Opinion Poll by SCB, 28 April–27 May 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 28.2% | 27.6–28.8% | 27.4–29.0% | 27.3–29.1% | 27.0–29.4% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 22.4% | 21.8–22.9% | 21.7–23.1% | 21.5–23.2% | 21.3–23.5% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 18.9% | 18.4–19.4% | 18.2–19.6% | 18.1–19.7% | 17.8–20.0% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.1–9.9% | 9.0–10.0% | 8.9–10.1% | 8.7–10.3% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5–9.3% | 8.4–9.4% | 8.3–9.5% | 8.1–9.7% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2–4.8% | 4.1–4.9% | 4.1–4.9% | 4.0–5.1% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6–4.1% | 3.5–4.1% | 3.4–4.2% | 3.3–4.3% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.3–2.7% | 2.2–2.8% | 2.2–2.8% | 2.1–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 106 | 102–108 | 101–109 | 100–110 | 99–111 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 84 | 80–87 | 80–87 | 79–88 | 78–89 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 71 | 69–73 | 68–74 | 67–74 | 66–75 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 36 | 34–37 | 34–38 | 34–38 | 32–39 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 33 | 32–35 | 31–35 | 31–36 | 30–37 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 17 | 16–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 0–19 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–15 | 0–15 | 0–16 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 100 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 101 | 2% | 96% | |
| 102 | 5% | 94% | |
| 103 | 9% | 89% | |
| 104 | 9% | 80% | |
| 105 | 19% | 71% | |
| 106 | 18% | 52% | Median |
| 107 | 16% | 34% | |
| 108 | 11% | 18% | |
| 109 | 4% | 7% | |
| 110 | 2% | 3% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 80 | 6% | 95% | |
| 81 | 6% | 90% | |
| 82 | 8% | 84% | |
| 83 | 12% | 76% | |
| 84 | 16% | 64% | Median |
| 85 | 19% | 48% | |
| 86 | 18% | 29% | |
| 87 | 6% | 11% | |
| 88 | 3% | 4% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 68 | 5% | 97% | |
| 69 | 10% | 92% | |
| 70 | 15% | 83% | |
| 71 | 23% | 68% | Median |
| 72 | 19% | 45% | |
| 73 | 18% | 26% | |
| 74 | 5% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 13% | 98% | |
| 35 | 23% | 84% | |
| 36 | 34% | 62% | Median |
| 37 | 21% | 28% | |
| 38 | 5% | 7% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 5% | 99.2% | |
| 32 | 17% | 94% | |
| 33 | 31% | 76% | Median |
| 34 | 28% | 46% | |
| 35 | 13% | 18% | |
| 36 | 4% | 4% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 15 | 7% | 99.0% | |
| 16 | 34% | 92% | |
| 17 | 40% | 58% | Median |
| 18 | 16% | 18% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 83% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 17% | |
| 2 | 0% | 17% | |
| 3 | 0% | 17% | |
| 4 | 0% | 17% | |
| 5 | 0% | 17% | |
| 6 | 0% | 17% | |
| 7 | 0% | 17% | |
| 8 | 0% | 17% | |
| 9 | 0% | 17% | |
| 10 | 0% | 17% | |
| 11 | 0% | 17% | |
| 12 | 0% | 17% | |
| 13 | 0% | 17% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 17% | |
| 15 | 16% | 17% | |
| 16 | 0.9% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 227 | 100% | 217–229 | 216–230 | 215–231 | 214–237 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 190 | 100% | 182–193 | 182–193 | 181–194 | 179–199 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 176 | 78% | 174–184 | 173–185 | 173–186 | 171–188 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 173 | 22% | 165–175 | 164–176 | 163–176 | 161–178 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 156 | 0% | 150–159 | 148–159 | 147–160 | 146–163 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 143 | 0% | 140–151 | 139–152 | 139–153 | 138–155 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 140 | 0% | 138–149 | 137–150 | 137–150 | 135–153 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 139 | 0% | 135–142 | 134–143 | 132–143 | 131–146 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 137 | 0% | 131–140 | 130–140 | 129–141 | 125–142 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 137 | 0% | 131–140 | 130–140 | 129–141 | 125–142 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 120 | 0% | 115–123 | 114–124 | 113–124 | 112–126 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 120 | 0% | 115–123 | 114–124 | 113–124 | 112–126 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 107 | 0% | 104–117 | 104–118 | 103–118 | 102–120 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0% | 100% | |
| 212 | 0% | 100% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 214 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 215 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 216 | 3% | 97% | |
| 217 | 7% | 94% | |
| 218 | 2% | 87% | |
| 219 | 1.3% | 85% | |
| 220 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 221 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 222 | 0.9% | 83% | |
| 223 | 2% | 82% | |
| 224 | 6% | 80% | |
| 225 | 11% | 74% | |
| 226 | 12% | 63% | Median |
| 227 | 20% | 51% | |
| 228 | 14% | 32% | |
| 229 | 11% | 18% | |
| 230 | 4% | 6% | |
| 231 | 2% | 3% | |
