Opinion Poll by Sifo for Svenska Dagbladet, 8–18 November 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 28.9% | 28.2–29.7% | 28.0–29.9% | 27.8–30.1% | 27.4–30.5% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 21.0% | 20.3–21.7% | 20.1–21.9% | 20.0–22.1% | 19.6–22.4% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 20.3% | 19.6–21.0% | 19.4–21.2% | 19.3–21.4% | 19.0–21.7% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.8–9.8% | 8.7–10.0% | 8.6–10.1% | 8.4–10.3% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7–8.6% | 7.5–8.7% | 7.4–8.9% | 7.2–9.1% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.3–5.0% | 4.2–5.1% | 4.1–5.2% | 3.9–5.4% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3–3.9% | 3.2–4.1% | 3.2–4.1% | 3.0–4.3% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.3% | 2.1–2.6% | 2.0–2.7% | 1.9–2.7% | 1.8–2.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 109 | 106–112 | 105–113 | 103–114 | 101–116 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 80 | 76–82 | 75–83 | 75–83 | 73–85 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 76 | 74–79 | 73–80 | 72–81 | 70–82 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 35 | 33–37 | 33–38 | 32–38 | 31–39 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 30 | 29–32 | 28–33 | 28–34 | 27–34 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 17 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–20 | 0–20 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–15 | 0–15 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 103 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 104 | 2% | 97% | |
| 105 | 5% | 96% | |
| 106 | 7% | 91% | |
| 107 | 9% | 84% | |
| 108 | 17% | 75% | |
| 109 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 110 | 16% | 46% | |
| 111 | 16% | 30% | |
| 112 | 6% | 14% | |
| 113 | 4% | 8% | |
| 114 | 3% | 4% | |
| 115 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 75 | 3% | 98% | |
| 76 | 5% | 95% | |
| 77 | 13% | 89% | |
| 78 | 10% | 76% | |
| 79 | 14% | 66% | |
| 80 | 28% | 52% | Median |
| 81 | 8% | 24% | |
| 82 | 8% | 16% | |
| 83 | 7% | 9% | |
| 84 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 4% | 96% | |
| 74 | 8% | 92% | |
| 75 | 16% | 83% | |
| 76 | 20% | 68% | Median |
| 77 | 15% | 48% | |
| 78 | 13% | 33% | |
| 79 | 12% | 20% | |
| 80 | 4% | 8% | |
| 81 | 2% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 33 | 8% | 96% | |
| 34 | 26% | 88% | |
| 35 | 23% | 61% | Median |
| 36 | 20% | 38% | |
| 37 | 13% | 19% | |
| 38 | 4% | 6% | |
| 39 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 29 | 18% | 95% | |
| 30 | 30% | 77% | Median |
| 31 | 21% | 47% | Last Result |
| 32 | 16% | 26% | |
| 33 | 7% | 9% | |
| 34 | 2% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 16 | 15% | 97% | |
| 17 | 35% | 82% | Median |
| 18 | 31% | 46% | |
| 19 | 13% | 16% | |
| 20 | 3% | 3% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 8% | |
| 10 | 0% | 8% | |
| 11 | 0% | 8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 8% | |
| 14 | 0% | 8% | |
| 15 | 8% | 8% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 219 | 100% | 214–222 | 211–223 | 209–224 | 207–231 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 189 | 100% | 184–192 | 181–193 | 179–194 | 177–198 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 176 | 63% | 172–180 | 171–183 | 171–185 | 169–187 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 173 | 37% | 169–177 | 166–178 | 164–178 | 162–180 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 156 | 0% | 152–159 | 150–160 | 148–161 | 146–164 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 145 | 0% | 142–150 | 141–153 | 140–155 | 139–157 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 140 | 0% | 137–145 | 136–149 | 136–151 | 134–153 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 144 | 0% | 140–148 | 139–149 | 137–149 | 135–152 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 127 | 0% | 123–131 | 122–131 | 120–132 | 116–133 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 127 | 0% | 123–131 | 122–131 | 120–132 | 116–133 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 110 | 0% | 107–114 | 106–120 | 105–121 | 104–123 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 110 | 0% | 106–113 | 105–114 | 104–115 | 103–117 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 110 | 0% | 106–113 | 105–114 | 104–115 | 103–117 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 207 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 208 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 209 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 210 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 211 | 3% | 96% | |
| 212 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 213 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 214 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 215 | 4% | 90% | |
| 216 | 3% | 86% | |
| 217 | 8% | 83% | |
| 218 | 15% | 75% | |
| 219 | 10% | 60% | Median |
| 220 | 16% | 50% | |
| 221 | 18% | 33% | |
| 222 | 7% | 16% | |
| 223 | 4% | 9% | |
| 224 | 3% | 5% | |
| 225 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 226 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 227 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 228 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 229 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 230 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 231 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 232 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 233 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 234 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 236 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 237 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 177 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 178 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 179 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 180 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 181 | 2% | 96% | |
