Opinion Poll by SKOP, 6–14 April 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 34.7% | 32.8–36.7% | 32.3–37.3% | 31.8–37.7% | 30.9–38.7% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 20.2% | 18.6–21.9% | 18.2–22.4% | 17.8–22.8% | 17.1–23.6% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 15.6% | 14.2–17.2% | 13.8–17.6% | 13.5–18.0% | 12.9–18.8% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1–10.4% | 7.8–10.8% | 7.5–11.1% | 7.0–11.7% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.7% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–7.9% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 130 | 122–137 | 121–139 | 119–141 | 115–144 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 75 | 70–82 | 68–83 | 67–85 | 64–88 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 58 | 53–64 | 52–65 | 51–67 | 48–70 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 35 | 30–39 | 29–40 | 28–41 | 26–44 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 28 | 24–32 | 23–33 | 22–34 | 20–36 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 22 | 19–26 | 18–27 | 17–28 | 16–30 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–17 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–16 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 117 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 118 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 119 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 120 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 121 | 2% | 96% | |
| 122 | 3% | 93% | |
| 123 | 4% | 90% | |
| 124 | 3% | 86% | |
| 125 | 4% | 82% | |
| 126 | 4% | 79% | |
| 127 | 11% | 74% | |
| 128 | 8% | 64% | |
| 129 | 4% | 56% | |
| 130 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 131 | 10% | 48% | |
| 132 | 6% | 38% | |
| 133 | 10% | 32% | |
| 134 | 4% | 22% | |
| 135 | 3% | 18% | |
| 136 | 3% | 15% | |
| 137 | 4% | 12% | |
| 138 | 2% | 8% | |
| 139 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 140 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 141 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 142 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 96% | |
| 69 | 3% | 94% | |
| 70 | 4% | 91% | Last Result |
| 71 | 7% | 86% | |
| 72 | 7% | 80% | |
| 73 | 9% | 73% | |
| 74 | 7% | 65% | |
| 75 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 76 | 7% | 47% | |
| 77 | 6% | 41% | |
| 78 | 10% | 35% | |
| 79 | 3% | 25% | |
| 80 | 7% | 21% | |
| 81 | 4% | 14% | |
| 82 | 4% | 11% | |
| 83 | 2% | 7% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 85 | 2% | 3% | |
| 86 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 3% | 95% | |
| 53 | 3% | 92% | |
| 54 | 6% | 89% | |
| 55 | 6% | 83% | |
| 56 | 10% | 77% | |
| 57 | 8% | 67% | |
| 58 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 59 | 6% | 46% | |
| 60 | 10% | 40% | |
| 61 | 9% | 30% | |
| 62 | 5% | 21% | Last Result |
| 63 | 5% | 16% | |
| 64 | 3% | 11% | |
| 65 | 3% | 8% | |
| 66 | 2% | 5% | |
| 67 | 2% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 28 | 2% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 29 | 3% | 97% | |
| 30 | 4% | 94% | |
| 31 | 4% | 90% | |
| 32 | 9% | 85% | |
| 33 | 12% | 76% | |
| 34 | 11% | 64% | |
| 35 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 36 | 9% | 41% | |
| 37 | 15% | 32% | |
| 38 | 6% | 16% | |
| 39 | 5% | 11% | |
| 40 | 2% | 6% | |
| 41 | 2% | 4% | |
| 42 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 22 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 23 | 4% | 97% | |
| 24 | 4% | 93% | |
| 25 | 10% | 89% | |
| 26 | 8% | 78% | |
| 27 | 14% | 70% | |
| 28 | 17% | 56% | Median |
| 29 | 8% | 40% | |
| 30 | 14% | 31% | |
| 31 | 7% | 18% | Last Result |
| 32 | 4% | 11% | |
| 33 | 3% | 6% | |
| 34 | 2% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 17 | 3% | 98% | |
| 18 | 5% | 95% | |
| 19 | 9% | 90% | |
| 20 | 12% | 81% | |
| 21 | 14% | 69% | |
| 22 | 16% | 55% | Last Result, Median |
| 23 | 12% | 40% | |
| 24 | 10% | 28% | |
| 25 | 8% | 19% | |
| 26 | 5% | 10% | |
| 27 | 2% | 5% | |
| 28 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 4% | |
