Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 7–19 June 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 31.0% | 29.6–32.5% | 29.2–32.9% | 28.8–33.3% | 28.1–34.0% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 20.0% | 18.8–21.3% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.1–22.0% | 17.6–22.7% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.0% | 17.8–20.3% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.2–21.0% | 16.6–21.6% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.3–11.0% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.6–7.7% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.8–6.6% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.8–6.6% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 113 | 108–119 | 107–121 | 106–123 | 103–126 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 74 | 69–78 | 68–79 | 66–81 | 64–83 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 70 | 65–74 | 64–75 | 63–77 | 61–80 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 33 | 30–36 | 29–38 | 28–39 | 27–40 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 22 | 19–25 | 19–26 | 18–26 | 17–28 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 19 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 15–23 | 0–24 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 18 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 15–23 | 0–24 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 105 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 106 | 2% | 98% | |
| 107 | 3% | 96% | |
| 108 | 4% | 93% | |
| 109 | 4% | 89% | |
| 110 | 6% | 85% | |
| 111 | 14% | 79% | |
| 112 | 8% | 66% | |
| 113 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 114 | 6% | 46% | |
| 115 | 9% | 40% | |
| 116 | 8% | 31% | |
| 117 | 7% | 23% | |
| 118 | 4% | 16% | |
| 119 | 3% | 12% | |
| 120 | 3% | 9% | |
| 121 | 2% | 6% | |
| 122 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 123 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 124 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 4% | 95% | |
| 69 | 5% | 91% | |
| 70 | 10% | 87% | Last Result |
| 71 | 6% | 77% | |
| 72 | 10% | 71% | |
| 73 | 9% | 61% | |
| 74 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 75 | 13% | 40% | |
| 76 | 11% | 27% | |
| 77 | 5% | 17% | |
| 78 | 4% | 12% | |
| 79 | 3% | 8% | |
| 80 | 2% | 5% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 63 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 6% | 94% | |
| 66 | 7% | 88% | |
| 67 | 8% | 82% | |
| 68 | 10% | 74% | |
| 69 | 9% | 64% | |
| 70 | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 71 | 14% | 41% | |
| 72 | 6% | 26% | |
| 73 | 5% | 20% | |
| 74 | 6% | 15% | |
| 75 | 4% | 9% | |
| 76 | 2% | 5% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 29 | 4% | 97% | |
| 30 | 7% | 93% | |
| 31 | 12% | 85% | |
| 32 | 10% | 73% | |
| 33 | 17% | 63% | Median |
| 34 | 18% | 47% | |
| 35 | 11% | 29% | |
| 36 | 8% | 18% | |
| 37 | 5% | 10% | |
| 38 | 3% | 5% | |
| 39 | 2% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 19 | 6% | 96% | |
| 20 | 9% | 89% | |
| 21 | 22% | 80% | |
| 22 | 19% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 23 | 15% | 40% | |
| 24 | 11% | 25% | |
| 25 | 7% | 13% | |
| 26 | 4% | 6% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 10 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 11 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 12 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 13 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 14 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 15 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 16 | 6% | 94% | |
| 17 | 17% | 87% | |
| 18 | 20% | 70% | |
| 19 | 17% | 51% | Median |
| 20 | 19% | 34% | |
| 21 | 8% | 16% | |
| 22 | 5% | 7% | |
| 23 | 2% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 0% | 98% | |
| 10 | 0% | 98% | |
| 11 | 0% | 98% | |
| 12 | 0% | 98% | |
| 13 | 0% | 98% | |
| 14 | 0% | 98% | |
| 15 | 4% | 98% | |
| 16 | 7% | 94% | |
| 17 | 14% | 87% | |
| 18 | 23% | 73% | Median |
| 19 | 23% | 50% | |
| 20 | 11% | 27% | Last Result |
| 21 | 8% | 16% | |
| 22 | 5% | 8% | |
| 23 | 2% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 205 | 100% | 200–211 | 198–213 | 196–215 | 192–220 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 187 | 99.5% | 181–193 | 180–195 | 178–197 | 175–202 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 184 | 97% | 178–189 | 176–191 | 174–193 | 169–196 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 165 | 3% | 160–171 | 158–173 | 156–175 | 153–180 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 150 | 0% | 145–156 | 143–158 | 141–160 | 135–163 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 147 | 0% | 141–153 | 140–155 | 138–157 | 136–161 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 147 | 0% | 141–152 | 139–154 | 138–156 | 135–160 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 144 | 0% | 138–149 | 136–151 | 135–153 | 132–156 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 143 | 133 | 0% | 127–138 | 124–140 | 121–142 | 115–144 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 113 | 0% | 108–120 | 107–121 | 106–123 | 103–127 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet | 123 | 114 | 0% | 109–119 | 107–121 | 105–122 | 99–126 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 110 | 0% | 105–116 | 102–117 | 99–119 | 93–121 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 92 | 0% | 87–97 | 85–98 | 83–100 | 76–102 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 189 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 194 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 195 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 196 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 197 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 198 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 199 | 2% | 94% | |
| 200 | 3% | 92% | |
| 201 | 6% | 89% | Last Result |
| 202 | 5% | 83% | |
| 203 | 14% | 78% | |
| 204 | 6% | 64% | |
| 205 | 9% | 58% | |
| 206 | 9% | 49% | Median |
| 207 | 13% | 40% | |
| 208 | 5% | 26% | |
| 209 | 4% | 21% | |
| 210 | 4% | 17% | |
| 211 | 4% | 13% | |
| 212 | 4% | 9% | |
| 213 | 2% | 6% | |
| 214 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 215 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 216 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 217 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 218 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 219 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 220 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 221 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 223 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 225 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 227 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 99.5% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 177 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 178 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 179 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 180 | 2% | 96% | |
| 181 | 4% | 94% | |
| 182 | 5% | 90% | |
| 183 | 10% | 85% | |
| 184 | 6% | 75% | |
| 185 | 8% | 70% | |
| 186 | 6% | 62% | |
| 187 | 11% | 56% | Median |
| 188 | 14% | 46% | |
| 189 | 7% | 32% | |
| 190 | 5% | 25% | |
| 191 | 4% | 19% | |
| 192 | 5% | 16% | |
| 193 | 3% | 11% | |
| 194 | 2% | 8% | |
| 195 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 196 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 197 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 198 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 199 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 201 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 202 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 172 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 173 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 174 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 175 | 0.9% | 97% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 96% | |
| 177 | 2% | 94% | |
| 178 | 3% | 92% | |
| 179 | 4% | 89% | |
| 180 | 6% | 85% | |
| 181 | 5% | 79% | |
| 182 | 15% | 74% | |
| 183 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 184 | 9% | 51% | |
| 185 | 8% | 42% | |
| 186 | 6% | 34% | |
| 187 | 6% | 28% | |
| 188 | 9% | 22% | |
| 189 | 4% | 12% | |
| 190 | 2% | 8% | |
| 191 | 3% | 7% | |
| 192 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 193 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 194 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 195 | 0.3% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 196 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 156 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 157 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 158 | 3% | 96% | |
| 159 | 2% | 93% | |
| 160 | 4% | 92% | |
| 161 | 9% | 88% | |
| 162 | 6% | 78% | |
| 163 | 6% | 72% | |
| 164 | 8% | 66% | |
| 165 | 9% | 58% | |
| 166 | 8% | 49% | Median |
| 167 | 15% | 41% | |
| 168 | 5% | 26% | |
| 169 | 6% | 21% | |
| 170 | 4% | 15% | |
| 171 | 3% | 11% | |
| 172 | 2% | 8% | |
| 173 | 2% | 6% | |
| 174 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 175 | 1.1% | 3% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 177 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 141 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 142 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 143 | 2% | 95% | |
| 144 | 2% | 93% | |
| 145 | 2% | 91% | |
| 146 | 4% | 89% | |
| 147 | 6% | 85% | |
| 148 | 12% | 79% | |
| 149 | 13% | 67% | |
| 150 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 151 | 5% | 48% | |
| 152 | 10% | 43% | |
| 153 | 6% | 33% | |
| 154 | 7% | 27% | |
| 155 | 8% | 20% | |
| 156 | 3% | 12% | |
| 157 | 3% | 9% | |
| 158 | 2% | 6% | |
