Opinion Poll by Demoskop for Aftonbladet, 1–8 February 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 28.2% | 27.0–29.4% | 26.7–29.7% | 26.4–30.0% | 25.9–30.6% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 22.0% | 21.0–23.1% | 20.7–23.4% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.2% | 18.2–20.2% | 17.9–20.5% | 17.7–20.8% | 17.2–21.3% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.2–10.8% | 9.0–11.0% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2–8.6% | 7.1–8.9% | 6.9–9.0% | 6.6–9.4% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0–6.2% | 4.9–6.4% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.8–3.7% | 2.7–3.8% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.4–3.3% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.2–3.5% | 2.0–3.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 105 | 102–110 | 101–111 | 99–112 | 97–115 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 82 | 79–86 | 78–87 | 76–88 | 75–90 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 72 | 68–76 | 67–77 | 66–78 | 65–80 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 38 | 35–40 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 32–43 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 30 | 27–32 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 25–35 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 21 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 18–25 | 17–25 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 98 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 99 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 100 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 101 | 5% | 96% | |
| 102 | 5% | 91% | |
| 103 | 5% | 85% | |
| 104 | 17% | 81% | |
| 105 | 16% | 63% | Median |
| 106 | 8% | 47% | |
| 107 | 10% | 39% | |
| 108 | 13% | 30% | |
| 109 | 5% | 16% | |
| 110 | 4% | 12% | |
| 111 | 4% | 8% | |
| 112 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 113 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 1.5% | 98.8% | |
| 77 | 2% | 97% | |
| 78 | 3% | 95% | |
| 79 | 8% | 92% | |
| 80 | 9% | 84% | |
| 81 | 11% | 74% | |
| 82 | 17% | 63% | Median |
| 83 | 17% | 47% | |
| 84 | 8% | 30% | |
| 85 | 5% | 22% | |
| 86 | 9% | 17% | |
| 87 | 3% | 8% | |
| 88 | 2% | 5% | |
| 89 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 3% | 97% | |
| 68 | 6% | 94% | |
| 69 | 8% | 88% | |
| 70 | 9% | 80% | |
| 71 | 14% | 71% | |
| 72 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 73 | 13% | 45% | |
| 74 | 9% | 32% | |
| 75 | 13% | 23% | |
| 76 | 5% | 10% | |
| 77 | 3% | 6% | |
| 78 | 2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 34 | 3% | 96% | |
| 35 | 12% | 93% | |
| 36 | 15% | 81% | |
| 37 | 6% | 66% | |
| 38 | 24% | 60% | Median |
| 39 | 25% | 36% | |
| 40 | 5% | 11% | |
| 41 | 2% | 6% | |
| 42 | 3% | 4% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 27 | 7% | 95% | |
| 28 | 14% | 88% | |
| 29 | 13% | 74% | |
| 30 | 25% | 62% | Median |
| 31 | 17% | 37% | Last Result |
| 32 | 10% | 20% | |
| 33 | 5% | 10% | |
| 34 | 3% | 4% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 17 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 19 | 11% | 93% | |
| 20 | 13% | 83% | |
| 21 | 22% | 70% | Median |
| 22 | 30% | 48% | Last Result |
| 23 | 9% | 18% | |
| 24 | 6% | 9% | |
| 25 | 3% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.7% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 218 | 100% | 214–223 | 213–224 | 211–225 | 207–227 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 188 | 99.9% | 184–193 | 182–194 | 181–195 | 178–198 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 176 | 69% | 171–179 | 169–182 | 167–183 | 166–185 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 173 | 31% | 170–178 | 167–180 | 166–182 | 164–183 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 154 | 0% | 150–159 | 148–160 | 147–162 | 145–164 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 143 | 0% | 139–147 | 137–150 | 136–151 | 133–153 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 143 | 0% | 139–147 | 137–150 | 136–151 | 133–153 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 