Opinion Poll by Sifo for Svenska Dagbladet, 2–12 May 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 32.6% | 31.9–33.3% | 31.7–33.5% | 31.5–33.7% | 31.2–34.1% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 20.8% | 20.2–21.4% | 20.0–21.6% | 19.8–21.8% | 19.6–22.1% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 18.1% | 17.5–18.7% | 17.3–18.9% | 17.2–19.0% | 16.9–19.3% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8–8.6% | 7.7–8.8% | 7.6–8.9% | 7.4–9.1% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.9–6.7% | 5.8–6.8% | 5.7–6.9% | 5.6–7.1% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3–6.0% | 5.2–6.1% | 5.1–6.2% | 4.9–6.4% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.3–3.9% | 3.2–4.0% | 3.2–4.1% | 3.0–4.2% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.5–3.0% | 2.4–3.0% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 124 | 121–127 | 119–128 | 118–128 | 116–130 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 79 | 76–82 | 76–82 | 75–83 | 74–84 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 69 | 66–72 | 65–72 | 65–72 | 63–73 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 31 | 29–33 | 29–34 | 28–34 | 28–35 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 24 | 22–25 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 21–27 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 21 | 20–23 | 20–23 | 19–24 | 19–24 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–15 | 0–15 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 117 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 118 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 119 | 3% | 97% | |
| 120 | 3% | 94% | |
| 121 | 9% | 90% | |
| 122 | 19% | 81% | |
| 123 | 11% | 62% | |
| 124 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 125 | 13% | 37% | |
| 126 | 10% | 24% | |
| 127 | 8% | 14% | |
| 128 | 4% | 7% | |
| 129 | 2% | 2% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 76 | 6% | 95% | |
| 77 | 12% | 90% | |
| 78 | 16% | 78% | |
| 79 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 80 | 19% | 45% | |
| 81 | 12% | 26% | |
| 82 | 10% | 14% | |
| 83 | 3% | 4% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 4% | 98% | |
| 66 | 9% | 94% | |
| 67 | 10% | 86% | |
| 68 | 19% | 76% | |
| 69 | 13% | 57% | Median |
| 70 | 22% | 44% | |
| 71 | 9% | 22% | |
| 72 | 10% | 13% | |
| 73 | 2% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 29 | 9% | 97% | |
| 30 | 23% | 89% | |
| 31 | 29% | 66% | Median |
| 32 | 20% | 37% | |
| 33 | 12% | 17% | |
| 34 | 4% | 5% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 10% | 98% | |
| 23 | 24% | 88% | |
| 24 | 32% | 65% | Median |
| 25 | 23% | 32% | |
| 26 | 7% | 10% | |
| 27 | 2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 19 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 20 | 17% | 96% | |
| 21 | 38% | 79% | Median |
| 22 | 26% | 42% | Last Result |
| 23 | 13% | 15% | |
| 24 | 2% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 94% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 6% | |
| 9 | 0% | 6% | |
| 10 | 0% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0% | 6% | |
| 12 | 0% | 6% | |
| 13 | 0% | 6% | |
| 14 | 0% | 6% | |
| 15 | 6% | 6% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 227 | 100% | 224–231 | 220–231 | 218–232 | 215–232 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 203 | 100% | 199–206 | 197–208 | 194–208 | 192–209 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 179 | 98.8% | 176–184 | 176–185 | 175–187 | 174–189 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 170 | 1.2% | 165–173 | 164–173 | 162–174 | 160–175 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 155 | 0% | 152–158 | 149–159 | 148–160 | 146–161 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 155 | 0% | 152–158 | 149–159 | 148–160 | 146–161 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 148 | 0% | 145–152 | 145–154 | 144–158 | 143–159 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 148 | 0% | 144–152 | 143–152 | 141–152 | 139–154 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 125 | 0% | 122–128 | 121–133 | 120–135 | 119–137 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 125 | 0% | 121–127 | 120–128 | 119–129 | 117–130 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 124 | 0% | 121–127 | 119–128 | 118–128 | 116–130 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 104 | 0% | 101–107 | 100–113 | 99–114 | 98–117 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 103 | 0% | 100–106 | 99–107 | 98–107 | 96–108 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0% | 100% | |
| 212 | 0% | 100% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 214 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 215 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 216 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 217 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 218 | 2% | 98% | |
| 219 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 220 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 221 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 222 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 223 | 2% | 93% | |
| 224 | 10% | 91% | |
| 225 | 12% | 81% | |
| 226 | 16% | 69% | |
| 227 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 228 | 8% | 41% | |
| 229 | 13% | 33% | |
| 230 | 8% | 20% | |
| 231 | 9% | 11% | |
| 232 | 2% | 3% | |
| 233 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 234 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 100% | |
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0% | 100% | |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 192 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 193 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 194 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 195 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 196 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 197 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 198 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 199 | 4% | 93% | |
| 200 | 6% | 89% | |
| 201 | 12% | 83% | |
| 202 | 17% | 71% | |
| 203 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 204 | 12% | 41% | |
| 205 | 12% | 30% | |
| 206 | 10% | 17% | |
| 207 | 2% | 7% | |
| 208 | 4% | 5% | |
| 209 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 210 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 172 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 174 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 175 | 2% | 98.8% | Majority |
| 176 | 14% | 96% | |
| 177 | 9% | 82% | |
| 178 | 15% | 73% | |
| 179 | 12% | 59% | Median |
| 180 | 12% | 47% | |
| 181 | 10% | 35% | |
| 182 | 7% | 25% | |
| 183 | 7% | 17% | |
| 184 | 4% | 11% | |
| 185 | 2% | 7% | |
| 186 | 2% | 4% | |
| 187 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 188 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 189 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 160 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 161 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 162 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 163 | 2% | 97% | |
| 164 | 2% | 96% | |
| 165 | 4% | 93% | |
| 166 | 7% | 89% | |
| 167 | 7% | 83% | |
| 168 | 10% | 75% | |
| 169 | 12% | 65% | Median |
| 170 | 12% | 53% | |
| 171 | 15% | 41% | |
| 172 | 9% | 27% | |
| 173 | 14% | 18% | |
| 174 | 2% | 4% | |
| 175 | 0.9% | 1.2% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 147 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 148 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 149 | 2% | 96% | |
| 150 | 2% | 95% | |
| 151 | 2% | 92% | |
| 152 | 9% | 90% | |
| 153 | 13% | 81% | |
| 154 | 17% | 68% | |
| 155 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 156 | 12% | 39% | |
| 157 | 11% | 27% | |
| 158 | 7% | 16% | |
| 159 | 5% | 9% | |
| 160 | 3% | 4% | |
| 161 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 147 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 148 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 149 | 2% | 96% | |
| 150 | 2% | 95% | |
| 151 | 2% | 92% | |
| 152 | 9% | 90% | |
| 153 | 13% | 81% | |
| 154 | 17% | 68% | |
| 155 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 156 | 12% | 39% | |
| 157 | 11% | 27% | |
| 158 | 7% | 16% | |
| 159 | 5% | 9% | |
| 160 | 3% | 4% | |
| 161 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 144 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 145 | 14% | 95% | |
| 146 | 17% | 81% | |
| 147 | 9% | 64% | |
| 148 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 149 | 12% | 46% | |
| 150 | 7% | 33% | |
| 151 | 11% | 26% | |
| 152 | 6% | 16% | |
| 153 | 3% | 9% | |
| 154 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 155 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 157 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 158 | 2% | 3% | |
| 159 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 160 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 140 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 141 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 142 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 143 | 3% | 96% | |
| 144 | 5% | 93% | |
| 145 | 6% | 88% | |
| 146 | 8% | 82% | |
| 147 | 13% | 74% | |
| 148 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 149 | 17% | 49% | |
| 150 | 12% | 32% | |
| 151 | 6% | 20% | |
| 152 | 12% | 14% | |
| 153 | 2% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 120 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 121 | 5% | 97% | |
| 122 | 8% | 93% | |
| 123 | 11% | 85% | |
| 124 | 15% | 74% | Median |
| 125 | 16% | 59% | |
| 126 | 17% | 43% | |
| 127 | 11% | 27% | |
| 128 | 6% | 16% | |
| 129 | 2% | 10% | |
| 130 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 133 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 134 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 135 | 2% | 4% | |
| 136 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 118 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 119 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 120 | 4% | 97% | |
| 121 | 6% | 93% | |
| 122 | 8% | 87% | |
| 123 | 12% | 79% | Last Result |
| 124 | 15% | 67% | Median |
| 125 | 16% | 52% | |
| 126 | 17% | 37% | |
| 127 | 11% | 20% | |
| 128 | 6% | 9% | |
| 129 | 2% | 3% | |
| 130 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 1.3% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 118 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 119 | 3% | 97% | |
| 120 | 3% | 94% | |
| 121 | 9% | 90% | |
| 122 | 19% | 81% | |
| 123 | 11% | 62% | |
| 124 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 125 | 13% | 37% | |
| 126 | 10% | 24% | |
| 127 | 8% | 14% | |
| 128 | 4% | 7% | |
| 129 | 2% | 2% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 99 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 100 | 5% | 97% | |
| 101 | 12% | 92% | |
| 102 | 13% | 80% | |
| 103 | 13% | 67% | Median |
| 104 | 19% | 54% | |
| 105 | 13% | 35% | |
| 106 | 10% | 22% | |
| 107 | 4% | 12% | |
| 108 | 2% | 9% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 113 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 114 | 2% | 4% | |
| 115 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 116 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 98 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 99 | 4% | 97% | |
| 100 | 6% | 93% | |
| 101 | 13% | 87% | Last Result |
| 102 | 14% | 74% | |
| 103 | 13% | 61% | Median |
| 104 | 19% | 48% | |
| 105 | 13% | 28% | |
| 106 | 10% | 15% | |
| 107 | 4% | 6% | |
| 108 | 2% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): Svenska Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 2–12 May 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 6890
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.46%