| 159 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 160 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 136 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 137 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 138 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 139 | 2% | 97% | |
| 140 | 2% | 95% | |
| 141 | 3% | 93% | |
| 142 | 6% | 90% | |
| 143 | 5% | 84% | |
| 144 | 9% | 79% | Last Result |
| 145 | 11% | 71% | |
| 146 | 7% | 60% | Median |
| 147 | 11% | 53% | |
| 148 | 6% | 42% | |
| 149 | 10% | 36% | |
| 150 | 4% | 26% | |
| 151 | 7% | 22% | |
| 152 | 4% | 15% | |
| 153 | 3% | 11% | |
| 154 | 2% | 8% | |
| 155 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 156 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 157 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 158 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 137 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 138 | 2% | 98% | |
| 139 | 2% | 96% | |
| 140 | 3% | 95% | |
| 141 | 3% | 92% | |
| 142 | 6% | 89% | |
| 143 | 5% | 83% | |
| 144 | 9% | 78% | |
| 145 | 11% | 69% | |
| 146 | 7% | 59% | Median |
| 147 | 11% | 52% | |
| 148 | 6% | 41% | |
| 149 | 10% | 35% | |
| 150 | 4% | 25% | |
| 151 | 7% | 21% | |
| 152 | 4% | 14% | |
| 153 | 3% | 10% | |
| 154 | 2% | 7% | |
| 155 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 156 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 134 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 135 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 136 | 3% | 96% | |
| 137 | 3% | 94% | |
| 138 | 6% | 90% | |
| 139 | 6% | 84% | |
| 140 | 8% | 79% | |
| 141 | 6% | 70% | |
| 142 | 7% | 64% | |
| 143 | 7% | 57% | |
| 144 | 12% | 50% | Median |
| 145 | 7% | 38% | |
| 146 | 13% | 31% | |
| 147 | 3% | 18% | |
| 148 | 3% | 15% | |
| 149 | 5% | 12% | |
| 150 | 2% | 7% | |
| 151 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 152 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 153 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 154 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 155 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 120 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 121 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 122 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 123 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 124 | 2% | 96% | |
| 125 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 126 | 3% | 93% | |
| 127 | 3% | 90% | |
| 128 | 4% | 87% | |
| 129 | 6% | 83% | |
| 130 | 7% | 77% | |
| 131 | 11% | 70% | |
| 132 | 8% | 59% | |
| 133 | 10% | 50% | Median |
| 134 | 9% | 40% | |
| 135 | 10% | 32% | |
| 136 | 5% | 22% | |
| 137 | 5% | 17% | |
| 138 | 3% | 11% | |
| 139 | 3% | 8% | |
| 140 | 2% | 6% | |
| 141 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 142 | 2% | 3% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 106 | 2% | 98% | |
| 107 | 3% | 96% | |
| 108 | 4% | 94% | |
| 109 | 4% | 90% | |
| 110 | 6% | 86% | |
| 111 | 13% | 80% | |
| 112 | 8% | 67% | |
| 113 | 12% | 59% | Median |
| 114 | 6% | 47% | |
| 115 | 9% | 42% | |
| 116 | 8% | 32% | Last Result |
| 117 | 7% | 24% | |
| 118 | 4% | 17% | |
| 119 | 3% | 13% | |
| 120 | 3% | 10% | |
| 121 | 2% | 7% | |
| 122 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 123 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 124 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 106 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 107 | 3% | 96% | |
| 108 | 2% | 93% | |
| 109 | 6% | 91% | |
| 110 | 4% | 85% | |
| 111 | 8% | 81% | |
| 112 | 6% | 74% | |
| 113 | 14% | 68% | |
| 114 | 8% | 54% | |
| 115 | 11% | 46% | Median |
| 116 | 7% | 36% | |
| 117 | 9% | 28% | |
| 118 | 7% | 19% | |
| 119 | 3% | 12% | |
| 120 | 3% | 9% | |
| 121 | 2% | 6% | |
| 122 | 2% | 4% | |
| 123 | 1.0% | 2% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 101 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 103 | 2% | 95% | |
| 104 | 3% | 93% | |
| 105 | 4% | 91% | |
| 106 | 4% | 87% | |
| 107 | 9% | 82% | |
| 108 | 5% | 73% | |
| 109 | 8% | 68% | |
| 110 | 12% | 60% | |
| 111 | 9% | 49% | Median |
| 112 | 9% | 40% | |
| 113 | 7% | 31% | |
| 114 | 8% | 24% | |
| 115 | 5% | 16% | |
| 116 | 3% | 10% | |
| 117 | 3% | 7% | |
| 118 | 2% | 4% | |
| 119 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 120 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 85 | 2% | 96% | |
| 86 | 3% | 94% | |
| 87 | 6% | 92% | |
| 88 | 5% | 86% | |
| 89 | 7% | 81% | |
| 90 | 9% | 73% | |
| 91 | 8% | 65% | |
| 92 | 13% | 57% | |
| 93 | 10% | 44% | Median |
| 94 | 8% | 34% | |
| 95 | 6% | 26% | |
| 96 | 9% | 20% | |
| 97 | 4% | 12% | |
| 98 | 4% | 8% | |
| 99 | 2% | 4% | |
| 100 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.7% | 2% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 7–19 June 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1635
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.81%