Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 12–26 April 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 30.0% | 28.5–31.5% | 28.1–31.9% | 27.8–32.3% | 27.1–33.1% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 22.0% | 20.7–23.4% | 20.3–23.8% | 20.0–24.1% | 19.4–24.8% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 18.0% | 16.8–19.3% | 16.5–19.7% | 16.2–20.0% | 15.6–20.7% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.3–11.0% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.6–7.7% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.6–7.7% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 112 | 105–118 | 104–120 | 102–122 | 100–125 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 82 | 77–88 | 74–89 | 74–90 | 71–93 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 67 | 62–73 | 61–74 | 60–76 | 58–78 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 33 | 30–38 | 29–38 | 28–39 | 27–41 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 22 | 20–26 | 19–26 | 18–27 | 17–29 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 22 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 18–27 | 17–29 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 15 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–20 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–16 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 102 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 103 | 2% | 97% | |
| 104 | 3% | 96% | |
| 105 | 4% | 93% | |
| 106 | 3% | 88% | |
| 107 | 4% | 85% | |
| 108 | 4% | 81% | |
| 109 | 7% | 77% | |
| 110 | 6% | 70% | |
| 111 | 8% | 63% | |
| 112 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 113 | 10% | 46% | |
| 114 | 5% | 36% | |
| 115 | 7% | 31% | |
| 116 | 6% | 24% | |
| 117 | 4% | 18% | |
| 118 | 4% | 14% | |
| 119 | 2% | 10% | |
| 120 | 3% | 8% | |
| 121 | 2% | 5% | |
| 122 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 123 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 124 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 74 | 4% | 98% | |
| 75 | 1.5% | 94% | |
| 76 | 3% | 93% | |
| 77 | 8% | 90% | |
| 78 | 5% | 82% | |
| 79 | 7% | 77% | |
| 80 | 9% | 70% | |
| 81 | 7% | 61% | |
| 82 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 83 | 4% | 46% | |
| 84 | 11% | 42% | |
| 85 | 9% | 31% | |
| 86 | 6% | 23% | |
| 87 | 6% | 17% | |
| 88 | 4% | 11% | |
| 89 | 2% | 7% | |
| 90 | 2% | 4% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 61 | 2% | 96% | |
| 62 | 6% | 94% | Last Result |
| 63 | 4% | 88% | |
| 64 | 5% | 84% | |
| 65 | 8% | 79% | |
| 66 | 16% | 71% | |
| 67 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 68 | 9% | 43% | |
| 69 | 7% | 34% | |
| 70 | 7% | 26% | |
| 71 | 3% | 19% | |
| 72 | 4% | 16% | |
| 73 | 3% | 11% | |
| 74 | 4% | 8% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 2% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 29 | 2% | 96% | |
| 30 | 5% | 94% | |
| 31 | 8% | 90% | |
| 32 | 17% | 81% | |
| 33 | 17% | 64% | Median |
| 34 | 15% | 47% | |
| 35 | 9% | 33% | |
| 36 | 7% | 23% | |
| 37 | 5% | 16% | |
| 38 | 6% | 11% | |
| 39 | 3% | 5% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 19 | 5% | 97% | |
| 20 | 12% | 91% | |
| 21 | 16% | 79% | |
| 22 | 14% | 63% | Median |
| 23 | 15% | 49% | |
| 24 | 13% | 34% | |
| 25 | 11% | 21% | |
| 26 | 6% | 10% | |
| 27 | 3% | 4% | |
| 28 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 19 | 5% | 97% | |
| 20 | 12% | 91% | |
| 21 | 13% | 79% | |
| 22 | 18% | 66% | Last Result, Median |
| 23 | 16% | 47% | |
| 24 | 15% | 31% | |
| 25 | 6% | 16% | |
| 26 | 5% | 10% | |
| 27 | 3% | 5% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 46% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 54% | |
| 2 | 0% | 54% | |
| 3 | 0% | 54% | |
| 4 | 0% | 54% | |
| 5 | 0% | 54% | |
| 6 | 0% | 54% | |
| 7 | 0% | 54% | |
| 8 | 0% | 54% | |
| 9 | 0% | 54% | |
| 10 | 0% | 54% | |
| 11 | 0% | 54% | |
| 12 | 0% | 54% | |
| 13 | 0% | 54% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 54% | |
