Opinion Poll by Sifo for Svenska Dagbladet, 6–16 December 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 31.1% | 30.3–31.9% | 30.1–32.1% | 29.9–32.3% | 29.6–32.6% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 20.0% | 19.3–20.7% | 19.2–20.9% | 19.0–21.0% | 18.7–21.3% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.7% | 19.1–20.4% | 18.9–20.6% | 18.7–20.7% | 18.4–21.0% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.2–10.2% | 9.1–10.3% | 9.0–10.5% | 8.7–10.7% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6–7.4% | 6.5–7.6% | 6.4–7.7% | 6.2–7.9% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8–5.6% | 4.7–5.7% | 4.7–5.8% | 4.5–6.0% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.9–3.5% | 2.9–3.6% | 2.8–3.7% | 2.7–3.8% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.5–3.1% | 2.5–3.2% | 2.4–3.2% | 2.3–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 117 | 114–120 | 114–121 | 113–121 | 112–123 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 75 | 73–78 | 72–78 | 72–79 | 71–80 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 74 | 71–76 | 71–77 | 70–78 | 70–79 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 36 | 35–38 | 34–39 | 34–39 | 33–40 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 26 | 25–28 | 24–28 | 24–29 | 23–30 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 20 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–22 | 17–22 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 113 | 2% | 98% | |
| 114 | 8% | 96% | |
| 115 | 16% | 88% | |
| 116 | 10% | 73% | |
| 117 | 14% | 63% | Median |
| 118 | 22% | 48% | |
| 119 | 14% | 26% | |
| 120 | 7% | 13% | |
| 121 | 4% | 6% | |
| 122 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 71 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 72 | 4% | 98% | |
| 73 | 11% | 94% | |
| 74 | 18% | 83% | |
| 75 | 24% | 65% | Median |
| 76 | 20% | 41% | |
| 77 | 10% | 21% | |
| 78 | 7% | 11% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 7% | 97% | |
| 72 | 11% | 90% | |
| 73 | 16% | 79% | |
| 74 | 22% | 63% | Median |
| 75 | 16% | 41% | |
| 76 | 16% | 25% | |
| 77 | 5% | 9% | |
| 78 | 3% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 6% | 98.8% | |
| 35 | 19% | 93% | |
| 36 | 24% | 74% | Median |
| 37 | 22% | 50% | |
| 38 | 18% | 27% | |
| 39 | 8% | 9% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 24 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 25 | 16% | 94% | |
| 26 | 28% | 78% | Median |
| 27 | 34% | 50% | |
| 28 | 12% | 16% | |
| 29 | 3% | 4% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 11% | 98% | |
| 19 | 30% | 87% | |
| 20 | 38% | 57% | Median |
| 21 | 15% | 19% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 219 | 100% | 216–222 | 215–222 | 214–223 | 213–224 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 192 | 100% | 189–195 | 189–196 | 188–197 | 186–198 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 180 | 99.1% | 177–183 | 176–184 | 176–184 | 174–186 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 169 | 0.9% | 166–172 | 165–173 | 165–173 | 163–175 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 154 | 0% | 151–157 | 150–157 | 149–158 | 148–159 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 154 | 0% | 151–157 | 150–157 | 149–158 | 148–159 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 149 | 0% | 146–152 | 146–153 | 145–154 | 144–155 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 144 | 0% | 140–146 | 140–147 | 139–148 | 138–150 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 121 | 0% | 119–124 | 118–125 | 117–126 | 116–127 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 121 | 0% | 119–124 | 118–125 | 117–126 | 116–127 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 117 | 0% | 114–120 | 114–121 | 113–121 | 112–123 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 102 | 0% | 99–104 | 98–105 | 98–106 | 96–107 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 102 | 0% | 99–104 | 98–105 | 98–106 | 96–107 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 212 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 213 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 214 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 215 | 4% | 97% | |
| 216 | 10% | 93% | |
| 217 | 14% | 83% | |
| 218 | 16% | 69% | Median |
| 219 | 14% | 53% | |
| 220 | 19% | 39% | |
| 221 | 8% | 20% | |
| 222 | 8% | 12% | |
| 223 | 2% | 4% | |
| 224 | 2% | 2% | |
| 225 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 227 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 186 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 187 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 188 | 3% | 98% | |
| 189 | 6% | 95% | |
| 190 | 11% | 90% | |
| 191 | 15% | 78% | |
| 192 | 15% | 63% | Median |
| 193 | 20% | 48% | |
| 194 | 9% | 27% | |
| 195 | 9% | 18% | |
| 196 | 6% | 9% | |
| 197 | 2% | 3% | |
| 198 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 199 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 173 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 175 | 1.4% | 99.1% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 98% | |
| 177 | 8% | 95% | |
| 178 | 11% | 87% | |
| 179 | 15% | 76% | Median |
| 180 | 19% | 60% | |
| 181 | 17% | 42% | |
| 182 | 10% | 25% | |
| 183 | 7% | 15% | |
| 184 | 7% | 9% | |
| 185 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 186 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 164 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 165 | 7% | 98% | |
| 166 | 7% | 91% | |
| 167 | 10% | 85% | |
| 168 | 17% | 75% | |
| 169 | 19% | 58% | Median |
| 170 | 15% | 40% | |
| 171 | 11% | 24% | |
| 172 | 8% | 13% | |
| 173 | 3% | 5% | |
| 174 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 175 | 0.5% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 149 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 150 | 5% | 97% | |
| 151 | 9% | 92% | |
| 152 | 11% | 83% | |
| 153 | 20% | 72% | Median |
| 154 | 18% | 51% | |
| 155 | 12% | 33% | |
| 156 | 9% | 21% | |
| 157 | 8% | 13% | |
| 158 | 3% | 4% | |
| 159 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 149 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 150 | 5% | 97% | |
| 151 | 9% | 92% | |
| 152 | 11% | 83% | |
| 153 | 20% | 72% | Median |
| 154 | 18% | 51% | |
| 155 | 12% | 33% | |
| 156 | 9% | 21% | |
| 157 | 8% | 13% | |
| 158 | 3% | 4% | |
| 159 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 145 | 3% | 98% | |
| 146 | 9% | 96% | |
| 147 | 7% | 87% | |
| 148 | 14% | 80% | |
| 149 | 23% | 65% | Median |
| 150 | 14% | 43% | |
| 151 | 12% | 28% | |
| 152 | 8% | 16% | |
| 153 | 5% | 8% | |
| 154 | 2% | 3% | |
| 155 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 139 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 140 | 8% | 96% | |
| 141 | 10% | 89% | |
| 142 | 11% | 79% | |
| 143 | 15% | 68% | Median |
| 144 | 15% | 53% | |
| 145 | 19% | 38% | |
| 146 | 13% | 20% | |
| 147 | 3% | 7% | |
| 148 | 2% | 4% | |
| 149 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 117 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 118 | 6% | 96% | |
| 119 | 11% | 90% | |
| 120 | 16% | 80% | |
| 121 | 16% | 63% | Median |
| 122 | 21% | 47% | |
| 123 | 12% | 26% | |
| 124 | 7% | 14% | |
| 125 | 4% | 7% | |
| 126 | 2% | 3% | |
| 127 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 117 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 118 | 6% | 96% | |
| 119 | 11% | 90% | |
| 120 | 16% | 80% | |
| 121 | 16% | 63% | Median |
| 122 | 21% | 47% | |
| 123 | 12% | 26% | Last Result |
| 124 | 7% | 14% | |
| 125 | 4% | 7% | |
| 126 | 2% | 3% | |
| 127 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 113 | 2% | 98% | |
| 114 | 8% | 96% | |
| 115 | 16% | 88% | |
| 116 | 10% | 73% | Last Result |
| 117 | 14% | 63% | Median |
| 118 | 22% | 48% | |
| 119 | 14% | 26% | |
| 120 | 7% | 13% | |
| 121 | 4% | 6% | |
| 122 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 1.5% | 99.3% | |
| 98 | 4% | 98% | |
| 99 | 6% | 94% | |
| 100 | 18% | 87% | |
| 101 | 16% | 69% | Median |
| 102 | 27% | 54% | |
| 103 | 8% | 26% | |
| 104 | 12% | 19% | |
| 105 | 3% | 7% | |
| 106 | 3% | 4% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 1.5% | 99.3% | |
| 98 | 4% | 98% | |
| 99 | 6% | 94% | |
| 100 | 18% | 87% | |
| 101 | 16% | 69% | Last Result, Median |
| 102 | 27% | 54% | |
| 103 | 8% | 26% | |
| 104 | 12% | 19% | |
| 105 | 3% | 7% | |
| 106 | 3% | 4% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): Svenska Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 6–16 December 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 6157
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.59%