Opinion Poll by Novus for SVT, 7 March–3 April 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 32.0% | 31.1–33.0% | 30.8–33.2% | 30.6–33.5% | 30.1–33.9% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 21.5% | 20.7–22.3% | 20.4–22.6% | 20.2–22.8% | 19.8–23.2% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 18.7% | 17.9–19.5% | 17.7–19.8% | 17.5–20.0% | 17.1–20.3% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8–8.9% | 7.6–9.1% | 7.5–9.2% | 7.2–9.5% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.3–7.3% | 6.2–7.5% | 6.1–7.6% | 5.8–7.9% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2–6.2% | 5.1–6.3% | 5.0–6.5% | 4.8–6.7% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.7% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.6–4.1% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.8–2.4% | 1.8–2.5% | 1.7–2.6% | 1.6–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 120 | 117–123 | 116–125 | 114–125 | 112–127 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 80 | 78–84 | 77–85 | 76–85 | 74–87 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 70 | 67–73 | 66–74 | 66–75 | 64–76 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 31 | 29–33 | 29–34 | 28–35 | 27–36 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 25 | 24–27 | 23–28 | 23–29 | 22–30 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 21 | 20–23 | 19–24 | 19–24 | 18–25 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 114 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 115 | 2% | 97% | |
| 116 | 5% | 95% | |
| 117 | 8% | 91% | |
| 118 | 12% | 83% | |
| 119 | 10% | 71% | |
| 120 | 15% | 61% | Median |
| 121 | 17% | 46% | |
| 122 | 11% | 29% | |
| 123 | 8% | 18% | |
| 124 | 5% | 10% | |
| 125 | 3% | 5% | |
| 126 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 127 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98% | |
| 77 | 5% | 96% | |
| 78 | 9% | 91% | |
| 79 | 17% | 82% | |
| 80 | 19% | 65% | Median |
| 81 | 13% | 46% | |
| 82 | 11% | 33% | |
| 83 | 10% | 22% | |
| 84 | 7% | 13% | |
| 85 | 4% | 5% | |
| 86 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 4% | 98% | |
| 67 | 7% | 94% | |
| 68 | 10% | 87% | |
| 69 | 16% | 77% | |
| 70 | 20% | 62% | Median |
| 71 | 17% | 42% | |
| 72 | 8% | 25% | |
| 73 | 8% | 16% | |
| 74 | 5% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 4% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 29 | 9% | 95% | |
| 30 | 23% | 86% | |
| 31 | 24% | 63% | Median |
| 32 | 22% | 39% | |
| 33 | 10% | 17% | |
| 34 | 4% | 8% | |
| 35 | 3% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 6% | 98% | |
| 24 | 15% | 92% | |
| 25 | 26% | 76% | Median |
| 26 | 23% | 50% | |
| 27 | 18% | 27% | |
| 28 | 7% | 10% | |
| 29 | 2% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 6% | 98% | |
| 20 | 20% | 93% | |
| 21 | 27% | 73% | Median |
| 22 | 21% | 47% | Last Result |
| 23 | 20% | 26% | |
| 24 | 5% | 6% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.0% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 226 | 100% | 223–230 | 221–231 | 221–232 | 217–233 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 201 | 100% | 197–204 | 196–205 | 195–206 | 192–208 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 177 | 81% | 173–181 | 172–182 | 171–183 | 169–185 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 172 | 19% | 168–176 | 167–177 | 166–178 | 164–180 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 151 | 0% | 148–155 | 147–156 | 145–157 | 144–160 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 151 | 0% | 148–155 | 146–156 | 145–157 | 143–158 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 150 | 0% | 147–154 | 146–155 | 145–156 | 142–158 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 146 | 0% | 142–149 | 141–151 | 140–152 | 138–155 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 128 | 0% | 124–131 | 123–132 | 122–133 | 120–135 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 128 | 0% | 124–131 | 123–132 | 122–133 | 120–135 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 120 | 0% | 117–124 | 116–125 | 115–126 | 113–130 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 106 | 0% | 103–110 | 102–111 | 101–111 | 99–113 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 106 | 0% | 103–110 | 102–111 | 101–111 | 99–113 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0% | 100% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 216 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 217 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 218 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 219 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 220 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 221 | 3% | 98% | |
| 222 | 4% | 95% | |
| 223 | 6% | 91% | |
| 224 | 12% | 85% | |
| 225 | 8% | 72% | Median |
| 226 | 20% | 64% | |
| 227 | 15% | 44% | |
| 228 | 10% | 29% | |
| 229 | 7% | 19% | |
| 230 | 6% | 13% | |
| 231 | 3% | 6% | |
| 232 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 233 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 234 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 235 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 236 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 100% | |
