Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 11–23 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 25.7% 24.3–27.2% 23.9–27.6% 23.6–28.0% 22.9–28.7%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 21.8% 20.5–23.2% 20.1–23.6% 19.8–23.9% 19.2–24.6%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 19.8% 18.6–21.2% 18.2–21.6% 17.9–21.9% 17.3–22.6%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 9.9% 9.0–10.9% 8.7–11.2% 8.5–11.5% 8.1–12.0%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 8.9% 8.0–9.9% 7.8–10.2% 7.6–10.4% 7.2–10.9%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 3.9% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.0% 2.8–5.4%
Liberalerna 5.5% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.3–3.8% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 96 90–103 89–104 87–105 85–109
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 81 76–87 74–89 73–90 71–94
Sverigedemokraterna 62 74 69–80 68–81 66–83 64–85
Vänsterpartiet 28 37 33–41 32–42 31–43 30–45
Centerpartiet 31 33 30–37 29–38 28–39 27–41
Kristdemokraterna 22 19 16–22 15–22 0–23 0–25
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 0 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–20
Liberalerna 20 0 0 0 0 0–16

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.8%  
84 0.1% 99.7%  
85 0.4% 99.6%  
86 1.3% 99.2%  
87 1.2% 98%  
88 1.1% 97%  
89 2% 96%  
90 5% 93%  
91 8% 89%  
92 3% 80%  
93 5% 77%  
94 7% 72%  
95 13% 65%  
96 7% 52% Median
97 4% 45%  
98 5% 41%  
99 12% 36%  
100 4% 24% Last Result
101 5% 20%  
102 3% 14%  
103 4% 12%  
104 4% 8%  
105 1.4% 4%  
106 0.4% 2%  
107 0.6% 2%  
108 0.4% 1.1%  
109 0.5% 0.7%  
110 0.1% 0.2%  
111 0% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 99.8% Last Result
71 0.4% 99.5%  
72 0.8% 99.1%  
73 2% 98%  
74 2% 96%  
75 3% 94%  
76 4% 91%  
77 5% 87%  
78 6% 83%  
79 10% 76%  
80 9% 66%  
81 9% 57% Median
82 8% 47%  
83 7% 40%  
84 6% 33%  
85 7% 27%  
86 6% 20%  
87 5% 14%  
88 4% 9%  
89 2% 6%  
90 1.4% 4%  
91 0.9% 2%  
92 0.7% 2%  
93 0.4% 0.9%  
94 0.3% 0.6%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
63 0.3% 99.9%  
64 0.5% 99.6%  
65 0.3% 99.0%  
66 2% 98.7%  
67 1.3% 97%  
68 3% 96%  
69 5% 92%  
70 5% 88%  
71 6% 82%  
72 10% 77%  
73 11% 66%  
74 6% 56% Median
75 17% 50%  
76 6% 33%  
77 5% 26%  
78 8% 21%  
79 4% 14%  
80 3% 10%  
81 3% 7%  
82 1.3% 4%  
83 0.9% 3%  
84 0.9% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.9%  
86 0.1% 0.5%  
87 0.2% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100% Last Result
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 0.9% 99.7%  
31 2% 98.8%  
32 2% 97%  
33 6% 95%  
34 10% 89%  
35 9% 79%  
36 13% 70%  
37 14% 57% Median
38 9% 43%  
39 13% 34%  
40 6% 21%  
41 7% 15%  
42 4% 7%  
43 2% 4%  
44 1.0% 2%  
45 0.7% 1.1%  
46 0.2% 0.4%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.3% 99.9%  
27 1.0% 99.6%  
28 3% 98.6%  
29 3% 96%  
30 9% 92%  
31 10% 84% Last Result
32 13% 74%  
33 12% 61% Median
34 13% 49%  
35 11% 37%  
36 8% 26%  
37 9% 18%  
38 4% 8%  
39 2% 4%  
40 1.0% 2%  
41 0.5% 1.0%  
42 0.3% 0.5%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0% 97%  
9 0% 97%  
10 0% 97%  
11 0% 97%  
12 0% 97%  
13 0% 97%  
14 0% 97%  
15 3% 97%  
16 7% 95%  
17 14% 88%  
18 19% 73%  
19 17% 55% Median
20 17% 38%  
21 10% 21%  
22 6% 10% Last Result
23 3% 5%  
24 1.2% 2%  
25 0.4% 0.6%  
