Opinion Poll by SKOP, 11–14 February 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 31.4% | 29.6–33.3% | 29.1–33.9% | 28.6–34.3% | 27.7–35.3% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 19.1% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.1–21.2% | 16.8–21.6% | 16.0–22.4% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.0% | 17.4–20.6% | 17.0–21.1% | 16.7–21.5% | 16.0–22.3% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 11.8% | 10.6–13.2% | 10.3–13.6% | 10.0–14.0% | 9.4–14.7% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.4–9.7% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 119 | 111–127 | 109–129 | 107–131 | 104–135 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 72 | 66–79 | 64–80 | 63–82 | 60–86 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 71 | 66–78 | 65–80 | 63–82 | 60–85 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 45 | 40–51 | 39–52 | 37–53 | 36–56 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 28 | 24–32 | 23–33 | 22–34 | 21–37 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 16 | 0–19 | 0–20 | 0–21 | 0–23 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–16 | 0–18 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–16 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 107 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 108 | 2% | 97% | |
| 109 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 110 | 2% | 94% | |
| 111 | 6% | 92% | |
| 112 | 2% | 86% | |
| 113 | 2% | 84% | |
| 114 | 4% | 82% | |
| 115 | 7% | 77% | |
| 116 | 5% | 71% | |
| 117 | 3% | 66% | |
| 118 | 5% | 63% | |
| 119 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 120 | 6% | 47% | |
| 121 | 5% | 42% | |
| 122 | 8% | 36% | |
| 123 | 3% | 28% | |
| 124 | 8% | 25% | |
| 125 | 3% | 17% | |
| 126 | 3% | 14% | |
| 127 | 3% | 11% | |
| 128 | 2% | 7% | |
| 129 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 130 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 131 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 132 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 64 | 3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 3% | 94% | |
| 66 | 2% | 90% | |
| 67 | 9% | 88% | |
| 68 | 3% | 79% | |
| 69 | 3% | 76% | |
| 70 | 11% | 73% | Last Result |
| 71 | 9% | 62% | |
| 72 | 5% | 54% | Median |
| 73 | 10% | 49% | |
| 74 | 8% | 39% | |
| 75 | 3% | 32% | |
| 76 | 6% | 28% | |
| 77 | 8% | 22% | |
| 78 | 2% | 14% | |
| 79 | 3% | 12% | |
| 80 | 5% | 9% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 98.8% | Last Result |
| 63 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 4% | 95% | |
| 66 | 3% | 91% | |
| 67 | 4% | 88% | |
| 68 | 11% | 84% | |
| 69 | 6% | 73% | |
| 70 | 10% | 67% | |
| 71 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 72 | 7% | 49% | |
| 73 | 7% | 42% | |
| 74 | 7% | 35% | |
| 75 | 3% | 27% | |
| 76 | 6% | 24% | |
| 77 | 5% | 18% | |
| 78 | 4% | 13% | |
| 79 | 3% | 9% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 82 | 2% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 38 | 2% | 97% | |
| 39 | 3% | 96% | |
| 40 | 5% | 93% | |
| 41 | 6% | 88% | |
| 42 | 6% | 81% | |
| 43 | 11% | 76% | |
| 44 | 10% | 64% | |
| 45 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 46 | 7% | 46% | |
| 47 | 11% | 40% | |
| 48 | 9% | 29% | |
| 49 | 4% | 19% | |
| 50 | 5% | 16% | |
| 51 | 4% | 10% | |
| 52 | 2% | 6% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 22 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 23 | 5% | 97% | |
| 24 | 7% | 92% | |
| 25 | 7% | 85% | |
| 26 | 7% | 78% | |
| 27 | 12% | 71% | |
| 28 | 16% | 59% | Median |
| 29 | 12% | 43% | |
| 30 | 9% | 31% | |
| 31 | 8% | 21% | Last Result |
| 32 | 5% | 13% | |
| 33 | 4% | 8% | |
| 34 | 2% | 4% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 35% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 65% | |
| 2 | 0% | 65% | |
| 3 | 0% | 65% | |
| 4 | 0% | 65% | |
| 5 | 0% | 65% | |
| 6 | 0% | 65% | |
| 7 | 0% | 65% | |
| 8 | 0% | 65% | |
| 9 | 0% | 65% | |
| 10 | 0% | 65% | |
| 11 | 0% | 65% | |
| 12 | 0% | 65% | |
| 13 | 0% | 65% | |
| 14 | 0% | 65% | |
| 15 | 11% | 65% | |
| 16 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 17 | 12% | 43% | |
| 18 | 16% | 31% | |
| 19 | 6% | 15% | |
| 20 | 5% | 9% | |
| 21 | 2% | 4% | |
| 22 | 1.2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 94% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 6% | |
| 9 | 0% | 6% | |
| 10 | 0% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0% | 6% | |
| 12 | 0% | 6% | |
| 13 | 0% | 6% | |
| 14 | 0% | 6% | |