| 15 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 16 | 23% | 41% | Last Result |
| 17 | 10% | 19% | |
| 18 | 6% | 8% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 216 | 100% | 208–227 | 206–228 | 204–230 | 200–233 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 194 | 99.9% | 185–203 | 184–204 | 182–206 | 178–210 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 177 | 66% | 169–185 | 166–187 | 165–188 | 162–192 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 172 | 34% | 164–180 | 162–183 | 161–184 | 157–187 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 155 | 0% | 145–162 | 143–165 | 142–166 | 139–170 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 149 | 0% | 142–158 | 140–160 | 138–161 | 136–164 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 145 | 0% | 139–153 | 136–156 | 135–157 | 131–160 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 144 | 0% | 134–152 | 133–154 | 131–156 | 128–159 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 127 | 0% | 121–134 | 118–136 | 117–138 | 114–142 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 127 | 0% | 120–134 | 118–135 | 117–138 | 113–141 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 121 | 0% | 112–130 | 110–131 | 108–132 | 105–136 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 105 | 0% | 98–111 | 96–114 | 96–116 | 93–120 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 104 | 0% | 98–111 | 96–113 | 95–114 | 92–118 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 196 | 0% | 100% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 200 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 201 | 0.3% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 203 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 204 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 205 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 206 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 207 | 2% | 94% | |
| 208 | 2% | 92% | |
| 209 | 6% | 90% | |
| 210 | 4% | 83% | |
| 211 | 8% | 80% | |
| 212 | 5% | 72% | |
| 213 | 5% | 66% | |
| 214 | 5% | 61% | |
| 215 | 4% | 56% | |
| 216 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 217 | 3% | 47% | |
| 218 | 3% | 44% | |
| 219 | 3% | 41% | |
| 220 | 6% | 38% | |
| 221 | 4% | 32% | |
| 222 | 5% | 27% | |
| 223 | 3% | 22% | |
| 224 | 5% | 19% | |
| 225 | 2% | 14% | |
| 226 | 1.1% | 12% | |
| 227 | 3% | 10% | |
| 228 | 3% | 8% | |
| 229 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 230 | 2% | 4% | |
| 231 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 232 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 233 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 234 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 235 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 236 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 179 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 180 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 181 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 182 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 183 | 2% | 97% | |
| 184 | 2% | 95% | |
| 185 | 4% | 93% | |
| 186 | 3% | 89% | |
| 187 | 5% | 87% | |
| 188 | 6% | 81% | |
| 189 | 4% | 75% | |
| 190 | 4% | 71% | |
| 191 | 4% | 67% | |
| 192 | 6% | 63% | |
| 193 | 6% | 57% | |
| 194 | 3% | 51% | Median |
| 195 | 6% | 47% | |
| 196 | 5% | 41% | |
| 197 | 3% | 36% | |
| 198 | 4% | 33% | |
| 199 | 4% | 29% | |
| 200 | 5% | 25% | |
| 201 | 6% | 21% | |
| 202 | 2% | 15% | |
| 203 | 4% | 12% | |
| 204 | 4% | 9% | |
| 205 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 206 | 2% | 4% | |
| 207 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 208 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 209 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 211 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 163 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 164 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 165 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 166 | 3% | 97% | |
| 167 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 168 | 3% | 93% | |
| 169 | 4% | 91% | |
| 170 | 4% | 87% | |
| 171 | 3% | 82% | |
| 172 | 3% | 79% | |
| 173 | 5% | 76% | |
| 174 | 5% | 71% | |
| 175 | 3% | 66% | Majority |
| 176 | 8% | 63% | |
| 177 | 5% | 55% | |
| 178 | 6% | 50% | |
| 179 | 4% | 43% | |
| 180 | 6% | 40% | |
| 181 | 7% | 34% | |
| 182 | 3% | 27% | Median |
| 183 | 7% | 24% | |
| 184 | 5% | 17% | |
| 185 | 4% | 12% | |
| 186 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 187 | 3% | 7% | |
| 188 | 2% | 4% | |
| 189 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 196 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 159 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 160 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 161 | 2% | 98% | |
| 162 | 3% | 96% | |
| 163 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 164 | 4% | 92% | |
| 165 | 5% | 88% | |
| 166 | 7% | 83% | |
| 167 | 3% | 76% | |
| 168 | 7% | 73% | |
| 169 | 6% | 66% | |
| 170 | 4% | 60% | |
| 171 | 6% | 57% | Median |
| 172 | 5% | 50% | |
| 173 | 8% | 45% | |
| 174 | 3% | 37% | |
| 175 | 5% | 34% | Majority |
| 176 | 5% | 29% | |
| 177 | 3% | 24% | |
| 178 | 3% | 21% | |
| 179 | 4% | 18% | |
| 180 | 4% | 13% | |
| 181 | 3% | 9% | |
| 182 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 183 | 3% | 6% | |
| 184 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 185 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 186 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 142 | 2% | 98% | |
| 143 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 144 | 1.4% | 95% | Last Result |
| 145 | 4% | 94% | |
| 146 | 2% | 89% | |
| 147 | 3% | 87% | |
| 148 | 6% | 85% | |
| 149 | 6% | 79% | |
| 150 | 3% | 72% | |
| 151 | 6% | 70% | |
| 152 | 4% | 64% | |
| 153 | 4% | 60% | |
| 154 | 4% | 56% | |
| 155 | 5% | 52% | |
| 156 | 5% | 47% | |
| 157 | 4% | 41% | |
| 158 | 6% | 37% | |
| 159 | 3% | 31% | |
| 160 | 8% | 28% | Median |
| 161 | 6% | 20% | |
| 162 | 4% | 14% | |
| 163 | 2% | 10% | |
| 164 | 2% | 8% | |
| 165 | 3% | 6% | |
| 166 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 167 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 170 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 136 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 137 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 138 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 139 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 140 | 4% | 96% | |
| 141 | 1.5% | 93% | |
| 142 | 4% | 91% | |
| 143 | 5% | 87% | |
| 144 | 6% | 82% | |
| 145 | 3% | 76% | |
| 146 | 7% | 73% | |
| 147 | 6% | 66% | |
| 148 | 5% | 60% | |
| 149 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 150 | 6% | 48% | |
| 151 | 6% | 42% | |
| 152 | 6% | 35% | |
| 153 | 5% | 30% | |
| 154 | 4% | 24% | |
| 155 | 3% | 20% | |
| 156 | 2% | 17% | |
| 157 | 4% | 15% | |
| 158 | 3% | 10% | |
| 159 | 2% | 8% | |
| 160 | 2% | 5% | |
| 161 | 2% | 3% | |
| 162 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 133 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 135 | 2% | 98% | |
| 136 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 137 | 3% | 95% | |
| 138 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 139 | 3% | 90% | |
| 140 | 6% | 87% | |
| 141 | 5% | 81% | |
| 142 | 5% | 76% | |
| 143 | 6% | 71% | |
| 144 | 7% | 66% | |
| 145 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 146 | 6% | 49% | |
| 147 | 5% | 43% | |
| 148 | 7% | 38% | |
| 149 | 10% | 32% | |
| 150 | 2% | 22% | |
| 151 | 5% | 20% | |
| 152 | 2% | 14% | |
| 153 | 3% | 12% | |
| 154 | 2% | 8% | |
| 155 | 2% | 7% | |
| 156 | 3% | 5% | |
| 157 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 160 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 129 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 130 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 131 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 132 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 133 | 3% | 96% | |
| 134 | 3% | 93% | |
| 135 | 3% | 89% | |
| 136 | 3% | 86% | |
| 137 | 5% | 83% | |
| 138 | 5% | 79% | |
| 139 | 5% | 74% | |
| 140 | 3% | 69% | |
| 141 | 3% | 66% | |
| 142 | 6% | 62% | |
| 143 | 6% | 57% | |
| 144 | 4% | 51% | |
| 145 | 3% | 47% | |
| 146 | 8% | 44% | |
| 147 | 5% | 36% | |
| 148 | 4% | 31% | |
| 149 | 3% | 27% | Median |
| 150 | 9% | 24% | |
| 151 | 3% | 15% | |
| 152 | 3% | 11% | |
| 153 | 3% | 9% | |
| 154 | 2% | 5% | |
| 155 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 156 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 116 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 117 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 118 | 3% | 97% | |
| 119 | 2% | 94% | |
| 120 | 2% | 92% | |
| 121 | 3% | 90% | |
| 122 | 9% | 87% | |
| 123 | 8% | 78% | |
| 124 | 4% | 70% | |
| 125 | 4% | 67% | |
| 126 | 7% | 63% | Median |
| 127 | 8% | 55% | |
| 128 | 4% | 47% | |
| 129 | 6% | 43% | |
| 130 | 8% | 36% | |
| 131 | 5% | 28% | |
| 132 | 6% | 23% | |
| 133 | 5% | 18% | |
| 134 | 4% | 13% | |
| 135 | 3% | 9% | |
| 136 | 2% | 6% | |
| 137 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 138 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 116 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 117 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 118 | 3% | 96% | |
| 119 | 2% | 94% | |
| 120 | 2% | 92% | |
| 121 | 3% | 89% | |
| 122 | 9% | 86% | |
| 123 | 8% | 77% | Last Result |
| 124 | 4% | 69% | |
| 125 | 4% | 65% | |
| 126 | 7% | 61% | Median |
| 127 | 8% | 54% | |
| 128 | 5% | 46% | |
| 129 | 6% | 41% | |
| 130 | 8% | 35% | |
| 131 | 5% | 26% | |
| 132 | 6% | 22% | |
| 133 | 5% | 16% | |
| 134 | 4% | 12% | |
| 135 | 3% | 8% | |
| 136 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 137 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 138 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 106 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 107 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 108 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 109 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 110 | 2% | 96% | |
| 111 | 3% | 94% | |
| 112 | 3% | 90% | |
| 113 | 7% | 87% | |
| 114 | 3% | 80% | |
| 115 | 3% | 77% | |
| 116 | 5% | 74% | Last Result |
| 117 | 4% | 69% | |
| 118 | 4% | 64% | |
| 119 | 3% | 60% | |
| 120 | 5% | 57% | |
| 121 | 5% | 52% | |
| 122 | 4% | 48% | |
| 123 | 4% | 43% | |
| 124 | 3% | 39% | |
| 125 | 3% | 36% | |
| 126 | 7% | 33% | |
| 127 | 7% | 26% | Median |
| 128 | 6% | 19% | |
| 129 | 3% | 14% | |
| 130 | 3% | 10% | |
| 131 | 3% | 8% | |
| 132 | 2% | 4% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 95 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 96 | 3% | 98% | |
| 97 | 3% | 95% | |
| 98 | 4% | 92% | |
| 99 | 3% | 88% | |
| 100 | 7% | 86% | |
| 101 | 7% | 79% | |
| 102 | 8% | 72% | |
| 103 | 5% | 64% | |
| 104 | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 105 | 4% | 50% | |
| 106 | 6% | 46% | |
| 107 | 9% | 40% | |
| 108 | 7% | 31% | |
| 109 | 6% | 24% | |
| 110 | 5% | 18% | |
| 111 | 4% | 13% | |
| 112 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 113 | 2% | 7% | |
| 114 | 2% | 5% | |
| 115 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 95 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 96 | 3% | 97% | |
| 97 | 3% | 94% | |
| 98 | 4% | 91% | |
| 99 | 3% | 88% | |
| 100 | 7% | 85% | |
| 101 | 7% | 78% | Last Result |
| 102 | 8% | 71% | |
| 103 | 6% | 63% | |
| 104 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 105 | 4% | 49% | |
| 106 | 6% | 44% | |
| 107 | 9% | 38% | |
| 108 | 7% | 29% | |
| 109 | 6% | 22% | |
| 110 | 5% | 16% | |
| 111 | 4% | 12% | |
| 112 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 113 | 2% | 6% | |
| 114 | 2% | 4% | |
| 115 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 116 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 12–26 April 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1570
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.94%