Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 14–26 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 25.0% 23.6–26.4% 23.2–26.9% 22.9–27.2% 22.2–27.9%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 22.0% 20.7–23.4% 20.3–23.8% 20.0–24.1% 19.4–24.8%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 21.0% 19.7–22.4% 19.3–22.8% 19.0–23.1% 18.4–23.8%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 11.0% 10.1–12.1% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.7% 9.1–13.2%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 8.0% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.3% 6.8–9.5% 6.4–10.0%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
Liberalerna 5.5% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.0–4.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 95 88–103 86–104 85–106 83–109
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 84 78–91 76–92 75–93 72–97
Sverigedemokraterna 62 80 74–86 72–88 71–89 68–93
Vänsterpartiet 28 42 38–46 37–48 36–49 34–51
Centerpartiet 31 30 27–34 26–35 25–37 24–38
Kristdemokraterna 22 0 0–18 0–18 0–19 0–20
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 15 0–18 0–18 0–19 0–20
Liberalerna 20 0 0 0 0 0–16

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.7%  
83 0.8% 99.6%  
84 0.5% 98.8%  
85 2% 98%  
86 2% 97%  
87 2% 95%  
88 4% 93%  
89 5% 89%  
90 5% 84%  
91 4% 78%  
92 8% 75%  
93 6% 66%  
94 6% 60%  
95 6% 54% Median
96 7% 48%  
97 9% 41%  
98 4% 32%  
99 4% 28%  
100 6% 24% Last Result
101 5% 18%  
102 3% 13%  
103 2% 10%  
104 4% 9%  
105 0.9% 4%  
106 2% 3%  
107 0.5% 2%  
108 0.4% 1.2%  
109 0.5% 0.8%  
110 0.1% 0.3%  
111 0% 0.2%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.3% 99.7%  
73 0.7% 99.4%  
74 0.9% 98.6%  
75 2% 98%  
76 2% 96%  
77 3% 94%  
78 5% 91%  
79 5% 86%  
80 4% 81%  
81 10% 77%  
82 9% 67%  
83 7% 58%  
84 10% 52% Median
85 7% 41%  
86 5% 34%  
87 6% 29%  
88 5% 23%  
89 3% 18%  
90 4% 15%  
91 4% 11%  
92 2% 7%  
93 2% 4%  
94 0.9% 2%  
95 0.6% 1.4%  
96 0.2% 0.9%  
97 0.4% 0.6%  
98 0.1% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.3% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.6%  
69 0.4% 99.5%  
70 1.0% 99.1%  
71 1.3% 98%  
72 4% 97%  
73 3% 93%  
74 3% 90%  
75 5% 88%  
76 8% 83%  
77 7% 74%  
78 8% 67%  
79 7% 59%  
80 8% 52% Median
81 5% 44%  
82 6% 39%  
83 8% 32%  
84 7% 24%  
85 4% 17%  
86 5% 13%  
87 2% 8%  
88 1.2% 6%  
89 3% 5%  
90 0.6% 2%  
91 0.5% 1.5%  
92 0.4% 1.0%  
93 0.2% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100% Last Result
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.3% 99.9%  
34 0.3% 99.6%  
35 1.4% 99.3%  
36 2% 98%  
37 4% 96%  
38 6% 92%  
39 10% 87%  
40 7% 76%  
41 13% 69%  
42 13% 57% Median
43 7% 44%  
44 14% 37%  
45 9% 23%  
46 5% 14%  
47 2% 9%  
48 4% 7%  
49 1.1% 3%  
50 0.9% 2%  
51 0.4% 0.8%  
52 0.2% 0.5%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.2% 100%  
24 0.8% 99.8%  
25 2% 99.0%  
26 3% 97%  
27 6% 94%  
28 7% 89%  
29 19% 82%  
30 14% 63% Median
31 12% 49% Last Result
32 10% 37%  
33 10% 26%  
34 8% 16%  
35 4% 8%  
36 2% 4%  
37 0.9% 3%  
38 1.2% 2%  
39 0.3% 0.5%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 52% 100% Median
1 0% 48%  
2 0% 48%  
3 0% 48%  
4 0% 48%  
5 0% 48%  
6 0% 48%  
7 0% 48%  
8 0% 48%  
9 0% 48%  
10 0% 48%  
11 0% 48%  
12 0% 48%  
13 0% 48%  
14 0.2% 48%  
15 15% 48%  
16 13% 34%  
17 9% 21%  
18 7% 12%  
19 4% 5%  
20 0.6% 1.0%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
23 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100%  
1 0% 54%  
2 0% 54%  
3 0% 54%  
4 0% 54%  
5 0% 54%  
6 0% 54%  
7 0% 54%  
8 0% 54%  
9 0% 54%  
10 0% 54%  
11 0% 54%  
12 0% 54%  
13 0% 54%  
14 0.2% 54%  
15 12% 54% Median
16 22% 42% Last Result
17 10% 20%  
18 6% 10%  
19 3% 4%  
20 1.0% 1.4%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0% 2%  
7 0% 2%  
8 0% 2%  
9 0% 2%  
10 0% 2%  
11 0% 2%  
12 0% 2%  
13 0% 2%  
14 0.1% 2%  
15 0.8% 2%  
16 1.1% 1.3%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 210 100% 198–221 196–224 194–226 190–230
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 179 70% 169–191 166–192 164–193 161–198
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 195 178 65% 168–188 165–189 163–191 159–195
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna 154 171 35% 161–181 160–184 158–186 154–190
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna 132 163 9% 155–174 153–177 150–179 147–182
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 144 146 0% 137–157 134–158 131–160 128–164
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 138 0% 128–147 126–149 125–150 122–154
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 167 135 0% 125–146 123–147 121–148 118–153
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 143 123 0% 113–133 111–136 109–138 106–142
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 122 0% 113–132 111–135 109–137 106–141
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 114 0% 107–123 105–125 104–127 101–131
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 114 0% 107–122 105–124 104–126 101–129
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 104 0% 94–114 91–116 90–117 86–121

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
186 0% 100%  
187 0% 99.9%  
188 0.1% 99.9%  
189 0.1% 99.8%  
190 0.2% 99.7%  
191 0.3% 99.5%  
192 0.6% 99.2%  
193 0.5% 98.6%  
194 2% 98%  
195 1.0% 96%  
196 1.4% 95%  
197 3% 94%  
198 3% 91%  
199 2% 89%  
200 4% 86%  
201 3% 82% Last Result
202 1.4% 80%  
203 4% 78%  
204 4% 75%  
205 5% 71%  
206 3% 66%  
207 4% 63%  
208 4% 59%  
209 4% 55% Median
210 4% 51%  
211 5% 47%  
212 2% 42%  
213 4% 39%  
214 5% 36%  
215 4% 31%  
216 3% 27%  
217 1.4% 24%  
218 3% 22%  
219 4% 19%  
220 3% 16%  
221 4% 13%  
222 2% 9%  
223 1.3% 7%  
224 0.5% 5%  
225 0.4% 5%  
226 2% 4%  
227 1.0% 2%  
228 0.6% 1.4%  
229 0.3% 0.8%  
230 0.1% 0.5%  
231 0.2% 0.4%  
232 0.1% 0.2%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0.1% 0.1%  
235 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.8%  
160 0.1% 99.7%  
161 0.2% 99.6%  
162 0.3% 99.5%  
163 0.3% 99.2%  
164 1.4% 98.9%  
165 2% 97%  
166 0.4% 95%  
167 3% 95%  
168 2% 92%  
169 2% 90%  
170 4% 88% Last Result
171 4% 84%  
172 3% 80%  
173 2% 77%  
174 5% 75%  
175 4% 70% Majority
176 6% 66%  
177 4% 60%  
178 5% 56%  
179 4% 51% Median
180 5% 47%  
181 5% 42%  
182 3% 37%  
183 3% 34%  
184 6% 31%  
185 2% 25%  
186 2% 23%  
187 4% 21%  
188 3% 17%  
189 3% 14%  
190 0.8% 11%  
191 4% 11%  
192 3% 7%  
193 1.0% 3%  
194 0.4% 2%  
195 0.6% 2%  
196 0.5% 1.5%  
197 0.4% 1.0%  
198 0.1% 0.6%  
199 0.2% 0.5%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0.1% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.1% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.8%  
159 0.4% 99.7%  
160 0.2% 99.3%  
161 0.8% 99.1%  
162 0.3% 98%  
163 1.1% 98%  
164 1.4% 97%  
165 1.3% 95%  
166 2% 94%  
167 1.4% 92%  
168 2% 91%  
169 3% 89%  
170 6% 85%  
171 2% 80%  
172 4% 77%  
173 6% 73%  
174 2% 67%  
175 6% 65% Majority
176 6% 59%  
177 2% 52%  
178 10% 50%  
179 3% 40%  
180 3% 37%  
181 4% 34%  
182 4% 29% Median
183 4% 25%  
184 3% 21%  
185 3% 18%  
186 3% 15%  
187 1.1% 12%  
188 3% 11%  
189 3% 8%  
190 0.8% 5%  
191 2% 4%  
192 0.4% 2%  
193 0.5% 1.3%  
194 0.3% 0.9%  
195 0.2% 0.6% Last Result
196 0.2% 0.4%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0.1% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.2% 99.8%  
154 0.2% 99.6% Last Result
155 0.3% 99.4%  
156 0.5% 99.1%  
157 0.4% 98.7%  
158 2% 98%  
159 0.8% 96%  
160 3% 95%  
161 3% 92%  
162 1.1% 89%  
163 3% 88%  
164 3% 85% Median
165 3% 82%  
166 4% 79%  
167 4% 75%  
168 4% 71%  
169 3% 66%  
170 3% 63%  
171 10% 60%  
172 2% 50%  
173 6% 48%  
174 6% 41%  
175 2% 35% Majority
176 6% 33%  
177 4% 27%  
178 2% 23%  
179 6% 20%  
180 3% 15%  
181 2% 11%  
182 1.4% 9%  
183 2% 8%  
184 1.3% 6%  
185 1.4% 5%  
186 1.1% 3%  
187 0.3% 2%  
188 0.8% 2%  
189 0.2% 0.9%  
190 0.4% 0.7%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0.1% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0% 100% Last Result
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.9%  
146 0.1% 99.7%  
147 0.2% 99.6%  
148 1.1% 99.4%  
149 0.7% 98%  
150 0.5% 98%  
151 0.6% 97%  
152 1.3% 97%  
153 1.4% 95%  
154 3% 94%  
155 2% 91%  
156 6% 89%  
157 3% 83%  
158 6% 80%  
159 4% 74%  
160 6% 70%  
161 7% 64%  
162 3% 57%  
163 5% 54%  
164 5% 48% Median
165 5% 44%  
166 4% 39%  
167 5% 35%  
168 5% 30%  
169 2% 25%  
170 2% 22%  
171 5% 20%  
172 2% 15%  
173 3% 13%  
174 2% 11%  
175 2% 9% Majority
176 2% 7%  
177 0.6% 5%  
178 0.3% 4%  
179 2% 4%  
180 2% 2%  
181 0.2% 0.9%  
182 0.2% 0.7%  
183 0.2% 0.5%  
184 0.2% 0.3%  
185 0.1% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.7%  
128 0.4% 99.6%  
129 0.3% 99.2%  
130 0.8% 98.9%  
131 0.7% 98%  
132 1.1% 97%  
133 1.2% 96%  
134 1.3% 95%  
135 2% 94%  
136 2% 92%  
137 2% 91%  
138 3% 88%  
139 5% 86%  
140 4% 81%  
141 3% 78%  
142 5% 74%  
143 6% 69%  
144 4% 63% Last Result
145 5% 59%  
146 4% 54%  
147 5% 49%  
148 8% 45%  
149 5% 37%  
150 5% 32%  
151 2% 27%  
152 4% 25% Median
153 2% 21%  
154 6% 19%  
155 1.0% 13%  
156 2% 12%  
157 1.4% 10%  
158 5% 9%  
159 1.0% 4%  
160 1.0% 3%  
161 0.3% 2%  
162 0.7% 1.4%  
163 0.1% 0.7%  
164 0.2% 0.6%  
165 0.2% 0.3%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
118 0% 100%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0.2% 99.8%  
122 0.3% 99.6%  
123 0.6% 99.3%  
124 1.1% 98.7%  
125 0.9% 98%  
126 2% 97%  
127 2% 95%  
128 4% 93% Last Result
129 4% 90%  
130 3% 85%  
131 4% 83%  
132 7% 79%  
133 4% 72%  
134 6% 69%  
135 4% 63%  
136 3% 59%  
137 5% 56% Median
138 7% 51%  
139 5% 44%  
140 5% 39%  
141 4% 34%  
142 8% 30%  
143 4% 22%  
144 3% 18%  
145 3% 15%  
146 2% 12%  
147 1.1% 10%  
148 4% 9%  
149 1.0% 5%  
150 2% 4%  
151 0.3% 2%  
152 1.0% 2%  
153 0.3% 1.0%  
154 0.3% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0.1% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0.1% 100%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.2% 99.8%  
117 0.1% 99.6%  
118 0.3% 99.5%  
119 1.0% 99.2%  
120 0.4% 98%  
121 1.4% 98%  
122 1.1% 96%  
123 1.1% 95%  
124 2% 94%  
125 3% 92%  
126 4% 89%  
127 3% 86%  
128 3% 83%  
129 3% 79%  
130 4% 76%  
131 4% 72%  
132 4% 68%  
133 2% 65%  
134 7% 63%  
135 7% 55%  
136 9% 49%  
137 3% 40%  
138 5% 37%  
139 4% 32%  
140 5% 28% Median
141 3% 24%  
142 3% 21%  
143 2% 18%  
144 3% 16%  
145 2% 13%  
146 3% 11%  
147 4% 7%  
148 0.7% 3%  
149 0.7% 2%  
150 0.3% 2%  
151 0.5% 1.3%  
152 0.2% 0.8%  
153 0.2% 0.6%  
154 0.2% 0.4%  
155 0.1% 0.2%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0.1% 100%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.2% 99.8%  
106 0.3% 99.6%  
107 0.3% 99.3%  
108 0.5% 99.0%  
109 1.0% 98%  
110 2% 97%  
111 1.1% 96%  
112 3% 94%  
113 2% 92%  
114 6% 90% Median
115 4% 84%  
116 1.5% 79%  
117 5% 78%  
118 4% 73%  
119 4% 69%  
120 4% 65%  
121 5% 61%  
122 6% 57%  
123 4% 51%  
124 6% 47%  
125 3% 41%  
126 3% 38%  
127 7% 34%  
128 5% 28%  
129 3% 23%  
130 2% 19%  
131 4% 17%  
132 2% 13%  
133 2% 11%  
134 2% 8%  
135 1.4% 7%  
136 1.4% 5%  
137 1.3% 4%  
138 1.0% 3%  
139 0.5% 2%  
140 0.3% 1.3%  
141 0.4% 1.0%  
142 0.2% 0.6%  
143 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.8%  
105 0.2% 99.7%  
106 0.3% 99.5%  
107 0.4% 99.2%  
108 0.6% 98.8%  
109 1.2% 98%  
110 2% 97%  
111 1.2% 95%  
112 3% 94%  
113 2% 91%  
114 6% 89% Median
115 4% 83%  
116 2% 78%  
117 5% 77%  
118 4% 72%  
119 4% 68%  
120 4% 64%  
121 5% 60%  
122 6% 55%  
123 4% 49% Last Result
124 6% 45%  
125 3% 39%  
126 3% 36%  
127 6% 33%  
128 5% 26%  
129 3% 21%  
130 2% 18%  
131 4% 16%  
132 2% 12%  
133 2% 10%  
134 2% 7%  
135 1.2% 6%  
136 1.4% 5%  
137 1.1% 3%  
138 0.9% 2%  
139 0.4% 1.3%  
140 0.2% 0.9%  
141 0.4% 0.7%  
142 0.2% 0.3%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.4% 99.7%  
102 0.8% 99.3%  
103 0.7% 98.5%  
104 1.0% 98%  
105 2% 97%  
106 2% 95%  
107 3% 92%  
108 4% 89%  
109 3% 85%  
110 5% 82%  
111 5% 77%  
112 8% 72%  
113 8% 65%  
114 7% 57% Median
115 8% 50%  
116 4% 42%  
117 7% 38%  
118 4% 31%  
119 4% 27%  
120 4% 23%  
121 4% 19% Last Result
122 5% 15%  
123 2% 10%  
124 3% 8%  
125 1.5% 5%  
126 1.0% 4%  
127 1.0% 3%  
128 0.3% 2%  
129 0.6% 2%  
130 0.3% 0.9%  
131 0.1% 0.6%  
132 0.1% 0.5%  
133 0.2% 0.4%  
134 0% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0.1% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.4% 99.6% Last Result
102 0.8% 99.2%  
103 0.8% 98%  
104 1.1% 98%  
105 2% 97%  
106 3% 95%  
107 3% 92%  
108 5% 89%  
109 3% 84%  
110 5% 81%  
111 5% 76%  
112 8% 71%  
113 8% 63%  
114 8% 55% Median
115 8% 48%  
116 4% 40%  
117 7% 36%  
118 4% 30%  
119 4% 25%  
120 4% 21%  
121 4% 17%  
122 5% 13%  
123 2% 9%  
124 3% 7%  
125 1.3% 4%  
126 0.9% 3%  
127 0.8% 2%  
128 0.3% 1.0%  
129 0.3% 0.7%  
130 0.2% 0.5%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0.1% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.4% 99.8%  
87 0.5% 99.4%  
88 0.4% 99.0%  
89 0.7% 98.6%  
90 1.3% 98%  
91 2% 97%  
92 2% 95%  
93 1.3% 93%  
94 3% 92%  
95 2% 89%  
96 4% 87%  
97 5% 83%  
98 3% 79%  
99 3% 75%  
100 4% 72%  
101 5% 69%  
102 5% 63%  
103 2% 59%  
104 7% 56%  
105 4% 49%  
106 5% 45%  
107 6% 40%  
108 3% 34%  
109 7% 31%  
110 3% 24% Median
111 5% 21%  
112 3% 17%  
113 3% 13%  
114 3% 10%  
115 1.0% 7%  
116 3% 6% Last Result
117 0.9% 3%  
118 0.7% 2%  
119 0.6% 2%  
120 0.4% 1.0%  
121 0.3% 0.6%  
122 0.1% 0.3%  
123 0.2% 0.3%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations