Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 10–22 May 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 32.0% | 30.5–33.5% | 30.1–34.0% | 29.7–34.4% | 29.0–35.1% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 22.0% | 20.7–23.4% | 20.3–23.8% | 20.0–24.1% | 19.4–24.8% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 18.0% | 16.8–19.3% | 16.4–19.6% | 16.1–20.0% | 15.6–20.6% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.3–11.0% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 5.0% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.1–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.1–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 122 | 117–129 | 115–130 | 113–132 | 110–136 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 84 | 79–90 | 78–91 | 76–93 | 74–96 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 69 | 64–74 | 63–75 | 62–77 | 60–80 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 35 | 31–38 | 30–39 | 29–40 | 28–43 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 19 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 15–24 | 0–25 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 19 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 0–24 | 0–25 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–16 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 113 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 114 | 2% | 97% | |
| 115 | 2% | 95% | |
| 116 | 3% | 93% | |
| 117 | 3% | 90% | |
| 118 | 5% | 87% | |
| 119 | 5% | 82% | |
| 120 | 9% | 76% | |
| 121 | 7% | 68% | |
| 122 | 14% | 60% | Median |
| 123 | 8% | 46% | |
| 124 | 8% | 38% | |
| 125 | 7% | 30% | |
| 126 | 6% | 24% | |
| 127 | 3% | 18% | |
| 128 | 5% | 15% | |
| 129 | 3% | 11% | |
| 130 | 2% | 7% | |
| 131 | 2% | 5% | |
| 132 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 133 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98% | |
| 77 | 2% | 97% | |
| 78 | 3% | 95% | |
| 79 | 3% | 92% | |
| 80 | 5% | 89% | |
| 81 | 9% | 84% | |
| 82 | 5% | 75% | |
| 83 | 8% | 70% | |
| 84 | 13% | 62% | Median |
| 85 | 13% | 49% | |
| 86 | 7% | 36% | |
| 87 | 6% | 29% | |
| 88 | 5% | 23% | |
| 89 | 7% | 17% | |
| 90 | 4% | 10% | |
| 91 | 3% | 7% | |
| 92 | 2% | 4% | |
| 93 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 63 | 3% | 96% | |
| 64 | 4% | 93% | |
| 65 | 6% | 89% | |
| 66 | 10% | 83% | |
| 67 | 7% | 72% | |
| 68 | 15% | 65% | |
| 69 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 70 | 5% | 37% | |
| 71 | 10% | 32% | |
| 72 | 8% | 23% | |
| 73 | 3% | 15% | |
| 74 | 5% | 11% | |
| 75 | 3% | 7% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 77 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 1.0% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 29 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 30 | 4% | 97% | |
| 31 | 6% | 93% | |
| 32 | 12% | 88% | |
| 33 | 8% | 75% | |
| 34 | 15% | 67% | |
| 35 | 12% | 52% | Median |
| 36 | 17% | 41% | |
| 37 | 10% | 24% | |
| 38 | 5% | 14% | |
| 39 | 5% | 9% | |
| 40 | 2% | 4% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 0% | 98% | |
| 10 | 0% | 98% | |
| 11 | 0% | 98% | |
| 12 | 0% | 98% | |
| 13 | 0% | 98% | |
| 14 | 0% | 98% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 16 | 6% | 97% | |
| 17 | 11% | 91% | |
| 18 | 17% | 80% | |
| 19 | 18% | 63% | Median |
| 20 | 19% | 45% | |
| 21 | 11% | 25% | |
| 22 | 8% | 14% | |
| 23 | 4% | 6% | |
| 24 | 2% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0% | 97% | |
| 8 | 0% | 97% | |
| 9 | 0% | 97% | |
| 10 | 0% | 97% | |
| 11 | 0% | 97% | |
| 12 | 0% | 97% | |
| 13 | 0% | 97% | |
| 14 | 0% | 97% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 16 | 6% | 97% | |
| 17 | 10% | 91% | |
| 18 | 16% | 81% | |
| 19 | 22% | 65% | Median |
| 20 | 18% | 43% | |
| 21 | 11% | 25% | |
| 22 | 7% | 14% | Last Result |
| 23 | 4% | 7% | |
| 24 | 2% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.6% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 226 | 100% | 219–232 | 216–234 | 214–237 | 209–243 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 206 | 100% | 200–213 | 198–216 | 196–219 | 191–225 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 176 | 66% | 170–183 | 168–185 | 165–187 | 161–191 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 172 | 30% | 165–179 | 163–181 | 161–182 | 156–187 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 157 | 0.3% | 151–164 | 149–166 | 147–168 | 144–173 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 157 | 0.2% | 151–164 | 149–166 | 147–168 | 144–173 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 153 | 0.1% | 147–160 | 145–162 | 143–164 | 140–169 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 142 | 0% | 135–148 | 133–150 | 131–152 | 125–156 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 122 | 0% | 117–129 | 115–131 | 113–133 | 111–137 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 123 | 0% | 116–128 | 112–130 | 109–131 | 104–135 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 123 | 0% | 116–128 | 112–130 | 108–131 | 104–134 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 104 | 0% | 97–109 | 95–110 | 92–112 | 85–116 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 104 | 0% | 97–109 | 95–110 | 92–112 | 85–115 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 206 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 210 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 211 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 212 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 213 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 214 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 215 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 216 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 217 | 2% | 95% | |