26 0.2% 0.2%  
27 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 53% 100% Median
1 0% 47%  
2 0% 47%  
3 0% 47%  
4 0% 47%  
5 0% 47%  
6 0% 47%  
7 0% 47%  
8 0% 47%  
9 0% 47%  
10 0% 47%  
11 0% 47%  
12 0% 47%  
13 0% 47%  
14 0.1% 47%  
15 14% 47%  
16 19% 33% Last Result
17 7% 15%  
18 5% 7%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.5% 0.7%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0% 2%  
7 0% 2%  
8 0% 2%  
9 0% 2%  
10 0% 2%  
11 0% 2%  
12 0% 2%  
13 0% 2%  
14 0.2% 2%  
15 0.7% 1.4%  
16 0.5% 0.7%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 211 100% 201–220 200–223 198–225 194–231
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 178 65% 170–187 167–189 165–190 162–195
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 195 175 52% 167–183 164–186 163–187 159–192
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna 154 174 48% 166–182 163–185 162–186 157–190
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna 132 156 0.2% 148–163 146–165 144–167 141–172
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 144 141 0% 132–149 130–152 128–154 125–158
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 167 138 0% 129–146 127–149 125–152 122–155
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 143 134 0% 126–141 123–143 122–145 117–148
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 133 0% 126–141 124–143 122–145 120–148
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 134 0% 126–141 123–143 121–145 116–147
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 115 0% 108–122 107–124 105–126 102–130
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 115 0% 108–122 106–124 104–126 102–129
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 104 0% 94–113 93–116 91–117 89–121

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 99.9%  
191 0.1% 99.9%  
192 0.1% 99.9%  
193 0.2% 99.7%  
194 0.2% 99.6%  
195 0.3% 99.3%  
196 0.4% 99.0%  
197 0.8% 98.5%  
198 0.6% 98%  
199 1.1% 97%  
200 2% 96%  
201 4% 94% Last Result
202 2% 90%  
203 3% 88%  
204 4% 85%  
205 7% 81%  
206 5% 74%  
207 3% 69%  
208 5% 66%  
209 3% 60%  
210 4% 57% Median
211 4% 53%  
212 3% 49%  
213 4% 45%  
214 4% 42%  
215 3% 38%  
216 7% 34%  
217 4% 27%  
218 4% 23%  
219 6% 19%  
220 4% 14%  
221 3% 10%  
222 2% 7%  
223 2% 5%  
224 0.8% 4%  
225 1.1% 3%  
226 0.5% 2%  
227 0.2% 1.2%  
228 0.2% 1.0%  
229 0.1% 0.8%  
230 0.2% 0.7%  
231 0.1% 0.5%  
232 0.2% 0.4%  
233 0.1% 0.3%  
234 0% 0.2%  
235 0.1% 0.2%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100%  
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0.1% 99.9%  
161 0.2% 99.7%  
162 0.2% 99.6%  
163 0.4% 99.3%  
164 0.6% 98.9%  
165 1.0% 98%  
166 1.3% 97%  
167 1.2% 96%  
168 3% 95%  
169 2% 92%  
170 6% 90% Last Result
171 4% 84%  
172 4% 81%  
173 6% 77%  
174 6% 71%  
175 3% 65% Majority
176 8% 62%  
177 3% 54% Median
178 5% 52%  
179 6% 47%  
180 3% 40%  
181 7% 37%  
182 5% 30%  
183 2% 25%  
184 6% 23%  
185 3% 17%  
186 3% 15%  
187 5% 11%  
188 1.0% 6%  
189 2% 5%  
190 1.0% 3%  
191 0.5% 2%  
192 0.8% 2%  
193 0.3% 1.0%  
194 0.2% 0.7%  
195 0.1% 0.5%  
196 0.1% 0.4%  
197 0.1% 0.3%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
156 0% 100%  
157 0.2% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.8%  
159 0.2% 99.6%  
160 0.5% 99.4%  
161 0.3% 98.9%  
162 0.7% 98.6%  
163 0.9% 98%  
164 2% 97%  
165 2% 95%  
