Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 13–25 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 26.0% 24.8–27.3% 24.4–27.6% 24.1–27.9% 23.5–28.5%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 22.0% 20.9–23.2% 20.5–23.5% 20.3–23.9% 19.7–24.4%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 19.0% 17.9–20.1% 17.6–20.5% 17.3–20.7% 16.8–21.3%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 9.0–11.2% 8.8–11.4% 8.4–11.9%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.3% 7.5–10.7%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.4%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–4.9% 3.0–5.2%
Liberalerna 5.5% 3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.9% 2.2–4.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 98 92–104 91–105 89–106 87–108
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 83 78–88 76–89 75–90 73–92
Sverigedemokraterna 62 71 67–76 65–78 64–79 62–81
Vänsterpartiet 28 38 35–41 34–42 33–43 31–45
Centerpartiet 31 33 31–37 30–37 29–38 27–40
Kristdemokraterna 22 19 17–21 16–22 15–23 0–24
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 0 0–16 0–17 0–18 0–19
Liberalerna 20 0 0 0 0 0–15

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.2% 99.9%  
87 0.3% 99.7%  
88 0.6% 99.3%  
89 1.3% 98.7%  
90 2% 97%  
91 2% 96%  
92 4% 93%  
93 6% 90%  
94 6% 84%  
95 6% 78%  
96 7% 72%  
97 6% 65%  
98 10% 58% Median
99 8% 48%  
100 9% 40% Last Result
101 9% 31%  
102 6% 21%  
103 4% 15%  
104 4% 11%  
105 2% 7%  
106 3% 5%  
107 0.9% 2%  
108 0.5% 1.0%  
109 0.3% 0.5%  
110 0.1% 0.2%  
111 0.1% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100% Last Result
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.6% 99.6%  
74 0.7% 99.0%  
75 1.1% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 2% 95%  
78 4% 93%  
79 6% 89%  
80 6% 83%  
81 7% 77%  
82 13% 70%  
83 13% 58% Median
84 8% 45%  
85 9% 38%  
86 14% 29%  
87 5% 15%  
88 5% 11%  
89 2% 5%  
90 2% 3%  
91 0.7% 2%  
92 0.5% 0.9%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.5% 99.8% Last Result
63 0.8% 99.3%  
64 1.3% 98%  
65 3% 97%  
66 3% 94%  
67 6% 91%  
68 6% 86%  
69 11% 79%  
70 8% 69%  
71 13% 61% Median
72 9% 48%  
73 8% 39%  
74 9% 31%  
75 8% 21%  
76 5% 13%  
77 3% 8%  
78 2% 5%  
79 2% 4%  
80 0.6% 1.1%  
81 0.3% 0.6%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100% Last Result
29 0% 100%  
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.5% 99.8%  
32 1.0% 99.4%  
33 3% 98%  
34 5% 95%  
35 8% 90%  
36 13% 82%  
37 14% 69%  
38 14% 55% Median
39 19% 41%  
40 7% 22%  
41 6% 15%  
42 5% 9%  
43 2% 4%  
44 2% 2%  
45 0.5% 0.7%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.6% 99.9%  
28 0.7% 99.3%  
29 1.4% 98.7%  
30 6% 97%  
31 13% 91% Last Result
32 12% 79%  
33 22% 67% Median
34 10% 45%  
35 9% 35%  
36 12% 26%  
37 9% 14%  
38 3% 5%  
39 0.7% 1.3%  
40 0.3% 0.6%  
41 0.2% 0.3%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100%  
1 0% 98.6%  
2 0% 98.6%  
3 0% 98.6%  
4 0% 98.6%  
5 0% 98.6%  
6 0% 98.6%  
7 0% 98.6%  
8 0% 98.6%  
9 0% 98.6%  
10 0% 98.6%  
11 0% 98.6%  
12 0% 98.6%  
13 0% 98.6%  
14 0% 98.6%  
15 1.5% 98.6%  
