Opinion Poll by Sifo, 3–13 May 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 26.9% | 26.3–27.5% | 26.1–27.7% | 26.0–27.8% | 25.7–28.1% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 21.7% | 21.1–22.3% | 21.0–22.4% | 20.9–22.6% | 20.6–22.8% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 18.8% | 18.3–19.3% | 18.1–19.5% | 18.0–19.6% | 17.7–19.9% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2–10.0% | 9.1–10.1% | 9.0–10.2% | 8.8–10.4% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9–9.7% | 8.8–9.8% | 8.7–9.9% | 8.5–10.1% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9–5.5% | 4.8–5.6% | 4.8–5.7% | 4.6–5.8% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7–4.3% | 3.7–4.4% | 3.6–4.4% | 3.5–4.6% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.7–3.2% | 2.6–3.2% | 2.6–3.3% | 2.5–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 100 | 97–104 | 96–105 | 95–106 | 94–106 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 81 | 78–84 | 77–85 | 76–85 | 75–86 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 70 | 67–73 | 67–73 | 66–74 | 65–75 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 36 | 34–38 | 34–38 | 33–39 | 32–39 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 35 | 33–37 | 33–37 | 32–37 | 31–38 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 19 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 17–22 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 15 | 0–16 | 0–16 | 0–16 | 0–17 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 96 | 6% | 96% | |
| 97 | 7% | 90% | |
| 98 | 13% | 83% | |
| 99 | 12% | 70% | |
| 100 | 10% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 101 | 12% | 49% | |
| 102 | 10% | 36% | |
| 103 | 13% | 26% | |
| 104 | 7% | 13% | |
| 105 | 4% | 7% | |
| 106 | 3% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 77 | 7% | 97% | |
| 78 | 10% | 91% | |
| 79 | 13% | 81% | |
| 80 | 11% | 68% | |
| 81 | 17% | 58% | Median |
| 82 | 14% | 40% | |
| 83 | 10% | 26% | |
| 84 | 8% | 16% | |
| 85 | 6% | 8% | |
| 86 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 67 | 8% | 95% | |
| 68 | 11% | 87% | |
| 69 | 18% | 77% | |
| 70 | 16% | 58% | Median |
| 71 | 14% | 43% | |
| 72 | 14% | 29% | |
| 73 | 10% | 15% | |
| 74 | 3% | 4% | |
| 75 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 17% | 97% | |
| 35 | 22% | 80% | |
| 36 | 24% | 57% | Median |
| 37 | 22% | 33% | |
| 38 | 7% | 11% | |
| 39 | 4% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 32 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 15% | 95% | |
| 34 | 21% | 80% | |
| 35 | 33% | 59% | Median |
| 36 | 14% | 26% | |
| 37 | 11% | 13% | |
| 38 | 2% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 16% | 98% | |
| 19 | 38% | 81% | Median |
| 20 | 28% | 43% | |
| 21 | 13% | 15% | |
| 22 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 49% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 51% | |
| 2 | 0% | 51% | |
| 3 | 0% | 51% | |
| 4 | 0% | 51% | |
| 5 | 0% | 51% | |
| 6 | 0% | 51% | |
| 7 | 0% | 51% | |
| 8 | 0% | 51% | |
| 9 | 0% | 51% | |
| 10 | 0% | 51% | |
| 11 | 0% | 51% | |
| 12 | 0% | 51% | |
| 13 | 0% | 51% | |
| 14 | 0% | 51% | |
| 15 | 40% | 51% | Median |
| 16 | 10% | 11% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 215 | 100% | 210–222 | 209–223 | 208–224 | 207–225 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 181 | 98% | 176–187 | 175–188 | 175–188 | 172–190 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 179 | 81% | 173–184 | 172–185 | 172–185 | 170–187 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 170 | 19% | 165–176 | 164–177 | 164–177 | 162–179 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 151 | 0% | 146–156 | 145–157 | 145–157 | 144–159 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 144 | 0% | 138–150 | 137–151 | 136–151 | 135–153 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 144 | 0% | 136–149 | 136–150 | 135–150 | 134–152 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 136 | 0% | 131–141 | 131–142 | 130–143 | 129–144 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 135 | 0% | 130–139 | 130–140 | 129–141 | 128–142 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 135 | 0% | 130–139 | 130–140 | 129–141 | 128–142 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 116 | 0% | 111–120 | 111–121 | 110–121 | 109–122 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 116 | 0% | 111–120 | 111–121 | 110–121 | 109–122 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 110 | 0% | 101–115 | 101–116 | 100–116 | 98–117 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 207 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 208 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 209 | 6% | 97% | |
| 210 | 7% | 91% | |
| 211 | 14% | 84% | |
| 212 | 9% | 69% | |
| 213 | 5% | 60% | |
| 214 | 3% | 55% | |
| 215 | 3% | 52% | |
| 216 | 0.6% | 49% | Median |
| 217 | 2% | 49% | |
| 218 | 3% | 47% | |
| 219 | 5% | 44% | |
| 220 | 10% | 39% | |
| 221 | 14% | 29% | |
| 222 | 7% | 16% | |
| 223 | 4% | 9% | |
| 224 | 4% | 5% | |
| 225 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 226 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 227 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 228 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 174 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 175 | 7% | 98% | Majority |