166 2% 93% Median
167 3% 91%  
168 2% 88%  
169 3% 85%  
170 4% 83%  
171 8% 78%  
172 5% 70%  
173 8% 65%  
174 5% 58%  
175 8% 52% Majority
176 10% 45%  
177 4% 34%  
178 6% 31%  
179 5% 25%  
180 3% 20%  
181 3% 17%  
182 4% 14%  
183 2% 10%  
184 2% 8%  
185 1.4% 6%  
186 2% 5%  
187 0.8% 3%  
188 0.6% 2%  
189 0.4% 2%  
190 0.7% 2%  
191 0.3% 0.8%  
192 0.2% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.4%  
194 0.1% 0.3%  
195 0% 0.2% Last Result
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0.1% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0% 100%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.8% Last Result
155 0.1% 99.8%  
156 0.1% 99.7%  
157 0.2% 99.6%  
158 0.3% 99.5%  
159 0.7% 99.2%  
160 0.4% 98%  
161 0.6% 98%  
162 0.8% 98%  
163 2% 97%  
164 1.4% 95%  
165 2% 94%  
166 2% 92%  
167 4% 90%  
168 3% 86%  
169 3% 83%  
170 5% 80%  
171 6% 75%  
172 4% 69%  
173 10% 66%  
174 8% 55% Median
175 5% 48% Majority
176 8% 42%  
177 5% 35%  
178 8% 30%  
179 4% 22%  
180 3% 17%  
181 2% 15%  
182 3% 12%  
183 2% 9%  
184 2% 7%  
185 2% 5%  
186 0.9% 3%  
187 0.7% 2%  
188 0.3% 1.4%  
189 0.5% 1.1%  
190 0.2% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.4%  
192 0.2% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0% 100% Last Result
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.2% 99.8%  
141 0.2% 99.6%  
142 0.9% 99.3%  
143 0.3% 98%  
144 0.9% 98%  
145 1.2% 97%  
146 3% 96%  
147 2% 93%  
148 3% 91%  
149 3% 88%  
150 2% 85%  
151 4% 83%  
152 6% 78%  
153 8% 72%  
154 9% 65%  
155 5% 56% Median
156 5% 51%  
157 7% 46%  
158 5% 39%  
159 6% 33%  
160 6% 28%  
161 6% 21%  
162 4% 15%  
163 2% 11%  
164 2% 9%  
165 3% 7%  
166 1.1% 4%  
167 0.9% 3%  
168 0.5% 2%  
169 0.4% 2%  
170 0.4% 2%  
171 0.6% 1.1%  
172 0.2% 0.6%  
173 0.2% 0.4%  
174 0.1% 0.3%  
175 0% 0.2% Majority
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0.1% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0% 100%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.2% 99.9%  
125 0.3% 99.7%  
126 0.4% 99.4%  
127 0.5% 99.0%  
128 1.3% 98%  
129 1.4% 97%  
130 3% 96%  
131 1.3% 93%  
132 2% 92%  
133 2% 89% Median
134 2% 87%  
135 4% 85%  
136 5% 81%  
137 6% 75%  
138 7% 69%  
139 5% 62%  
140 6% 58%  
141 3% 52%  
142 7% 48%  
143 4% 41%  
144 6% 37% Last Result
145 7% 31%  
146 3% 24%  
147 4% 21%  
148 4% 17%  
149 2% 12%  
150 2% 10%  
151 1.5% 8%  
152 1.3% 6%  
153 1.0% 5%  
154 1.4% 4%  
155 0.8% 2%  
156 0.6% 2%  
157 0.3% 1.0%  
158 0.4% 0.7%  
159 0.2% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0.1% 100%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.2% 99.8%  
122 0.3% 99.6%  
123 0.5% 99.3%  
124 0.6% 98.7%  
125 0.9% 98%  
126 2% 97%  
127 2% 96%  
128 2% 94%  
129 1.5% 91% Median
130 6% 90%  
131 2% 84%  
132 6% 81%  
133 3% 76%  
134 6% 72%  
135 6% 66%  
136 7% 60%  
137 2% 54%  
138 7% 51%  
139 5% 44%  
140 5% 39%  
141 4% 34%  
142 8% 30%  
143 3% 23%  
144 3% 20%  
145 5% 17%  
146 3% 12%  
147 2% 9%  
148 1.5% 8%  
149 2% 6%  
150 0.8% 4%  
151 0.8% 3%  
152 1.3% 3%  
153 0.4% 1.2%  
154 0.2% 0.8%  
155 0.2% 0.6%  
156 0.1% 0.4%  
157 0% 0.3%  
158 0% 0.2%  
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0.1% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0.1% 99.8%  
115 0.1% 99.7%  
116 0.1% 99.6%  
117 0.1% 99.5%  
118 0.2% 99.4%  
119 0.2% 99.2%  
120 0.4% 99.0%  