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 192 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 193 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 194 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 195 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 196 | 4% | 96% | |
| 197 | 6% | 92% | |
| 198 | 7% | 86% | |
| 199 | 10% | 79% | |
| 200 | 15% | 69% | Median |
| 201 | 16% | 53% | |
| 202 | 12% | 37% | |
| 203 | 11% | 25% | |
| 204 | 6% | 14% | |
| 205 | 4% | 8% | |
| 206 | 3% | 4% | |
| 207 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 208 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 170 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 171 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 172 | 3% | 97% | |
| 173 | 4% | 93% | |
| 174 | 8% | 89% | |
| 175 | 12% | 81% | Majority |
| 176 | 16% | 69% | Median |
| 177 | 13% | 53% | |
| 178 | 11% | 41% | |
| 179 | 12% | 29% | |
| 180 | 5% | 17% | |
| 181 | 5% | 12% | |
| 182 | 4% | 7% | |
| 183 | 2% | 3% | |
| 184 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 165 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 166 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 167 | 4% | 97% | |
| 168 | 5% | 93% | |
| 169 | 5% | 88% | |
| 170 | 12% | 83% | |
| 171 | 11% | 71% | Median |
| 172 | 13% | 59% | |
| 173 | 16% | 47% | |
| 174 | 12% | 31% | |
| 175 | 8% | 19% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 11% | |
| 177 | 3% | 7% | |
| 178 | 2% | 3% | |
| 179 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 180 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 181 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 145 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 146 | 2% | 97% | |
| 147 | 3% | 95% | |
| 148 | 9% | 92% | |
| 149 | 6% | 83% | |
| 150 | 15% | 77% | |
| 151 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 152 | 8% | 45% | |
| 153 | 17% | 37% | |
| 154 | 6% | 20% | |
| 155 | 7% | 14% | |
| 156 | 3% | 7% | |
| 157 | 2% | 4% | |
| 158 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 145 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 146 | 2% | 96% | |
| 147 | 4% | 95% | |
| 148 | 9% | 91% | |
| 149 | 6% | 82% | |
| 150 | 15% | 76% | |
| 151 | 16% | 60% | Median |
| 152 | 8% | 44% | |
| 153 | 17% | 36% | |
| 154 | 6% | 19% | |
| 155 | 7% | 13% | |
| 156 | 3% | 6% | |
| 157 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 158 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 144 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 145 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 146 | 5% | 97% | |
| 147 | 6% | 92% | |
| 148 | 7% | 86% | |
| 149 | 9% | 79% | |
| 150 | 21% | 70% | Median |
| 151 | 13% | 50% | |
| 152 | 11% | 36% | |
| 153 | 10% | 25% | |
| 154 | 7% | 16% | |
| 155 | 5% | 9% | |
| 156 | 2% | 4% | |
| 157 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 140 | 2% | 98% | |
| 141 | 4% | 97% | |
| 142 | 3% | 93% | |
| 143 | 10% | 89% | |
| 144 | 14% | 79% | |
| 145 | 11% | 66% | Median |
| 146 | 17% | 55% | |
| 147 | 13% | 38% | |
| 148 | 7% | 25% | |
| 149 | 10% | 18% | |
| 150 | 3% | 8% | |
| 151 | 2% | 6% | |
| 152 | 2% | 3% | |
| 153 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 121 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 122 | 2% | 98% | |
| 123 | 4% | 96% | |
| 124 | 5% | 92% | |
| 125 | 13% | 87% | |
| 126 | 9% | 74% | Median |
| 127 | 15% | 65% | |
| 128 | 14% | 50% | |
| 129 | 13% | 36% | |
| 130 | 8% | 24% | |
| 131 | 7% | 15% | |
| 132 | 5% | 9% | |
| 133 | 2% | 4% | |
| 134 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 121 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 122 | 2% | 98% | |
| 123 | 4% | 96% | Last Result |
| 124 | 5% | 92% | |
| 125 | 13% | 87% | |
| 126 | 9% | 74% | Median |
| 127 | 15% | 65% | |
| 128 | 14% | 50% | |
| 129 | 13% | 36% | |
| 130 | 8% | 24% | |
| 131 | 7% | 15% | |
| 132 | 5% | 9% | |
| 133 | 2% | 4% | |
| 134 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 114 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 115 | 2% | 98% | |
| 116 | 5% | 96% | Last Result |
| 117 | 7% | 91% | |
| 118 | 12% | 84% | |
| 119 | 10% | 72% | |
| 120 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 121 | 17% | 47% | |
| 122 | 11% | 30% | |
| 123 | 8% | 19% | |
| 124 | 5% | 11% | |
| 125 | 3% | 6% | |
| 126 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 127 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 100 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 101 | 2% | 98% | |
| 102 | 5% | 96% | |
| 103 | 5% | 91% | |
| 104 | 11% | 86% | |
| 105 | 22% | 75% | Median |
| 106 | 13% | 53% | |
| 107 | 9% | 40% | |
| 108 | 10% | 30% | |
| 109 | 9% | 21% | |
| 110 | 6% | 12% | |
| 111 | 4% | 5% | |
| 112 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 100 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 101 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 102 | 5% | 96% | |
| 103 | 5% | 91% | |
| 104 | 11% | 86% | |
| 105 | 22% | 75% | Median |
| 106 | 13% | 53% | |
| 107 | 9% | 40% | |
| 108 | 10% | 30% | |
| 109 | 9% | 21% | |
| 110 | 6% | 12% | |
| 111 | 4% | 5% | |
| 112 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Novus
- Commissioner(s): SVT
- Fieldwork period: 7 March–3 April 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 3983
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.87%