 | 87–105 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 86 | 82–91 | 81–92 | 80–93 | 77–95 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 73 | 69–77 | 68–78 | 67–79 | 65–81 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 37 | 34–40 | 33–41 | 33–42 | 32–43 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 32 | 29–35 | 29–36 | 28–36 | 27–37 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 20 | 18–22 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 16–24 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–16 | 0–16 | 0–17 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–16 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 89 | 2% | 98% | |
| 90 | 3% | 96% | |
| 91 | 3% | 93% | |
| 92 | 4% | 91% | |
| 93 | 7% | 86% | |
| 94 | 8% | 80% | |
| 95 | 7% | 72% | |
| 96 | 14% | 65% | |
| 97 | 10% | 51% | Median |
| 98 | 7% | 40% | |
| 99 | 15% | 33% | |
| 100 | 8% | 18% | Last Result |
| 101 | 3% | 11% | |
| 102 | 3% | 7% | |
| 103 | 2% | 4% | |
| 104 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 81 | 5% | 96% | |
| 82 | 4% | 92% | |
| 83 | 7% | 88% | |
| 84 | 11% | 81% | |
| 85 | 9% | 70% | |
| 86 | 10% | 60% | Median |
| 87 | 16% | 50% | |
| 88 | 6% | 34% | |
| 89 | 9% | 28% | |
| 90 | 6% | 19% | |
| 91 | 6% | 13% | |
| 92 | 4% | 8% | |
| 93 | 2% | 4% | |
| 94 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 4% | 96% | |
| 69 | 5% | 92% | |
| 70 | 10% | 88% | |
| 71 | 11% | 77% | |
| 72 | 9% | 67% | |
| 73 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 74 | 10% | 47% | |
| 75 | 19% | 37% | |
| 76 | 7% | 18% | |
| 77 | 6% | 11% | |
| 78 | 3% | 5% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 34 | 5% | 95% | |
| 35 | 9% | 90% | |
| 36 | 21% | 81% | |
| 37 | 15% | 60% | Median |
| 38 | 17% | 45% | |
| 39 | 11% | 29% | |
| 40 | 10% | 17% | |
| 41 | 4% | 7% | |
| 42 | 2% | 3% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 3% | 98.8% | Last Result |
| 29 | 8% | 95% | |
| 30 | 12% | 88% | |
| 31 | 13% | 75% | |
| 32 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 33 | 16% | 45% | |
| 34 | 16% | 29% | |
| 35 | 6% | 12% | |
| 36 | 5% | 6% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 5% | 98% | |
| 18 | 13% | 93% | |
| 19 | 21% | 80% | |
| 20 | 23% | 59% | Median |
| 21 | 19% | 36% | |
| 22 | 12% | 17% | Last Result |
| 23 | 2% | 5% | |
| 24 | 2% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 78% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 22% | |
| 2 | 0% | 22% | |
| 3 | 0% | 22% | |
| 4 | 0% | 22% | |
| 5 | 0% | 22% | |
| 6 | 0% | 22% | |
| 7 | 0% | 22% | |
| 8 | 0% | 22% | |
| 9 | 0% | 22% | |
| 10 | 0% | 22% | |
| 11 | 0% | 22% | |
| 12 | 0% | 22% | |
| 13 | 0% | 22% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 22% | |
| 15 | 11% | 21% | |
| 16 | 7% | 10% | |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 221 | 100% | 212–227 | 209–228 | 208–229 | 204–231 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 183 | 93% | 176–189 | 174–190 | 172–191 | 169–194 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 180 | 83% | 172–185 | 171–187 | 168–188 | 163–190 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 169 | 17% | 164–177 | 162–178 | 161–181 | 159–186 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 160 | 0% | 153–165 | 151–167 | 150–168 | 146–170 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 146 | 0% | 141–155 | 140–156 | 138–158 | 135–161 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 144 | 0% | 137–149 | 136–150 | 135–152 | 131–154 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 136 | 0% | 132–145 | 130–148 | 129–149 | 127–154 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 126 | 0% | 121–135 | 120–137 | 118–140 | 116–142 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 129 | 0% | 123–134 | 122–136 | 120–138 | 118–142 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 129 | 0% | 123–134 | 121–135 | 120–136 | 117–138 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 123 | 0% | 119–130 | 117–130 | 116–131 | 112–133 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 97 | 0% | 92–102 | 90–103 | 89–106 | 87–111 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 200 | 0% | 100% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 204 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 205 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 207 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 208 | 2% | 98% | |
| 209 | 2% | 97% | |
