Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 8–20 June 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 24.0% | 22.6–25.4% | 22.2–25.8% | 21.9–26.2% | 21.3–26.9% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 22.0% | 20.7–23.4% | 20.3–23.8% | 20.0–24.1% | 19.4–24.8% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.0% | 17.8–20.3% | 17.4–20.7% | 17.1–21.0% | 16.6–21.7% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 12.0% | 11.0–13.2% | 10.7–13.5% | 10.5–13.7% | 10.0–14.3% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.1–11.1% | 8.8–11.4% | 8.6–11.6% | 8.2–12.1% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3–6.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.6–7.7% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.3% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 90 | 84–95 | 83–97 | 82–98 | 80–100 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 82 | 77–87 | 76–89 | 75–90 | 72–93 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 71 | 67–76 | 65–77 | 64–78 | 62–81 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 45 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 39–51 | 38–54 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 37 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 31–45 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 23 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 19–27 | 17–29 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98% | |
| 83 | 2% | 96% | |
| 84 | 4% | 94% | |
| 85 | 6% | 90% | |
| 86 | 6% | 84% | |
| 87 | 7% | 79% | |
| 88 | 10% | 72% | |
| 89 | 10% | 61% | |
| 90 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 91 | 8% | 44% | |
| 92 | 12% | 36% | |
| 93 | 7% | 24% | |
| 94 | 3% | 17% | |
| 95 | 6% | 14% | |
| 96 | 3% | 8% | |
| 97 | 2% | 5% | |
| 98 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 1.5% | 99.0% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98% | |
| 76 | 3% | 96% | |
| 77 | 5% | 93% | |
| 78 | 4% | 88% | |
| 79 | 8% | 84% | |
| 80 | 6% | 76% | |
| 81 | 13% | 70% | |
| 82 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 83 | 11% | 48% | |
| 84 | 6% | 37% | |
| 85 | 9% | 31% | |
| 86 | 7% | 22% | |
| 87 | 5% | 15% | |
| 88 | 4% | 9% | |
| 89 | 2% | 5% | |
| 90 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 4% | 95% | |
| 67 | 6% | 91% | |
| 68 | 6% | 85% | |
| 69 | 12% | 79% | |
| 70 | 12% | 66% | |
| 71 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 72 | 10% | 44% | |
| 73 | 9% | 34% | |
| 74 | 8% | 24% | |
| 75 | 5% | 16% | |
| 76 | 5% | 11% | |
| 77 | 2% | 6% | |
| 78 | 2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 40 | 3% | 97% | |
| 41 | 5% | 94% | |
| 42 | 9% | 89% | |
| 43 | 10% | 80% | |
| 44 | 12% | 70% | |
| 45 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 46 | 11% | 46% | |
| 47 | 11% | 35% | |
| 48 | 10% | 24% | |
| 49 | 6% | 14% | |
| 50 | 4% | 8% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 32 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 33 | 3% | 97% | |
| 34 | 8% | 94% | |
| 35 | 8% | 86% | |
| 36 | 16% | 78% | |
| 37 | 13% | 62% | Median |
| 38 | 15% | 49% | |
| 39 | 10% | 34% | |
| 40 | 8% | 24% | |
| 41 | 8% | 17% | |
| 42 | 4% | 9% | |
| 43 | 2% | 5% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 19 | 3% | 98% | |
| 20 | 11% | 94% | |
| 21 | 11% | 83% | |
| 22 | 17% | 72% | Last Result |
| 23 | 20% | 55% | Median |
| 24 | 15% | 35% | |
| 25 | 7% | 20% | |
| 26 | 7% | 12% | |
| 27 | 3% | 5% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 210 | 100% | 204–216 | 202–217 | 200–219 | 197–221 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 176 | 64% | 170–182 | 168–184 | 167–185 | 164–188 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 173 | 36% | 167–179 | 165–181 | 164–182 | 161–185 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 172 | 31% | 166–179 | 164–180 | 163–181 | 160–184 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 154 | 0% | 148–159 | 146–161 | 144–162 | 141–165 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 143 | 0% | 137–149 | 135–150 | 134–151 | 131–155 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 143 | 0% | 137–149 | 135–150 | 134–151 | 131–155 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 135 | 0% | 130–141 | 128–143 | 126–145 | 124–148 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 135 | 0% | 129–141 | 127–142 | 126–144 | 123–146 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 128 | 0% | 122–133 | 120–135 | 119–137 | 116–141 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 120 | 0% | 114–125 | 113–127 | 111–129 | 109–131 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 120 | 0% | 114–125 | 113–127 | 111–129 | 109–131 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 90 | 0% | 85–95 | 83–97 | 82–99 | 80–104 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 196 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 198 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 199 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 200 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 201 | 1.2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 202 | 3% | 96% | |
| 203 | 3% | 94% | |
| 204 | 2% | 91% | |
| 205 | 5% | 88% | |
| 206 | 8% | 83% | |
| 207 | 8% | 76% | |
| 208 | 12% | 68% | |
| 209 | 5% | 56% | Median |
| 210 | 8% | 51% | |
| 211 | 8% | 43% | |
| 212 | 8% | 35% | |
| 213 | 5% | 27% | |
| 214 | 5% | 22% | |
| 215 | 4% | 16% | |
| 216 | 5% | 12% | |
| 217 | 3% | 7% | |
| 218 | 2% | 4% | |
| 219 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 220 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 221 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 222 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 223 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 225 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 226 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 165 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 166 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 167 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 168 | 2% | 97% | |
| 169 | 2% | 95% | |
| 170 | 4% | 93% | |
| 171 | 5% | 89% | |
| 172 | 7% | 84% | |
| 173 | 5% | 77% | |
| 174 | 7% | 72% | |
| 175 | 7% | 64% | Majority |
| 176 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 177 | 8% | 48% | |
| 178 | 7% | 40% | |
| 179 | 9% | 33% | |
| 180 | 6% | 24% | |
| 181 | 6% | 18% | |
| 182 | 4% | 12% | |
| 183 | 3% | 8% | |
| 184 | 2% | 5% | |
| 185 | 2% | 4% | |
| 186 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 162 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 163 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 164 | 2% | 98% | |
| 165 | 2% | 96% | |
| 166 | 3% | 95% | |
| 167 | 4% | 92% | |
| 168 | 6% | 88% | |
| 169 | 6% | 82% | |
| 170 | 9% | 76% | |
| 171 | 7% | 67% | |
| 172 | 8% | 60% | Median |
| 173 | 10% | 52% | |
| 174 | 7% | 42% | |
| 175 | 7% | 36% | Majority |
| 176 | 5% | 28% | |
| 177 | 7% | 23% | |
| 178 | 5% | 16% | |
| 179 | 4% | 11% | |
| 180 | 2% | 7% | |
| 181 | 2% | 5% | |
| 182 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 183 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 184 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 162 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 163 | 2% | 98% | |
| 164 | 2% | 96% | |
| 165 | 2% | 94% | |
| 166 | 3% | 92% | |
| 167 | 4% | 90% | |
| 168 | 7% | 85% | |
| 169 | 11% | 78% | |
| 170 | 6% | 68% | Last Result |
| 171 | 8% | 61% | |
| 172 | 5% | 54% | Median |
| 173 | 9% | 49% | |
| 174 | 9% | 40% | |
| 175 | 7% | 31% | Majority |
| 176 | 7% | 24% | |
| 177 | 4% | 17% | |
| 178 | 3% | 13% | |
| 179 | 3% | 10% | |
| 180 | 3% | 8% | |
| 181 | 2% | 4% | |
| 182 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 183 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 142 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 144 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 145 | 2% | 97% | |
| 146 | 2% | 96% | |
| 147 | 2% | 94% | |
| 148 | 6% | 92% | |
| 149 | 4% | 86% | |
| 150 | 7% | 82% | |
| 151 | 8% | 75% | |
| 152 | 8% | 67% | |
| 153 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 154 | 12% | 51% | |
| 155 | 8% | 39% | |
| 156 | 6% | 31% | |
| 157 | 6% | 25% | |
| 158 | 6% | 19% | |
| 159 | 5% | 13% | |
| 160 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 161 | 3% | 7% | |
| 162 | 2% | 3% | |
| 163 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 132 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 133 | 0.9% | 98.5% | |
| 134 | 2% | 98% | |
| 135 | 2% | 96% | |
| 136 | 2% | 94% | |
| 137 | 6% | 92% | |
| 138 | 4% | 86% | |
| 139 | 6% | 81% | |
| 140 | 6% | 75% | |
| 141 | 9% | 69% | |
| 142 | 9% | 60% | Median |
| 143 | 10% | 51% | Last Result |
| 144 | 6% | 42% | |
| 145 | 8% | 35% | |
| 146 | 6% | 27% | |
| 147 | 6% | 21% | |
| 148 | 5% | 15% | |
| 149 | 4% | 10% | |
| 150 | 3% | 7% | |
| 151 | 2% | 4% | |
| 152 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 132 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 133 | 0.9% | 98.5% | |
| 134 | 2% | 98% | |
| 135 | 2% | 96% | |
| 136 | 2% | 94% | |
| 137 | 6% | 92% | |
| 138 | 4% | 86% | |
| 139 | 6% | 81% | |
| 140 | 6% | 75% | |
| 141 | 9% | 69% | |
| 142 | 9% | 60% | Median |
| 143 | 10% | 51% | |
| 144 | 6% | 42% | |
| 145 | 8% | 35% | |
| 146 | 6% | 27% | |
| 147 | 6% | 21% | |
| 148 | 5% | 15% | |
| 149 | 4% | 10% | |
| 150 | 3% | 7% | |
| 151 | 2% | 4% | |
| 152 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 124 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 125 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 126 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 127 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 128 | 2% | 95% | |
| 129 | 3% | 93% | |
| 130 | 7% | 90% | |
| 131 | 5% | 84% | |
| 132 | 6% | 79% | |
| 133 | 9% | 72% | |
| 134 | 9% | 63% | |
| 135 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 136 | 9% | 47% | |
| 137 | 8% | 38% | |
| 138 | 5% | 30% | |
| 139 | 7% | 25% | |
| 140 | 5% | 19% | |
| 141 | 4% | 13% | |
| 142 | 3% | 9% | |
| 143 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 144 | 1.2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 146 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 147 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 124 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 125 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 126 | 2% | 98% | |
| 127 | 2% | 96% | |
| 128 | 2% | 95% | Last Result |
| 129 | 3% | 93% | |
| 130 | 7% | 90% | |
| 131 | 5% | 83% | |
| 132 | 6% | 78% | |
| 133 | 9% | 71% | |
| 134 | 9% | 62% | |
| 135 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 136 | 9% | 46% | |
| 137 | 8% | 37% | |
| 138 | 5% | 29% | |
| 139 | 7% | 24% | |
| 140 | 5% | 17% | |
| 141 | 4% | 12% | |
| 142 | 3% | 7% | |
| 143 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 144 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 145 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 118 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 119 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 120 | 3% | 97% | |
| 121 | 3% | 95% | |
| 122 | 4% | 91% | |
| 123 | 8% | 88% | |
| 124 | 7% | 80% | |
| 125 | 8% | 74% | |
| 126 | 6% | 65% | |
| 127 | 8% | 60% | Median |
| 128 | 7% | 51% | |
| 129 | 12% | 45% | |
| 130 | 7% | 32% | |
| 131 | 7% | 25% | |
| 132 | 4% | 18% | |
| 133 | 5% | 14% | |
| 134 | 2% | 9% | |
| 135 | 2% | 7% | |
| 136 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 137 | 2% | 3% | |
| 138 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 110 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 111 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 112 | 2% | 97% | |
| 113 | 3% | 95% | |
| 114 | 3% | 93% | |
| 115 | 6% | 90% | |
| 116 | 7% | 83% | |
| 117 | 8% | 77% | |
| 118 | 8% | 68% | |
| 119 | 8% | 61% | Median |
| 120 | 5% | 52% | |
| 121 | 10% | 47% | Last Result |
| 122 | 8% | 38% | |
| 123 | 9% | 30% | |
| 124 | 6% | 21% | |
| 125 | 5% | 15% | |
| 126 | 2% | 9% | |
| 127 | 3% | 7% | |
| 128 | 2% | 5% | |
| 129 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 110 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 111 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 112 | 2% | 97% | |
| 113 | 3% | 95% | |
| 114 | 3% | 93% | |
| 115 | 6% | 90% | |
| 116 | 7% | 83% | |
| 117 | 8% | 77% | |
| 118 | 8% | 68% | |
| 119 | 8% | 61% | Median |
| 120 | 5% | 52% | |
| 121 | 10% | 47% | |
| 122 | 8% | 38% | |
| 123 | 9% | 30% | |
| 124 | 6% | 21% | |
| 125 | 5% | 15% | |
| 126 | 2% | 9% | |
| 127 | 3% | 7% | |
| 128 | 2% | 5% | |
| 129 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98% | |
| 83 | 2% | 97% | |
| 84 | 4% | 95% | |
| 85 | 5% | 90% | |
| 86 | 6% | 85% | |
| 87 | 7% | 80% | |
| 88 | 10% | 73% | |
| 89 | 10% | 63% | |
| 90 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 91 | 8% | 45% | |
| 92 | 12% | 37% | |
| 93 | 7% | 26% | |
| 94 | 3% | 19% | |
| 95 | 6% | 16% | |
| 96 | 3% | 10% | |
| 97 | 2% | 7% | |
| 98 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 8–20 June 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1547
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.02%