Opinion Poll by Demoskop for Aftonbladet, 31 May–9 June 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 30.9% | 29.6–32.2% | 29.3–32.6% | 29.0–32.9% | 28.4–33.6% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 22.1% | 21.0–23.3% | 20.7–23.6% | 20.4–23.9% | 19.9–24.5% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 16.9% | 15.9–18.0% | 15.6–18.3% | 15.3–18.5% | 14.9–19.1% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0–8.5% | 6.8–8.7% | 6.6–8.9% | 6.3–9.3% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9–8.4% | 6.7–8.6% | 6.5–8.8% | 6.2–9.2% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1–6.4% | 4.9–6.6% | 4.8–6.8% | 4.5–7.1% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.5–5.0% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.4% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.2–4.8% | 2.9–5.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 113 | 106–119 | 104–121 | 103–123 | 101–127 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 80 | 75–86 | 73–87 | 73–90 | 71–92 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 61 | 57–66 | 56–68 | 55–69 | 53–71 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 28 | 25–31 | 25–32 | 24–33 | 23–35 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 28 | 25–31 | 24–32 | 23–32 | 23–34 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 21 | 18–24 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 16–26 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 15 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–20 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0–16 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–18 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 103 | 2% | 98% | |
| 104 | 2% | 96% | |
| 105 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 106 | 5% | 93% | |
| 107 | 4% | 88% | |
| 108 | 8% | 84% | |
| 109 | 8% | 76% | |
| 110 | 5% | 68% | |
| 111 | 7% | 63% | |
| 112 | 7% | 57% | |
| 113 | 4% | 50% | Median |
| 114 | 10% | 46% | |
| 115 | 8% | 36% | |
| 116 | 5% | 28% | |
| 117 | 7% | 23% | |
| 118 | 3% | 15% | |
| 119 | 4% | 12% | |
| 120 | 3% | 8% | |
| 121 | 2% | 5% | |
| 122 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 123 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 124 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 127 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 73 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 74 | 2% | 95% | |
| 75 | 3% | 93% | |
| 76 | 4% | 90% | |
| 77 | 7% | 85% | |
| 78 | 8% | 78% | |
| 79 | 12% | 70% | |
| 80 | 12% | 59% | Median |
| 81 | 6% | 46% | |
| 82 | 9% | 40% | |
| 83 | 8% | 31% | |
| 84 | 6% | 23% | |
| 85 | 6% | 17% | |
| 86 | 4% | 11% | |
| 87 | 3% | 8% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 90 | 2% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 95% | |
| 57 | 8% | 92% | |
| 58 | 8% | 84% | |
| 59 | 9% | 77% | |
| 60 | 9% | 68% | |
| 61 | 12% | 59% | Median |
| 62 | 14% | 47% | Last Result |
| 63 | 6% | 33% | |
| 64 | 7% | 27% | |
| 65 | 5% | 20% | |
| 66 | 6% | 14% | |
| 67 | 3% | 8% | |
| 68 | 2% | 5% | |
| 69 | 2% | 4% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 24 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 25 | 7% | 96% | |
| 26 | 8% | 88% | |
| 27 | 23% | 80% | |
| 28 | 17% | 56% | Median |
| 29 | 14% | 39% | |
| 30 | 10% | 26% | |
| 31 | 7% | 16% | Last Result |
| 32 | 5% | 9% | |
| 33 | 3% | 4% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 24 | 4% | 97% | |
| 25 | 9% | 93% | |
| 26 | 20% | 84% | |
| 27 | 12% | 64% | |
| 28 | 17% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 29 | 15% | 35% | |
| 30 | 10% | 21% | |
| 31 | 5% | 11% | |
| 32 | 4% | 6% | |
| 33 | 2% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 18 | 9% | 97% | |
| 19 | 11% | 87% | |
| 20 | 22% | 77% | |
| 21 | 14% | 55% | Median |
| 22 | 22% | 41% | Last Result |
| 23 | 8% | 19% | |
| 24 | 7% | 11% | |
| 25 | 3% | 4% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 33% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 67% | |
| 2 | 0% | 67% | |
| 3 | 0% | 67% | |
| 4 | 0% | 67% | |
| 5 | 0% | 67% | |
| 6 | 0% | 67% | |
| 7 | 0% | 67% | |
| 8 | 0% | 67% | |
| 9 | 0% | 67% | |
| 10 | 0% | 67% | |
| 11 | 0% | 67% | |
| 12 | 0% | 67% | |
| 13 | 0% | 67% | |
| 14 | 2% | 67% | |
| 15 | 23% | 66% | Median |
| 16 | 24% | 43% | |
| 17 | 12% | 19% | |
| 18 | 5% | 8% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 54% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 46% | |
| 2 | 0% | 46% | |
| 3 | 0% | 46% | |
| 4 | 0% | 46% | |
| 5 | 0% | 46% | |
| 6 | 0% | 46% | |