| 210 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 211 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 212 | 6% | 93% | |
| 213 | 3% | 87% | |
| 214 | 2% | 84% | |
| 215 | 2% | 81% | |
| 216 | 2% | 80% | |
| 217 | 2% | 77% | |
| 218 | 4% | 75% | |
| 219 | 4% | 71% | |
| 220 | 10% | 67% | Median |
| 221 | 12% | 57% | |
| 222 | 13% | 45% | |
| 223 | 5% | 31% | |
| 224 | 5% | 26% | |
| 225 | 6% | 21% | |
| 226 | 5% | 15% | |
| 227 | 2% | 10% | |
| 228 | 3% | 8% | |
| 229 | 3% | 5% | |
| 230 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 231 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 232 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 233 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 236 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 170 | 0.6% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 171 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 172 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 173 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 174 | 3% | 95% | |
| 175 | 2% | 93% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 90% | |
| 177 | 4% | 87% | |
| 178 | 3% | 83% | |
| 179 | 4% | 80% | |
| 180 | 3% | 76% | |
| 181 | 4% | 73% | |
| 182 | 9% | 70% | |
| 183 | 11% | 61% | Median |
| 184 | 7% | 50% | |
| 185 | 11% | 43% | |
| 186 | 11% | 32% | |
| 187 | 6% | 21% | |
| 188 | 5% | 16% | |
| 189 | 4% | 11% | |
| 190 | 3% | 7% | |
| 191 | 2% | 4% | |
| 192 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 193 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 194 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 167 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 168 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 169 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 170 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 171 | 2% | 95% | |
| 172 | 4% | 93% | |
| 173 | 3% | 90% | |
| 174 | 3% | 87% | |
| 175 | 5% | 83% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 78% | |
| 177 | 6% | 75% | |
| 178 | 9% | 69% | |
| 179 | 10% | 60% | Median |
| 180 | 6% | 50% | |
| 181 | 6% | 44% | |
| 182 | 12% | 39% | |
| 183 | 9% | 26% | |
| 184 | 3% | 17% | |
| 185 | 6% | 14% | |
| 186 | 2% | 8% | |
| 187 | 3% | 6% | |
| 188 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 189 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 160 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 161 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 162 | 3% | 97% | |
| 163 | 2% | 94% | |
| 164 | 6% | 92% | |
| 165 | 3% | 86% | |
| 166 | 9% | 83% | Median |
| 167 | 12% | 74% | |
| 168 | 6% | 61% | |
| 169 | 6% | 56% | |
| 170 | 10% | 50% | |
| 171 | 9% | 40% | |
| 172 | 6% | 31% | |
| 173 | 3% | 25% | |
| 174 | 5% | 22% | |
| 175 | 3% | 17% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 13% | |
| 177 | 4% | 10% | |
| 178 | 2% | 7% | |
| 179 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 180 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 181 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 182 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 148 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 149 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 150 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 151 | 2% | 97% | |
| 152 | 2% | 94% | |
| 153 | 4% | 93% | |
| 154 | 4% | 89% | |
| 155 | 4% | 84% | |
| 156 | 6% | 81% | |
| 157 | 6% | 75% | |
| 158 | 6% | 69% | |
| 159 | 10% | 63% | Median |
| 160 | 12% | 53% | |
| 161 | 3% | 41% | |
| 162 | 15% | 38% | |
| 163 | 4% | 23% | |
| 164 | 8% | 19% | |
| 165 | 4% | 11% | |
| 166 | 2% | 7% | |
| 167 | 2% | 5% | |
| 168 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 170 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 171 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 137 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 138 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 139 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 140 | 3% | 96% | |
| 141 | 10% | 93% | |
| 142 | 2% | 83% | |
| 143 | 10% | 80% | Last Result, Median |
| 144 | 8% | 71% | |
| 145 | 6% | 63% | |
| 146 | 8% | 57% | |
| 147 | 9% | 49% | |
| 148 | 6% | 40% | |
| 149 | 5% | 34% | |
| 150 | 6% | 30% | |
| 151 | 2% | 23% | |
| 152 | 5% | 21% | |
| 153 | 3% | 16% | |
| 154 | 3% | 13% | |
| 155 | 3% | 10% | |
| 156 | 3% | 8% | |
| 157 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 158 | 2% | 4% | |
