Opinion Poll by SCB, 28 October–25 November 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 29.1% | 28.5–29.7% | 28.3–29.9% | 28.2–30.0% | 27.9–30.3% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 22.7% | 22.1–23.3% | 22.0–23.4% | 21.8–23.6% | 21.6–23.9% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 18.6% | 18.1–19.1% | 17.9–19.3% | 17.8–19.4% | 17.6–19.7% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8–9.6% | 8.7–9.7% | 8.6–9.8% | 8.4–10.0% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0–8.8% | 7.9–8.9% | 7.8–9.0% | 7.7–9.2% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.3–4.9% | 4.3–5.0% | 4.2–5.1% | 4.1–5.2% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6–4.2% | 3.6–4.3% | 3.5–4.3% | 3.4–4.5% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.3–2.7% | 2.2–2.8% | 2.2–2.9% | 2.1–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 108 | 104–111 | 104–112 | 103–112 | 102–114 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 85 | 81–87 | 81–87 | 80–88 | 79–90 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 70 | 66–72 | 65–72 | 65–73 | 64–74 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 34 | 32–36 | 32–36 | 31–37 | 31–38 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 31 | 30–33 | 29–33 | 29–34 | 28–35 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 17 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–15 | 0–16 | 0–16 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 1.5% | 99.5% | |
| 103 | 2% | 98% | |
| 104 | 8% | 96% | |
| 105 | 10% | 88% | |
| 106 | 6% | 78% | |
| 107 | 14% | 73% | |
| 108 | 16% | 59% | Median |
| 109 | 8% | 43% | |
| 110 | 17% | 34% | |
| 111 | 8% | 17% | |
| 112 | 7% | 9% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 114 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 3% | 98% | |
| 81 | 8% | 95% | |
| 82 | 8% | 87% | |
| 83 | 13% | 79% | |
| 84 | 12% | 66% | |
| 85 | 19% | 54% | Median |
| 86 | 17% | 36% | |
| 87 | 14% | 19% | |
| 88 | 2% | 4% | |
| 89 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 66 | 10% | 95% | |
| 67 | 10% | 85% | |
| 68 | 13% | 75% | |
| 69 | 9% | 62% | |
| 70 | 31% | 53% | Median |
| 71 | 9% | 22% | |
| 72 | 9% | 13% | |
| 73 | 4% | 5% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 7% | 96% | |
| 33 | 20% | 89% | |
| 34 | 24% | 69% | Median |
| 35 | 30% | 45% | |
| 36 | 11% | 16% | |
| 37 | 4% | 5% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 30 | 26% | 94% | |
| 31 | 24% | 69% | Last Result, Median |
| 32 | 29% | 44% | |
| 33 | 12% | 15% | |
| 34 | 2% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 22% | 97% | |
| 17 | 38% | 75% | Median |
| 18 | 29% | 37% | |
| 19 | 8% | 8% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 67% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 33% | |
| 2 | 0% | 33% | |
| 3 | 0% | 33% | |
| 4 | 0% | 33% | |
| 5 | 0% | 33% | |
| 6 | 0% | 33% | |
| 7 | 0% | 33% | |
| 8 | 0% | 33% | |
| 9 | 0% | 33% | |
| 10 | 0% | 33% | |
| 11 | 0% | 33% | |
| 12 | 0% | 33% | |
| 13 | 0% | 33% | |
| 14 | 2% | 33% | |
| 15 | 26% | 31% | |
| 16 | 5% | 5% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 226 | 100% | 217–229 | 216–230 | 215–230 | 214–231 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 194 | 100% | 187–197 | 186–198 | 185–199 | 183–200 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 177 | 85% | 174–185 | 174–186 | 173–186 | 171–187 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 172 | 15% | 164–175 | 163–175 | 163–176 | 162–178 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 155 | 0% | 148–157 | 147–158 | 146–159 | 145–160 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 145 | 0% | 142–154 | 142–156 | 141–156 | 140–157 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 142 | 0% | 139–152 | 139–152 | 138–153 | 137–154 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 143 | 0% | 137–146 | 136–147 | 136–147 | 135–149 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 134 | 0% | 128–137 | 127–137 | 126–138 | 125–139 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 134 | 0% | 128–137 | 127–137 | 126–138 | 125–139 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 110 | 0% | 107–121 | 107–122 | 107–123 | 105–124 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 116 | 0% | 111–119 | 111–119 | 110–120 | 109–122 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 116 | 0% | 111–119 | 111–119 | 110–120 | 109–122 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0% | 100% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 213 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 214 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 215 | 2% | 98% | |
| 216 | 5% | 96% | |
| 217 | 5% | 91% | |
| 218 | 10% | 86% | |
| 219 | 6% | 76% | |
| 220 | 2% | 70% | |
| 221 | 0.9% | 68% | |
| 222 | 0.7% | 67% | |
| 223 | 2% | 67% | |
| 224 | 4% | 64% | Median |
| 225 | 10% | 61% | |
| 226 | 22% | 51% | |
| 227 | 9% | 29% | |
| 228 | 10% | 20% | |
| 229 | 5% | 10% | |
| 230 | 4% | 5% | |
| 231 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 232 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 236 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 237 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 238 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 239 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 240 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 184 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 185 | 3% | 98% | |
| 186 | 5% | 95% | |
| 187 | 7% | 90% | |
| 188 | 11% | 83% | |
| 189 | 3% | 73% | |
| 190 | 3% | 70% | |
| 191 | 2% | 67% | |
| 192 | 4% | 65% | |
| 193 | 7% | 61% | Median |
| 194 | 22% | 54% | |
| 195 | 9% | 32% | |
| 196 | 9% | 23% | |
| 197 | 5% | 14% | |
| 198 | 6% | 9% | |
| 199 | 3% | 3% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 201 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 172 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 173 | 2% | 98% | Median |
| 174 | 10% | 95% | |
| 175 | 18% | 85% | Majority |
| 176 | 14% | 67% | |
| 177 | 8% | 53% | |
| 178 | 5% | 45% | |
| 179 | 5% | 40% | |
| 180 | 2% | 35% | |
| 181 | 7% | 32% | |
| 182 | 5% | 26% | |
| 183 | 3% | 21% | |
| 184 | 7% | 18% | |
| 185 | 5% | 12% | |
| 186 | 5% | 6% | |
| 187 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 162 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 163 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 164 | 5% | 94% | |
| 165 | 7% | 88% | |
| 166 | 3% | 82% | |
| 167 | 5% | 79% | |
| 168 | 7% | 74% | |
| 169 | 2% | 68% | |
| 170 | 5% | 65% | |
| 171 | 5% | 60% | |
| 172 | 8% | 55% | Median |
| 173 | 14% | 47% | |
| 174 | 18% | 33% | |
| 175 | 10% | 15% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 5% | |
| 177 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 178 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 146 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 147 | 5% | 97% | |
| 148 | 9% | 92% | |
| 149 | 2% | 83% | |
| 150 | 3% | 81% | |
| 151 | 10% | 78% | |
| 152 | 4% | 68% | |
| 153 | 6% | 64% | |
| 154 | 5% | 58% | |
| 155 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 156 | 20% | 42% | |
| 157 | 15% | 21% | |
| 158 | 3% | 7% | |
| 159 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 160 | 2% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 138 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 141 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 142 | 10% | 96% | Median |
| 143 | 13% | 85% | |
| 144 | 6% | 73% | Last Result |
| 145 | 18% | 66% | |
| 146 | 10% | 48% | |
| 147 | 3% | 38% | |
| 148 | 1.3% | 35% | |
| 149 | 0.9% | 34% | |
| 150 | 2% | 33% | |
| 151 | 5% | 31% | |
| 152 | 5% | 26% | |
| 153 | 7% | 21% | |
| 154 | 6% | 14% | |
| 155 | 3% | 8% | |
| 156 | 5% | 6% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 137 | 1.5% | 99.6% | |
| 138 | 2% | 98% | |
| 139 | 8% | 97% | Median |
| 140 | 16% | 89% | |
| 141 | 18% | 73% | |
| 142 | 9% | 55% | |
| 143 | 4% | 46% | |
| 144 | 6% | 42% | |
| 145 | 3% | 36% | |
| 146 | 0.8% | 33% | |
| 147 | 2% | 33% | |
| 148 | 2% | 31% | |
| 149 | 6% | 29% | |
| 150 | 6% | 23% | |
| 151 | 6% | 17% | |
| 152 | 7% | 11% | |
| 153 | 3% | 4% | |
| 154 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 136 | 6% | 98% | |
| 137 | 5% | 93% | |
| 138 | 9% | 87% | |
| 139 | 4% | 79% | |
| 140 | 4% | 75% | |
| 141 | 7% | 71% | |
| 142 | 11% | 64% | Median |
| 143 | 13% | 53% | |
| 144 | 7% | 40% | |
| 145 | 18% | 33% | |
| 146 | 10% | 15% | |
| 147 | 3% | 5% | |
| 148 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 149 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 125 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 126 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 127 | 5% | 97% | |
| 128 | 6% | 92% | |
| 129 | 4% | 86% | |
| 130 | 10% | 82% | |
| 131 | 6% | 72% | |
| 132 | 5% | 65% | |
| 133 | 7% | 60% | Median |
| 134 | 19% | 53% | |
| 135 | 10% | 33% | |
| 136 | 10% | 23% | |
| 137 | 9% | 13% | |
| 138 | 3% | 4% | |
| 139 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 125 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 126 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 127 | 5% | 97% | |
| 128 | 6% | 92% | |
| 129 | 4% | 86% | |
| 130 | 10% | 82% | |
| 131 | 6% | 72% | |
| 132 | 5% | 65% | |
| 133 | 7% | 60% | Median |
| 134 | 19% | 53% | |
| 135 | 10% | 33% | |
| 136 | 10% | 23% | |
| 137 | 9% | 13% | |
| 138 | 3% | 4% | |
| 139 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 107 | 9% | 98% | |
| 108 | 14% | 89% | Median |
| 109 | 8% | 75% | |
| 110 | 17% | 67% | |
| 111 | 8% | 50% | |
| 112 | 7% | 42% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 35% | |
| 114 | 1.1% | 34% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 33% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 33% | Last Result |
| 117 | 2% | 32% | |
| 118 | 2% | 31% | |
| 119 | 7% | 29% | |
| 120 | 8% | 22% | |
| 121 | 5% | 14% | |
| 122 | 6% | 8% | |
| 123 | 2% | 3% | |
| 124 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 110 | 3% | 98% | |
| 111 | 6% | 96% | |
| 112 | 5% | 89% | |
| 113 | 8% | 84% | |
| 114 | 9% | 75% | |
| 115 | 8% | 66% | |
| 116 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 117 | 15% | 46% | |
| 118 | 17% | 31% | |
| 119 | 9% | 14% | |
| 120 | 2% | 5% | |
| 121 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 110 | 3% | 98% | |
| 111 | 6% | 96% | |
| 112 | 5% | 89% | |
| 113 | 8% | 84% | |
| 114 | 9% | 75% | |
| 115 | 8% | 66% | |
| 116 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 117 | 15% | 46% | |
| 118 | 17% | 31% | |
| 119 | 9% | 14% | |
| 120 | 2% | 5% | |
| 121 | 2% | 2% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SCB
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 28 October–25 November 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 9190
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.21%