16 6% 97%  
17 15% 91%  
18 21% 76%  
19 18% 55% Median
20 14% 37%  
21 14% 23%  
22 6% 9% Last Result
23 2% 3%  
24 0.7% 0.9%  
25 0.2% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 62% 100% Median
1 0% 38%  
2 0% 38%  
3 0% 38%  
4 0% 38%  
5 0% 38%  
6 0% 38%  
7 0% 38%  
8 0% 38%  
9 0% 38%  
10 0% 38%  
11 0% 38%  
12 0% 38%  
13 0% 38%  
14 0.2% 38%  
15 18% 38%  
16 11% 20% Last Result
17 5% 9%  
18 3% 4%  
19 1.4% 2%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.9% 100% Median
1 0% 1.1%  
2 0% 1.1%  
3 0% 1.1%  
4 0% 1.1%  
5 0% 1.1%  
6 0% 1.1%  
7 0% 1.1%  
8 0% 1.1%  
9 0% 1.1%  
10 0% 1.1%  
11 0% 1.1%  
12 0% 1.1%  
13 0% 1.1%  
14 0.2% 1.1%  
15 0.7% 0.9%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 215 100% 206–222 204–224 203–226 199–230
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 182 87% 173–188 171–189 169–190 166–194
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 195 175 54% 169–184 167–186 167–188 163–191
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna 154 174 46% 165–180 163–182 161–182 158–186
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna 132 155 0% 147–161 145–162 143–164 140–166
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 144 141 0% 134–150 133–153 131–154 129–158
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 167 137 0% 131–146 129–149 128–151 125–154
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 143 135 0% 129–141 127–143 125–146 120–148
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 137 0% 129–142 127–144 126–145 123–148
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 135 0% 129–141 127–143 125–145 120–148
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 117 0% 111–123 109–125 108–126 106–129
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 117 0% 111–123 109–124 108–126 105–128
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 103 0% 96–114 95–115 93–117 91–120

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 99.9%  
197 0.1% 99.9%  
198 0.2% 99.8%  
199 0.3% 99.7%  
200 0.4% 99.4%  
201 0.4% 99.0% Last Result
202 0.9% 98.6%  
203 1.2% 98%  
204 2% 97%  
205 2% 95%  
206 4% 92%  
207 3% 88%  
208 4% 85%  
209 5% 81%  
210 2% 76%  
211 7% 74%  
212 5% 67%  
213 4% 63%  
214 5% 59% Median
215 4% 54%  
216 4% 50%  
217 6% 46%  
218 8% 40%  
219 8% 32%  
220 6% 24%  
221 3% 18%  
222 5% 14%  
223 2% 10%  
224 3% 7%  
225 2% 5%  
226 1.1% 3%  
227 0.1% 1.5%  
228 0.4% 1.4%  
229 0.3% 1.0%  
230 0.2% 0.6%  
231 0.1% 0.4%  
232 0.1% 0.4%  
233 0% 0.3%  
234 0.2% 0.3%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0.1% 0.1%  
238 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
163 0.1% 100%  
164 0.2% 99.9%  
165 0.1% 99.7%  
166 0.3% 99.6%  
167 0.5% 99.3%  
168 0.6% 98.8%  
169 1.4% 98%  
170 1.3% 97% Last Result
171 2% 96%  
172 2% 94%  
173 3% 92%  
174 2% 89%  
175 4% 87% Majority
176 3% 83%  
177 5% 80%  
178 5% 76%  
179 5% 70%  
180 7% 66%  
181 8% 59% Median
182 5% 50%  
183 6% 46%  
184 10% 40%  
185 7% 30%  
186 8% 23%  
187 3% 16%  
188 3% 12%  
189 5% 9%  
190 2% 4%  
191 0.9% 2%  
192 0.6% 2%  
193 0.2% 0.9%  
194 0.3% 0.7%  
195 0.1% 0.4%  