| 232 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 236 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 237 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 238 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 239 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 240 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 241 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 180 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 181 | 2% | 98% | |
| 182 | 5% | 95% | |
| 183 | 4% | 90% | |
| 184 | 2% | 86% | |
| 185 | 1.0% | 84% | |
| 186 | 0.6% | 83% | |
| 187 | 2% | 83% | |
| 188 | 5% | 81% | |
| 189 | 11% | 75% | |
| 190 | 14% | 64% | Median |
| 191 | 21% | 50% | |
| 192 | 9% | 29% | |
| 193 | 15% | 19% | |
| 194 | 3% | 5% | |
| 195 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 200 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 172 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 173 | 6% | 98% | |
| 174 | 14% | 92% | |
| 175 | 16% | 78% | Median, Majority |
| 176 | 15% | 62% | |
| 177 | 15% | 47% | |
| 178 | 6% | 32% | |
| 179 | 6% | 26% | |
| 180 | 3% | 20% | |
| 181 | 2% | 18% | |
| 182 | 2% | 16% | |
| 183 | 3% | 14% | |
| 184 | 5% | 11% | |
| 185 | 2% | 5% | |
| 186 | 2% | 3% | |
| 187 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 163 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 164 | 2% | 97% | |
| 165 | 5% | 95% | |
| 166 | 3% | 89% | |
| 167 | 2% | 86% | |
| 168 | 2% | 84% | |
| 169 | 3% | 82% | |
| 170 | 6% | 80% | |
| 171 | 6% | 74% | |
| 172 | 15% | 68% | Median |
| 173 | 15% | 53% | |
| 174 | 16% | 38% | |
| 175 | 14% | 22% | Majority |
| 176 | 6% | 8% | |
| 177 | 2% | 2% | |
| 178 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 147 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 148 | 3% | 97% | |
| 149 | 5% | 95% | |
| 150 | 4% | 90% | |
| 151 | 2% | 86% | |
| 152 | 3% | 84% | |
| 153 | 4% | 81% | |
| 154 | 7% | 77% | |
| 155 | 14% | 70% | Median |
| 156 | 13% | 55% | |
| 157 | 19% | 43% | |
| 158 | 11% | 24% | |
| 159 | 10% | 13% | |
| 160 | 2% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 139 | 4% | 98% | |
| 140 | 9% | 94% | |
| 141 | 15% | 85% | |
| 142 | 15% | 70% | Median |
| 143 | 18% | 55% | |
| 144 | 9% | 36% | |
| 145 | 6% | 27% | |
| 146 | 3% | 22% | |
| 147 | 0.9% | 19% | |
| 148 | 1.4% | 18% | |
| 149 | 2% | 17% | |
| 150 | 1.5% | 15% | |
| 151 | 4% | 14% | |
| 152 | 5% | 10% | |
| 153 | 3% | 5% | |
| 154 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 137 | 6% | 98% | |
| 138 | 13% | 92% | |
| 139 | 16% | 79% | Median |
| 140 | 20% | 63% | |
| 141 | 12% | 44% | |
| 142 | 7% | 32% | |
| 143 | 5% | 25% | |
| 144 | 1.3% | 20% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0.7% | 18% | |
| 146 | 2% | 18% | |
| 147 | 2% | 16% | |
| 148 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 149 | 3% | 13% | |
| 150 | 7% | 9% | |
| 151 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 131 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 132 | 2% | 98% | |
| 133 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 134 | 3% | 95% | |
| 135 | 8% | 92% | |
| 136 | 2% | 84% | |
| 137 | 6% | 81% | |
| 138 | 13% | 75% | |
| 139 | 16% | 62% | Median |
| 140 | 20% | 46% | |
| 141 | 12% | 26% | |
| 142 | 7% | 15% | |
| 143 | 5% | 7% | |
| 144 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 129 | 3% | 98% | |
| 130 | 4% | 96% | |
| 131 | 3% | 92% | |
| 132 | 3% | 89% | |
| 133 | 3% | 86% | |
| 134 | 4% | 82% | |
| 135 | 7% | 79% | |
| 136 | 13% | 72% | |
| 137 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 138 | 20% | 44% | |
| 139 | 11% | 24% | |
| 140 | 9% | 13% | |
| 141 | 2% | 4% | |
| 142 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 129 | 3% | 98% | |
| 130 | 4% | 96% | |
| 131 | 3% | 92% | |
| 132 | 3% | 89% | |
| 133 | 3% | 86% | |
| 134 | 4% | 82% | |
| 135 | 7% | 79% | |
| 136 | 13% | 72% | |
| 137 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 138 | 20% | 44% | |
| 139 | 11% | 24% | |
| 140 | 9% | 13% | |
| 141 | 2% | 4% | |
| 142 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 114 | 6% | 97% | |
| 115 | 3% | 92% | |
| 116 | 4% | 89% | |
| 117 | 5% | 85% | |
| 118 | 7% | 80% | |
| 119 | 11% | 74% | |
| 120 | 16% | 62% | Median |
| 121 | 14% | 46% | Last Result |
| 122 | 18% | 32% | |
| 123 | 8% | 14% | |
| 124 | 4% | 6% | |
| 125 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 126 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 114 | 6% | 97% | |
| 115 | 3% | 92% | |
| 116 | 4% | 89% | |
| 117 | 5% | 85% | |
| 118 | 7% | 80% | |
| 119 | 11% | 74% | |
| 120 | 16% | 62% | Median |
| 121 | 14% | 46% | |
| 122 | 18% | 32% | |
| 123 | 8% | 14% | |
| 124 | 4% | 6% | |
| 125 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 126 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 104 | 8% | 96% | |
| 105 | 19% | 88% | |
| 106 | 18% | 69% | Median |
| 107 | 16% | 52% | |
| 108 | 11% | 35% | |
| 109 | 4% | 25% | |
| 110 | 2% | 20% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 112 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 114 | 2% | 17% | |
| 115 | 2% | 15% | |
| 116 | 2% | 14% | Last Result |
| 117 | 4% | 12% | |
| 118 | 6% | 8% | |
| 119 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SCB
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 28 April–27 May 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 9216
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.46%