Opinion Poll by Sifo, 4–14 October 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 26.6% | 25.9–27.3% | 25.7–27.5% | 25.5–27.7% | 25.2–28.1% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 21.9% | 21.2–22.6% | 21.0–22.8% | 20.9–23.0% | 20.6–23.3% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.9% | 19.3–20.6% | 19.1–20.8% | 18.9–20.9% | 18.6–21.2% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.0–11.0% | 9.9–11.2% | 9.8–11.3% | 9.5–11.6% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6–8.5% | 7.4–8.6% | 7.3–8.7% | 7.1–8.9% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7–5.4% | 4.6–5.5% | 4.5–5.6% | 4.3–5.8% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4–4.0% | 3.3–4.1% | 3.3–4.2% | 3.1–4.4% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.5–3.1% | 2.5–3.2% | 2.4–3.2% | 2.3–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 101 | 97–103 | 96–104 | 95–105 | 93–106 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 83 | 80–85 | 79–86 | 78–87 | 76–88 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 75 | 72–78 | 71–79 | 71–79 | 69–81 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 40 | 38–42 | 37–42 | 37–43 | 35–44 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 30 | 29–32 | 28–32 | 28–33 | 27–34 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 19 | 18–20 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–15 | 0–15 | 0–16 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 95 | 2% | 98% | |
| 96 | 3% | 96% | |
| 97 | 6% | 94% | |
| 98 | 8% | 88% | |
| 99 | 13% | 80% | |
| 100 | 15% | 66% | Last Result |
| 101 | 19% | 51% | Median |
| 102 | 11% | 32% | |
| 103 | 12% | 21% | |
| 104 | 5% | 9% | |
| 105 | 2% | 4% | |
| 106 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 79 | 5% | 97% | |
| 80 | 4% | 92% | |
| 81 | 10% | 87% | |
| 82 | 16% | 78% | |
| 83 | 31% | 62% | Median |
| 84 | 14% | 32% | |
| 85 | 11% | 18% | |
| 86 | 5% | 7% | |
| 87 | 2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 4% | 98% | |
| 72 | 6% | 94% | |
| 73 | 10% | 89% | |
| 74 | 11% | 79% | |
| 75 | 21% | 67% | Median |
| 76 | 19% | 46% | |
| 77 | 14% | 27% | |
| 78 | 8% | 13% | |
| 79 | 4% | 6% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 5% | 98% | |
| 38 | 15% | 92% | |
| 39 | 26% | 77% | |
| 40 | 23% | 51% | Median |
| 41 | 14% | 28% | |
| 42 | 10% | 14% | |
| 43 | 3% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 27 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 5% | 98% | |
| 29 | 21% | 93% | |
| 30 | 32% | 71% | Median |
| 31 | 21% | 39% | Last Result |
| 32 | 14% | 18% | |
| 33 | 3% | 4% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 18 | 22% | 92% | |
| 19 | 34% | 70% | Median |
| 20 | 27% | 36% | |
| 21 | 8% | 9% | |
| 22 | 1.2% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 88% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 12% | |
| 2 | 0% | 12% | |
| 3 | 0% | 12% | |
| 4 | 0% | 12% | |
| 5 | 0% | 12% | |
| 6 | 0% | 12% | |
| 7 | 0% | 12% | |
| 8 | 0% | 12% | |
| 9 | 0% | 12% | |
| 10 | 0% | 12% | |
| 11 | 0% | 12% | |
| 12 | 0% | 12% | |
| 13 | 0% | 12% | |
| 14 | 0% | 12% | |
| 15 | 10% | 12% | |
| 16 | 1.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 214 | 100% | 207–217 | 206–218 | 204–219 | 201–220 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 184 | 98% | 178–186 | 176–187 | 175–188 | 172–190 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 177 | 82% | 172–181 | 169–182 | 168–182 | 166–184 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 172 | 18% | 168–177 | 167–180 | 167–181 | 165–183 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 158 | 0% | 154–162 | 151–162 | 150–163 | 148–164 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 141 | 0% | 138–148 | 137–150 | 136–152 | 135–154 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 140 | 0% | 136–144 | 135–145 | 133–145 | 131–147 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 131 | 0% | 128–139 | 128–142 | 127–142 | 126–144 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 132 | 0% | 128–135 | 126–136 | 125–137 | 124–138 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 132 | 0% | 128–135 | 126–136 | 125–137 | 124–138 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 113 | 0% | 109–116 | 108–117 | 107–118 | 105–119 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 113 | 0% | 109–116 | 108–117 | 107–118 | 105–119 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 101 | 0% | 98–110 | 98–112 | 97–113 | 96–115 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 200 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 201 | 0.5% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 203 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 204 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 205 | 2% | 97% | |
| 206 | 3% | 95% | |
| 207 | 2% | 92% | |
| 208 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 209 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 210 | 2% | 88% | |
| 211 | 5% | 86% | |
| 212 | 10% | 81% | |
| 213 | 13% | 71% | |
| 214 | 16% | 58% | Median |
| 215 | 17% | 42% | |
| 216 | 9% | 25% | |
| 217 | 7% | 16% | |
| 218 | 6% | 8% | |
| 219 | 2% | 3% | |
| 220 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 221 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 223 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 174 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 175 | 2% | 98% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 96% | |
| 177 | 2% | 94% | |
| 178 | 3% | 92% | |
| 179 | 2% | 89% | |
| 180 | 2% | 87% | |
| 181 | 4% | 85% | |
| 182 | 9% | 81% | |
| 183 | 19% | 72% | |
| 184 | 16% | 53% | Median |
| 185 | 19% | 37% | |
| 186 | 10% | 18% | |