136 | 0% | 132–140 | 130–142 | 129–143 | 127–147 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 134 | 0% | 129–138 | 128–139 | 127–141 | 124–145 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 134 | 0% | 129–138 | 128–139 | 126–140 | 124–142 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 112 | 0% | 108–117 | 107–118 | 106–120 | 104–124 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 112 | 0% | 108–117 | 107–118 | 106–119 | 103–121 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 105 | 0% | 102–110 | 101–111 | 99–112 | 97–115 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 207 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 209 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 210 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 211 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 212 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 213 | 4% | 95% | |
| 214 | 9% | 91% | |
| 215 | 7% | 82% | |
| 216 | 11% | 76% | |
| 217 | 9% | 65% | Median |
| 218 | 15% | 56% | |
| 219 | 10% | 42% | |
| 220 | 7% | 32% | |
| 221 | 6% | 25% | |
| 222 | 7% | 18% | |
| 223 | 4% | 11% | |
| 224 | 3% | 7% | |
| 225 | 2% | 4% | |
| 226 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 227 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 228 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 229 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 230 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 179 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 180 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 181 | 3% | 98% | |
| 182 | 2% | 96% | |
| 183 | 3% | 94% | |
| 184 | 8% | 91% | |
| 185 | 3% | 83% | |
| 186 | 16% | 80% | |
| 187 | 11% | 64% | Median |
| 188 | 6% | 53% | |
| 189 | 17% | 47% | |
| 190 | 4% | 31% | |
| 191 | 9% | 26% | |
| 192 | 5% | 18% | |
| 193 | 4% | 12% | |
| 194 | 4% | 8% | |
| 195 | 2% | 4% | |
| 196 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 197 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 198 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 166 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 167 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 168 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 169 | 4% | 96% | |
| 170 | 2% | 92% | |
| 171 | 2% | 90% | |
| 172 | 1.5% | 88% | |
| 173 | 6% | 87% | |
| 174 | 11% | 81% | |
| 175 | 12% | 69% | Median, Majority |
| 176 | 15% | 57% | |
| 177 | 20% | 42% | |
| 178 | 9% | 22% | |
| 179 | 4% | 13% | |
| 180 | 2% | 9% | |
| 181 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 182 | 2% | 6% | |
| 183 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 184 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 185 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 165 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 166 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 167 | 2% | 96% | |
| 168 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 169 | 2% | 93% | |
| 170 | 4% | 91% | |
| 171 | 9% | 87% | |
| 172 | 20% | 78% | |
| 173 | 15% | 58% | Median |
| 174 | 12% | 43% | |
| 175 | 11% | 31% | Majority |
| 176 | 6% | 19% | |
| 177 | 1.5% | 13% | |
| 178 | 2% | 12% | |
| 179 | 2% | 10% | |
| 180 | 4% | 8% | |
| 181 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 182 | 2% | 3% | |
| 183 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 145 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 146 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 148 | 2% | 97% | |
| 149 | 3% | 95% | |
| 150 | 4% | 91% | |
| 151 | 4% | 88% | |
| 152 | 9% | 84% | |
| 153 | 11% | 75% | |
| 154 | 14% | 64% | Median |
| 155 | 16% | 50% | |
| 156 | 11% | 34% | |
| 157 | 7% | 24% | |
| 158 | 6% | 17% | |
| 159 | 3% | 11% | |
| 160 | 4% | 8% | |
| 161 | 2% | 4% | |
| 162 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 163 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 164 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 136 | 2% | 98% | |
| 137 | 2% | 96% | |
| 138 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 139 | 4% | 93% | |
| 140 | 7% | 89% | |
