Opinion Poll by Demoskop, 26 May–2 June 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 24.1% | 23.1–25.2% | 22.8–25.5% | 22.6–25.8% | 22.1–26.3% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 22.9% | 21.8–23.9% | 21.6–24.2% | 21.3–24.5% | 20.8–25.0% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.2% | 18.2–20.2% | 17.9–20.4% | 17.7–20.7% | 17.3–21.2% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.0–11.5% | 9.8–11.7% | 9.6–11.9% | 9.3–12.3% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8–9.2% | 7.7–9.4% | 7.5–9.6% | 7.2–10.0% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1–6.2% | 4.9–6.4% | 4.8–6.5% | 4.6–6.8% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.2–4.1% | 3.0–4.2% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.8–4.6% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1–4.0% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.9–4.2% | 2.7–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 92 | 87–96 | 86–97 | 85–98 | 82–101 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 86 | 82–90 | 81–92 | 79–93 | 77–95 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 73 | 69–77 | 68–77 | 67–79 | 65–82 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 40 | 38–43 | 36–44 | 36–45 | 34–47 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 32 | 30–35 | 29–36 | 28–36 | 27–37 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 21 | 19–23 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 17–26 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–16 | 0–16 | 0–17 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–16 | 0–17 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 85 | 2% | 98% | |
| 86 | 3% | 96% | |
| 87 | 6% | 93% | |
| 88 | 8% | 87% | |
| 89 | 4% | 79% | |
| 90 | 7% | 75% | |
| 91 | 13% | 68% | |
| 92 | 14% | 55% | Median |
| 93 | 9% | 41% | |
| 94 | 9% | 32% | |
| 95 | 8% | 22% | |
| 96 | 5% | 14% | |
| 97 | 4% | 9% | |
| 98 | 3% | 5% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 80 | 2% | 97% | |
| 81 | 4% | 95% | |
| 82 | 3% | 91% | |
| 83 | 10% | 88% | |
| 84 | 9% | 78% | |
| 85 | 8% | 70% | |
| 86 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 87 | 11% | 48% | |
| 88 | 11% | 36% | |
| 89 | 8% | 26% | |
| 90 | 8% | 18% | |
| 91 | 3% | 10% | |
| 92 | 3% | 7% | |
| 93 | 2% | 4% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 96% | |
| 69 | 8% | 93% | |
| 70 | 9% | 85% | |
| 71 | 10% | 76% | |
| 72 | 6% | 66% | |
| 73 | 10% | 60% | Median |
| 74 | 10% | 50% | |
| 75 | 12% | 40% | |
| 76 | 15% | 28% | |
| 77 | 9% | 13% | |
| 78 | 2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 3% | 98% | |
| 37 | 4% | 95% | |
| 38 | 11% | 90% | |
| 39 | 22% | 80% | |
| 40 | 17% | 58% | Median |
| 41 | 10% | 41% | |
| 42 | 15% | 31% | |
| 43 | 9% | 16% | |
| 44 | 5% | 7% | |
| 45 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 2% | 98.8% | Last Result |
| 29 | 6% | 97% | |
| 30 | 13% | 90% | |
| 31 | 18% | 77% | |
| 32 | 18% | 59% | Median |
| 33 | 15% | 40% | |
| 34 | 11% | 25% | |
| 35 | 9% | 14% | |
| 36 | 3% | 5% | |
| 37 | 2% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 19 | 12% | 95% | |
| 20 | 17% | 84% | |
| 21 | 24% | 67% | Median |
| 22 | 19% | 43% | Last Result |
| 23 | 14% | 24% | |
| 24 | 7% | 10% | |
| 25 | 3% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 80% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 20% | |
| 2 | 0% | 20% | |
| 3 | 0% | 20% | |
| 4 | 0% | 20% | |
| 5 | 0% | 20% | |
| 6 | 0% | 20% | |
| 7 | 0% | 20% | |
| 8 | 0% | 20% | |
| 9 | 0% | 20% | |
| 10 | 0% | 20% | |
| 11 | 0% | 20% | |
| 12 | 0% | 20% | |
| 13 | 0% | 20% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 20% | |
| 15 | 13% | 20% | |
| 16 | 5% | 7% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 8% | |
| 10 | 0% | 8% | |
| 11 | 0% | 8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 8% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 15 | 5% | 7% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 219 | 100% | 211–224 | 208–226 | 206–227 | 201–230 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 182 | 85% | 173–186 | 171–188 | 170–189 | 166–192 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 179 | 76% | 171–185 | 169–186 | 167–187 | 163–189 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 167 | 15% | 163–176 | 161–178 | 160–179 | 157–183 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 160 | 0% | 152–165 | 151–166 | 149–168 | 145–170 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 150 | 0% | 145–160 | 143–161 | 141–163 | 139–165 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 148 | 0% | 142–152 | 140–155 | 138–156 | 134–158 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 135 | 0% | 130–145 | 129–147 | 127–149 | 125–154 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 129 | 0% | 123–139 | 122–140 | 120–142 | 118–144 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 125 | 0% | 119–131 | 118–134 | 116–136 | 114–141 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 