| 15 | 2% | 4% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 233 | 100% | 226–240 | 223–242 | 221–244 | 217–247 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 205 | 100% | 198–212 | 196–215 | 194–216 | 189–221 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 193 | 99.9% | 186–200 | 184–202 | 182–205 | 178–208 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 165 | 5% | 157–172 | 155–175 | 153–177 | 150–181 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 165 | 4% | 157–171 | 155–174 | 153–176 | 149–180 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 158 | 0.5% | 151–167 | 149–169 | 147–171 | 144–175 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 156 | 0.1% | 149–163 | 147–165 | 144–167 | 141–171 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 134 | 0% | 127–141 | 125–143 | 123–145 | 120–149 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 131 | 0% | 123–138 | 121–141 | 120–142 | 116–147 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 125 | 0% | 119–133 | 117–136 | 114–137 | 111–141 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 125 | 0% | 119–133 | 117–135 | 114–137 | 111–140 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 103 | 0% | 97–111 | 95–113 | 94–115 | 90–119 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 103 | 0% | 97–111 | 95–113 | 93–114 | 90–117 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0% | 100% | |
| 212 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 216 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 217 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 218 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 219 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 220 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 221 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 222 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 223 | 2% | 96% | |
| 224 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 225 | 2% | 94% | |
| 226 | 3% | 91% | |
| 227 | 3% | 88% | |
| 228 | 5% | 85% | |
| 229 | 4% | 80% | |
| 230 | 7% | 75% | |
| 231 | 7% | 68% | |
| 232 | 3% | 62% | |
| 233 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 234 | 8% | 49% | |
| 235 | 6% | 41% | |
| 236 | 6% | 34% | |
| 237 | 4% | 29% | |
| 238 | 9% | 25% | |
| 239 | 5% | 16% | |
| 240 | 2% | 11% | |
| 241 | 2% | 9% | |
| 242 | 2% | 7% | |
| 243 | 2% | 4% | |
| 244 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 245 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 246 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 247 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 248 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 249 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 250 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 251 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 252 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 253 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 254 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 255 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 190 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 191 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 192 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 193 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 194 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 195 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 196 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 197 | 2% | 94% | |
| 198 | 3% | 92% | |
| 199 | 3% | 89% | |
| 200 | 5% | 86% | |
| 201 | 7% | 81% | |
| 202 | 4% | 74% | |
| 203 | 6% | 70% | |
| 204 | 7% | 64% | |
| 205 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 206 | 5% | 47% | |
| 207 | 7% | 42% | |
| 208 | 11% | 35% | |
| 209 | 3% | 25% | |
| 210 | 4% | 21% | |
| 211 | 5% | 17% | |
| 212 | 4% | 12% | |
| 213 | 2% | 8% | |
| 214 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 215 | 2% | 5% | |
| 216 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 217 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 218 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 219 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 220 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 221 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 222 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 223 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 225 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 226 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 227 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 180 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 181 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 182 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 183 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 184 | 2% | 95% | |
| 185 | 2% | 93% | |
| 186 | 4% | 91% | |
| 187 | 3% | 87% | |
| 188 | 5% | 83% | |
| 189 | 4% | 78% | |
| 190 | 8% | 74% | |
| 191 | 6% | 66% | |
| 192 | 7% | 61% | |
| 193 | 4% | 53% | Median |
| 194 | 5% | 49% | |
| 195 | 7% | 44% | Last Result |
| 196 | 9% | 37% | |
| 197 | 4% | 28% | |
| 198 | 7% | 24% | |
| 199 | 3% | 16% | |
| 200 | 4% | 13% | |
| 201 | 2% | 9% | |
| 202 | 2% | 7% | |
| 203 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 204 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 205 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 206 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 207 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 151 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 152 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 153 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 154 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 155 | 3% | 96% | |
| 156 | 1.5% | 93% | |
| 157 | 4% | 91% | |
| 158 | 2% | 88% | |
| 159 | 5% | 86% | |
| 160 | 4% | 81% | |
| 161 | 3% | 76% | |
| 162 | 6% | 73% | |
| 163 | 7% | 68% | |
| 164 | 5% | 60% | |
| 165 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 166 | 9% | 50% | |
| 167 | 4% | 40% | |
| 168 | 9% | 36% | |
| 169 | 5% | 27% | |
| 170 | 6% | 22% | |
| 171 | 4% | 16% | |
| 172 | 3% | 12% | |
| 173 | 2% | 9% | |
| 174 | 2% | 7% | |
| 175 | 1.2% | 5% | Majority |
| 176 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 177 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 178 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 179 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 180 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 181 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 151 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 152 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 153 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 154 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 155 | 4% | 95% | |
| 156 | 2% | 92% | |
| 157 | 4% | 90% | |
| 158 | 2% | 86% | |
| 159 | 6% | 84% | |
| 160 | 4% | 78% | |
| 161 | 3% | 74% | |
| 162 | 6% | 70% | |
| 163 | 7% | 65% | |
| 164 | 5% | 57% | |
| 165 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 166 | 9% | 47% | |
| 167 | 4% | 37% | |
| 168 | 9% | 33% | |
| 169 | 5% | 24% | |
| 170 | 6% | 19% | |
| 171 | 4% | 13% | |
| 172 | 2% | 9% | |
| 173 | 2% | 7% | |
| 174 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 175 | 0.8% | 4% | Majority |
| 176 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 177 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 179 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 180 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 147 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 148 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 149 | 2% | 95% | |
| 150 | 3% | 94% | |
| 151 | 3% | 91% | |
| 152 | 4% | 88% | |
| 153 | 4% | 84% | |
| 154 | 4% | 80% | |
| 155 | 7% | 76% | |
| 156 | 5% | 68% | |
| 157 | 4% | 63% | |
| 158 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 159 | 6% | 47% | |
| 160 | 6% | 41% | |
| 161 | 6% | 35% | |
| 162 | 4% | 29% | |
| 163 | 5% | 24% | |
| 164 | 3% | 19% | |
| 165 | 4% | 17% | |
| 166 | 2% | 13% | |
| 167 | 3% | 10% | Last Result |
| 168 | 2% | 8% | |
| 169 | 2% | 5% | |
| 170 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 171 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 172 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 174 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 142 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 144 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 145 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 146 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 147 | 2% | 95% | |
| 148 | 2% | 93% | |
| 149 | 4% | 91% | |
| 150 | 3% | 87% | |
| 151 | 7% | 84% | |
| 152 | 4% | 76% | |
| 153 | 9% | 72% | |
| 154 | 7% | 63% | Last Result |
| 155 | 5% | 56% | Median |
| 156 | 4% | 51% | |
| 157 | 7% | 47% | |
| 158 | 6% | 39% | |
| 159 | 8% | 34% | |
| 160 | 4% | 26% | |
| 161 | 5% | 22% | |
| 162 | 3% | 17% | |
| 163 | 4% | 13% | |
| 164 | 2% | 9% | |
| 165 | 2% | 7% | |
| 166 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 167 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 168 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 171 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 120 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 121 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 122 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 123 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 124 | 2% | 97% | |
| 125 | 2% | 96% | |
| 126 | 2% | 94% | |
| 127 | 2% | 92% | |
| 128 | 5% | 90% | |
| 129 | 6% | 84% | |
| 130 | 4% | 78% | |
| 131 | 8% | 75% | |
| 132 | 8% | 66% | Last Result |
| 133 | 5% | 58% | Median |
| 134 | 9% | 53% | |
| 135 | 4% | 43% | |
| 136 | 9% | 39% | |
| 137 | 4% | 30% | |
| 138 | 5% | 26% | |
| 139 | 7% | 21% | |
| 140 | 3% | 14% | |
| 141 | 2% | 11% | |
| 142 | 2% | 9% | |
| 143 | 2% | 7% | |
| 144 | 2% | 5% | |
| 145 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 146 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 118 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 120 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 121 | 2% | 96% | |
| 122 | 3% | 94% | |
| 123 | 4% | 91% | |
| 124 | 3% | 87% | |
| 125 | 3% | 84% | |
| 126 | 4% | 80% | |
| 127 | 10% | 76% | |
| 128 | 8% | 66% | |
| 129 | 4% | 59% | |
| 130 | 5% | 55% | Median |
| 131 | 10% | 51% | |
| 132 | 6% | 41% | |
| 133 | 10% | 35% | |
| 134 | 4% | 25% | |
| 135 | 3% | 21% | |
| 136 | 3% | 18% | |
| 137 | 4% | 14% | |
| 138 | 3% | 11% | |
| 139 | 2% | 8% | |
| 140 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 141 | 2% | 5% | |
| 142 | 2% | 3% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 112 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 114 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 116 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 117 | 2% | 96% | |
| 118 | 2% | 94% | |
| 119 | 4% | 92% | |
| 120 | 7% | 89% | |
| 121 | 5% | 82% | |
| 122 | 8% | 77% | |
| 123 | 4% | 69% | |
| 124 | 10% | 65% | |
| 125 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 126 | 3% | 45% | |
| 127 | 11% | 43% | |
| 128 | 2% | 31% | |
| 129 | 3% | 29% | |
| 130 | 5% | 26% | |
| 131 | 1.5% | 20% | |
| 132 | 6% | 19% | |
| 133 | 4% | 12% | |
| 134 | 2% | 9% | |
| 135 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 136 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 137 | 2% | 4% | |
| 138 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 112 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 114 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 116 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 117 | 2% | 96% | |
| 118 | 2% | 93% | |
| 119 | 4% | 92% | |
| 120 | 7% | 88% | |
| 121 | 5% | 81% | |
| 122 | 8% | 76% | |
| 123 | 4% | 68% | Last Result |
| 124 | 10% | 64% | |
| 125 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 126 | 3% | 44% | |
| 127 | 11% | 41% | |
| 128 | 2% | 30% | |
| 129 | 3% | 27% | |
| 130 | 5% | 24% | |
| 131 | 1.4% | 19% | |
| 132 | 6% | 17% | |
| 133 | 4% | 11% | |
| 134 | 2% | 8% | |
| 135 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 136 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 137 | 2% | 3% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 93 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 94 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 95 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 96 | 2% | 95% | |
| 97 | 4% | 93% | |
| 98 | 3% | 89% | |
| 99 | 6% | 86% | |
| 100 | 10% | 80% | |
| 101 | 5% | 70% | |
| 102 | 9% | 65% | |
| 103 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 104 | 4% | 45% | |
| 105 | 6% | 41% | |
| 106 | 6% | 35% | |
| 107 | 5% | 29% | |
| 108 | 5% | 23% | |
| 109 | 3% | 18% | |
| 110 | 3% | 15% | |
| 111 | 3% | 12% | |
| 112 | 2% | 9% | |
| 113 | 2% | 7% | |
| 114 | 2% | 5% | |
| 115 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 94 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 95 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 96 | 2% | 95% | |
| 97 | 4% | 92% | |
| 98 | 3% | 89% | |
| 99 | 7% | 85% | |
| 100 | 10% | 79% | |
| 101 | 5% | 69% | Last Result |
| 102 | 9% | 63% | |
| 103 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 104 | 4% | 44% | |
| 105 | 6% | 40% | |
| 106 | 6% | 33% | |
| 107 | 5% | 27% | |
| 108 | 5% | 22% | |
| 109 | 3% | 17% | |
| 110 | 3% | 14% | |
| 111 | 3% | 11% | |
| 112 | 2% | 8% | |
| 113 | 2% | 5% | |
| 114 | 2% | 4% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKOP
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 6–14 April 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1005
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.27%