Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 12–25 October 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 26.0% 24.6–27.5% 24.2–27.9% 23.9–28.3% 23.3–29.0%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 20.0% 18.7–21.3% 18.4–21.7% 18.1–22.0% 17.5–22.7%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 20.0% 18.7–21.3% 18.4–21.7% 18.1–22.0% 17.5–22.7%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 11.0% 10.0–12.1% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.7% 9.1–13.2%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 8.0% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.5% 6.4–9.9%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.6%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
Liberalerna 5.5% 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 95 89–102 88–104 87–106 83–109
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 73 68–79 66–81 65–82 63–85
Sverigedemokraterna 62 74 67–78 66–80 66–82 64–86
Vänsterpartiet 28 41 37–44 36–46 35–47 33–49
Centerpartiet 31 29 26–33 26–34 25–35 23–37
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 19 16–21 15–22 15–23 0–24
Kristdemokraterna 22 16 0–16 0–16 0–19 0–20
Liberalerna 20 15 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.3% 99.8%  
84 0.3% 99.5%  
85 0.6% 99.1%  
86 0.8% 98.6%  
87 1.4% 98%  
88 3% 96%  
89 4% 94%  
90 3% 89%  
91 6% 86%  
92 8% 80%  
93 7% 73%  
94 8% 66%  
95 11% 58% Median
96 10% 47%  
97 6% 36%  
98 6% 31%  
99 7% 24%  
100 4% 18% Last Result
101 4% 14%  
102 2% 10%  
103 3% 8%  
104 1.3% 5%  
105 0.8% 4%  
106 2% 3%  
107 0.4% 1.5%  
108 0.4% 1.1%  
109 0.3% 0.7%  
110 0.1% 0.4%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.4% 99.7%  
64 1.0% 99.4%  
65 1.0% 98%  
66 3% 97%  
67 4% 95%  
68 6% 91%  
69 6% 85%  
70 4% 79% Last Result
71 11% 75%  
72 10% 64%  
73 7% 55% Median
74 8% 47%  
75 10% 39%  
76 9% 29%  
77 3% 21%  
78 7% 17%  
79 2% 11%  
80 3% 9%  
81 3% 6%  
82 0.7% 3%  
83 0.8% 2%  
84 0.5% 1.2%  
85 0.2% 0.7%  
86 0.3% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
63 0.3% 99.8%  
64 0.7% 99.5%  
65 1.1% 98.8%  
66 7% 98%  
67 3% 91%  
68 5% 88%  
69 4% 83%  
70 6% 80%  
71 8% 74%  
72 9% 66%  
73 6% 57%  
74 9% 52% Median
75 11% 43%  
76 5% 32%  
77 13% 26%  
78 4% 13%  
79 3% 9%  
80 2% 6%  
81 0.7% 4%  
82 0.7% 3%  
83 0.7% 2%  
84 0.8% 2%  
85 0.2% 0.7%  
86 0.2% 0.5%  
87 0.2% 0.3%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100% Last Result
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0.2% 99.9%  
33 0.5% 99.7%  
34 1.4% 99.3%  
35 3% 98%  
36 3% 95%  
37 5% 92%  
38 13% 87%  
39 11% 74%  
40 13% 63%  
41 13% 50% Median
42 14% 38%  
43 9% 24%  
44 6% 15%  
45 4% 9%  
46 3% 6%  
47 1.4% 3%  
48 0.7% 1.5%  
49 0.4% 0.7%  
50 0.2% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.2% 100%  
23 0.5% 99.8%  
24 1.3% 99.3%  
25 3% 98%  
26 6% 95%  
27 11% 90%  
28 13% 79%  
29 18% 66% Median
30 11% 48%  
31 15% 37% Last Result
32 8% 21%  
33 7% 13%  
34 3% 6%  
35 2% 3%  
36 0.7% 1.4%  
37 0.3% 0.7%  
38 0.2% 0.3%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0% 98%  
9 0% 98%  
10 0% 98%  
11 0% 98%  
12 0% 98%  
13 0% 98%  
14 0.1% 98%  
15 3% 98%  
16 7% 95% Last Result
17 17% 87%  
18 17% 70%  
19 17% 52% Median
20 19% 35%  
21 9% 16%  
22 4% 8%  
23 3% 4%  
24 1.0% 1.4%  
25 0.3% 0.4%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 41% 100%  
1 0% 59%  
2 0% 59%  
3 0% 59%  
4 0% 59%  
5 0% 59%  