| 141 | 8% | 82% | |
| 142 | 14% | 74% | |
| 143 | 18% | 60% | Median |
| 144 | 13% | 42% | Last Result |
| 145 | 2% | 29% | |
| 146 | 7% | 26% | |
| 147 | 10% | 19% | |
| 148 | 3% | 9% | |
| 149 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 150 | 3% | 6% | |
| 151 | 2% | 3% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 136 | 2% | 98% | |
| 137 | 2% | 96% | |
| 138 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 139 | 4% | 93% | |
| 140 | 7% | 89% | |
| 141 | 8% | 82% | |
| 142 | 14% | 74% | |
| 143 | 18% | 60% | Median |
| 144 | 13% | 42% | |
| 145 | 2% | 28% | |
| 146 | 7% | 26% | |
| 147 | 10% | 19% | |
| 148 | 3% | 9% | |
| 149 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 150 | 3% | 5% | |
| 151 | 2% | 3% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 128 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 129 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 130 | 2% | 97% | |
| 131 | 3% | 95% | |
| 132 | 5% | 92% | |
| 133 | 8% | 87% | |
| 134 | 16% | 79% | |
| 135 | 13% | 63% | Median |
| 136 | 12% | 50% | |
| 137 | 11% | 38% | |
| 138 | 7% | 27% | |
| 139 | 6% | 20% | |
| 140 | 4% | 14% | |
| 141 | 4% | 10% | |
| 142 | 2% | 6% | |
| 143 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 144 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 122 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 125 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 126 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 127 | 2% | 98% | |
| 128 | 3% | 96% | |
| 129 | 3% | 93% | |
| 130 | 7% | 90% | |
| 131 | 12% | 83% | |
| 132 | 11% | 72% | |
| 133 | 7% | 61% | Median |
| 134 | 14% | 53% | |
| 135 | 9% | 39% | |
| 136 | 10% | 30% | |
| 137 | 7% | 20% | |
| 138 | 5% | 14% | |
| 139 | 4% | 8% | |
| 140 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 141 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 142 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 125 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 126 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 127 | 2% | 97% | |
| 128 | 3% | 96% | |
| 129 | 3% | 92% | |
| 130 | 7% | 89% | |
| 131 | 12% | 82% | |
| 132 | 11% | 70% | |
| 133 | 7% | 60% | Median |
| 134 | 14% | 52% | |
| 135 | 9% | 38% | |
| 136 | 10% | 29% | |
| 137 | 7% | 19% | |
| 138 | 5% | 12% | |
| 139 | 4% | 7% | |
| 140 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 141 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 106 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 107 | 4% | 97% | |
| 108 | 3% | 93% | |
| 109 | 10% | 89% | |
| 110 | 10% | 79% | |
| 111 | 8% | 70% | |
| 112 | 16% | 62% | Median |
| 113 | 10% | 46% | |
| 114 | 12% | 37% | |
| 115 | 6% | 25% | |
| 116 | 6% | 19% | |
| 117 | 5% | 13% | |
| 118 | 3% | 8% | |
| 119 | 2% | 4% | |
| 120 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 121 | 0.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 104 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 105 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 106 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 107 | 4% | 96% | |
| 108 | 4% | 92% | |
| 109 | 10% | 89% | |
| 110 | 10% | 79% | |
| 111 | 8% | 69% | |
| 112 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 113 | 10% | 45% | |
| 114 | 12% | 36% | |
| 115 | 6% | 23% | |
| 116 | 6% | 17% | |
| 117 | 5% | 11% | |
| 118 | 3% | 7% | |
| 119 | 2% | 3% | |
| 120 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 98 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 99 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 100 | 2% | 97% | |
| 101 | 5% | 96% | |
| 102 | 5% | 91% | |
| 103 | 5% | 85% | |
| 104 | 17% | 81% | |
| 105 | 16% | 63% | Median |
| 106 | 8% | 47% | |
| 107 | 10% | 39% | |
| 108 | 13% | 30% | |
| 109 | 5% | 17% | |
| 110 | 4% | 12% | |
| 111 | 4% | 8% | |
| 112 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 113 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Demoskop
- Commissioner(s): Aftonbladet
- Fieldwork period: 1–8 February 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 2505
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.40%