| 218 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 219 | 3% | 92% | |
| 220 | 5% | 90% | |
| 221 | 3% | 85% | |
| 222 | 5% | 82% | |
| 223 | 7% | 77% | |
| 224 | 7% | 70% | |
| 225 | 8% | 63% | Median |
| 226 | 13% | 55% | |
| 227 | 7% | 42% | |
| 228 | 6% | 35% | |
| 229 | 7% | 29% | |
| 230 | 6% | 22% | |
| 231 | 3% | 16% | |
| 232 | 3% | 13% | |
| 233 | 4% | 9% | |
| 234 | 2% | 6% | |
| 235 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 236 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 237 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 238 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 239 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 240 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 241 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 242 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 243 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 244 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 245 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 246 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 247 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 248 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 249 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 250 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 100% | |
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 192 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 193 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 194 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 195 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 196 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 197 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 198 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 199 | 3% | 94% | |
| 200 | 3% | 92% | |
| 201 | 4% | 89% | |
| 202 | 3% | 85% | |
| 203 | 3% | 82% | |
| 204 | 6% | 78% | |
| 205 | 13% | 73% | |
| 206 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 207 | 9% | 48% | |
| 208 | 4% | 40% | |
| 209 | 6% | 35% | |
| 210 | 5% | 30% | |
| 211 | 6% | 25% | |
| 212 | 6% | 19% | |
| 213 | 3% | 13% | |
| 214 | 2% | 10% | |
| 215 | 2% | 8% | |
| 216 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 217 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 218 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 219 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 220 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 221 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 222 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 223 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 224 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 225 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 226 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 227 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 228 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 229 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 230 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 232 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 163 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 164 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 165 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 166 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 167 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 168 | 2% | 95% | |
| 169 | 3% | 93% | |
| 170 | 3% | 90% | |
| 171 | 3% | 87% | |
| 172 | 4% | 84% | |
| 173 | 8% | 80% | |
| 174 | 6% | 72% | |
| 175 | 11% | 66% | Majority |
| 176 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 177 | 5% | 48% | |
| 178 | 10% | 42% | |
| 179 | 8% | 32% | |
| 180 | 5% | 25% | |
| 181 | 5% | 20% | |
| 182 | 4% | 15% | |
| 183 | 2% | 11% | |
| 184 | 2% | 9% | |
| 185 | 3% | 7% | |
| 186 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 187 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 188 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 189 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 160 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 161 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 162 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 163 | 2% | 96% | |
| 164 | 3% | 94% | |
| 165 | 2% | 92% | |
| 166 | 2% | 90% | |
| 167 | 4% | 87% | |
| 168 | 6% | 83% | |
| 169 | 5% | 78% | |
| 170 | 8% | 73% | |
| 171 | 10% | 65% | |
| 172 | 5% | 55% | Median |
| 173 | 8% | 49% | |
| 174 | 11% | 41% | |
| 175 | 6% | 30% | Majority |
| 176 | 7% | 25% | |
| 177 | 4% | 17% | |
| 178 | 3% | 14% | |
| 179 | 3% | 10% | |
| 180 | 2% | 7% | |
| 181 | 2% | 5% | |
| 182 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 183 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 184 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 148 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 149 | 2% | 96% | |
| 150 | 2% | 94% | |
| 151 | 2% | 92% | |
| 152 | 3% | 89% | |
| 153 | 9% | 86% | |
| 154 | 4% | 77% | |
| 155 | 6% | 73% | |
| 156 | 13% | 67% | |
| 157 | 5% | 54% | Median |
| 158 | 13% | 49% | |
| 159 | 5% | 36% | |
| 160 | 6% | 31% | |
| 161 | 6% | 25% | |
| 162 | 4% | 20% | |
| 163 | 4% | 16% | |
| 164 | 2% | 11% | |
| 165 | 3% | 9% | |
| 166 | 2% | 6% | |
| 167 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 168 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 170 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 171 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 145 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 147 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 148 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 149 | 2% | 95% | |
| 150 | 2% | 93% | |
| 151 | 2% | 91% | |
| 152 | 4% | 88% | |
| 153 | 9% | 85% | |
| 154 | 4% | 76% | |
| 155 | 6% | 72% | |
| 156 | 13% | 66% | |
| 157 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 158 | 13% | 48% | |
| 159 | 5% | 35% | |
| 160 | 6% | 30% | |
| 161 | 5% | 24% | |
| 162 | 4% | 18% | |
| 163 | 4% | 15% | |
| 164 | 2% | 10% | |
| 165 | 3% | 8% | |
| 166 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 167 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 168 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 170 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 171 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 142 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 143 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 144 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 145 | 2% | 96% | |
| 146 | 2% | 93% | |
| 147 | 3% | 91% | |
| 148 | 4% | 89% | |
| 149 | 6% | 85% | |
| 150 | 6% | 79% | |
| 151 | 6% | 72% | |
| 152 | 10% | 67% | |
| 153 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 154 | 9% | 46% | |
| 155 | 7% | 37% | |
| 156 | 6% | 30% | |
| 157 | 7% | 23% | |
| 158 | 3% | 16% | |
| 159 | 3% | 13% | |
| 160 | 3% | 11% | |
| 161 | 3% | 8% | |
| 162 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 163 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 164 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 165 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 130 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 131 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 132 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 133 | 2% | 96% | |
| 134 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 135 | 4% | 93% | |
| 136 | 4% | 89% | |
| 137 | 4% | 85% | |
| 138 | 3% | 81% | |
| 139 | 11% | 78% | |
| 140 | 4% | 66% | |
| 141 | 10% | 62% | Median |
| 142 | 14% | 52% | |
| 143 | 4% | 38% | |
| 144 | 7% | 34% | |
| 145 | 6% | 27% | |
| 146 | 4% | 21% | |
| 147 | 3% | 16% | |
| 148 | 5% | 13% | |
| 149 | 2% | 8% | |
| 150 | 3% | 7% | |
| 151 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 152 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 153 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 113 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 114 | 2% | 97% | |
| 115 | 2% | 95% | |
| 116 | 2% | 94% | Last Result |
| 117 | 3% | 91% | |
| 118 | 5% | 88% | |
| 119 | 5% | 83% | |
| 120 | 9% | 77% | |
| 121 | 7% | 69% | |
| 122 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 123 | 8% | 47% | |
| 124 | 8% | 39% | |
| 125 | 7% | 32% | |
| 126 | 6% | 25% | |
| 127 | 3% | 19% | |
| 128 | 5% | 16% | |
| 129 | 3% | 12% | |
| 130 | 2% | 8% | |
| 131 | 2% | 6% | |
| 132 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 133 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 108 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 111 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 112 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 113 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 114 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 115 | 2% | 93% | |
| 116 | 3% | 90% | |
| 117 | 3% | 87% | |
| 118 | 4% | 84% | |
| 119 | 7% | 81% | |
| 120 | 7% | 73% | |
| 121 | 4% | 66% | |
| 122 | 7% | 62% | Median |
| 123 | 12% | 54% | |
| 124 | 8% | 43% | |
| 125 | 5% | 34% | |
| 126 | 9% | 29% | |
| 127 | 8% | 20% | |
| 128 | 3% | 13% | |
| 129 | 4% | 10% | |
| 130 | 2% | 6% | |
| 131 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 132 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 108 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 111 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 112 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 113 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 114 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 115 | 3% | 93% | |
| 116 | 3% | 90% | |
| 117 | 3% | 87% | |
| 118 | 4% | 84% | |
| 119 | 7% | 81% | |
| 120 | 8% | 73% | |
| 121 | 4% | 66% | |
| 122 | 7% | 62% | Median |
| 123 | 12% | 54% | Last Result |
| 124 | 8% | 42% | |
| 125 | 5% | 34% | |
| 126 | 9% | 29% | |
| 127 | 8% | 20% | |
| 128 | 3% | 12% | |
| 129 | 4% | 9% | |
| 130 | 2% | 6% | |
| 131 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 132 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 94 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 95 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 96 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 97 | 3% | 93% | |
| 98 | 4% | 90% | |
| 99 | 6% | 86% | |
| 100 | 5% | 80% | |
| 101 | 7% | 75% | |
| 102 | 5% | 68% | |
| 103 | 7% | 64% | Median |
| 104 | 18% | 56% | |
| 105 | 5% | 38% | |
| 106 | 9% | 33% | |
| 107 | 8% | 25% | |
| 108 | 4% | 17% | |
| 109 | 5% | 13% | |
| 110 | 3% | 8% | |
| 111 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 112 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 113 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 95 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 96 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 97 | 3% | 93% | |
| 98 | 4% | 90% | |
| 99 | 6% | 86% | |
| 100 | 5% | 80% | |
| 101 | 7% | 75% | Last Result |
| 102 | 5% | 68% | |
| 103 | 7% | 63% | Median |
| 104 | 18% | 56% | |
| 105 | 5% | 38% | |
| 106 | 9% | 33% | |
| 107 | 8% | 24% | |
| 108 | 4% | 17% | |
| 109 | 5% | 13% | |
| 110 | 3% | 7% | |
| 111 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 112 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 113 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 10–22 May 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1569
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.91%