| 7 | 0% | 46% | |
| 8 | 0% | 46% | |
| 9 | 0% | 46% | |
| 10 | 0% | 46% | |
| 11 | 0% | 46% | |
| 12 | 0% | 46% | |
| 13 | 0% | 46% | |
| 14 | 10% | 46% | |
| 15 | 22% | 36% | |
| 16 | 10% | 14% | Last Result |
| 17 | 3% | 5% | |
| 18 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 221 | 100% | 210–232 | 209–235 | 207–237 | 205–241 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 193 | 99.9% | 184–203 | 181–205 | 180–208 | 177–212 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 186 | 95% | 177–194 | 175–196 | 172–198 | 170–201 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 163 | 5% | 155–172 | 153–174 | 151–177 | 148–179 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 159 | 0.3% | 148–167 | 146–170 | 144–171 | 140–174 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 147 | 0% | 138–157 | 137–159 | 135–161 | 131–164 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 142 | 0% | 135–150 | 133–153 | 131–155 | 129–156 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 140 | 0% | 133–147 | 131–150 | 130–152 | 127–156 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 142 | 0% | 130–150 | 128–151 | 127–152 | 123–155 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 129 | 0% | 122–137 | 121–139 | 120–141 | 118–145 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 119 | 0% | 111–129 | 109–131 | 107–132 | 105–135 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 121 | 0% | 108–128 | 108–129 | 106–131 | 102–134 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 108 | 0% | 102–116 | 101–117 | 100–119 | 97–122 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 204 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 205 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 206 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 207 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 208 | 2% | 97% | |
| 209 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 210 | 4% | 94% | |
| 211 | 4% | 90% | |
| 212 | 2% | 86% | |
| 213 | 3% | 84% | |
| 214 | 3% | 81% | |
| 215 | 6% | 79% | |
| 216 | 4% | 73% | |
| 217 | 3% | 69% | |
| 218 | 5% | 66% | |
| 219 | 4% | 62% | |
| 220 | 3% | 57% | |
| 221 | 4% | 54% | Median |
| 222 | 5% | 50% | |
| 223 | 5% | 45% | |
| 224 | 5% | 40% | |
| 225 | 3% | 35% | |
| 226 | 9% | 32% | |
| 227 | 3% | 24% | |
| 228 | 3% | 20% | |
| 229 | 2% | 17% | |
| 230 | 3% | 15% | |
| 231 | 1.1% | 13% | |
| 232 | 3% | 12% | |
| 233 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 234 | 2% | 7% | |
| 235 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 236 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 237 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 238 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 239 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 240 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 241 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 242 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 243 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 244 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 177 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 179 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 180 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 181 | 2% | 96% | |
| 182 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 183 | 2% | 92% | |
| 184 | 4% | 91% | |
| 185 | 3% | 87% | |
| 186 | 2% | 84% | |
| 187 | 4% | 81% | |
| 188 | 8% | 78% | |
| 189 | 5% | 70% | |
| 190 | 2% | 65% | |
| 191 | 5% | 63% | |
| 192 | 6% | 57% | |
| 193 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 194 | 8% | 49% | |
| 195 | 3% | 41% | |
| 196 | 5% | 38% | |
| 197 | 3% | 33% | |
| 198 | 5% | 30% | |
| 199 | 7% | 24% | |
| 200 | 3% | 17% | |
| 201 | 3% | 15% | |
| 202 | 2% | 12% | |
| 203 | 2% | 10% | |
| 204 | 2% | 8% | |
| 205 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 206 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 207 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 208 | 2% | 3% | |
| 209 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 210 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 212 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 214 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 170 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 171 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 172 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 173 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 174 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 175 | 2% | 95% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 94% | |