| 176 | 9% | 90% | |
| 177 | 10% | 81% | |
| 178 | 9% | 71% | |
| 179 | 7% | 62% | |
| 180 | 4% | 55% | |
| 181 | 4% | 51% | Median |
| 182 | 2% | 48% | |
| 183 | 3% | 45% | |
| 184 | 11% | 42% | |
| 185 | 10% | 31% | |
| 186 | 8% | 21% | |
| 187 | 4% | 13% | |
| 188 | 7% | 9% | |
| 189 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 169 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 171 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 172 | 3% | 98% | |
| 173 | 8% | 94% | |
| 174 | 5% | 86% | |
| 175 | 13% | 81% | Majority |
| 176 | 5% | 68% | |
| 177 | 7% | 62% | |
| 178 | 4% | 55% | |
| 179 | 3% | 51% | |
| 180 | 6% | 48% | |
| 181 | 10% | 43% | |
| 182 | 9% | 33% | |
| 183 | 12% | 24% | |
| 184 | 7% | 13% | |
| 185 | 4% | 6% | |
| 186 | 2% | 2% | Median |
| 187 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 164 | 4% | 98% | |
| 165 | 7% | 94% | |
| 166 | 12% | 87% | |
| 167 | 9% | 76% | |
| 168 | 10% | 67% | |
| 169 | 6% | 57% | |
| 170 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 171 | 4% | 49% | |
| 172 | 7% | 45% | |
| 173 | 5% | 38% | |
| 174 | 13% | 32% | |
| 175 | 5% | 19% | Majority |
| 176 | 8% | 14% | |
| 177 | 3% | 6% | |
| 178 | 2% | 2% | |
| 179 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 145 | 4% | 98% | |
| 146 | 6% | 94% | |
| 147 | 10% | 88% | |
| 148 | 10% | 78% | |
| 149 | 13% | 68% | |
| 150 | 4% | 55% | |
| 151 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 152 | 6% | 46% | |
| 153 | 9% | 40% | |
| 154 | 6% | 31% | |
| 155 | 10% | 25% | |
| 156 | 5% | 14% | |
| 157 | 7% | 9% | |
| 158 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 136 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 137 | 5% | 96% | |
| 138 | 8% | 91% | |
| 139 | 8% | 84% | |
| 140 | 13% | 75% | |
| 141 | 5% | 62% | |
| 142 | 3% | 56% | |
| 143 | 2% | 54% | |
| 144 | 1.5% | 51% | Last Result |
| 145 | 2% | 50% | |
| 146 | 5% | 48% | |
| 147 | 8% | 43% | |
| 148 | 11% | 35% | |
| 149 | 10% | 24% | |
| 150 | 7% | 14% | |
| 151 | 4% | 6% | Median |
| 152 | 2% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 135 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 136 | 8% | 97% | |
| 137 | 7% | 89% | |
| 138 | 9% | 82% | |
| 139 | 9% | 73% | |
| 140 | 9% | 64% | |
| 141 | 1.4% | 55% | |
| 142 | 3% | 54% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 51% | |
| 144 | 2% | 51% | |
| 145 | 7% | 48% | |
| 146 | 6% | 42% | |
| 147 | 13% | 35% | |
| 148 | 10% | 23% | |
| 149 | 7% | 13% | |
| 150 | 5% | 6% | Median |
| 151 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 129 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 130 | 3% | 98% | |
| 131 | 6% | 96% | |
| 132 | 7% | 90% | |
| 133 | 13% | 83% | |
| 134 | 10% | 70% | |
| 135 | 6% | 60% | |
| 136 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 137 | 6% | 47% | |
| 138 | 8% | 40% | |
| 139 | 9% | 33% | |
| 140 | 13% | 24% | |
| 141 | 5% | 11% | |
| 142 | 3% | 5% | |
| 143 | 2% | 3% | |
| 144 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 129 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 130 | 9% | 95% | |
| 131 | 9% | 86% | |
| 132 | 6% | 77% | |
| 133 | 9% | 71% | |
| 134 | 5% | 62% | |
| 135 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 136 | 8% | 47% | |
| 137 | 6% | 39% | |
| 138 | 14% | 33% | |
| 139 | 9% | 19% | |
| 140 | 6% | 10% | |
| 141 | 2% | 4% | |
| 142 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 129 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 130 | 9% | 95% | |
| 131 | 9% | 86% | |
| 132 | 6% | 77% | |
| 133 | 9% | 71% | |
| 134 | 5% | 62% | |
| 135 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 136 | 8% | 47% | |
| 137 | 6% | 39% | |
| 138 | 14% | 33% | |
| 139 | 9% | 19% | |
| 140 | 6% | 10% | |
| 141 | 2% | 4% | |
| 142 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 110 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 111 | 9% | 97% | |
| 112 | 11% | 88% | |
| 113 | 7% | 77% | |
| 114 | 9% | 70% | |
| 115 | 9% | 61% | |
| 116 | 6% | 52% | Median |
| 117 | 15% | 46% | |
| 118 | 12% | 32% | |
| 119 | 8% | 20% | |
| 120 | 6% | 12% | |
| 121 | 4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 122 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 110 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 111 | 9% | 97% | |
| 112 | 11% | 88% | |
| 113 | 7% | 77% | |
| 114 | 9% | 70% | |
| 115 | 9% | 61% | |
| 116 | 6% | 52% | Median |
| 117 | 15% | 46% | |
| 118 | 12% | 32% | |
| 119 | 8% | 20% | |
| 120 | 6% | 12% | |
| 121 | 4% | 5% | |
| 122 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 100 | 3% | 98% | |
| 101 | 10% | 96% | |
| 102 | 9% | 86% | |
| 103 | 13% | 77% | |
| 104 | 7% | 64% | |
| 105 | 4% | 58% | |
| 106 | 3% | 54% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 52% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 51% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 51% | |
| 110 | 2% | 50% | |
| 111 | 6% | 48% | |
| 112 | 6% | 42% | |
| 113 | 13% | 37% | |
| 114 | 12% | 24% | |
| 115 | 7% | 12% | Median |
| 116 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 117 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 3–13 May 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 8964
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.32%