Opinion Poll by SKOP, 3–11 September 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 25.8% | 24.1–27.6% | 23.7–28.2% | 23.2–28.6% | 22.5–29.5% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 21.6% | 20.0–23.3% | 19.5–23.7% | 19.1–24.2% | 18.4–25.0% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 18.5% | 17.1–20.2% | 16.6–20.6% | 16.3–21.0% | 15.6–21.8% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 12.5% | 11.3–13.9% | 10.9–14.3% | 10.6–14.7% | 10.1–15.4% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.2% | 8.0–11.6% | 7.5–12.2% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.5–4.7% | 2.2–5.1% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–3.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 96 | 89–103 | 88–105 | 86–106 | 83–110 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 81 | 74–87 | 71–88 | 71–91 | 68–94 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 69 | 63–75 | 62–77 | 61–79 | 58–81 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 46 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 40–55 | 37–57 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 36 | 32–40 | 30–41 | 30–43 | 28–46 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 18 | 16–22 | 0–23 | 0–24 | 0–26 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–18 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 86 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 87 | 2% | 97% | |
| 88 | 2% | 95% | |
| 89 | 3% | 93% | |
| 90 | 4% | 90% | |
| 91 | 4% | 86% | |
| 92 | 7% | 81% | |
| 93 | 7% | 75% | |
| 94 | 8% | 68% | |
| 95 | 6% | 61% | |
| 96 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 97 | 7% | 48% | |
| 98 | 5% | 41% | |
| 99 | 8% | 36% | |
| 100 | 9% | 28% | Last Result |
| 101 | 4% | 19% | |
| 102 | 3% | 15% | |
| 103 | 5% | 11% | |
| 104 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 105 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 106 | 2% | 5% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 71 | 3% | 98% | |
| 72 | 2% | 95% | |
| 73 | 2% | 93% | |
| 74 | 3% | 90% | |
| 75 | 4% | 88% | |
| 76 | 5% | 84% | |
| 77 | 9% | 79% | |
| 78 | 8% | 69% | |
| 79 | 4% | 62% | |
| 80 | 5% | 57% | |
| 81 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 82 | 8% | 39% | |
| 83 | 6% | 31% | |
| 84 | 4% | 26% | |
| 85 | 5% | 21% | |
| 86 | 5% | 16% | |
| 87 | 4% | 11% | |
| 88 | 3% | 7% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 62 | 3% | 96% | Last Result |
| 63 | 5% | 93% | |
| 64 | 5% | 88% | |
| 65 | 4% | 83% | |
| 66 | 8% | 79% | |
| 67 | 8% | 71% | |
| 68 | 9% | 63% | |
| 69 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 70 | 7% | 48% | |
| 71 | 12% | 41% | |
| 72 | 6% | 28% | |
| 73 | 7% | 23% | |
| 74 | 4% | 16% | |
| 75 | 3% | 12% | |
| 76 | 4% | 9% | |
| 77 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 78 | 2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 4% | 95% | |
| 42 | 5% | 91% | |
| 43 | 7% | 87% | |
| 44 | 11% | 80% | |
| 45 | 11% | 70% | |
| 46 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 47 | 11% | 50% | |
| 48 | 8% | 39% | |
| 49 | 9% | 31% | |
| 50 | 4% | 22% | |
| 51 | 6% | 18% | |
| 52 | 5% | 12% | |
| 53 | 2% | 7% | |
| 54 | 2% | 5% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 30 | 3% | 98% | |
| 31 | 4% | 95% | Last Result |
| 32 | 5% | 90% | |
| 33 | 7% | 86% | |
| 34 | 12% | 78% | |
| 35 | 11% | 67% | |
| 36 | 14% | 55% | Median |
| 37 | 11% | 41% | |
| 38 | 7% | 30% | |
| 39 | 8% | 23% | |
| 40 | 6% | 15% | |
| 41 | 3% | 8% | |
| 42 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 94% | |
| 2 | 0% | 94% | |
| 3 | 0% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0% | 94% | |
| 6 | 0% | 94% | |
| 7 | 0% | 94% | |
| 8 | 0% | 94% | |
| 9 | 0% | 94% | |
| 10 | 0% | 94% | |
| 11 | 0% | 94% | |
| 12 | 0% | 94% | |
| 13 | 0% | 94% | |
| 14 | 0% | 94% | |
| 15 | 3% | 94% | |
| 16 | 10% | 91% | |
| 17 | 13% | 80% | |
| 18 | 18% | 67% | Median |
| 19 | 15% | 49% | |
| 20 | 13% | 33% | |
| 21 | 8% | 21% | |
| 22 | 6% | 13% | Last Result |
| 23 | 4% | 7% | |
| 24 | 2% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 81% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 19% | |
| 2 | 0% | 19% | |
| 3 | 0% | 19% | |
| 4 | 0% | 19% | |
| 5 | 0% | 19% | |
| 6 | 0% | 19% | |
| 7 | 0% | 19% | |
| 8 | 0% | 19% | |
| 9 | 0% | 19% | |
| 10 | 0% | 19% | |
| 11 | 0% | 19% | |
| 12 | 0% | 19% | |
| 13 | 0% | 19% | |
| 14 | 2% | 19% | |
| 15 | 8% | 17% | |
| 16 | 5% | 9% | Last Result |