| 177 | 4% | 92% | |
| 178 | 2% | 88% | |
| 179 | 3% | 87% | |
| 180 | 4% | 83% | |
| 181 | 4% | 80% | |
| 182 | 3% | 76% | |
| 183 | 4% | 73% | |
| 184 | 3% | 69% | Median |
| 185 | 7% | 66% | |
| 186 | 10% | 59% | |
| 187 | 6% | 50% | |
| 188 | 5% | 43% | |
| 189 | 6% | 38% | |
| 190 | 6% | 32% | |
| 191 | 6% | 27% | |
| 192 | 3% | 20% | |
| 193 | 6% | 18% | |
| 194 | 4% | 12% | |
| 195 | 2% | 8% | Last Result |
| 196 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 197 | 2% | 5% | |
| 198 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 199 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 200 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 201 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 149 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 150 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 151 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 152 | 2% | 97% | |
| 153 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 154 | 2% | 94% | Last Result |
| 155 | 4% | 92% | |
| 156 | 6% | 88% | |
| 157 | 3% | 82% | |
| 158 | 6% | 80% | |
| 159 | 6% | 73% | |
| 160 | 6% | 68% | |
| 161 | 5% | 62% | |
| 162 | 6% | 57% | Median |
| 163 | 10% | 50% | |
| 164 | 7% | 41% | |
| 165 | 3% | 34% | |
| 166 | 4% | 31% | |
| 167 | 3% | 27% | |
| 168 | 4% | 24% | |
| 169 | 4% | 20% | |
| 170 | 3% | 17% | |
| 171 | 2% | 13% | |
| 172 | 4% | 12% | |
| 173 | 2% | 8% | |
| 174 | 2% | 6% | |
| 175 | 1.3% | 5% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 177 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 178 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 179 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 138 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 144 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 145 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 146 | 2% | 96% | |
| 147 | 3% | 94% | |
| 148 | 2% | 91% | |
| 149 | 2% | 89% | |
| 150 | 3% | 87% | |
| 151 | 2% | 85% | |
| 152 | 3% | 82% | |
| 153 | 2% | 79% | |
| 154 | 3% | 77% | |
| 155 | 4% | 74% | |
| 156 | 3% | 70% | Median |
| 157 | 7% | 67% | |
| 158 | 7% | 60% | |
| 159 | 8% | 54% | |
| 160 | 7% | 46% | |
| 161 | 5% | 39% | |
| 162 | 3% | 34% | |
| 163 | 5% | 31% | |
| 164 | 4% | 25% | |
| 165 | 3% | 21% | |
| 166 | 3% | 17% | |
| 167 | 6% | 14% | Last Result |
| 168 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 169 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 170 | 2% | 6% | |
| 171 | 2% | 4% | |
| 172 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 173 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 174 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 133 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 134 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 135 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 136 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 137 | 2% | 95% | |
| 138 | 4% | 93% | |
| 139 | 4% | 90% | |
| 140 | 3% | 86% | |
| 141 | 4% | 83% | Median |
| 142 | 3% | 79% | |
| 143 | 7% | 76% | |
| 144 | 6% | 69% | Last Result |
| 145 | 4% | 63% | |
| 146 | 5% | 59% | |
| 147 | 7% | 55% | |
| 148 | 7% | 48% | |
| 149 | 4% | 41% | |
| 150 | 9% | 37% | |
| 151 | 4% | 29% | |
| 152 | 3% | 25% | |
| 153 | 4% | 22% | |
| 154 | 3% | 17% | |
| 155 | 2% | 15% | |
| 156 | 2% | 12% | |
| 157 | 1.0% | 11% | |
| 158 | 4% | 10% | |
| 159 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 160 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 161 | 2% | 4% | |
| 162 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 131 | 2% | 98% | |
| 132 | 0.6% | 97% | Last Result |
| 133 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 134 | 2% | 95% | |
| 135 | 5% | 92% | |
| 136 | 9% | 88% | |
| 137 | 4% | 79% | |
| 138 | 7% | 75% | |
| 139 | 5% | 68% | |
| 140 | 3% | 63% | |
| 141 | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 142 | 7% | 51% | |
| 143 | 6% | 44% | |
| 144 | 9% | 38% | |
| 145 | 4% | 29% | |
| 146 | 3% | 25% | |
| 147 | 4% | 22% | |
| 148 | 3% | 18% | |
| 149 | 4% | 15% | |
| 150 | 2% | 11% | |
| 151 | 2% | 9% | |
| 152 | 2% | 7% | |
| 153 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 154 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 155 | 3% | 4% | |
| 156 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 127 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 128 | 0.6% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 130 | 2% | 98% | |
| 131 | 2% | 96% | |
| 132 | 2% | 94% | |
| 133 | 4% | 92% | |
| 134 | 5% | 87% | |
| 135 | 7% | 82% | |
| 136 | 7% | 75% | |
| 137 | 3% | 68% | |
| 138 | 7% | 66% | |
| 139 | 7% | 59% | |
| 140 | 5% | 52% | |
| 141 | 5% | 48% | Median |
| 142 | 4% | 43% | |
| 143 | 10% | 39% | |
| 144 | 6% | 29% | |
| 145 | 4% | 23% | |
| 146 | 4% | 18% | |
| 147 | 5% | 15% | |
| 148 | 2% | 10% | |
| 149 | 2% | 8% | |
| 150 | 2% | 6% | |
| 151 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 152 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 153 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 156 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 125 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 126 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 127 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 128 | 3% | 97% | |
| 129 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 130 | 3% | 93% | |
| 131 | 2% | 89% | |
| 132 | 1.3% | 87% | |
| 133 | 3% | 86% | |
| 134 | 3% | 82% | |
| 135 | 3% | 80% | |
| 136 | 6% | 76% | |
| 137 | 5% | 71% | |
| 138 | 3% | 66% | |
| 139 | 5% | 63% | |
| 140 | 5% | 58% | |
| 141 | 3% | 53% | |
| 142 | 8% | 50% | |
| 143 | 5% | 42% | Last Result |
| 144 | 9% | 37% | Median |
| 145 | 3% | 28% | |
| 146 | 7% | 25% | |
| 147 | 4% | 18% | |
| 148 | 1.4% | 14% | |
| 149 | 3% | 13% | |
| 150 | 4% | 10% | |
| 151 | 3% | 6% | |
| 152 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 153 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 155 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 118 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 119 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 120 | 3% | 98% | |
| 121 | 3% | 95% | |
| 122 | 2% | 92% | |
| 123 | 3% | 90% | Last Result |
| 124 | 5% | 87% | |
| 125 | 4% | 83% | |
| 126 | 8% | 79% | |
| 127 | 6% | 71% | |
| 128 | 8% | 65% | |
| 129 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 130 | 5% | 47% | |
| 131 | 8% | 41% | |
| 132 | 2% | 33% | |
| 133 | 6% | 30% | |
| 134 | 6% | 25% | |
| 135 | 3% | 18% | |
| 136 | 4% | 15% | |
| 137 | 3% | 11% | |
| 138 | 2% | 8% | |
| 139 | 2% | 6% | |
| 140 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 141 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 142 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 106 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 107 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 108 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 109 | 3% | 96% | |
| 110 | 2% | 93% | |
| 111 | 3% | 91% | |
| 112 | 4% | 88% | |
| 113 | 3% | 84% | Median |
| 114 | 6% | 81% | |
| 115 | 5% | 75% | |
| 116 | 4% | 70% | Last Result |
| 117 | 7% | 65% | |
| 118 | 4% | 58% | |
| 119 | 4% | 54% | |
| 120 | 7% | 49% | |
| 121 | 4% | 43% | |
| 122 | 4% | 39% | |
| 123 | 7% | 35% | |
| 124 | 5% | 29% | |
| 125 | 4% | 23% | |
| 126 | 2% | 19% | |
| 127 | 3% | 17% | |
| 128 | 2% | 15% | |
| 129 | 4% | 12% | |
| 130 | 2% | 8% | |
| 131 | 3% | 6% | |
| 132 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 133 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 105 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 106 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 107 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 108 | 6% | 96% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 110 | 3% | 89% | |
| 111 | 4% | 87% | |
| 112 | 0.9% | 83% | |
| 113 | 4% | 82% | |
| 114 | 2% | 78% | |
| 115 | 3% | 76% | |
| 116 | 6% | 73% | |
| 117 | 3% | 67% | |
| 118 | 7% | 64% | |
| 119 | 3% | 58% | |
| 120 | 4% | 55% | |
| 121 | 8% | 51% | Last Result |
| 122 | 5% | 43% | |
| 123 | 4% | 38% | Median |
| 124 | 10% | 34% | |
| 125 | 2% | 24% | |
| 126 | 7% | 22% | |
| 127 | 2% | 15% | |
| 128 | 4% | 13% | |
| 129 | 4% | 9% | |
| 130 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 131 | 2% | 4% | |
| 132 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 99 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 100 | 3% | 98% | |
| 101 | 1.4% | 95% | Last Result |
| 102 | 7% | 94% | |
| 103 | 2% | 87% | |
| 104 | 4% | 85% | |
| 105 | 8% | 81% | |
| 106 | 7% | 73% | |
| 107 | 4% | 66% | |
| 108 | 13% | 61% | Median |
| 109 | 7% | 48% | |
| 110 | 6% | 42% | |
| 111 | 8% | 36% | |
| 112 | 5% | 27% | |
| 113 | 5% | 22% | |
| 114 | 4% | 17% | |
| 115 | 2% | 13% | |
| 116 | 5% | 10% | |
| 117 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 118 | 2% | 5% | |
| 119 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 121 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Demoskop
- Commissioner(s): Aftonbladet
- Fieldwork period: 31 May–9 June 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 2125
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.08%