| 15 | 3% | 6% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.5% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 9 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 12 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 14 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 219 | 100% | 209–231 | 207–232 | 204–234 | 199–239 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 193 | 99.7% | 184–202 | 182–207 | 179–209 | 176–214 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 192 | 98.9% | 182–201 | 179–204 | 177–206 | 172–210 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 164 | 11% | 156–175 | 154–178 | 152–180 | 147–185 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 164 | 8% | 155–173 | 153–177 | 151–178 | 146–183 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 156 | 0.3% | 147–165 | 142–167 | 140–170 | 135–173 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 148 | 0% | 139–157 | 137–160 | 135–162 | 132–168 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 143 | 0% | 135–154 | 134–155 | 131–156 | 128–161 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 120 | 0% | 111–128 | 110–131 | 108–134 | 105–139 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 112 | 0% | 101–122 | 99–124 | 96–126 | 92–130 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 112 | 0% | 101–121 | 98–124 | 96–126 | 92–130 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 101 | 0% | 93–109 | 91–111 | 89–112 | 86–117 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 100 | 0% | 93–108 | 91–111 | 89–112 | 86–115 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 193 | 0% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 195 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 200 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 201 | 0.3% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 203 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 204 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 205 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 206 | 2% | 97% | |
| 207 | 2% | 95% | |
| 208 | 2% | 94% | |
| 209 | 2% | 92% | |
| 210 | 4% | 90% | |
| 211 | 3% | 86% | |
| 212 | 3% | 83% | |
| 213 | 5% | 80% | |
| 214 | 4% | 75% | |
| 215 | 4% | 71% | |
| 216 | 3% | 67% | |
| 217 | 6% | 64% | |
| 218 | 4% | 58% | |
| 219 | 4% | 54% | Median |
| 220 | 8% | 50% | |
| 221 | 4% | 42% | |
| 222 | 4% | 39% | |
| 223 | 4% | 35% | |
| 224 | 4% | 31% | |
| 225 | 4% | 27% | |
| 226 | 2% | 23% | |
| 227 | 4% | 21% | |
| 228 | 2% | 17% | |
| 229 | 2% | 14% | |
| 230 | 1.2% | 12% | |
| 231 | 5% | 11% | |
| 232 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 233 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 234 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 235 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 236 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 237 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 238 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 239 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 240 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 241 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 242 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 243 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 244 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 99.7% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 177 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 178 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 179 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 180 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 181 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 182 | 2% | 95% | |
| 183 | 2% | 94% | |
| 184 | 4% | 91% | |
| 185 | 3% | 87% | |
| 186 | 5% | 84% | |
| 187 | 2% | 80% | |
| 188 | 3% | 78% | |
| 189 | 3% | 75% | |
| 190 | 11% | 72% | |
| 191 | 6% | 61% | |
| 192 | 3% | 55% | Median |
| 193 | 3% | 52% | |
| 194 | 4% | 48% | |
| 195 | 6% | 45% | Last Result |
| 196 | 3% | 38% | |
| 197 | 6% | 35% | |
| 198 | 3% | 29% | |
| 199 | 2% | 26% | |
| 200 | 4% | 25% | |
| 201 | 3% | 21% | |
| 202 | 8% | 18% | |
| 203 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 204 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 205 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 206 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 207 | 2% | 7% | |
| 208 | 2% | 5% | |
| 209 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 210 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 213 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 214 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 215 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 174 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 175 | 0.4% | 98.9% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 177 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 178 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 179 | 2% | 96% | |
| 180 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 181 | 2% | 93% | |
| 182 | 3% | 91% | |
| 183 | 3% | 88% | |
| 184 | 3% | 85% | |
| 185 | 5% | 82% | |
| 186 | 4% | 77% | |
| 187 | 3% | 73% | |
| 188 | 5% | 69% | |
| 189 | 7% | 64% | |
| 190 | 4% | 57% | |
| 191 | 4% | 54% | Median |
| 192 | 8% | 50% | |
| 193 | 4% | 42% | |
| 194 | 5% | 38% | |
| 195 | 3% | 33% | |
| 196 | 5% | 30% | |
| 197 | 3% | 25% | |
| 198 | 4% | 22% | |
| 199 | 3% | 18% | |
| 200 | 2% | 15% | |
| 201 | 5% | 13% | |
| 202 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 203 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 204 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 205 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 206 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 207 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 209 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 211 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 151 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 152 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 153 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 154 | 2% | 96% | |
| 155 | 3% | 93% | |
| 156 | 2% | 90% | |
| 157 | 3% | 88% | |
| 158 | 4% | 85% | |
| 159 | 3% | 82% | |
| 160 | 3% | 78% | |
| 161 | 4% | 75% | |
| 162 | 10% | 70% | |
| 163 | 5% | 60% | |
| 164 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 165 | 4% | 50% | |
| 166 | 2% | 46% | |
| 167 | 5% | 43% | |
| 168 | 4% | 39% | |
| 169 | 8% | 35% | |
| 170 | 4% | 27% | |
| 171 | 4% | 23% | |
| 172 | 6% | 19% | |
| 173 | 1.4% | 14% | |
| 174 | 2% | 12% | |
| 175 | 1.5% | 11% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 9% | |
| 177 | 2% | 7% | |
| 178 | 2% | 5% | |
| 179 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 180 | 2% | 3% | |
| 181 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 183 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 185 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 149 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 151 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 152 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 153 | 2% | 95% | |
| 154 | 3% | 94% | |
| 155 | 3% | 91% | |
| 156 | 3% | 88% | |
| 157 | 3% | 85% | |
| 158 | 4% | 82% | |
| 159 | 3% | 78% | |
| 160 | 4% | 75% | |
| 161 | 5% | 71% | |
| 162 | 10% | 66% | |
| 163 | 5% | 57% | |
| 164 | 6% | 51% | Median |
| 165 | 4% | 46% | |
| 166 | 3% | 42% | |
| 167 | 4% | 39% | |
| 168 | 4% | 35% | |
| 169 | 8% | 31% | |
| 170 | 3% | 23% | |
| 171 | 4% | 20% | |
| 172 | 5% | 16% | |
| 173 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 174 | 2% | 10% | |
| 175 | 1.3% | 8% | Majority |
| 176 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 177 | 2% | 5% | |
| 178 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 180 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 183 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 138 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 140 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 141 | 2% | 97% | |
| 142 | 2% | 95% | |
| 143 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 145 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 146 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 147 | 8% | 90% | |
| 148 | 3% | 82% | |
| 149 | 4% | 79% | |
| 150 | 2% | 75% | |
| 151 | 3% | 74% | |
| 152 | 6% | 71% | |
| 153 | 3% | 65% | |
| 154 | 6% | 62% | Last Result |
| 155 | 4% | 55% | |
| 156 | 3% | 52% | |
| 157 | 3% | 48% | |
| 158 | 6% | 45% | |
| 159 | 11% | 39% | Median |
| 160 | 3% | 28% | |
| 161 | 3% | 25% | |
| 162 | 2% | 22% | |
| 163 | 5% | 20% | |
| 164 | 3% | 16% | |
| 165 | 4% | 13% | |
| 166 | 2% | 9% | |
| 167 | 2% | 6% | |
| 168 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 169 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 170 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 171 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 172 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 135 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 136 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 137 | 2% | 96% | |
| 138 | 2% | 94% | |
| 139 | 4% | 92% | |
| 140 | 3% | 88% | |
| 141 | 3% | 85% | |
| 142 | 3% | 82% | |
| 143 | 3% | 79% | |
| 144 | 5% | 76% | |
| 145 | 4% | 71% | |
| 146 | 6% | 67% | |
| 147 | 9% | 61% | Median |
| 148 | 4% | 52% | |
| 149 | 4% | 49% | |
| 150 | 6% | 44% | |
| 151 | 5% | 38% | |
| 152 | 4% | 33% | |
| 153 | 6% | 29% | |
| 154 | 7% | 23% | |
| 155 | 3% | 16% | |
| 156 | 2% | 13% | |
| 157 | 4% | 11% | |
| 158 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 159 | 2% | 7% | |
| 160 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 161 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 163 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 129 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 130 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 131 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 97% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 134 | 3% | 97% | |