| 17 | 2% | 4% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.6% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 213 | 100% | 203–221 | 200–224 | 198–226 | 193–232 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 182 | 88% | 174–191 | 172–193 | 170–195 | 166–199 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 177 | 64% | 167–185 | 166–188 | 163–189 | 159–194 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 167 | 12% | 158–175 | 156–177 | 154–179 | 150–183 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 149 | 0% | 141–157 | 138–161 | 137–162 | 133–167 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 145 | 0% | 138–155 | 136–156 | 135–159 | 131–164 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 142 | 0% | 135–151 | 133–154 | 132–155 | 128–158 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 135 | 0% | 127–144 | 125–147 | 123–149 | 120–154 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 135 | 0% | 126–142 | 122–144 | 119–146 | 115–150 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 135 | 0% | 126–142 | 122–144 | 119–146 | 115–150 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 116 | 0% | 109–124 | 107–126 | 105–128 | 102–132 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 116 | 0% | 109–124 | 107–125 | 105–128 | 102–132 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 99 | 0% | 91–108 | 89–111 | 87–113 | 85–117 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 192 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 193 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 196 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 197 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 198 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 199 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 200 | 2% | 97% | |
| 201 | 2% | 94% | Last Result |
| 202 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 203 | 2% | 91% | |
| 204 | 3% | 89% | |
| 205 | 2% | 86% | |
| 206 | 3% | 83% | |
| 207 | 3% | 80% | |
| 208 | 7% | 78% | |
| 209 | 3% | 71% | |
| 210 | 6% | 67% | |
| 211 | 6% | 62% | |
| 212 | 5% | 56% | |
| 213 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 214 | 7% | 46% | |
| 215 | 5% | 40% | |
| 216 | 5% | 34% | |
| 217 | 6% | 29% | |
| 218 | 6% | 23% | |
| 219 | 3% | 18% | |
| 220 | 4% | 15% | |
| 221 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 222 | 2% | 9% | |
| 223 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 224 | 2% | 6% | |
| 225 | 2% | 4% | |
| 226 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 227 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 228 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 229 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 230 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 231 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 232 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 233 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 234 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 236 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 237 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 238 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 239 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 163 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 168 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 169 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 170 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 171 | 2% | 97% | |
| 172 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 173 | 3% | 94% | |
| 174 | 3% | 91% | |
| 175 | 5% | 88% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 83% | |
| 177 | 9% | 81% | |
| 178 | 5% | 72% | Median |
| 179 | 9% | 68% | |
| 180 | 2% | 59% | |
| 181 | 5% | 57% | |
| 182 | 7% | 51% | |
| 183 | 5% | 44% | |
| 184 | 9% | 40% | |
| 185 | 2% | 30% | |
| 186 | 3% | 28% | |
| 187 | 7% | 25% | |
| 188 | 4% | 18% | |
| 189 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 190 | 2% | 13% | |
| 191 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 192 | 2% | 9% | |
| 193 | 3% | 7% | |
| 194 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 195 | 1.0% | 3% | Last Result |
| 196 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 197 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 198 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 199 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 161 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 164 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 165 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 166 | 2% | 95% | |
| 167 | 4% | 93% | |
| 168 | 3% | 89% | |
| 169 | 3% | 86% | |
| 170 | 3% | 82% | Last Result |
| 171 | 3% | 79% | |
| 172 | 4% | 77% | |
| 173 | 5% | 73% | |
| 174 | 4% | 67% | |
| 175 | 7% | 64% | Majority |
| 176 | 6% | 56% | |
| 177 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 178 | 5% | 43% | |
| 179 | 4% | 38% | |
| 180 | 2% | 34% | |
| 181 | 6% | 32% | |
| 182 | 8% | 25% | |
| 183 | 3% | 17% | |
| 184 | 4% | 14% | |
| 185 | 2% | 10% | |
| 186 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 187 | 2% | 7% | |
| 188 | 3% | 6% | |
| 189 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 190 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 192 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 152 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 153 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 154 | 1.0% | 98% | Last Result |
| 155 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 156 | 3% | 96% | |
| 157 | 2% | 93% | |
| 158 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 159 | 2% | 90% | |
| 160 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 161 | 4% | 86% | |
| 162 | 7% | 82% | |
| 163 | 3% | 75% | |
| 164 | 2% | 72% | |
| 165 | 9% | 70% | |
| 166 | 5% | 60% | |
| 167 | 7% | 56% | |
| 168 | 5% | 49% | Median |
| 169 | 2% | 43% | |
| 170 | 9% | 41% | |
| 171 | 5% | 32% | |
| 172 | 9% | 28% | |
| 173 | 2% | 19% | |
| 174 | 5% | 17% | |
| 175 | 3% | 12% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 9% | |
| 177 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 178 | 2% | 5% | |
| 179 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 180 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 181 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 183 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 136 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 137 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 138 | 3% | 97% | |
| 139 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 140 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 141 | 2% | 92% | |
| 142 | 2% | 90% | |
| 143 | 3% | 88% | |
| 144 | 6% | 84% | |
| 145 | 7% | 78% | |
| 146 | 6% | 72% | |
| 147 | 6% | 65% | |
| 148 | 6% | 59% | |
| 149 | 4% | 53% | |
| 150 | 4% | 49% | Median |
| 151 | 3% | 45% | |
| 152 | 7% | 42% | |
| 153 | 6% | 35% | |
| 154 | 8% | 29% | |
| 155 | 5% | 21% | |
| 156 | 2% | 16% | |
| 157 | 5% | 14% | |
| 158 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 159 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 160 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 161 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 162 | 2% | 4% | |
| 163 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 133 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 134 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 135 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 136 | 2% | 96% | |
| 137 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 138 | 4% | 93% | |
| 139 | 5% | 89% | |
| 140 | 7% | 84% | |
| 141 | 4% | 77% | |
| 142 | 8% | 74% | Median |
| 143 | 8% | 66% | |
| 144 | 6% | 58% | Last Result |
| 145 | 3% | 52% | |
| 146 | 7% | 48% | |
| 147 | 4% | 42% | |
| 148 | 3% | 38% | |
| 149 | 5% | 35% | |
| 150 | 4% | 29% | |
| 151 | 4% | 25% | |
| 152 | 4% | 21% | |
| 153 | 4% | 17% | |
| 154 | 2% | 13% | |
| 155 | 3% | 10% | |
| 156 | 3% | 8% | |
| 157 | 2% | 5% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 160 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 131 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 132 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 133 | 2% | 96% | |
| 134 | 2% | 94% | |
| 135 | 3% | 93% | |
| 136 | 3% | 90% | |
| 137 | 3% | 87% | |
| 138 | 7% | 84% | |
| 139 | 5% | 77% | |
| 140 | 8% | 71% | |
| 141 | 4% | 64% | |
| 142 | 10% | 60% | Median |
| 143 | 8% | 50% | |
| 144 | 7% | 42% | |
| 145 | 3% | 35% | |
| 146 | 7% | 32% | |
| 147 | 4% | 25% | |
| 148 | 3% | 21% | |
| 149 | 4% | 18% | |
| 150 | 3% | 15% | |
| 151 | 4% | 12% | |
| 152 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 153 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 154 | 2% | 5% | |
| 155 | 2% | 4% | |
| 156 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 121 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 122 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 123 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 124 | 2% | 97% | |
| 125 | 2% | 95% | |
| 126 | 3% | 93% | |
| 127 | 2% | 90% | |
| 128 | 3% | 88% | |
| 129 | 4% | 85% | |
| 130 | 7% | 81% | |
| 131 | 5% | 74% | |
| 132 | 4% | 69% | Median |
| 133 | 5% | 64% | |
| 134 | 7% | 59% | |
| 135 | 7% | 52% | |
| 136 | 5% | 45% | |
| 137 | 8% | 41% | |
| 138 | 4% | 33% | |
| 139 | 5% | 29% | |
| 140 | 4% | 24% | |