6 0% 59%  
7 0% 59%  
8 0% 59%  
9 0% 59%  
10 0% 59%  
11 0% 59%  
12 0% 59%  
13 0% 59%  
14 0% 59%  
15 1.1% 59%  
16 54% 58% Median
17 1.4% 4%  
18 0% 3%  
19 1.0% 3%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0% Last Result

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100%  
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0% 56%  
4 0% 56%  
5 0% 56%  
6 0% 56%  
7 0% 56%  
8 0% 56%  
9 0% 56%  
10 0% 56%  
11 0% 56%  
12 0% 56%  
13 0% 56%  
14 2% 56%  
15 23% 54% Median
16 16% 31%  
17 8% 15%  
18 4% 7%  
19 1.3% 3%  
20 1.0% 1.2% Last Result
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 198 100% 189–209 188–211 186–214 182–218
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 195 193 99.6% 182–203 180–206 178–208 175–211
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 168 20% 161–178 158–181 157–183 154–185
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna 154 156 0.4% 146–167 143–169 141–171 138–174
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 144 154 0.1% 146–162 145–165 142–167 138–172
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 167 153 0% 141–163 140–164 137–166 132–170
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna 132 147 0% 138–155 136–157 134–159 133–163
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 136 0% 128–144 127–146 125–148 122–153
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 143 121 0% 111–132 108–134 106–136 101–139
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 112 0% 101–122 99–124 98–126 95–129
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 114 0% 101–122 99–124 97–126 95–129
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 114 0% 107–120 105–123 102–125 97–129
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 103 0% 97–110 94–111 93–114 91–117

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
178 0% 100%  
179 0.1% 99.9%  
180 0.2% 99.8%  
181 0.2% 99.7%  
182 0.2% 99.5%  
183 0.3% 99.3%  
184 0.5% 99.0%  
185 0.9% 98.5%  
186 1.1% 98%  
187 1.1% 97%  
188 5% 95%  
189 3% 91%  
190 3% 88%  
191 4% 85%  
192 3% 82%  
193 3% 79%  
194 9% 76%  
195 6% 67%  
196 3% 60%  
197 5% 57% Median
198 9% 53%  
199 3% 44%  
200 6% 41%  
201 4% 35% Last Result
202 2% 31%  
203 5% 28%  
204 4% 23%  
205 3% 18%  
206 2% 16%  
207 2% 14%  
208 2% 12%  
209 1.5% 10%  
210 3% 9%  
211 2% 6%  
212 0.6% 4%  
213 0.5% 3%  
214 1.2% 3%  
215 0.6% 2%  
216 0.4% 1.1%  
217 0.1% 0.7%  
218 0.3% 0.5%  
219 0.1% 0.3%  
220 0.1% 0.2%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0% 99.9%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.1% 99.8%  
174 0.1% 99.7%  
175 0.2% 99.6% Majority
176 0.4% 99.4%  
177 0.9% 99.0%  
178 0.7% 98%  
179 1.3% 97%  
180 1.5% 96%  
181 1.2% 95%  
182 4% 93%  
183 5% 90%  
184 4% 85%  
185 3% 81%  
186 2% 78%  
187 4% 76%  
188 4% 72%  
189 2% 68%  
190 5% 66%  
191 3% 61%  
192 7% 58%  
193 3% 51%  
194 3% 47%  
195 5% 44% Last Result
196 6% 39%  
197 3% 33%  
198 3% 30%  
199 6% 28% Median
200 2% 22%  
201 5% 19%  
202 2% 14%  
203 2% 12%  
204 2% 10%  
205 3% 8%  
206 2% 5%  
207 0.6% 3%  
208 1.2% 3%  
209 0.4% 2%  
210 0.6% 1.1%  
211 0.1% 0.6%  
212 0.2% 0.4%  
213 0.1% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.8%  
153 0.1% 99.7%  
154 0.4% 99.6%  
155 0.7% 99.2%  
156 0.3% 98.5%  
157 1.4% 98%  
158 3% 97%  
159 2% 94%  
160 1.3% 92%  
161 4% 90%  
162 4% 86%  
163 6% 82%  
164 3% 76%  
165 9% 73%  
166 5% 64%  
167 8% 60%  
168 3% 52% Median
169 6% 50%  
170 5% 43% Last Result
171 8% 39%  
172 4% 31%  
173 3% 26%  
174 3% 23%  
175 3% 20% Majority
176 4% 17%  
177 3% 13%  
178 1.2% 10%  
179 2% 9%  
180 2% 7%  
181 2% 5%  
182 0.5% 3%  
183 0.9% 3%  
184 1.1% 2%  
185 0.2% 0.7%  
186 0.1% 0.4%  
187 0.2% 0.4%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0.2% 99.8%  
138 0.1% 99.6%  
139 0.6% 99.4%  
140 0.4% 98.9%  
141 1.2% 98%  
142 0.6% 97%  
143 2% 97%  
144 3% 95%  
145 2% 92%  
146 2% 90%  
147 2% 88%  
148 5% 86%  
149 2% 81%  
150 6% 78%  
151 3% 72%  
152 3% 70%  
153 6% 67%  
154 5% 61% Last Result
155 3% 56%  
156 3% 53%  
157 7% 49%  
158 3% 42%  
159 5% 39%  
160 2% 34%  
161 4% 32%  
162 4% 28%  
163 2% 24% Median
164 3% 22%  
165 4% 19%  
166 5% 15%  
167 4% 10%  
168 1.2% 7%  
169 1.5% 5%  
170 1.3% 4%  
171 0.7% 3%  
172 0.9% 2%  
173 0.4% 1.0%  
174 0.2% 0.6%  
175 0.1% 0.4% Majority
176 0.1% 0.3%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0% 100%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0.1% 99.8%  
136 0.2% 99.8%  
137 0.1% 99.6%  
138 0.3% 99.6%  
139 0.3% 99.3%  
140 0.4% 99.0%  
141 0.7% 98.6%  
142 0.9% 98%  
143 0.7% 97%  
144 1.2% 96% Last Result
145 3% 95%  
146 3% 92%  
147 2% 90%  
148 4% 87%  
149 5% 84%  
150 5% 79%  
151 5% 73%  
152 6% 69%  
153 8% 63%  
154 6% 54%  
155 6% 48% Median
156 8% 42%  
157 5% 34%  
158 5% 29%  
159 5% 24%  
160 5% 20%  
161 2% 14%  
162 4% 12%  
163 2% 9%  
164 2% 7%  
165 2% 5%  
166 0.9% 4%  
167 0.6% 3%  
168 0.4% 2%  
169 0.4% 2%  
170 0.4% 2%  
171 0.6% 1.1%  
172 0.3% 0.6%  
173 0.1% 0.3%  
174 0% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.1% Majority
176 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0.2% 99.7%  
133 0.1% 99.5%  
134 0.3% 99.4%  
135 0.5% 99.1%  
136 0.5% 98.6%  
137 0.6% 98%  
138 1.1% 97%  
139 0.7% 96%  
140 3% 96%  
141 4% 93%  
142 3% 90%  
143 3% 87%  
144 4% 84%  
145 4% 80%  
146 4% 77%  
147 4% 72%  
148 3% 68%  
149 2% 66%  
150 5% 63%  
151 3% 58%  
152 3% 55%  
153 2% 52%  
154 7% 50%  
155 4% 43%  
156 4% 38%  
157 7% 35%  
158 3% 28% Median
159 3% 25%  
160 5% 21%  
161 3% 16%  
162 3% 13%  
163 3% 10%  
164 2% 7%  
165 1.4% 5%  
166 1.3% 3%  
167 0.5% 2% Last Result
168 0.4% 2%  
169 0.5% 1.2%  
170 0.4% 0.7%  
171 0.1% 0.3%  
172 0.1% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0% Majority

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
129 0% 100%  
130 0.1% 99.9%  
131 0.1% 99.9%  
132 0.2% 99.7% Last Result
133 0.7% 99.5%  
134 2% 98.8%  
135 0.7% 97%  
136 2% 96%  
137 4% 95%  
138 4% 91%  
139 3% 87%  
140 2% 84%  
141 6% 82%  
142 3% 76%  
143 6% 73%  
144 5% 67%  
145 5% 62%  
146 6% 57%  
147 4% 51% Median
148 7% 47%  
149 6% 40%  
150 9% 34%  
151 6% 25%  
152 3% 20%  
153 3% 17%  
154 3% 14%  
155 2% 11%  
156 2% 9%  
157 2% 7%  
158 2% 5%  
159 0.8% 3%  
160 0.4% 2%  
161 0.8% 2%  
162 0.3% 1.3%  
163 0.5% 1.0%  
164 0.1% 0.5%  
165 0.1% 0.3%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0.1% 100%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0.2% 99.9%  
122 0.4% 99.7%  
123 0.5% 99.3%  
124 0.5% 98.8%  
125 0.9% 98%  
126 1.4% 97%  
127 1.3% 96%  
128 5% 95% Last Result
129 3% 89%  
130 2% 87%  
131 7% 85%  
132 4% 78%  
133 8% 74%  
134 9% 66%  
135 6% 57%  
136 9% 51% Median
137 4% 42%  
138 7% 38%  
139 6% 31%  
140 4% 26%  
141 6% 22%  
142 3% 16%  
143 3% 13%  
144 3% 10%  
145 1.4% 7%  
146 1.3% 6%  
147 1.0% 4%  
148 1.2% 3%  
149 0.9% 2%  
150 0.3% 1.4%  
151 0.3% 1.1%  
152 0.2% 0.8%  
153 0.3% 0.6%  
154 0.2% 0.3%  
155 0.1% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0.1% 100%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.8%  
100 0.1% 99.7%  
101 0.2% 99.7%  
102 0.3% 99.5%  
103 0.8% 99.2%  
104 0.2% 98%  
105 0.7% 98%  
106 0.7% 98%  
107 0.9% 97%  
108 2% 96%  
109 0.7% 94%  
110 2% 94%  
111 2% 92%  
112 1.2% 89%  
113 2% 88%  
114 2% 87%  
115 6% 84%  
116 5% 79%  
117 3% 74%  
118 7% 71%  
119 8% 64%  
120 4% 56%  
121 3% 52%  
122 6% 49%  
123 6% 43%  
124 5% 37%  
125 3% 33%  
126 3% 30%  
127 3% 27%  
128 3% 23%  
129 3% 20%  
130 3% 17%  
131 4% 15%  
132 3% 10%  
133 2% 7% Median
134 1.1% 6%  
135 2% 4%  
136 0.7% 3%  
137 0.5% 2%  
138 0.3% 1.4%  
139 0.6% 1.0%  
140 0.2% 0.5%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0.1% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1% Last Result
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0.1% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.3% 99.8%  
95 0.3% 99.5%  
96 0.4% 99.2%  
97 0.8% 98.8%  
98 0.7% 98%  
99 4% 97%  
100 0.7% 93%  
101 2% 92%  
102 5% 90%  
103 5% 85%  
104 2% 80%  
105 2% 78%  
106 4% 76%  
107 4% 72%  
108 5% 68%  
109 2% 63%  
110 4% 61%  
111 5% 57%  
112 4% 52%  
113 3% 49%  
114 4% 46%  
115 6% 42%  
116 7% 35%  
117 3% 29% Median
118 4% 26%  
119 6% 22%  
120 3% 16%  
121 2% 14% Last Result
122 3% 11%  
123 2% 8%  
124 2% 6%  
125 1.1% 4%  
126 1.0% 3%  
127 0.8% 2%  
128 0.4% 1.1%  
129 0.3% 0.8%  
130 0.2% 0.5%  
131 0.1% 0.3%  
132 0.1% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0.1% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.2% 99.8%  
95 0.4% 99.7%  
96 0.6% 99.2%  
97 1.2% 98.6%  
98 0.3% 97%  
99 3% 97%  
100 3% 95%  
101 3% 92%  
102 1.3% 89%  
103 3% 88%  
104 5% 85%  
105 2% 80%  
106 3% 78%  
107 3% 74%  
108 4% 72%  
109 4% 67%  
110 4% 64%  
111 3% 60%  
112 2% 57%  
113 4% 55%  
114 5% 50%  
115 7% 46%  
116 6% 39%  
117 3% 33%  
118 7% 30% Median
119 5% 23%  
120 3% 18%  
121 1.2% 15%  
122 4% 13%  
123 4% 10% Last Result
124 1.5% 6%  
125 0.6% 4%  
126 2% 4%  
127 0.6% 2%  
128 0.7% 2%  
129 0.3% 0.8%  
130 0.2% 0.5%  
131 0.1% 0.3%  
132 0.1% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0.2% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.7%  
96 0.1% 99.7%  
97 0.2% 99.6%  
98 0.1% 99.5%  
99 0.3% 99.3%  
100 0.3% 99.0%  
101 0.6% 98.7%  
102 0.6% 98%  
103 0.9% 97%  
104 0.8% 97%  
105 3% 96%  
106 1.5% 93%  
107 3% 92%  
108 2% 88%  
109 5% 86%  
110 5% 80%  
111 6% 76%  
112 7% 70%  
113 11% 63%  
114 7% 52% Median
115 9% 45%  
116 6% 36% Last Result
117 8% 30%  
118 7% 22%  
119 3% 15%  
120 2% 12%  
121 3% 10%  
122 1.0% 7%  
123 2% 6%  
124 0.5% 4%  
125 1.1% 3%  
126 0.5% 2%  
127 0.4% 1.5%  
128 0.2% 1.0%  
129 0.5% 0.8%  
130 0.1% 0.3%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0.1% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0.2% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.7%  
91 0.5% 99.6%  
92 0.4% 99.1%  
93 2% 98.7%  
94 2% 97%  
95 2% 95%  
96 2% 93%  
97 5% 91%  
98 4% 86%  
99 9% 82%  
100 8% 73%  
101 6% 65% Last Result
102 8% 59% Median
103 8% 51%  
104 8% 42%  
105 4% 35%  
106 7% 31%  
107 6% 24%  
108 5% 18%  
109 2% 13%  
110 4% 11%  
111 2% 7%  
112 2% 5%  
113 0.8% 3%  
114 1.0% 3%  
115 0.8% 2%  
116 0.3% 0.8%  
117 0.1% 0.6%  
118 0.3% 0.4%  
119 0.1% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations