Opinion Poll by SKOP, 15–17 October 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 24.3% 22.7–26.1% 22.2–26.6% 21.8–27.1% 21.0–28.0%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 22.1% 20.4–23.8% 20.0–24.3% 19.6–24.7% 18.9–25.6%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 19.9% 18.3–21.6% 17.9–22.0% 17.5–22.5% 16.8–23.3%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 11.5% 10.3–12.9% 9.9–13.2% 9.6–13.6% 9.1–14.3%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.1% 7.8–11.5% 7.3–12.1%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 4.4% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.6% 3.3–5.8% 2.9–6.3%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 3.7% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.5%
Liberalerna 5.5% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.2–4.3% 1.9–4.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 92 84–100 83–101 81–103 77–108
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 83 76–91 74–92 73–94 70–99
Sverigedemokraterna 62 76 68–82 66–83 65–86 62–90
Vänsterpartiet 28 43 39–49 37–50 36–52 34–55
Centerpartiet 31 36 32–41 30–42 29–43 27–46
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 17 0–20 0–21 0–22 0–23
Kristdemokraterna 22 0 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–20
Liberalerna 20 0 0 0–15 0–16 0–17

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.2% 99.6%  
78 0.2% 99.4%  
79 0.6% 99.1%  
80 0.9% 98.6%  
81 1.0% 98%  
82 2% 97%  
83 2% 95%  
84 4% 93%  
85 5% 89%  
86 5% 83%  
87 5% 78%  
88 5% 73%  
89 4% 68%  
90 6% 64%  
91 5% 58%  
92 7% 53% Median
93 7% 46%  
94 6% 39%  
95 5% 33%  
96 7% 28%  
97 5% 21%  
98 3% 16%  
99 2% 13%  
100 3% 11% Last Result
101 3% 8%  
102 0.9% 5%  
103 2% 4%  
104 0.7% 2%  
105 0.3% 1.4%  
106 0.3% 1.1%  
107 0.3% 0.8%  
108 0.1% 0.6%  
109 0.2% 0.5%  
110 0.2% 0.3%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.6% Last Result
71 0.8% 99.3%  
72 0.7% 98.5%  
73 1.4% 98%  
74 2% 96%  
75 2% 95%  
76 4% 92%  
77 3% 89%  
78 4% 85%  
79 6% 81%  
80 5% 76%  
81 7% 70%  
82 7% 63%  
83 8% 56% Median
84 7% 48%  
85 7% 41%  
86 6% 34%  
87 5% 28%  
88 7% 22%  
89 3% 16%  
90 3% 13%  
91 4% 10%  
92 2% 7%  
93 2% 5%  
94 0.4% 3%  
95 0.7% 2%  
96 0.3% 2%  
97 0.3% 1.3%  
98 0.4% 1.0%  
99 0.2% 0.6%  
100 0.2% 0.4%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
63 0.5% 99.5%  
64 1.0% 98.9%  
65 1.4% 98%  
66 2% 97%  
67 3% 95%  
68 3% 91%  
69 3% 88%  
70 5% 85%  
71 3% 81%  
72 7% 78%  
73 6% 71%  
74 6% 64%  
75 8% 58%  
76 8% 50% Median
77 8% 42%  
78 9% 34%  
79 7% 26%  
80 5% 18%  
81 3% 14%  
82 3% 10%  
83 2% 7%  
84 0.8% 5%  
85 1.0% 4%  
86 1.2% 3%  
87 0.6% 2%  
88 0.5% 1.3%  
89 0.3% 0.8%  
90 0.2% 0.6%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100% Last Result
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.3% 99.9%  
34 0.5% 99.6%  
35 1.1% 99.1%  
36 2% 98%  
37 2% 96%  
38 3% 94%  
39 6% 91%  
40 7% 84%  
41 8% 77%  
42 12% 69%  
43 12% 57% Median
44 8% 45%  
45 8% 37%  