| 141 | 3% | 20% | |
| 142 | 4% | 17% | |
| 143 | 2% | 13% | |
| 144 | 1.5% | 11% | |
| 145 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 146 | 1.5% | 9% | |
| 147 | 3% | 7% | |
| 148 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 149 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 150 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 114 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 119 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 121 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 122 | 2% | 96% | |
| 123 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 124 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 125 | 2% | 92% | |
| 126 | 4% | 90% | |
| 127 | 2% | 87% | |
| 128 | 4% | 85% | |
| 129 | 3% | 80% | |
| 130 | 4% | 77% | |
| 131 | 6% | 73% | |
| 132 | 3% | 66% | |
| 133 | 6% | 63% | |
| 134 | 7% | 57% | |
| 135 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 136 | 8% | 43% | |
| 137 | 7% | 35% | |
| 138 | 3% | 28% | |
| 139 | 5% | 25% | |
| 140 | 3% | 20% | |
| 141 | 5% | 18% | |
| 142 | 4% | 12% | |
| 143 | 3% | 8% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 145 | 2% | 5% | |
| 146 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 147 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 119 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 121 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 122 | 2% | 96% | |
| 123 | 0.9% | 94% | Last Result |
| 124 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 125 | 2% | 92% | |
| 126 | 4% | 90% | |
| 127 | 2% | 87% | |
| 128 | 4% | 84% | |
| 129 | 3% | 80% | |
| 130 | 4% | 77% | |
| 131 | 6% | 73% | |
| 132 | 3% | 66% | |
| 133 | 6% | 63% | |
| 134 | 7% | 57% | |
| 135 | 8% | 50% | Median |
| 136 | 8% | 43% | |
| 137 | 7% | 35% | |
| 138 | 3% | 27% | |
| 139 | 5% | 25% | |
| 140 | 3% | 20% | |
| 141 | 5% | 17% | |
| 142 | 4% | 12% | |
| 143 | 3% | 8% | |
| 144 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 145 | 2% | 4% | |
| 146 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 104 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 106 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 107 | 2% | 96% | |
| 108 | 3% | 94% | |
| 109 | 3% | 91% | |
| 110 | 5% | 88% | |
| 111 | 6% | 83% | |
| 112 | 5% | 78% | |
| 113 | 5% | 73% | |
| 114 | 5% | 68% | |
| 115 | 9% | 64% | |
| 116 | 7% | 55% | |
| 117 | 6% | 48% | Median |
| 118 | 5% | 43% | |
| 119 | 9% | 37% | |
| 120 | 5% | 28% | |
| 121 | 4% | 23% | Last Result |
| 122 | 5% | 19% | |
| 123 | 3% | 14% | |
| 124 | 3% | 11% | |
| 125 | 3% | 8% | |
| 126 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 127 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 128 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 129 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 132 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 104 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 106 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 107 | 2% | 96% | |
| 108 | 3% | 94% | |
| 109 | 3% | 90% | |
| 110 | 5% | 88% | |
| 111 | 6% | 83% | |
| 112 | 5% | 78% | |
| 113 | 5% | 73% | |
| 114 | 5% | 68% | |
| 115 | 9% | 63% | |
| 116 | 7% | 55% | |
| 117 | 6% | 48% | Median |
| 118 | 5% | 43% | |
| 119 | 9% | 37% | |
| 120 | 5% | 28% | |
| 121 | 4% | 23% | |
| 122 | 5% | 18% | |
| 123 | 3% | 14% | |
| 124 | 3% | 10% | |
| 125 | 3% | 7% | |
| 126 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 127 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 128 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 129 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 86 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 88 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 89 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 90 | 3% | 95% | |
| 91 | 3% | 92% | |
| 92 | 3% | 89% | |
| 93 | 6% | 86% | |
| 94 | 7% | 80% | |
| 95 | 5% | 73% | |
| 96 | 4% | 68% | Median |
| 97 | 7% | 64% | |
| 98 | 4% | 57% | |
| 99 | 7% | 53% | |
| 100 | 10% | 46% | |
| 101 | 5% | 36% | |
| 102 | 3% | 32% | |
| 103 | 6% | 28% | |
| 104 | 3% | 23% | |
| 105 | 1.2% | 20% | |
| 106 | 5% | 19% | |
| 107 | 4% | 14% | |
| 108 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 109 | 2% | 9% | |
| 110 | 3% | 8% | |
| 111 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 112 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 113 | 2% | 4% | |
| 114 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKOP
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 3–11 September 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1030
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.79%