| 135 | 6% | 94% | |
| 136 | 5% | 88% | |
| 137 | 1.5% | 83% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 139 | 0.7% | 81% | |
| 140 | 4% | 81% | |
| 141 | 17% | 76% | |
| 142 | 8% | 60% | |
| 143 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 144 | 0.5% | 47% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 47% | |
| 146 | 1.3% | 46% | |
| 147 | 12% | 45% | |
| 148 | 11% | 33% | |
| 149 | 6% | 22% | |
| 150 | 1.2% | 16% | |
| 151 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 152 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 153 | 2% | 14% | |
| 154 | 5% | 12% | |
| 155 | 3% | 7% | |
| 156 | 2% | 4% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 160 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 108 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 109 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 110 | 2% | 96% | |
| 111 | 6% | 94% | |
| 112 | 2% | 89% | |
| 113 | 2% | 86% | |
| 114 | 4% | 84% | |
| 115 | 6% | 81% | |
| 116 | 5% | 74% | Last Result |
| 117 | 3% | 70% | |
| 118 | 5% | 67% | |
| 119 | 10% | 61% | Median |
| 120 | 5% | 52% | |
| 121 | 5% | 46% | |
| 122 | 8% | 41% | |
| 123 | 4% | 33% | |
| 124 | 9% | 30% | |
| 125 | 3% | 21% | |
| 126 | 3% | 18% | |
| 127 | 3% | 14% | |
| 128 | 3% | 11% | |
| 129 | 2% | 8% | |
| 130 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 131 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 132 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 97 | 2% | 97% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 99 | 3% | 95% | |
| 100 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 101 | 2% | 91% | |
| 102 | 3% | 90% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 86% | |
| 104 | 5% | 85% | |
| 105 | 3% | 81% | |
| 106 | 2% | 78% | |
| 107 | 6% | 76% | |
| 108 | 2% | 70% | |
| 109 | 5% | 68% | |
| 110 | 3% | 63% | |
| 111 | 4% | 60% | |
| 112 | 7% | 56% | |
| 113 | 3% | 49% | |
| 114 | 5% | 45% | |
| 115 | 4% | 40% | |
| 116 | 6% | 36% | Median |
| 117 | 4% | 30% | |
| 118 | 4% | 26% | |
| 119 | 6% | 23% | |
| 120 | 3% | 16% | |
| 121 | 3% | 13% | |
| 122 | 2% | 10% | |
| 123 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 124 | 2% | 7% | |
| 125 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 126 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 129 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 130 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 97 | 2% | 97% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 99 | 3% | 95% | |
| 100 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 101 | 2% | 91% | |
| 102 | 3% | 89% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 86% | |
| 104 | 5% | 85% | |
| 105 | 3% | 80% | |
| 106 | 2% | 77% | |
| 107 | 6% | 75% | |
| 108 | 2% | 70% | |
| 109 | 5% | 67% | |
| 110 | 3% | 62% | |
| 111 | 4% | 59% | |
| 112 | 7% | 55% | |
| 113 | 4% | 48% | |
| 114 | 5% | 44% | |
| 115 | 4% | 39% | |
| 116 | 6% | 35% | Median |
| 117 | 4% | 29% | |
| 118 | 4% | 25% | |
| 119 | 6% | 22% | |
| 120 | 3% | 15% | |
| 121 | 3% | 12% | |
| 122 | 2% | 9% | |
| 123 | 1.5% | 7% | Last Result |
| 124 | 2% | 6% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 126 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 91 | 2% | 96% | |
| 92 | 4% | 95% | |
| 93 | 2% | 91% | |
| 94 | 7% | 90% | |
| 95 | 3% | 82% | |
| 96 | 4% | 79% | |
| 97 | 7% | 75% | |
| 98 | 5% | 69% | |
| 99 | 9% | 64% | |
| 100 | 4% | 55% | Median |
| 101 | 10% | 51% | |
| 102 | 6% | 40% | |
| 103 | 3% | 35% | |
| 104 | 6% | 32% | |
| 105 | 4% | 26% | |
| 106 | 4% | 22% | |
| 107 | 6% | 18% | |
| 108 | 2% | 12% | |
| 109 | 3% | 10% | |
| 110 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 111 | 2% | 6% | |
| 112 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 113 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 114 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 91 | 2% | 96% | |
| 92 | 4% | 94% | |
| 93 | 2% | 91% | |
| 94 | 7% | 89% | |
| 95 | 3% | 82% | |
| 96 | 4% | 78% | |
| 97 | 7% | 74% | |
| 98 | 5% | 68% | |
| 99 | 9% | 63% | |
| 100 | 4% | 54% | Median |
| 101 | 10% | 49% | Last Result |
| 102 | 6% | 39% | |
| 103 | 3% | 34% | |
| 104 | 6% | 31% | |
| 105 | 4% | 25% | |
| 106 | 4% | 21% | |
| 107 | 5% | 17% | |
| 108 | 2% | 11% | |
| 109 | 3% | 9% | |
| 110 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 111 | 2% | 5% | |
| 112 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 113 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKOP
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 11–14 February 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1013
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.29%