| 159 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 160 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 133 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 134 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 135 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 136 | 3% | 97% | |
| 137 | 5% | 94% | |
| 138 | 3% | 89% | |
| 139 | 3% | 87% | |
| 140 | 7% | 83% | |
| 141 | 11% | 76% | |
| 142 | 3% | 65% | |
| 143 | 11% | 62% | Median |
| 144 | 8% | 51% | |
| 145 | 7% | 43% | |
| 146 | 8% | 36% | |
| 147 | 9% | 28% | |
| 148 | 6% | 20% | |
| 149 | 4% | 14% | |
| 150 | 6% | 10% | |
| 151 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 152 | 2% | 3% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 129 | 2% | 98% | |
| 130 | 3% | 97% | |
| 131 | 3% | 93% | |
| 132 | 5% | 90% | |
| 133 | 7% | 86% | |
| 134 | 10% | 79% | Median |
| 135 | 10% | 69% | |
| 136 | 9% | 59% | |
| 137 | 10% | 49% | |
| 138 | 4% | 39% | |
| 139 | 3% | 35% | |
| 140 | 5% | 32% | |
| 141 | 4% | 27% | |
| 142 | 3% | 22% | |
| 143 | 3% | 19% | |
| 144 | 4% | 16% | |
| 145 | 3% | 13% | |
| 146 | 2% | 10% | |
| 147 | 2% | 8% | |
| 148 | 2% | 5% | |
| 149 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 150 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 117 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 118 | 1.1% | 98.5% | |
| 119 | 2% | 97% | |
| 120 | 2% | 96% | |
| 121 | 7% | 94% | Last Result |
| 122 | 8% | 87% | |
| 123 | 11% | 79% | Median |
| 124 | 8% | 69% | |
| 125 | 8% | 61% | |
| 126 | 8% | 52% | |
| 127 | 4% | 45% | |
| 128 | 6% | 41% | |
| 129 | 4% | 35% | |
| 130 | 7% | 31% | |
| 131 | 3% | 24% | |
| 132 | 2% | 21% | |
| 133 | 2% | 19% | |
| 134 | 5% | 17% | |
| 135 | 4% | 12% | |
| 136 | 2% | 8% | |
| 137 | 2% | 6% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 140 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 141 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 118 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 119 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 120 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 121 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 122 | 3% | 95% | |
| 123 | 4% | 92% | |
| 124 | 5% | 88% | |
| 125 | 5% | 83% | |
| 126 | 4% | 78% | |
| 127 | 6% | 74% | |
| 128 | 11% | 67% | |
| 129 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 130 | 6% | 48% | |
| 131 | 12% | 41% | |
| 132 | 7% | 29% | |
| 133 | 9% | 22% | |
| 134 | 5% | 13% | |
| 135 | 3% | 8% | |
| 136 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 137 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 138 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 139 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 118 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 119 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 120 | 2% | 98% | |
| 121 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 122 | 4% | 95% | |
| 123 | 4% | 91% | |
| 124 | 5% | 87% | |
| 125 | 5% | 81% | |
| 126 | 5% | 76% | |
| 127 | 6% | 71% | |
| 128 | 11% | 65% | Last Result |
| 129 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 130 | 6% | 45% | |
| 131 | 12% | 38% | |
| 132 | 7% | 26% | |
| 133 | 9% | 19% | |
| 134 | 4% | 10% | |
| 135 | 3% | 6% | |
| 136 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 137 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 113 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 114 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 115 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 116 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 117 | 2% | 96% | |
| 118 | 3% | 94% | |
| 119 | 8% | 91% | |
| 120 | 4% | 83% | |
| 121 | 8% | 79% | |
| 122 | 9% | 71% | |
| 123 | 12% | 62% | Median |
| 124 | 9% | 50% | |
| 125 | 9% | 41% | |
| 126 | 8% | 32% | |
| 127 | 4% | 24% | |
| 128 | 6% | 20% | |
| 129 | 4% | 14% | |
| 130 | 7% | 11% | |
| 131 | 2% | 4% | |
| 132 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 133 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 89 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 90 | 3% | 97% | |
| 91 | 2% | 94% | |
| 92 | 4% | 92% | |
| 93 | 7% | 88% | |
| 94 | 7% | 81% | |
| 95 | 7% | 74% | |
| 96 | 14% | 67% | |
| 97 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 98 | 7% | 43% | |
| 99 | 15% | 36% | |
| 100 | 8% | 21% | |
| 101 | 3% | 13% | |
| 102 | 3% | 10% | |
| 103 | 2% | 7% | |
| 104 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Demoskop
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 30 March–7 April 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 2651
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.75%