121 0.9% 98.6%  
122 0.6% 98%  
123 2% 97%  
124 1.0% 95%  
125 1.4% 94%  
126 3% 93%  
127 2% 89%  
128 4% 87%  
129 7% 84%  
130 7% 76%  
131 6% 70%  
132 6% 63%  
133 5% 57% Median
134 5% 52%  
135 4% 47%  
136 7% 42%  
137 7% 35%  
138 8% 28%  
139 5% 20%  
140 3% 16%  
141 4% 12%  
142 2% 9%  
143 2% 7% Last Result
144 1.1% 4%  
145 1.3% 3%  
146 1.0% 2%  
147 0.4% 1.1%  
148 0.3% 0.7%  
149 0.2% 0.4%  
150 0.1% 0.3%  
151 0% 0.2%  
152 0.1% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100%  
117 0.1% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.8%  
119 0.2% 99.7%  
120 0.2% 99.5%  
121 0.7% 99.4%  
122 1.2% 98.6%  
123 1.2% 97%  
124 2% 96%  
125 2% 94%  
126 5% 92%  
127 2% 87%  
128 5% 85% Last Result
129 9% 79%  
130 5% 70%  
131 5% 65%  
132 7% 60%  
133 4% 53% Median
134 4% 49%  
135 5% 44%  
136 6% 39%  
137 7% 33%  
138 8% 27%  
139 3% 19%  
140 5% 16%  
141 2% 11%  
142 3% 9%  
143 2% 5%  
144 1.2% 4%  
145 1.0% 3%  
146 0.6% 2%  
147 0.4% 1.0%  
148 0.2% 0.6%  
149 0.2% 0.3%  
150 0.1% 0.2%  
151 0.1% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0.1% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0.1% 99.8%  
115 0.1% 99.7%  
116 0.1% 99.6%  
117 0.1% 99.5%  
118 0.3% 99.4%  
119 0.2% 99.1%  
120 0.5% 98.9%  
121 1.0% 98%  
122 0.7% 97%  
123 2% 97% Last Result
124 1.1% 95%  
125 2% 93%  
126 3% 92%  
127 2% 89%  
128 4% 86%  
129 7% 82%  
130 7% 75%  
131 6% 68%  
132 6% 62%  
133 5% 56% Median
134 5% 51%  
135 4% 45%  
136 7% 41%  
137 7% 34%  
138 8% 27%  
139 5% 19%  
140 3% 15%  
141 3% 11%  
142 2% 8%  
143 2% 6%  
144 1.0% 4%  
145 1.1% 3%  
146 1.0% 2%  
147 0.3% 0.8%  
148 0.2% 0.5%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.3% 99.8%  
103 0.4% 99.5%  
104 1.4% 99.1%  
105 0.8% 98%  
106 2% 97%  
107 2% 95%  
108 3% 93%  
109 2% 89%  
110 9% 87%  
111 6% 78%  
112 3% 72%  
113 7% 69%  
114 8% 62% Median
115 7% 54%  
116 5% 47%  
117 8% 43%  
118 6% 35%  
119 4% 29%  
120 8% 24%  
121 4% 16% Last Result
122 2% 12%  
123 4% 10%  
124 2% 6%  
125 0.9% 4%  
126 1.2% 3%  
127 0.8% 2%  
128 0.4% 1.4%  
129 0.4% 1.0%  
130 0.2% 0.6%  
131 0.1% 0.5%  
132 0.1% 0.3%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0.1% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0.1% 100%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
102 0.4% 99.7%  
103 0.5% 99.3%  
104 1.5% 98.8%  
105 1.0% 97%  
106 2% 96%  
107 2% 94%  
108 4% 92%  
109 2% 89%  
110 9% 86%  
111 6% 77%  
112 3% 71%  
113 7% 68%  
114 8% 60% Median
115 7% 53%  
116 5% 46%  
117 8% 41%  
118 6% 33%  
119 4% 28%  
120 8% 23%  
121 4% 15%  
122 2% 11%  
123 3% 9%  
124 2% 5%  
125 0.8% 4%  
126 1.1% 3%  
127 0.7% 2%  
128 0.4% 1.1%  
129 0.3% 0.8%  
130 0.1% 0.5%  
131 0.1% 0.3%  
132 0.1% 0.2%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0.1% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.2% 99.8%  
89 0.8% 99.7%  
90 0.8% 98.9%  
91 1.1% 98%  
92 0.9% 97%  
93 2% 96%  
94 4% 94%  
95 3% 90%  
96 3% 86% Median
97 2% 83%  
98 4% 81%  
99 10% 76%  
100 3% 66%  
101 4% 64%  
102 3% 59%  
103 4% 56%  
104 5% 52%  
105 3% 46%  
106 4% 44%  
107 8% 40%  
108 3% 32%  
109 4% 29%  
110 7% 25%  
111 4% 19%  
112 4% 15%  
113 3% 11%  
114 2% 9%  
115 2% 7%  
116 1.2% 5% Last Result
117 2% 4%  
118 0.9% 2%  
119 0.5% 1.3%  
120 0.3% 0.9%  
121 0.3% 0.5%  
122 0.1% 0.3%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations