Opinion Poll by Sifo, 6–16 September 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 26.1% | 25.4–26.8% | 25.2–27.0% | 25.0–27.2% | 24.7–27.5% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 21.5% | 20.9–22.2% | 20.7–22.4% | 20.5–22.5% | 20.2–22.8% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.6% | 19.0–20.3% | 18.8–20.4% | 18.7–20.6% | 18.4–20.9% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.1–11.1% | 10.0–11.3% | 9.9–11.4% | 9.6–11.6% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4–9.4% | 8.3–9.5% | 8.2–9.6% | 8.0–9.8% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4–5.1% | 4.3–5.2% | 4.2–5.3% | 4.1–5.4% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9–4.5% | 3.8–4.6% | 3.7–4.7% | 3.6–4.9% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.7–3.3% | 2.7–3.4% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.5–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 96 | 93–99 | 92–101 | 92–102 | 90–104 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 79 | 77–82 | 76–83 | 75–84 | 74–86 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 71 | 69–75 | 69–76 | 68–77 | 67–79 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 39 | 37–41 | 37–42 | 36–42 | 35–43 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 32 | 31–34 | 31–35 | 30–35 | 29–37 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 17 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 15 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–17 | 0–18 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 92 | 3% | 98% | |
| 93 | 6% | 95% | |
| 94 | 7% | 88% | |
| 95 | 23% | 82% | |
| 96 | 17% | 59% | Median |
| 97 | 21% | 42% | |
| 98 | 8% | 21% | |
| 99 | 4% | 13% | |
| 100 | 4% | 9% | Last Result |
| 101 | 2% | 5% | |
| 102 | 2% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 76 | 7% | 97% | |
| 77 | 10% | 90% | |
| 78 | 24% | 80% | |
| 79 | 22% | 56% | Median |
| 80 | 14% | 35% | |
| 81 | 8% | 21% | |
| 82 | 6% | 12% | |
| 83 | 3% | 7% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 9% | 97% | |
| 70 | 16% | 88% | |
| 71 | 34% | 72% | Median |
| 72 | 12% | 38% | |
| 73 | 8% | 25% | |
| 74 | 7% | 18% | |
| 75 | 4% | 11% | |
| 76 | 3% | 7% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 16% | 96% | |
| 38 | 21% | 79% | |
| 39 | 26% | 58% | Median |
| 40 | 18% | 33% | |
| 41 | 8% | 14% | |
| 42 | 4% | 6% | |
| 43 | 2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 31 | 16% | 97% | Last Result |
| 32 | 36% | 81% | Median |
| 33 | 25% | 46% | |
| 34 | 13% | 21% | |
| 35 | 5% | 8% | |
| 36 | 2% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 10% | 97% | |
| 17 | 42% | 86% | Median |
| 18 | 35% | 45% | |
| 19 | 8% | 10% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 86% | |
| 2 | 0% | 86% | |
| 3 | 0% | 86% | |
| 4 | 0% | 86% | |
| 5 | 0% | 86% | |
| 6 | 0% | 86% | |
| 7 | 0% | 86% | |
| 8 | 0% | 86% | |
| 9 | 0% | 86% | |
| 10 | 0% | 86% | |
| 11 | 0% | 86% | |
| 12 | 0% | 86% | |
| 13 | 0% | 86% | |
| 14 | 0% | 86% | |
| 15 | 42% | 86% | Median |
| 16 | 35% | 44% | Last Result |
| 17 | 7% | 9% | |
| 18 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 207 | 100% | 204–214 | 203–217 | 202–217 | 201–220 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 182 | 92% | 176–184 | 173–185 | 171–186 | 170–188 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 175 | 52% | 172–180 | 170–183 | 170–184 | 168–186 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 167 | 8% | 165–173 | 164–176 | 163–178 | 161–179 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 150 | 0% | 148–156 | 147–158 | 146–160 | 144–161 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 150 | 0% | 142–151 | 139–153 | 138–153 | 136–155 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 143 | 0% | 135–145 | 132–146 | 131–147 | 129–149 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 135 | 0% | 132–139 | 131–142 | 130–143 | 129–145 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 128 | 0% | 126–133 | 125–134 | 124–136 | 123–138 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 128 | 0% | 126–133 | 125–134 | 124–136 | 123–138 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 111 | 0% | 109–115 | 108–117 | 107–118 | 106–120 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 111 | 0% | 109–115 | 108–117 | 107–118 | 106–120 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 111 | 0% | 101–113 | 99–114 | 98–115 | 95–116 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 199 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 201 | 1.2% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 202 | 2% | 98% | |
| 203 | 3% | 97% | |
| 204 | 5% | 93% | |
| 205 | 12% | 88% | |
| 206 | 19% | 76% | |
| 207 | 16% | 57% | Median |
| 208 | 15% | 41% | |
| 209 | 7% | 25% | |
| 210 | 3% | 18% | |
| 211 | 2% | 15% | |
| 212 | 1.4% | 13% | |
| 213 | 1.1% | 12% | |
| 214 | 2% | 11% | |
| 215 | 2% | 9% | |
| 216 | 2% | 8% | |
| 217 | 3% | 5% | |
| 218 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 219 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 220 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 221 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 223 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 168 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 170 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 171 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 172 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 173 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 174 | 2% | 94% | |
| 175 | 2% | 92% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 91% | |
| 177 | 2% | 88% | |
| 178 | 2% | 85% | |
| 179 | 4% | 83% | |
| 180 | 6% | 79% | |
| 181 | 12% | 74% | |
| 182 | 29% | 62% | Median |
| 183 | 20% | 32% | |
| 184 | 4% | 12% | |
| 185 | 4% | 8% | |
| 186 | 2% | 4% | |
| 187 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 188 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 166 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 169 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 170 | 3% | 98% | Last Result |
| 171 | 4% | 94% | |
| 172 | 6% | 90% | |
| 173 | 16% | 84% | |
| 174 | 16% | 68% | |
| 175 | 16% | 52% | Median, Majority |
| 176 | 13% | 36% | |
| 177 | 5% | 23% | |
| 178 | 5% | 18% | |
| 179 | 2% | 13% | |
| 180 | 1.5% | 11% | |
| 181 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 182 | 2% | 8% | |
| 183 | 3% | 6% | |
| 184 | 2% | 4% | |
| 185 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 186 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 163 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 164 | 4% | 96% | |
| 165 | 4% | 92% | |
| 166 | 20% | 88% | |
| 167 | 29% | 68% | Median |
| 168 | 12% | 38% | |
| 169 | 6% | 26% | |
| 170 | 4% | 21% | |
| 171 | 2% | 17% | |
| 172 | 2% | 15% | |
| 173 | 3% | 12% | |
| 174 | 2% | 9% | |
| 175 | 2% | 8% | Majority |
| 176 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 177 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 178 | 2% | 3% | |
| 179 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 180 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 145 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 146 | 3% | 98% | |
| 147 | 3% | 95% | |
| 148 | 19% | 93% | |
| 149 | 11% | 73% | |
| 150 | 24% | 62% | Median |
| 151 | 12% | 38% | |
| 152 | 6% | 26% | |
| 153 | 4% | 20% | |
| 154 | 2% | 16% | |
| 155 | 3% | 13% | |
| 156 | 3% | 10% | |
| 157 | 2% | 7% | |
| 158 | 2% | 6% | |
| 159 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 160 | 2% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 137 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 138 | 2% | 98% | |
| 139 | 2% | 96% | |
| 140 | 2% | 95% | |
| 141 | 2% | 93% | |
| 142 | 2% | 91% | |
| 143 | 2% | 89% | |
| 144 | 1.4% | 87% | Last Result |
| 145 | 3% | 86% | |
| 146 | 2% | 83% | |
| 147 | 5% | 81% | |
| 148 | 5% | 76% | |
| 149 | 9% | 71% | |
| 150 | 42% | 62% | Median |
| 151 | 10% | 20% | |
| 152 | 5% | 10% | |
| 153 | 3% | 5% | |
| 154 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 155 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 130 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 131 | 2% | 98% | |
| 132 | 2% | 96% | |
| 133 | 2% | 94% | |
| 134 | 2% | 93% | |
| 135 | 3% | 91% | |
| 136 | 1.1% | 88% | |
| 137 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 138 | 1.0% | 86% | |
| 139 | 2% | 85% | |
| 140 | 2% | 84% | |
| 141 | 4% | 81% | |
| 142 | 18% | 77% | |
| 143 | 16% | 59% | Median |
| 144 | 11% | 43% | |
| 145 | 23% | 32% | |
| 146 | 4% | 9% | |
| 147 | 2% | 5% | |
| 148 | 2% | 2% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 130 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 131 | 5% | 96% | |
| 132 | 7% | 91% | |
| 133 | 6% | 84% | |
| 134 | 26% | 78% | |
| 135 | 22% | 52% | Median |
| 136 | 11% | 30% | |
| 137 | 4% | 19% | |
| 138 | 3% | 15% | |
| 139 | 3% | 12% | |
| 140 | 2% | 9% | |
| 141 | 2% | 7% | |
| 142 | 2% | 5% | |
| 143 | 2% | 4% | |
| 144 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 120 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 123 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 124 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 125 | 2% | 97% | |
| 126 | 5% | 94% | |
| 127 | 14% | 90% | |
| 128 | 35% | 76% | Median |
| 129 | 14% | 41% | |
| 130 | 4% | 27% | |
| 131 | 4% | 23% | |
| 132 | 7% | 19% | |
| 133 | 3% | 11% | |
| 134 | 4% | 8% | |
| 135 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 136 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 137 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 120 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 123 | 0.8% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 124 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 125 | 2% | 97% | |
| 126 | 5% | 94% | |
| 127 | 14% | 90% | |
| 128 | 35% | 76% | Median |
| 129 | 14% | 41% | |
| 130 | 4% | 27% | |
| 131 | 4% | 23% | |
| 132 | 7% | 19% | |
| 133 | 3% | 11% | |
| 134 | 4% | 8% | |
| 135 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 136 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 137 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 107 | 1.5% | 98.6% | |
| 108 | 3% | 97% | |
| 109 | 6% | 94% | |
| 110 | 23% | 88% | |
| 111 | 34% | 65% | Median |
| 112 | 7% | 32% | |
| 113 | 4% | 25% | |
| 114 | 4% | 21% | |
| 115 | 9% | 17% | |
| 116 | 3% | 8% | |
| 117 | 2% | 5% | |
| 118 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 119 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 120 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 107 | 1.5% | 98.6% | |
| 108 | 3% | 97% | |
| 109 | 6% | 94% | |
| 110 | 23% | 88% | |
| 111 | 34% | 65% | Median |
| 112 | 7% | 32% | |
| 113 | 4% | 25% | |
| 114 | 4% | 21% | |
| 115 | 9% | 17% | |
| 116 | 3% | 8% | |
| 117 | 2% | 5% | |
| 118 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 119 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 120 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 96 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 98 | 2% | 98% | |
| 99 | 2% | 95% | |
| 100 | 3% | 94% | |
| 101 | 2% | 91% | |
| 102 | 2% | 89% | |
| 103 | 0.6% | 87% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 86% | |
| 106 | 0.7% | 85% | |
| 107 | 2% | 85% | |
| 108 | 3% | 82% | |
| 109 | 6% | 79% | |
| 110 | 14% | 74% | |
| 111 | 20% | 59% | Median |
| 112 | 18% | 39% | |
| 113 | 15% | 21% | |
| 114 | 2% | 5% | |
| 115 | 2% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 6–16 September 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 6488
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.50%