127 | 0% | 121–131 | 120–133 | 118–134 | 115–136 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 124 | 0% | 118–129 | 117–130 | 115–131 | 113–134 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 92 | 0% | 88–98 | 87–102 | 86–106 | 83–109 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 197 | 0% | 100% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 199 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 201 | 0.2% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 203 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 204 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 205 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 206 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 207 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 208 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 209 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 210 | 2% | 93% | |
| 211 | 6% | 91% | |
| 212 | 2% | 85% | |
| 213 | 5% | 83% | |
| 214 | 3% | 78% | |
| 215 | 3% | 76% | |
| 216 | 3% | 72% | |
| 217 | 6% | 69% | |
| 218 | 6% | 64% | Median |
| 219 | 14% | 57% | |
| 220 | 8% | 44% | |
| 221 | 6% | 36% | |
| 222 | 9% | 30% | |
| 223 | 3% | 21% | |
| 224 | 8% | 18% | |
| 225 | 3% | 10% | |
| 226 | 2% | 7% | |
| 227 | 2% | 5% | |
| 228 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 229 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 230 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 231 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 232 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 170 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 171 | 2% | 97% | |
| 172 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 173 | 5% | 94% | |
| 174 | 4% | 89% | |
| 175 | 2% | 85% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 83% | |
| 177 | 5% | 79% | |
| 178 | 6% | 74% | |
| 179 | 6% | 68% | |
| 180 | 5% | 62% | Median |
| 181 | 6% | 58% | |
| 182 | 12% | 52% | |
| 183 | 7% | 40% | |
| 184 | 6% | 33% | |
| 185 | 10% | 26% | |
| 186 | 6% | 16% | |
| 187 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 188 | 4% | 9% | |
| 189 | 3% | 5% | |
| 190 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 192 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 165 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 166 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 167 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 168 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 169 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 170 | 1.2% | 94% | Last Result |
| 171 | 4% | 93% | |
| 172 | 4% | 89% | |
| 173 | 5% | 84% | |
| 174 | 3% | 80% | |
| 175 | 3% | 76% | Majority |
| 176 | 8% | 73% | |
| 177 | 8% | 65% | |
| 178 | 6% | 57% | Median |
| 179 | 12% | 51% | |
| 180 | 9% | 39% | |
| 181 | 5% | 30% | |
| 182 | 5% | 24% | |
| 183 | 3% | 19% | |
| 184 | 5% | 16% | |
| 185 | 5% | 11% | |
| 186 | 2% | 6% | |
| 187 | 3% | 4% | |
| 188 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 189 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 159 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 160 | 3% | 98% | |
| 161 | 4% | 95% | |
| 162 | 1.1% | 91% | |
| 163 | 6% | 90% | |
| 164 | 10% | 84% | Median |
| 165 | 6% | 74% | |
| 166 | 7% | 67% | |
| 167 | 12% | 60% | |
| 168 | 6% | 48% | |
| 169 | 5% | 42% | |
| 170 | 6% | 38% | |
| 171 | 6% | 32% | |
| 172 | 5% | 26% | |
| 173 | 3% | 21% | |
| 174 | 2% | 17% | |
| 175 | 4% | 15% | Majority |
| 176 | 5% | 11% | |
| 177 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 178 | 2% | 5% | |
| 179 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 180 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 181 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 182 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 183 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 147 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 148 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 149 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 150 | 2% | 97% | |
| 151 | 2% | 95% | |
| 152 | 4% | 94% | |
| 153 | 3% | 90% | |
| 154 | 3% | 87% | |
| 155 | 4% | 84% | |
| 156 | 6% | 80% | |
| 157 | 6% | 73% | |
| 158 | 4% | 67% | |
| 159 | 9% | 63% | Median |
| 160 | 8% | 53% | |
| 161 | 10% | 45% | |
| 162 | 7% | 36% | |
| 163 | 5% | 29% | |
| 164 | 9% | 23% | |
| 165 | 6% | 14% | |
| 166 | 4% | 8% | |
| 167 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 168 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 169 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 170 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 139 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 140 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 141 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 142 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 143 | 2% | 96% | Last Result |
| 144 | 3% | 94% | |
| 145 | 5% | 91% | |
| 146 | 3% | 86% | |
| 147 | 8% | 84% | Median |
| 148 | 15% | 76% | |
| 149 | 6% | 61% | |
| 150 | 6% | 55% | |
| 151 | 14% | 50% | |
| 152 | 7% | 36% | |
| 153 | 2% | 29% | |
| 154 | 3% | 26% | |
| 155 | 4% | 23% | |
| 156 | 2% | 19% | |
| 157 | 3% | 17% | |
| 158 | 2% | 13% | |
| 159 | 1.2% | 11% | |
| 160 | 3% | 10% | |
| 161 | 4% | 7% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 163 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 164 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 138 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 139 | 2% | 97% | |
| 140 | 2% | 96% | |
| 141 | 2% | 94% | |
| 142 | 5% | 92% | |
| 143 | 3% | 87% | |
| 144 | 3% | 84% | |
| 145 | 8% | 80% | |
| 146 | 6% | 72% | |
| 147 | 8% | 66% | Median |
| 148 | 16% | 58% | |
| 149 | 6% | 42% | |
| 150 | 6% | 36% | |
| 151 | 14% | 30% | |
| 152 | 7% | 16% | |
| 153 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 154 | 2% | 8% | |
| 155 | 4% | 6% | |
| 156 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 126 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 127 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 128 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 129 | 4% | 96% | |
| 130 | 6% | 92% | |
| 131 | 4% | 87% | |
| 132 | 11% | 82% | Median |
| 133 | 10% | 72% | |
| 134 | 9% | 62% | |
| 135 | 6% | 53% | |
| 136 | 9% | 47% | |
| 137 | 5% | 39% | |
| 138 | 4% | 33% | |
| 139 | 3% | 30% | |
| 140 | 5% | 27% | |
| 141 | 2% | 22% | |
| 142 | 4% | 20% | |
| 143 | 2% | 16% | |
| 144 | 3% | 14% | |
| 145 | 4% | 11% | |
| 146 | 2% | 7% | |
| 147 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 148 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 149 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 150 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 120 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 121 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 122 | 3% | 96% | |
| 123 | 4% | 93% | |
| 124 | 4% | 89% | |
| 125 | 9% | 86% | |
| 126 | 5% | 77% | Median |
| 127 | 9% | 72% | |
| 128 | 13% | 63% | |
| 129 | 12% | 50% | |
| 130 | 4% | 39% | |
| 131 | 5% | 34% | |
| 132 | 5% | 29% | |
| 133 | 3% | 25% | |
| 134 | 2% | 21% | |
| 135 | 3% | 19% | |
| 136 | 2% | 17% | |
| 137 | 2% | 15% | |
| 138 | 3% | 13% | |
| 139 | 3% | 10% | |
| 140 | 4% | 8% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 142 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 144 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 116 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 117 | 2% | 97% | |
| 118 | 2% | 95% | |
| 119 | 7% | 93% | |
| 120 | 3% | 86% | |
| 121 | 6% | 84% | |
| 122 | 8% | 78% | |
| 123 | 7% | 70% | |
| 124 | 9% | 63% | Median |
| 125 | 11% | 54% | |
| 126 | 7% | 43% | |
| 127 | 12% | 37% | |
| 128 | 4% | 24% | |
| 129 | 6% | 20% | |
| 130 | 3% | 14% | |
| 131 | 2% | 11% | |
| 132 | 2% | 8% | |
| 133 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 134 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 136 | 2% | 3% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 117 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 118 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 119 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 120 | 3% | 95% | |
| 121 | 3% | 92% | |
| 122 | 5% | 89% | |
| 123 | 6% | 85% | |
| 124 | 6% | 79% | |
| 125 | 13% | 72% | |
| 126 | 6% | 60% | Median |
| 127 | 9% | 53% | |
| 128 | 13% | 44% | |
| 129 | 12% | 31% | |
| 130 | 4% | 19% | |
| 131 | 5% | 15% | |
| 132 | 4% | 10% | |
| 133 | 3% | 6% | |
| 134 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 114 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 115 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 116 | 2% | 97% | |
| 117 | 3% | 95% | |
| 118 | 3% | 93% | |
| 119 | 8% | 90% | |
| 120 | 3% | 82% | |
| 121 | 7% | 79% | |
| 122 | 9% | 72% | |
| 123 | 8% | 63% | |
| 124 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 125 | 11% | 47% | |
| 126 | 7% | 36% | |
| 127 | 12% | 29% | |
| 128 | 4% | 17% | Last Result |
| 129 | 5% | 13% | |
| 130 | 3% | 7% | |
| 131 | 2% | 4% | |
| 132 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 86 | 2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 5% | 96% | |
| 88 | 7% | 90% | |
| 89 | 4% | 83% | |
| 90 | 6% | 79% | |
| 91 | 12% | 73% | |
| 92 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 93 | 9% | 47% | |
| 94 | 9% | 39% | |
| 95 | 8% | 30% | |
| 96 | 5% | 22% | |
| 97 | 4% | 16% | |
| 98 | 3% | 12% | |
| 99 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 100 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 101 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 102 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 103 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 106 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Demoskop
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 26 May–2 June 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 2730
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.34%