196 0.2% 0.4%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
160 0.1% 100%  
161 0.1% 99.9%  
162 0.2% 99.9%  
163 0.3% 99.7%  
164 0.4% 99.4%  
165 0.7% 99.0%  
166 0.8% 98%  
167 3% 98%  
168 3% 95%  
169 3% 92% Median
170 6% 89%  
171 9% 83%  
172 3% 74%  
173 9% 71%  
174 8% 62%  
175 8% 54% Majority
176 6% 46%  
177 8% 41%  
178 5% 33%  
179 4% 28%  
180 3% 25%  
181 5% 22%  
182 3% 16%  
183 3% 13%  
184 3% 10%  
185 2% 7%  
186 2% 5%  
187 0.7% 3%  
188 1.4% 3%  
189 0.5% 1.4%  
190 0.2% 0.9%  
191 0.2% 0.6%  
192 0.1% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.4%  
194 0.1% 0.3%  
195 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100%  
154 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
155 0.1% 99.8%  
156 0.1% 99.7%  
157 0.1% 99.6%  
158 0.2% 99.5%  
159 0.2% 99.4%  
160 0.5% 99.1%  
161 1.4% 98.6%  
162 0.7% 97%  
163 2% 97%  
164 2% 95%  
165 3% 93%  
166 3% 90%  
167 3% 87%  
168 5% 84%  
169 3% 78%  
170 4% 75%  
171 5% 72%  
172 8% 67%  
173 6% 59% Median
174 8% 54%  
175 8% 46% Majority
176 9% 38%  
177 3% 29%  
178 9% 26%  
179 6% 17%  
180 3% 11%  
181 3% 8%  
182 3% 5%  
183 0.8% 2%  
184 0.7% 2%  
185 0.4% 1.0%  
186 0.3% 0.6%  
187 0.2% 0.3%  
188 0.1% 0.1%  
189 0.1% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0% 100% Last Result
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.4% 99.8%  
141 0.2% 99.4%  
142 0.4% 99.2%  
143 2% 98.8%  
144 1.2% 97%  
145 1.1% 96%  
146 2% 95%  
147 4% 93%  
148 4% 89%  
149 2% 85%  
150 4% 84%  
151 7% 79%  
152 5% 73%  
153 6% 68%  
154 7% 62% Median
155 8% 55%  
156 7% 47%  
157 13% 40%  
158 8% 27%  
159 2% 19%  
160 4% 17%  
161 5% 13%  
162 4% 8%  
163 0.8% 4%  
164 1.0% 3%  
165 1.0% 2%  
166 0.4% 0.9%  
167 0.1% 0.5%  
168 0.1% 0.4%  
169 0.1% 0.2%  
170 0.1% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
125 0% 100%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.2% 99.8%  
129 0.6% 99.6%  
130 0.5% 99.0%  
131 1.2% 98.5%  
132 2% 97%  
133 0.6% 96%  
134 6% 95%  
135 5% 89%  
136 2% 85% Median
137 6% 83%  
138 9% 76%  
139 5% 67%  
140 8% 62%  
141 7% 54%  
142 4% 47%  
143 6% 43%  
144 6% 38% Last Result
145 3% 32%  
146 4% 28%  
147 5% 25%  
148 2% 19%  
149 2% 17%  
150 5% 15%  
151 2% 9%  
152 2% 8%  
153 2% 6%  
154 2% 4%  
155 1.1% 2%  
156 0.4% 1.4%  
157 0.5% 1.0%  
158 0.2% 0.6%  
159 0.1% 0.4%  
160 0.1% 0.3%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0.1% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
123 0.1% 100%  
124 0.2% 99.9%  
125 0.3% 99.7%  
126 0.4% 99.4%  
127 1.2% 99.0%  
128 3% 98%  
129 3% 95%  
130 2% 93%  
131 3% 90% Median
132 5% 88%  
133 10% 83%  
134 7% 72%  
135 5% 65%  
136 5% 60%  
137 6% 55%  
138 5% 48%  
139 8% 44%  
140 5% 36%  
141 3% 31%  
142 4% 28%  
143 4% 24%  
144 4% 20%  
145 4% 17%  
146 3% 12%  
147 2% 9%  
148 2% 7%  
149 1.4% 5%  
150 1.1% 4%  
151 1.1% 3%  
152 0.4% 1.5%  
153 0.5% 1.0%  
154 0.2% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.4%  
156 0.2% 0.3%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100%  
117 0.2% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.7%  
119 0.1% 99.7%  
120 0.2% 99.6%  
121 0.1% 99.5%  
122 0.1% 99.3%  
123 0.3% 99.2%  
124 0.5% 98.9%  
125 1.4% 98%  
126 1.2% 97%  
127 3% 96%  
128 2% 92%  
129 3% 91%  
130 2% 87%  
131 4% 85%  
132 6% 81%  
133 6% 75%  
134 11% 69%  
135 8% 57% Median
136 8% 50%  
137 7% 42%  
138 3% 36%  
139 8% 32%  
140 8% 24%  
141 7% 16%  
142 3% 10%  
143 2% 7% Last Result
144 1.1% 5%  
145 1.1% 4%  
146 0.9% 3%  
147 0.8% 2%  
148 0.3% 0.8%  
149 0.2% 0.5%  
150 0.1% 0.3%  
151 0% 0.2%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.3% 99.8%  
123 0.4% 99.6%  
124 0.5% 99.1%  
125 0.7% 98.6%  
126 2% 98%  
127 2% 96%  
128 2% 94% Last Result
129 6% 92%  
130 1.4% 86%  
131 6% 85%  
132 6% 79%  
133 2% 73%  
134 7% 71%  
135 10% 64%  
136 3% 53% Median
137 7% 50%  
138 11% 43%  
139 5% 32%  
140 8% 27%  
141 6% 19%  
142 3% 13%  
143 4% 10%  
144 3% 6%  
145 1.2% 3%  
146 0.4% 2%  
147 0.6% 1.3%  
148 0.4% 0.8%  
149 0.1% 0.4%  
150 0.1% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0.2% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.7%  
119 0.1% 99.7%  
120 0.2% 99.6%  
121 0.2% 99.4%  
122 0.1% 99.3%  
123 0.3% 99.2% Last Result
124 0.6% 98.9%  
125 1.4% 98%  
126 1.4% 97%  
127 3% 95%  
128 2% 92%  
129 3% 90%  
130 2% 87%  
131 4% 85%  
132 6% 80%  
133 6% 74%  
134 11% 68%  
135 8% 56% Median
136 8% 49%  
137 7% 41%  
138 3% 35%  
139 8% 31%  
140 8% 24%  
141 7% 15%  
142 3% 9%  
143 2% 6%  
144 1.1% 4%  
145 1.1% 3%  
146 0.7% 2%  
147 0.7% 1.2%  
148 0.3% 0.6%  
149 0.2% 0.3%  
150 0.1% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0.1% 100%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.2% 99.7%  
106 0.4% 99.5%  
107 1.0% 99.1%  
108 2% 98%  
109 2% 96%  
110 3% 94%  
111 3% 91%  
112 4% 87%  
113 9% 84%  
114 4% 75%  
115 6% 71%  
116 12% 65% Median
117 8% 53%  
118 8% 45%  
119 12% 36%  
120 7% 25%  
121 3% 17% Last Result
122 3% 14%  
123 3% 11%  
124 3% 8%  
125 2% 5%  
126 1.2% 4%  
127 0.8% 2%  
128 0.8% 2%  
129 0.3% 0.8%  
130 0.1% 0.5%  
131 0.1% 0.4%  
132 0.1% 0.3%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100% Last Result
102 0% 100%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.2% 99.8%  
105 0.2% 99.7%  
106 0.5% 99.5%  
107 1.0% 98.9%  
108 2% 98%  
109 2% 96%  
110 4% 94%  
111 3% 90%  
112 4% 87%  
113 9% 83%  
114 4% 74%  
115 6% 70%  
116 12% 64% Median
117 8% 52%  
118 9% 44%  
119 12% 35%  
120 7% 24%  
121 3% 16%  
122 3% 13%  
123 3% 10%  
124 3% 7%  
125 2% 5%  
126 1.1% 3%  
127 0.5% 2%  
128 0.7% 1.2%  
129 0.2% 0.5%  
130 0.1% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0.1% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.1% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0.4% 99.7%  
92 0.8% 99.3%  
93 1.3% 98%  
94 2% 97%  
95 3% 95%  
96 4% 92%  
97 3% 89%  
98 7% 85% Median
99 4% 78%  
100 8% 74%  
101 8% 65%  
102 6% 57%  
103 4% 51%  
104 5% 48%  
105 3% 43%  
106 5% 40%  
107 3% 35%  
108 4% 32%  
109 4% 28%  
110 3% 24%  
111 3% 21%  
112 4% 18%  
113 4% 14%  
114 4% 11%  
115 2% 7%  
116 1.4% 4% Last Result
117 1.1% 3%  
118 0.8% 2%  
119 0.5% 1.1%  
120 0.3% 0.7%  
121 0.3% 0.4%  
122 0.1% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations