Opinion Poll by Demoskop for Aftonbladet, 26 April–4 May 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 31.1% | 29.8–32.4% | 29.4–32.7% | 29.1–33.1% | 28.5–33.7% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 22.8% | 21.7–24.0% | 21.3–24.3% | 21.1–24.6% | 20.5–25.2% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 16.8% | 15.8–17.9% | 15.5–18.2% | 15.3–18.5% | 14.8–19.0% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1–8.6% | 7.0–8.9% | 6.8–9.1% | 6.5–9.5% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6–8.0% | 6.4–8.2% | 6.2–8.4% | 5.9–8.8% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2–7.6% | 6.0–7.8% | 5.9–8.0% | 5.6–8.4% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.5–3.4% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.2–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 117 | 112–122 | 110–123 | 109–125 | 107–127 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 86 | 81–90 | 80–92 | 79–93 | 77–95 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 63 | 59–67 | 58–68 | 57–69 | 56–71 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 30 | 27–32 | 26–33 | 26–34 | 24–35 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 27 | 25–30 | 24–31 | 24–32 | 22–33 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 26 | 23–29 | 23–30 | 22–30 | 21–31 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 108 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 109 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 110 | 3% | 97% | |
| 111 | 3% | 94% | |
| 112 | 5% | 91% | |
| 113 | 6% | 86% | |
| 114 | 8% | 80% | |
| 115 | 12% | 73% | |
| 116 | 6% | 61% | |
| 117 | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 118 | 9% | 41% | |
| 119 | 10% | 31% | |
| 120 | 5% | 21% | |
| 121 | 6% | 17% | |
| 122 | 3% | 11% | |
| 123 | 3% | 7% | |
| 124 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 125 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 126 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 79 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 80 | 2% | 97% | |
| 81 | 6% | 95% | |
| 82 | 5% | 89% | |
| 83 | 8% | 84% | |
| 84 | 8% | 76% | |
| 85 | 14% | 68% | |
| 86 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 87 | 10% | 42% | |
| 88 | 11% | 32% | |
| 89 | 6% | 21% | |
| 90 | 6% | 15% | |
| 91 | 3% | 9% | |
| 92 | 2% | 6% | |
| 93 | 2% | 4% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 58 | 3% | 97% | |
| 59 | 5% | 94% | |
| 60 | 9% | 89% | |
| 61 | 9% | 81% | |
| 62 | 11% | 71% | Last Result |
| 63 | 16% | 60% | Median |
| 64 | 9% | 45% | |
| 65 | 11% | 36% | |
| 66 | 9% | 26% | |
| 67 | 7% | 17% | |
| 68 | 5% | 10% | |
| 69 | 2% | 4% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 26 | 5% | 98% | |
| 27 | 10% | 92% | |
| 28 | 11% | 82% | |
| 29 | 16% | 72% | |
| 30 | 20% | 56% | Median |
| 31 | 11% | 36% | Last Result |
| 32 | 17% | 25% | |
| 33 | 4% | 8% | |
| 34 | 2% | 4% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 24 | 5% | 98% | |
| 25 | 14% | 93% | |
| 26 | 25% | 79% | |
| 27 | 22% | 54% | Median |
| 28 | 11% | 32% | Last Result |
| 29 | 6% | 22% | |
| 30 | 6% | 15% | |
| 31 | 6% | 9% | |
| 32 | 2% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 3% | 98.8% | Last Result |
| 23 | 6% | 96% | |
| 24 | 12% | 90% | |
| 25 | 17% | 78% | |
| 26 | 20% | 61% | Median |
| 27 | 15% | 40% | |
| 28 | 14% | 25% | |
| 29 | 6% | 11% | |
| 30 | 4% | 5% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.3% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 233 | 100% | 228–237 | 226–238 | 225–240 | 221–242 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 202 | 100% | 198–208 | 196–209 | 195–210 | 191–213 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 174 | 39% | 168–179 | 167–181 | 167–182 | 163–185 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 175 | 61% | 170–181 | 168–182 | 167–182 | 164–186 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 149 | 0% | 144–155 | 142–156 | 141–157 | 139–159 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 147 | 0% | 141–152 | 140–154 | 139–155 | 136–157 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 144 | 0% | 139–150 | 137–151 | 137–152 | 134–155 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 144 | 0% | 138–150 | 137–151 | 136–152 | 134–154 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 142 | 0% | 137–147 | 135–148 | 134–149 | 131–152 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 142 | 0% | 137–147 | 135–148 | 134–149 | 131–151 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 117 | 0% | 112–122 | 110–123 | 109–125 | 107–128 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 116 | 0% | 111–121 | 110–122 | 108–122 | 106–125 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 116 | 0% | 111–121 | 110–122 | 108–122 | 106–125 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0% | 100% | |
| 212 | 0% | 100% | |
| 213 | 0% | 100% | |
| 214 | 0% | 100% | |
| 215 | 0% | 100% | |
| 216 | 0% | 100% | |
| 217 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 218 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 219 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 220 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 221 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 222 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 223 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 224 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 225 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 226 | 3% | 96% | |
| 227 | 3% | 93% | |
| 228 | 6% | 91% | |
| 229 | 7% | 84% | |
| 230 | 5% | 78% | |
| 231 | 13% | 73% | |
| 232 | 10% | 60% | |
| 233 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 234 | 13% | 41% | |
| 235 | 7% | 28% | |
| 236 | 7% | 21% | |
| 237 | 5% | 13% | |
| 238 | 3% | 8% | |
| 239 | 2% | 5% | |
| 240 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 241 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 242 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 243 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 244 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 245 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 100% | |
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0% | 100% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 191 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 193 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 194 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 195 | 2% | 98% | |
| 196 | 2% | 96% | |
| 197 | 4% | 94% | |
| 198 | 5% | 90% | |
| 199 | 7% | 85% | |
| 200 | 7% | 78% | |
| 201 | 6% | 71% | |
| 202 | 15% | 65% | |
| 203 | 6% | 49% | Median |
| 204 | 10% | 43% | |
| 205 | 8% | 33% | |
| 206 | 10% | 25% | |
| 207 | 5% | 15% | |
| 208 | 4% | 11% | |
| 209 | 3% | 7% | |
| 210 | 2% | 4% | |
| 211 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 212 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 213 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 165 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 166 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 167 | 5% | 98% | |
| 168 | 7% | 93% | |
| 169 | 6% | 86% | |
| 170 | 3% | 80% | |
| 171 | 4% | 77% | |
| 172 | 5% | 72% | |
| 173 | 10% | 67% | |
| 174 | 18% | 57% | Median |
| 175 | 11% | 39% | Majority |
| 176 | 5% | 28% | |
| 177 | 5% | 23% | |
| 178 | 4% | 17% | |
| 179 | 5% | 13% | |
| 180 | 3% | 8% | |
| 181 | 3% | 6% | |
| 182 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 183 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 184 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 165 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 166 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 167 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 168 | 3% | 97% | |
| 169 | 3% | 94% | |
| 170 | 5% | 92% | |
| 171 | 4% | 87% | |
| 172 | 5% | 83% | |
| 173 | 5% | 77% | |
| 174 | 11% | 72% | |
| 175 | 18% | 61% | Median, Majority |
| 176 | 10% | 43% | |
| 177 | 5% | 33% | |
| 178 | 4% | 28% | |
| 179 | 3% | 23% | |
| 180 | 6% | 20% | |
| 181 | 7% | 14% | |
| 182 | 5% | 7% | |
| 183 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 184 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 141 | 2% | 98% | |
| 142 | 3% | 97% | |
| 143 | 3% | 94% | |
| 144 | 4% | 91% | |
| 145 | 4% | 87% | |
| 146 | 7% | 82% | |
| 147 | 9% | 76% | |
| 148 | 11% | 67% | |
| 149 | 8% | 55% | Median |
| 150 | 11% | 48% | |
| 151 | 7% | 36% | |
| 152 | 6% | 29% | |
| 153 | 5% | 23% | |
| 154 | 7% | 17% | |
| 155 | 2% | 11% | |
| 156 | 5% | 8% | |
| 157 | 2% | 4% | |
| 158 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 139 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 140 | 4% | 97% | |
| 141 | 4% | 94% | |
| 142 | 7% | 90% | |
| 143 | 7% | 83% | |
| 144 | 5% | 75% | |
| 145 | 6% | 70% | |
| 146 | 9% | 64% | |
| 147 | 13% | 55% | Median |
| 148 | 10% | 42% | |
| 149 | 14% | 33% | |
| 150 | 5% | 18% | |
| 151 | 3% | 14% | |
| 152 | 3% | 10% | |
| 153 | 2% | 8% | |
| 154 | 2% | 6% | |
| 155 | 2% | 3% | |
| 156 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 157 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 136 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 137 | 3% | 98% | |
| 138 | 4% | 95% | |
| 139 | 6% | 90% | |
| 140 | 7% | 85% | |
| 141 | 6% | 77% | |
| 142 | 7% | 71% | |
| 143 | 12% | 64% | |
| 144 | 12% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 145 | 7% | 41% | |
| 146 | 8% | 34% | |
| 147 | 6% | 26% | |
| 148 | 6% | 20% | |
| 149 | 3% | 14% | |
| 150 | 4% | 11% | |
| 151 | 3% | 7% | |
| 152 | 2% | 4% | |
| 153 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 155 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 136 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 137 | 3% | 97% | |
| 138 | 4% | 94% | |
| 139 | 6% | 90% | |
| 140 | 7% | 84% | |
| 141 | 6% | 77% | |
| 142 | 7% | 70% | |
| 143 | 12% | 64% | |
| 144 | 12% | 52% | Median |
| 145 | 7% | 40% | |
| 146 | 8% | 33% | |
| 147 | 6% | 25% | |
| 148 | 6% | 20% | |
| 149 | 3% | 13% | |
| 150 | 4% | 10% | |
| 151 | 3% | 6% | |
| 152 | 2% | 4% | |
| 153 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 133 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 134 | 2% | 98% | |
| 135 | 2% | 96% | |
| 136 | 3% | 95% | |
| 137 | 5% | 91% | |
| 138 | 6% | 86% | |
| 139 | 7% | 80% | |
| 140 | 8% | 73% | |
| 141 | 7% | 64% | |
| 142 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 143 | 15% | 45% | Last Result |
| 144 | 7% | 30% | |
| 145 | 7% | 23% | |
| 146 | 5% | 16% | |
| 147 | 4% | 11% | |
| 148 | 3% | 7% | |
| 149 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 150 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 133 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 134 | 2% | 98% | |
| 135 | 2% | 96% | |
| 136 | 3% | 94% | |
| 137 | 5% | 91% | |
| 138 | 6% | 86% | |
| 139 | 7% | 80% | |
| 140 | 8% | 72% | |
| 141 | 7% | 64% | |
| 142 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 143 | 15% | 45% | |
| 144 | 7% | 30% | |
| 145 | 7% | 23% | |
| 146 | 5% | 16% | |
| 147 | 4% | 11% | |
| 148 | 3% | 6% | |
| 149 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 150 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 108 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 109 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 110 | 3% | 97% | |
| 111 | 3% | 94% | |
| 112 | 5% | 92% | |
| 113 | 6% | 87% | |
| 114 | 8% | 81% | |
| 115 | 12% | 73% | |
| 116 | 6% | 62% | Last Result |
| 117 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 118 | 9% | 41% | |
| 119 | 10% | 32% | |
| 120 | 5% | 22% | |
| 121 | 6% | 17% | |
| 122 | 4% | 11% | |
| 123 | 3% | 8% | |
| 124 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 126 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 108 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 109 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 110 | 5% | 96% | |
| 111 | 5% | 90% | |
| 112 | 7% | 85% | |
| 113 | 8% | 78% | |
| 114 | 6% | 71% | |
| 115 | 10% | 65% | |
| 116 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 117 | 20% | 48% | |
| 118 | 9% | 28% | |
| 119 | 4% | 20% | |
| 120 | 4% | 16% | |
| 121 | 6% | 12% | Last Result |
| 122 | 3% | 6% | |
| 123 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 124 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 108 | 2% | 98% | |
| 109 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 110 | 5% | 95% | |
| 111 | 5% | 90% | |
| 112 | 7% | 85% | |
| 113 | 8% | 78% | |
| 114 | 6% | 71% | |
| 115 | 10% | 65% | |
| 116 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 117 | 20% | 48% | |
| 118 | 9% | 28% | |
| 119 | 4% | 19% | |
| 120 | 4% | 16% | |
| 121 | 6% | 12% | |
| 122 | 3% | 6% | |
| 123 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 124 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 125 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Demoskop
- Commissioner(s): Aftonbladet
- Fieldwork period: 26 April–4 May 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 2154
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.70%