Opinion Poll by Sifo, 7–17 June 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 25.8% | 25.1–26.5% | 24.9–26.7% | 24.8–26.9% | 24.4–27.2% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 22.4% | 21.7–23.1% | 21.6–23.3% | 21.4–23.4% | 21.1–23.8% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 20.2% | 19.6–20.9% | 19.4–21.0% | 19.2–21.2% | 18.9–21.5% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.4–10.4% | 9.3–10.5% | 9.2–10.7% | 9.0–10.9% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.1–10.1% | 9.0–10.2% | 8.9–10.3% | 8.7–10.6% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8–5.5% | 4.7–5.6% | 4.6–5.7% | 4.4–5.8% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2–3.8% | 3.1–3.9% | 3.1–4.0% | 3.0–4.1% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.3% | 2.1–2.6% | 2.0–2.6% | 2.0–2.7% | 1.8–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 96 | 94–99 | 93–100 | 93–101 | 91–102 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 84 | 81–86 | 81–87 | 80–88 | 79–89 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 76 | 74–78 | 73–79 | 72–79 | 71–81 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 37 | 35–39 | 35–39 | 34–40 | 34–41 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 36 | 34–38 | 34–38 | 33–39 | 33–40 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 19 | 18–20 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 93 | 5% | 98% | |
| 94 | 8% | 92% | |
| 95 | 14% | 84% | |
| 96 | 21% | 70% | Median |
| 97 | 18% | 50% | |
| 98 | 15% | 32% | |
| 99 | 8% | 17% | |
| 100 | 6% | 9% | Last Result |
| 101 | 2% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 81 | 7% | 96% | |
| 82 | 13% | 90% | |
| 83 | 14% | 77% | |
| 84 | 21% | 63% | Median |
| 85 | 24% | 42% | |
| 86 | 9% | 18% | |
| 87 | 5% | 9% | |
| 88 | 3% | 4% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98% | |
| 73 | 5% | 95% | |
| 74 | 16% | 90% | |
| 75 | 21% | 74% | |
| 76 | 24% | 54% | Median |
| 77 | 13% | 30% | |
| 78 | 9% | 17% | |
| 79 | 6% | 8% | |
| 80 | 2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 34 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 35 | 10% | 97% | |
| 36 | 16% | 87% | |
| 37 | 25% | 71% | Median |
| 38 | 31% | 46% | |
| 39 | 10% | 14% | |
| 40 | 3% | 4% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 33 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 7% | 97% | |
| 35 | 24% | 90% | |
| 36 | 27% | 65% | Median |
| 37 | 24% | 39% | |
| 38 | 10% | 15% | |
| 39 | 4% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 17 | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 20% | 95% | |
| 19 | 36% | 75% | Median |
| 20 | 29% | 39% | |
| 21 | 8% | 9% | |
| 22 | 1.4% | 2% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 218 | 100% | 215–221 | 214–222 | 213–222 | 208–224 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 181 | 98% | 178–184 | 177–184 | 176–185 | 172–187 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 179 | 96% | 176–182 | 175–183 | 174–184 | 171–185 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 170 | 4% | 167–173 | 166–174 | 165–175 | 164–178 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 160 | 0% | 157–163 | 156–164 | 155–165 | 152–166 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 140 | 0% | 138–143 | 136–144 | 135–144 | 132–146 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 140 | 0% | 138–143 | 136–144 | 135–144 | 132–146 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 134 | 0% | 131–137 | 130–138 | 130–140 | 128–145 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 133 | 0% | 130–136 | 129–137 | 129–138 | 127–143 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 133 | 0% | 130–135 | 129–136 | 128–137 | 125–139 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 121 | 0% | 118–124 | 118–124 | 117–125 | 114–127 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 121 | 0% | 118–124 | 118–124 | 117–125 | 114–127 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 97 | 0% | 94–100 | 93–100 | 93–102 | 92–108 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 207 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 208 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 209 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 210 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 211 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 212 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 213 | 2% | 98% | |
| 214 | 2% | 96% | |
| 215 | 9% | 93% | |
| 216 | 10% | 85% | |
| 217 | 18% | 75% | Median |
| 218 | 20% | 56% | |
| 219 | 16% | 37% | |
| 220 | 9% | 20% | |
| 221 | 6% | 11% | |
| 222 | 4% | 5% | |
| 223 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 224 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 225 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 226 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 169 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 173 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 174 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 175 | 0.7% | 98% | Majority |
| 176 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 177 | 6% | 96% | |
| 178 | 9% | 90% | |
| 179 | 17% | 82% | |
| 180 | 13% | 64% | Median |
| 181 | 20% | 51% | |
| 182 | 8% | 32% | |
| 183 | 10% | 23% | |
| 184 | 8% | 13% | |
| 185 | 3% | 5% | |
| 186 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 171 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 172 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 173 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 174 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 175 | 3% | 96% | Majority |
| 176 | 7% | 93% | |
| 177 | 9% | 86% | |
| 178 | 19% | 76% | |
| 179 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 180 | 17% | 40% | |
| 181 | 12% | 23% | |
| 182 | 4% | 11% | |
| 183 | 4% | 7% | |
| 184 | 2% | 3% | |
| 185 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 163 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 165 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 166 | 4% | 97% | |
| 167 | 4% | 93% | |
| 168 | 12% | 89% | |
| 169 | 17% | 77% | Median |
| 170 | 18% | 60% | |
| 171 | 19% | 42% | |
| 172 | 9% | 24% | |
| 173 | 7% | 14% | |
| 174 | 3% | 7% | |
| 175 | 1.3% | 4% | Majority |
| 176 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 177 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 178 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 153 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 154 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 155 | 2% | 98% | |
| 156 | 5% | 96% | |
| 157 | 7% | 91% | |
| 158 | 9% | 83% | |
| 159 | 20% | 75% | |
| 160 | 24% | 55% | Median |
| 161 | 11% | 31% | |
| 162 | 9% | 20% | |
| 163 | 4% | 12% | |
| 164 | 5% | 7% | |
| 165 | 2% | 3% | |
| 166 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 135 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 136 | 3% | 97% | |
| 137 | 4% | 95% | |
| 138 | 11% | 91% | |
| 139 | 13% | 80% | |
| 140 | 18% | 67% | Median |
| 141 | 20% | 50% | |
| 142 | 12% | 30% | |
| 143 | 10% | 18% | Last Result |
| 144 | 6% | 8% | |
| 145 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 135 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 136 | 3% | 97% | |
| 137 | 4% | 95% | |
| 138 | 11% | 91% | |
| 139 | 13% | 80% | |
| 140 | 18% | 67% | Median |
| 141 | 20% | 50% | |
| 142 | 12% | 30% | |
| 143 | 10% | 18% | |
| 144 | 6% | 8% | |
| 145 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 130 | 4% | 98% | |
| 131 | 7% | 94% | |
| 132 | 9% | 87% | |
| 133 | 24% | 78% | Median |
| 134 | 15% | 55% | |
| 135 | 21% | 39% | |
| 136 | 7% | 19% | |
| 137 | 4% | 12% | |
| 138 | 4% | 8% | |
| 139 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 140 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 128 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 129 | 5% | 98% | |
| 130 | 7% | 93% | |
| 131 | 12% | 86% | |
| 132 | 19% | 73% | Median |
| 133 | 18% | 55% | |
| 134 | 11% | 37% | |
| 135 | 15% | 26% | |
| 136 | 5% | 11% | |
| 137 | 3% | 6% | |
| 138 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 142 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 126 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 127 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 128 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 129 | 5% | 96% | |
| 130 | 7% | 91% | |
| 131 | 12% | 84% | |
| 132 | 19% | 72% | Median |
| 133 | 18% | 53% | |
| 134 | 11% | 35% | |
| 135 | 15% | 24% | |
| 136 | 5% | 9% | |
| 137 | 2% | 4% | |
| 138 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 116 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 117 | 2% | 98% | |
| 118 | 8% | 96% | |
| 119 | 10% | 88% | |
| 120 | 14% | 78% | |
| 121 | 18% | 64% | Last Result, Median |
| 122 | 20% | 47% | |
| 123 | 14% | 27% | |
| 124 | 8% | 13% | |
| 125 | 3% | 5% | |
| 126 | 2% | 2% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 116 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 117 | 2% | 98% | |
| 118 | 8% | 96% | |
| 119 | 10% | 88% | |
| 120 | 14% | 78% | |
| 121 | 18% | 64% | Median |
| 122 | 20% | 47% | |
| 123 | 14% | 27% | |
| 124 | 8% | 13% | |
| 125 | 3% | 5% | |
| 126 | 2% | 2% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 93 | 5% | 98% | |
| 94 | 7% | 93% | |
| 95 | 14% | 86% | |
| 96 | 21% | 72% | Median |
| 97 | 18% | 52% | |
| 98 | 15% | 34% | |
| 99 | 8% | 19% | |
| 100 | 6% | 11% | |
| 101 | 2% | 5% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 108 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 7–17 June 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 6539
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.53%