| 182 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 183 | 2% | 93% | |
| 184 | 2% | 91% | |
| 185 | 5% | 89% | |
| 186 | 7% | 84% | |
| 187 | 9% | 77% | |
| 188 | 17% | 68% | |
| 189 | 12% | 51% | Median |
| 190 | 14% | 39% | |
| 191 | 13% | 25% | |
| 192 | 5% | 12% | |
| 193 | 4% | 7% | |
| 194 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 195 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 201 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 170 | 1.5% | 99.0% | |
| 171 | 3% | 98% | |
| 172 | 7% | 95% | |
| 173 | 11% | 87% | |
| 174 | 14% | 77% | Median |
| 175 | 12% | 63% | Majority |
| 176 | 14% | 51% | |
| 177 | 13% | 37% | |
| 178 | 5% | 24% | |
| 179 | 6% | 18% | |
| 180 | 3% | 12% | |
| 181 | 2% | 10% | |
| 182 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 183 | 2% | 6% | |
| 184 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 185 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 186 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 163 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 164 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 165 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 166 | 2% | 96% | |
| 167 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 168 | 2% | 93% | |
| 169 | 3% | 90% | |
| 170 | 6% | 88% | |
| 171 | 5% | 82% | |
| 172 | 13% | 76% | |
| 173 | 14% | 63% | Median |
| 174 | 12% | 49% | |
| 175 | 14% | 37% | Majority |
| 176 | 11% | 23% | |
| 177 | 7% | 13% | |
| 178 | 3% | 5% | |
| 179 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 180 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 148 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 149 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 150 | 2% | 96% | |
| 151 | 2% | 94% | |
| 152 | 4% | 91% | |
| 153 | 7% | 87% | |
| 154 | 9% | 81% | |
| 155 | 15% | 72% | |
| 156 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 157 | 12% | 41% | |
| 158 | 12% | 29% | |
| 159 | 8% | 17% | |
| 160 | 5% | 9% | |
| 161 | 2% | 4% | |
| 162 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 140 | 2% | 98% | |
| 141 | 3% | 96% | |
| 142 | 7% | 92% | |
| 143 | 16% | 85% | |
| 144 | 14% | 69% | Last Result, Median |
| 145 | 16% | 55% | |
| 146 | 11% | 39% | |
| 147 | 10% | 29% | |
| 148 | 4% | 19% | |
| 149 | 4% | 14% | |
| 150 | 2% | 10% | |
| 151 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 152 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 153 | 2% | 6% | |
| 154 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 155 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 156 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 135 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 136 | 4% | 98% | |
| 137 | 8% | 94% | |
| 138 | 12% | 86% | |
| 139 | 11% | 74% | Median |
| 140 | 16% | 63% | |
| 141 | 13% | 48% | |
| 142 | 13% | 34% | |
| 143 | 5% | 22% | |
| 144 | 4% | 16% | |
| 145 | 2% | 12% | |
| 146 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 147 | 2% | 9% | |
| 148 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 149 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 150 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 151 | 2% | 3% | |
| 152 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 137 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 138 | 2% | 97% | |
| 139 | 3% | 95% | |
| 140 | 3% | 92% | |
| 141 | 5% | 89% | |
| 142 | 8% | 84% | |
| 143 | 16% | 77% | |
| 144 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 145 | 16% | 47% | |
| 146 | 11% | 31% | |
| 147 | 10% | 20% | |
| 148 | 4% | 10% | |
| 149 | 4% | 6% | |
| 150 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 119 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 120 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 121 | 2% | 97% | |
| 122 | 2% | 95% | |
| 123 | 4% | 93% | |
| 124 | 7% | 90% | |
| 125 | 6% | 82% | |
| 126 | 10% | 76% | |
| 127 | 18% | 66% | Median |
| 128 | 16% | 48% | |
| 129 | 14% | 32% | |
| 130 | 7% | 19% | |
| 131 | 7% | 12% | |
| 132 | 3% | 4% | |
| 133 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 119 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 120 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 121 | 2% | 97% | |
| 122 | 2% | 95% | |
| 123 | 4% | 93% | Last Result |
| 124 | 7% | 90% | |
| 125 | 6% | 82% | |
| 126 | 10% | 76% | |
| 127 | 18% | 66% | Median |
| 128 | 16% | 48% | |
| 129 | 14% | 32% | |
| 130 | 7% | 19% | |
| 131 | 7% | 12% | |
| 132 | 3% | 4% | |
| 133 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 105 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 106 | 6% | 96% | |
| 107 | 7% | 90% | |
| 108 | 16% | 83% | |
| 109 | 13% | 67% | Median |
| 110 | 16% | 54% | |
| 111 | 16% | 38% | |
| 112 | 6% | 23% | |
| 113 | 4% | 16% | |
| 114 | 3% | 13% | |
| 115 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 116 | 1.0% | 9% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 118 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 119 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 120 | 2% | 5% | |
| 121 | 2% | 3% | |
| 122 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 104 | 2% | 98% | |
| 105 | 3% | 97% | |
| 106 | 5% | 94% | |
| 107 | 7% | 89% | |
| 108 | 8% | 82% | |
| 109 | 18% | 75% | |
| 110 | 18% | 57% | Median |
| 111 | 13% | 39% | |
| 112 | 13% | 26% | |
| 113 | 6% | 13% | |
| 114 | 4% | 7% | |
| 115 | 2% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 104 | 2% | 98% | |
| 105 | 3% | 97% | |
| 106 | 5% | 94% | |
| 107 | 7% | 89% | |
| 108 | 8% | 82% | |
| 109 | 18% | 75% | |
| 110 | 18% | 57% | Median |
| 111 | 13% | 39% | |
| 112 | 13% | 26% | |
| 113 | 6% | 13% | |
| 114 | 4% | 7% | |
| 115 | 2% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): Svenska Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 8–18 November 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 5710
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.40%