| 187 | 4% | 7% | |
| 188 | 2% | 4% | |
| 189 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 190 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 167 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 168 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 169 | 2% | 97% | |
| 170 | 2% | 94% | |
| 171 | 2% | 93% | |
| 172 | 2% | 91% | |
| 173 | 2% | 89% | |
| 174 | 5% | 87% | |
| 175 | 8% | 82% | Majority |
| 176 | 7% | 74% | |
| 177 | 17% | 67% | Median |
| 178 | 12% | 50% | |
| 179 | 17% | 38% | |
| 180 | 9% | 21% | |
| 181 | 6% | 12% | |
| 182 | 4% | 6% | |
| 183 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 184 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 167 | 4% | 98% | |
| 168 | 6% | 94% | |
| 169 | 9% | 88% | |
| 170 | 17% | 79% | |
| 171 | 12% | 62% | Median |
| 172 | 17% | 50% | |
| 173 | 7% | 33% | |
| 174 | 8% | 26% | |
| 175 | 5% | 18% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 13% | |
| 177 | 2% | 11% | |
| 178 | 2% | 9% | |
| 179 | 2% | 7% | |
| 180 | 2% | 6% | |
| 181 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 182 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 149 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 150 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 151 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 152 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 153 | 3% | 93% | |
| 154 | 2% | 90% | |
| 155 | 6% | 88% | |
| 156 | 8% | 82% | |
| 157 | 14% | 74% | |
| 158 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 159 | 14% | 48% | |
| 160 | 14% | 34% | |
| 161 | 10% | 20% | |
| 162 | 6% | 10% | |
| 163 | 2% | 4% | |
| 164 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 136 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 137 | 3% | 97% | |
| 138 | 10% | 94% | |
| 139 | 11% | 84% | |
| 140 | 17% | 73% | |
| 141 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 142 | 14% | 44% | |
| 143 | 7% | 30% | |
| 144 | 6% | 23% | Last Result |
| 145 | 4% | 17% | |
| 146 | 2% | 13% | |
| 147 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 148 | 2% | 10% | |
| 149 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 150 | 3% | 7% | |
| 151 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 152 | 3% | 4% | |
| 153 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 154 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 132 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 133 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 134 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 135 | 3% | 95% | |
| 136 | 3% | 92% | |
| 137 | 6% | 89% | |
| 138 | 11% | 84% | |
| 139 | 11% | 73% | |
| 140 | 17% | 61% | |
| 141 | 12% | 44% | Median |
| 142 | 14% | 32% | |
| 143 | 7% | 19% | |
| 144 | 6% | 12% | |
| 145 | 3% | 5% | |
| 146 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 147 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 127 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 128 | 6% | 96% | |
| 129 | 6% | 89% | |
| 130 | 17% | 84% | |
| 131 | 17% | 67% | Median |
| 132 | 11% | 49% | |
| 133 | 13% | 38% | |
| 134 | 8% | 25% | |
| 135 | 2% | 17% | |
| 136 | 3% | 15% | |
| 137 | 2% | 12% | |
| 138 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 139 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 140 | 2% | 9% | |
| 141 | 2% | 7% | |
| 142 | 3% | 5% | |
| 143 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 124 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 125 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 126 | 3% | 97% | |
| 127 | 3% | 94% | |
| 128 | 4% | 91% | |
| 129 | 8% | 88% | |
| 130 | 5% | 80% | |
| 131 | 6% | 75% | |
| 132 | 23% | 69% | Median |
| 133 | 15% | 46% | |
| 134 | 12% | 31% | |
| 135 | 9% | 19% | |
| 136 | 6% | 10% | |
| 137 | 2% | 3% | |
| 138 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 125 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 126 | 3% | 97% | |
| 127 | 3% | 94% | |
| 128 | 4% | 91% | |
| 129 | 8% | 88% | |
| 130 | 5% | 80% | |
| 131 | 6% | 75% | |
| 132 | 23% | 69% | Median |
| 133 | 15% | 46% | |
| 134 | 12% | 31% | |
| 135 | 9% | 19% | |
| 136 | 6% | 10% | |
| 137 | 2% | 3% | |
| 138 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 106 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 107 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 108 | 4% | 97% | |
| 109 | 4% | 93% | |
| 110 | 6% | 90% | |
| 111 | 8% | 84% | |
| 112 | 14% | 76% | |
| 113 | 20% | 61% | Median |
| 114 | 16% | 42% | |
| 115 | 9% | 26% | |
| 116 | 8% | 17% | |
| 117 | 7% | 9% | |
| 118 | 2% | 3% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 106 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 107 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 108 | 4% | 97% | |
| 109 | 4% | 93% | |
| 110 | 6% | 90% | |
| 111 | 8% | 84% | |
| 112 | 14% | 76% | |
| 113 | 20% | 61% | Median |
| 114 | 16% | 42% | |
| 115 | 9% | 26% | |
| 116 | 8% | 17% | |
| 117 | 7% | 9% | |
| 118 | 2% | 3% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 97 | 3% | 98% | |
| 98 | 6% | 95% | |
| 99 | 12% | 89% | |
| 100 | 15% | 77% | |
| 101 | 19% | 63% | Median |
| 102 | 11% | 43% | |
| 103 | 12% | 32% | |
| 104 | 5% | 20% | |
| 105 | 2% | 15% | |
| 106 | 1.3% | 13% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 12% | |
| 108 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 109 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 110 | 2% | 10% | |
| 111 | 2% | 9% | |
| 112 | 2% | 7% | |
| 113 | 2% | 4% | |
| 114 | 2% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 4–14 October 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 6152
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.61%