46 8% 29%  
47 5% 20%  
48 5% 15%  
49 4% 11%  
50 2% 6%  
51 1.1% 4%  
52 1.3% 3%  
53 0.6% 2%  
54 0.7% 1.3%  
55 0.3% 0.6%  
56 0.1% 0.3%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 99.9%  
27 0.3% 99.8%  
28 0.8% 99.5%  
29 1.4% 98.7%  
30 3% 97%  
31 4% 94% Last Result
32 7% 90%  
33 7% 84%  
34 10% 76%  
35 8% 66%  
36 12% 58% Median
37 9% 46%  
38 9% 37%  
39 9% 28%  
40 6% 19%  
41 6% 13%  
42 3% 7%  
43 2% 4%  
44 1.1% 2%  
45 0.6% 1.1%  
46 0.2% 0.5%  
47 0.2% 0.3%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100%  
1 0% 74%  
2 0% 74%  
3 0% 74%  
4 0% 74%  
5 0% 74%  
6 0% 74%  
7 0% 74%  
8 0% 74%  
9 0% 74%  
10 0% 74%  
11 0% 74%  
12 0% 74%  
13 0% 74%  
14 0.1% 74%  
15 6% 74%  
16 18% 68% Last Result
17 17% 50% Median
18 12% 33%  
19 9% 21%  
20 5% 12%  
21 4% 7%  
22 2% 3%  
23 0.7% 1.2%  
24 0.3% 0.5%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Median
1 0% 30%  
2 0% 30%  
3 0% 30%  
4 0% 30%  
5 0% 30%  
6 0% 30%  
7 0% 30%  
8 0% 30%  
9 0% 30%  
10 0% 30%  
11 0% 30%  
12 0% 30%  
13 0% 30%  
14 0.3% 30%  
15 7% 30%  
16 11% 22%  
17 6% 12%  
18 3% 5%  
19 1.4% 2%  
20 0.7% 1.0%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 0% 7%  
5 0% 7%  
6 0% 7%  
7 0% 7%  
8 0% 7%  
9 0% 7%  
10 0% 7%  
11 0% 7%  
12 0% 7%  
13 0% 7%  
14 0.4% 7%  
15 3% 7%  
16 2% 4%  
17 0.8% 1.2%  
18 0.3% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 212 100% 199–223 196–227 193–229 189–234
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 195 185 90% 175–195 171–200 169–201 164–203
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 175 52% 165–185 162–190 159–192 155–197
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna 154 164 10% 154–174 149–178 148–180 146–185
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna 132 158 2% 149–168 147–170 143–173 140–178
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 144 148 0% 137–159 133–161 132–163 127–167
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 167 143 0% 131–153 128–156 125–158 120–162
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 135 0% 127–144 125–146 122–149 118–154
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 143 125 0% 114–137 112–139 111–142 108–149
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 124 0% 114–136 111–139 110–140 106–145
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 121 0% 111–129 110–132 107–135 104–140
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 120 0% 111–128 108–131 106–132 103–137
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 105 0% 93–114 90–116 89–119 84–123

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
183 0.1% 100%  
184 0% 99.9%  
185 0% 99.9%  
186 0% 99.9%  
187 0.1% 99.9%  
188 0.2% 99.8%  
189 0.1% 99.6%  
190 0.3% 99.5%  
191 0.8% 99.2%  
192 0.4% 98%  
193 1.2% 98%  
194 0.4% 97%  
195 1.0% 96%  
196 0.7% 96%  
197 0.4% 95%  
198 1.4% 94%  
199 4% 93%  
200 4% 89%  
201 2% 85% Last Result
202 1.2% 83%  
203 1.0% 82%  
204 1.5% 81%  
205 3% 79%  
206 4% 76%  
207 7% 72%  
208 5% 65%  
209 2% 60%  
210 3% 58%  
211 4% 55% Median
212 6% 52%  
213 6% 46%  
214 5% 40%  
215 5% 35%  
216 2% 30%  
217 3% 28%  
218 4% 25%  
219 4% 21%  
220 3% 17%  
221 3% 14%  
222 1.2% 12%  
223 1.3% 11%  
224 1.1% 9%  
225 1.2% 8%  
226 0.6% 7%  
227 2% 6%  
228 0.2% 5%  
229 2% 5%  
230 0.3% 2%  
231 0.8% 2%  
232 0.3% 1.1%  
233 0.3% 0.9%  
234 0.2% 0.5%  
235 0.2% 0.4%  
236 0.1% 0.2%  
237 0.1% 0.2%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0.1% 99.9%  
162 0.1% 99.8%  
163 0.1% 99.7%  
164 0.3% 99.6%  
165 0.2% 99.3%  
166 0.2% 99.1%  
167 0.1% 98.9%  
168 0.3% 98.7%  
169 1.0% 98%  
170 1.4% 97%  
171 2% 96%  
172 1.3% 94%  
173 0.9% 93%  
174 2% 92%  
175 2% 90% Majority
176 3% 88%  
177 4% 86%  
178 3% 82%  
179 2% 79%  
180 4% 77%  
181 4% 74%  
182 3% 70%  
183 5% 67%  
184 6% 62%  
185 8% 56%  
186 7% 48%  
187 4% 41%  
188 2% 37% Median
189 1.4% 35%  
190 2% 34%  
191 4% 32%  
192 4% 28%  
193 5% 24%  
194 6% 19%  
195 3% 13% Last Result
196 0.8% 10%  
197 0.7% 9%  
198 0.8% 8%  
199 2% 8%  
200 2% 5%  
201 2% 3%  
202 1.1% 2%  
203 0.4% 0.8%  
204 0% 0.4%  
205 0% 0.3%  
206 0% 0.3%  
207 0.1% 0.3%  
208 0.1% 0.2%  
209 0.1% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0.1% 100%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.2% 99.8%  
155 0.3% 99.6%  
156 0.3% 99.3%  
157 0.2% 99.0%  
158 0.9% 98.8%  
159 0.6% 98%  
160 0.8% 97%  
161 1.3% 96%  
162 0.8% 95%  
163 1.4% 94%  
164 2% 93%  
165 3% 91%  
166 1.3% 88%  
167 2% 86%  
168 5% 85%  
169 3% 80%  
170 5% 77% Last Result
171 6% 72%  
172 3% 66%  
173 5% 63%  
174 6% 58%  
175 7% 52% Median, Majority
176 3% 45%  
177 5% 42%  
178 5% 37%  
179 4% 32%  
180 5% 28%  
181 4% 23%  
182 3% 18%  
183 1.2% 15%  
184 2% 14%  
185 3% 12%  
186 0.8% 9%  
187 0.6% 9%  
188 2% 8%  
189 0.8% 6%  
190 0.8% 5%  
191 0.4% 4%  
192 2% 4%  
193 0.3% 2%  
194 0.4% 2%  
195 0.1% 1.4%  
196 0.7% 1.3%  
197 0.1% 0.5%  
198 0.2% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0.1% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0.1% 100%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0% 99.7%  
144 0% 99.7%  
145 0% 99.7%  
146 0.4% 99.6%  
147 1.1% 99.2%  
148 2% 98%  
149 2% 97%  
150 2% 95%  
151 0.8% 92%  
152 0.7% 92%  
153 0.8% 91%  
154 3% 90% Last Result
155 6% 87%  
156 5% 81%  
157 4% 76%  
158 4% 72%  
159 2% 68% Median
160 1.4% 66%  
161 2% 65%  
162 4% 63%  
163 7% 59%  
164 8% 52%  
165 6% 44%  
166 5% 38%  
167 3% 33%  
168 4% 30%  
169 4% 26%  
170 2% 23%  
171 3% 21%  
172 4% 18%  
173 3% 14%  
174 2% 12%  
175 2% 10% Majority
176 0.9% 8%  
177 1.3% 7%  
178 2% 6%  
179 1.4% 4%  
180 1.0% 3%  
181 0.3% 2%  
182 0.1% 1.3%  
183 0.2% 1.1%  
184 0.2% 0.9%  
185 0.3% 0.7%  
186 0.1% 0.4%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0% 100% Last Result
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.6% 99.8%  
141 0.8% 99.2%  
142 0.5% 98%  
143 0.6% 98%  
144 0.8% 97%  
145 0.3% 96%  
146 1.1% 96%  
147 2% 95%  
148 2% 93%  
149 3% 91%  
150 5% 88%  
151 2% 82%  
152 2% 80%  
153 2% 79%  
154 3% 77%  
155 7% 74%  
156 9% 66%  
157 6% 58%  
158 4% 51%  
159 3% 48% Median
160 2% 45%  
161 3% 43%  
162 5% 40%  
163 6% 35%  
164 7% 28%  
165 4% 21%  
166 4% 17%  
167 2% 14%  
168 3% 12%  
169 3% 8%  
170 1.1% 5%  
171 1.0% 4%  
172 0.8% 3%  
173 0.4% 3%  
174 0.3% 2%  
175 0.4% 2% Majority
176 0.4% 2%  
177 0.3% 1.1%  
178 0.3% 0.8%  
179 0.3% 0.5%  
180 0.1% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0.1% 99.8%  
126 0.1% 99.7%  
127 0.3% 99.6%  
128 0.3% 99.4%  
129 0.6% 99.1%  
130 0.4% 98%  
131 0.4% 98%  
132 0.9% 98%  
133 2% 97%  
134 1.2% 95%  
135 1.3% 93%  
136 0.5% 92%  
137 2% 92%  
138 1.0% 90%  
139 2% 89%  
140 2% 87%  
141 2% 85%  
142 4% 83%  
143 5% 79%  
144 7% 74% Last Result
145 5% 67%  
146 5% 62%  
147 6% 57%  
148 4% 52%  
149 5% 48%  
150 4% 43%  
151 4% 39%  
152 6% 35% Median
153 5% 30%  
154 3% 25%  
155 2% 22%  
156 2% 20%  
157 2% 18%  
158 3% 16%  
159 4% 13%  
160 3% 9%  
161 2% 7%  
162 0.7% 4%  
163 1.2% 4%  
164 1.0% 2%  
165 0.5% 1.4%  
166 0.4% 1.0%  
167 0.2% 0.6%  
168 0.2% 0.4%  
169 0.1% 0.2%  
170 0.1% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.7%  
120 0.1% 99.6%  
121 0.1% 99.5%  
122 0.3% 99.4%  
123 0.2% 99.1%  
124 0.7% 98.8%  
125 0.7% 98%  
126 0.8% 97%  
127 0.9% 97%  
128 1.2% 96%  
129 2% 94%  
130 1.3% 92%  
131 1.2% 91%  
132 2% 89%  
133 3% 87%  
134 6% 85%  
135 2% 79%  
136 2% 76%  
137 3% 74%  
138 5% 70%  
139 4% 65%  
140 3% 61%  
141 4% 59%  
142 4% 55%  
143 5% 51%  
144 7% 46%  
145 3% 39% Median
146 2% 36%  
147 5% 34%  
148 5% 29%  
149 5% 24%  
150 4% 19%  
151 2% 15%  
152 2% 13%  
153 2% 11%  
154 2% 9%  
155 2% 7%  
156 0.8% 5%  
157 1.2% 4%  
158 1.1% 3%  
159 0.7% 2%  
160 0.5% 1.3%  
161 0.2% 0.8%  
162 0.2% 0.6%  
163 0.2% 0.4%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1% Last Result
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0% 100%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.8%  
117 0.1% 99.7%  
118 0.2% 99.6%  
119 0.4% 99.4%  
120 0.5% 99.0%  
121 0.6% 98%  
122 0.9% 98%  
123 0.8% 97%  
124 1.2% 96%  
125 1.3% 95%  
126 2% 94%  
127 6% 91%  
128 4% 85% Last Result
129 6% 81%  
130 3% 75%  
131 5% 72%  
132 4% 67%  
133 7% 62%  
134 3% 55%  
135 7% 52% Median
136 5% 45%  
137 5% 40%  
138 3% 35%  
139 3% 33%  
140 3% 30%  
141 3% 27%  
142 7% 24%  
143 2% 16%  
144 5% 15%  
145 2% 10%  
146 3% 8%  
147 0.9% 5%  
148 1.1% 4%  
149 0.7% 3%  
150 0.8% 2%  
151 0.4% 1.4%  
152 0.2% 1.0%  
153 0.2% 0.8%  
154 0.3% 0.6%  
155 0% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.3%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.8%  
108 0.6% 99.7%  
109 0.2% 99.1%  
110 0.9% 99.0%  
111 3% 98%  
112 1.3% 95%  
113 1.3% 94%  
114 3% 92%  
115 2% 90%  
116 2% 88%  
117 2% 85%  
118 5% 84%  
119 3% 79% Median
120 3% 76%  
121 6% 73%  
122 3% 67%  
123 3% 64%  
124 11% 61%  
125 3% 50%  
126 3% 48%  
127 4% 44%  
128 6% 41%  
129 3% 35%  
130 2% 32%  
131 7% 30%  
132 3% 23%  
133 2% 19%  
134 2% 18%  
135 2% 15%  
136 3% 14%  
137 2% 11%  
138 2% 9%  
139 2% 7%  
140 1.2% 5%  
141 1.0% 4%  
142 0.6% 3%  
143 0.4% 2% Last Result
144 0.4% 2%  
145 0.2% 1.2%  
146 0.1% 1.0%  
147 0.1% 0.8%  
148 0.2% 0.7%  
149 0.1% 0.6%  
150 0% 0.4%  
151 0.1% 0.4%  
152 0% 0.3%  
153 0% 0.3%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0.1% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.2% 99.8%  
106 0.2% 99.6%  
107 0.1% 99.4%  
108 0.6% 99.3%  
109 0.2% 98.6%  
110 1.0% 98%  
111 3% 97%  
112 1.4% 94%  
113 2% 93%  
114 3% 91%  
115 2% 88%  
116 3% 86%  
117 2% 83%  
118 6% 81%  
119 3% 75% Median
120 3% 72%  
121 6% 68%  
122 3% 63%  
123 4% 60% Last Result
124 11% 56%  
125 3% 45%  
126 4% 42%  
127 4% 39%  
128 6% 35%  
129 3% 29%  
130 2% 26%  
131 6% 24%  
132 3% 19%  
133 1.4% 16%  
134 2% 14%  
135 1.1% 12%  
136 2% 11%  
137 2% 9%  
138 2% 7%  
139 2% 5%  
140 1.0% 3%  
141 0.8% 2%  
142 0.5% 2%  
143 0.2% 1.1%  
144 0.3% 0.9%  
145 0.1% 0.6%  
146 0.1% 0.5%  
147 0.1% 0.4%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0.1% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.2% 99.8%  
104 0.2% 99.6%  
105 0.5% 99.4%  
106 0.9% 98.8%  
107 0.7% 98%  
108 1.4% 97%  
109 0.7% 96%  
110 2% 95%  
111 4% 93%  
112 2% 89%  
113 3% 87%  
114 4% 84%  
115 7% 81%  
116 4% 74%  
117 2% 70%  
118 7% 68%  
119 4% 60% Median
120 4% 57%  
121 9% 53% Last Result
122 3% 44%  
123 3% 40%  
124 11% 37%  
125 3% 25%  
126 3% 23%  
127 3% 20%  
128 5% 17%  
129 2% 12%  
130 0.9% 10%  
131 3% 9%  
132 2% 7%  
133 0.5% 5%  
134 1.2% 4%  
135 0.9% 3%  
136 0.3% 2%  
137 0.5% 2%  
138 0.4% 1.3%  
139 0.1% 0.8%  
140 0.3% 0.7%  
141 0.1% 0.4%  
142 0.1% 0.3%  
143 0.1% 0.2%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9% Last Result
102 0.1% 99.8%  
103 0.4% 99.7%  
104 0.3% 99.3%  
105 0.7% 99.0%  
106 1.2% 98%  
107 0.7% 97%  
108 2% 96%  
109 1.0% 94%  
110 2% 93%  
111 5% 92%  
112 2% 87%  
113 3% 84%  
114 4% 82%  
115 8% 78%  
116 5% 70%  
117 3% 65%  
118 8% 63%  
119 4% 55% Median
120 4% 51%  
121 9% 47%  
122 3% 38%  
123 3% 35%  
124 11% 32%  
125 2% 20%  
126 3% 18%  
127 3% 15%  
128 5% 13%  
129 2% 8%  
130 0.5% 6%  
131 1.5% 5%  
132 1.4% 4%  
133 0.2% 2%  
134 0.9% 2%  
135 0.3% 1.3%  
136 0.2% 1.0%  
137 0.4% 0.8%  
138 0.1% 0.4%  
139 0.1% 0.3%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.1% 99.7%  
84 0.2% 99.6%  
85 0.3% 99.4%  
86 0.5% 99.1%  
87 0.5% 98.6%  
88 0.6% 98%  
89 1.1% 98%  
90 2% 96%  
91 2% 95%  
92 2% 93%  
93 2% 91%  
94 1.0% 89%  
95 2% 88%  
96 2% 86%  
97 2% 84%  
98 2% 82%  
99 2% 79%  
100 6% 77%  
101 3% 71%  
102 5% 68%  
103 6% 63%  
104 3% 57%  
105 6% 54%  
106 3% 48%  
107 4% 45%  
108 4% 41%  
109 5% 36% Median
110 4% 32%  
111 6% 28%  
112 4% 22%  
113 4% 18%  
114 5% 14%  
115 1.1% 9%  
116 4% 8% Last Result
117 0.9% 5%  
118 0.8% 4%  
119 1.2% 3%  
120 0.2% 2%  
121 0.8% 1.5%  
122 0.1% 0.7%  
123 0.3% 0.5%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0.1% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations