Opinion Poll by SKOP, 8–11 July 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 31.5% | 29.7–33.4% | 29.2–34.0% | 28.7–34.5% | 27.9–35.4% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 18.5% | 17.0–20.2% | 16.6–20.7% | 16.2–21.1% | 15.6–21.9% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 16.6% | 15.1–18.1% | 14.7–18.6% | 14.4–19.0% | 13.7–19.8% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.2–11.6% | 8.8–12.0% | 8.6–12.3% | 8.1–13.0% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.4–7.3% | 5.1–7.7% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.5% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.4% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–7.9% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 114 | 107–121 | 105–123 | 103–125 | 100–128 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 66 | 62–73 | 60–74 | 58–75 | 55–81 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 60 | 54–65 | 53–67 | 51–69 | 49–72 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 38 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 31–45 | 29–47 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 23 | 19–26 | 18–28 | 18–29 | 16–31 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 22 | 19–26 | 18–27 | 17–28 | 16–30 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 21 | 18–25 | 17–26 | 16–27 | 15–29 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–17 | 0–19 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 103 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 104 | 2% | 97% | |
| 105 | 2% | 95% | |
| 106 | 2% | 93% | |
| 107 | 5% | 91% | |
| 108 | 5% | 86% | |
| 109 | 3% | 81% | |
| 110 | 7% | 78% | |
| 111 | 6% | 71% | |
| 112 | 5% | 65% | |
| 113 | 9% | 61% | |
| 114 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 115 | 9% | 47% | |
| 116 | 8% | 38% | |
| 117 | 4% | 29% | |
| 118 | 5% | 25% | |
| 119 | 4% | 20% | |
| 120 | 4% | 16% | |
| 121 | 3% | 12% | |
| 122 | 3% | 9% | |
| 123 | 2% | 6% | |
| 124 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 125 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 126 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 61 | 2% | 95% | |
| 62 | 5% | 92% | |
| 63 | 6% | 87% | |
| 64 | 8% | 81% | |
| 65 | 11% | 73% | |
| 66 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 67 | 10% | 48% | |
| 68 | 3% | 37% | |
| 69 | 3% | 34% | |
| 70 | 3% | 31% | Last Result |
| 71 | 6% | 28% | |
| 72 | 6% | 23% | |
| 73 | 9% | 17% | |
| 74 | 4% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 53 | 3% | 96% | |
| 54 | 7% | 94% | |
| 55 | 5% | 87% | |
| 56 | 4% | 83% | |
| 57 | 6% | 79% | |
| 58 | 9% | 72% | |
| 59 | 10% | 63% | |
| 60 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 61 | 4% | 46% | |
| 62 | 13% | 42% | Last Result |
| 63 | 11% | 30% | |
| 64 | 4% | 18% | |
| 65 | 5% | 15% | |
| 66 | 3% | 10% | |
| 67 | 3% | 7% | |
| 68 | 2% | 4% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 31 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 32 | 3% | 96% | |
| 33 | 7% | 93% | |
| 34 | 9% | 86% | |
| 35 | 8% | 77% | |
| 36 | 5% | 70% | |
| 37 | 7% | 64% | |
| 38 | 13% | 57% | Median |
| 39 | 11% | 44% | |
| 40 | 14% | 33% | |
| 41 | 5% | 19% | |
| 42 | 4% | 14% | |
| 43 | 5% | 10% | |
| 44 | 2% | 5% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 18 | 3% | 98% | |
| 19 | 6% | 95% | |
| 20 | 9% | 88% | |
| 21 | 13% | 79% | |
| 22 | 14% | 66% | |
| 23 | 14% | 52% | Median |
| 24 | 12% | 39% | |
| 25 | 10% | 27% | |
| 26 | 7% | 17% | |
| 27 | 4% | 10% | |
| 28 | 3% | 6% | |
| 29 | 2% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 18 | 4% | 97% | |
| 19 | 7% | 93% | |
| 20 | 9% | 86% | Last Result |
| 21 | 17% | 78% | |
| 22 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 23 | 11% | 48% | |
| 24 | 14% | 36% | |
| 25 | 8% | 22% | |
| 26 | 6% | 14% | |
| 27 | 4% | 8% | |
| 28 | 2% | 4% | |
| 29 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 17 | 4% | 96% | |
| 18 | 10% | 91% | |
| 19 | 8% | 81% | |
| 20 | 14% | 73% | |
| 21 | 17% | 58% | Median |
| 22 | 10% | 41% | Last Result |
| 23 | 14% | 31% | |
| 24 | 6% | 17% | |
| 25 | 5% | 11% | |
| 26 | 3% | 6% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 74% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 26% | |
| 2 | 0% | 26% | |
| 3 | 0% | 26% | |
| 4 | 0% | 26% | |
| 5 | 0% | 26% | |
| 6 | 0% | 26% | |
| 7 | 0% | 26% | |
| 8 | 0% | 26% | |
| 9 | 0% | 26% | |
| 10 | 0% | 26% | |
| 11 | 0% | 26% | |
| 12 | 0% | 26% | |
| 13 | 0% | 26% | |
| 14 | 6% | 26% | |
| 15 | 9% | 20% | |
| 16 | 6% | 12% | Last Result |
| 17 | 3% | 5% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 204 | 100% | 195–212 | 192–214 | 189–216 | 186–220 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 201 | 100% | 192–209 | 191–211 | 189–214 | 185–217 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 181 | 84% | 172–189 | 170–191 | 167–193 | 164–197 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 162 | 5% | 154–172 | 153–174 | 151–177 | 147–181 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 155 | 0.4% | 147–165 | 145–167 | 143–170 | 139–174 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 152 | 0% | 143–160 | 141–162 | 139–164 | 135–168 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 148 | 0% | 140–157 | 138–158 | 135–160 | 132–164 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 143 | 133 | 0% | 126–141 | 123–144 | 121–145 | 117–149 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 128 | 0% | 119–135 | 117–136 | 115–139 | 112–142 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 117 | 0% | 109–127 | 107–130 | 105–133 | 103–137 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 112 | 0% | 105–120 | 104–121 | 101–124 | 98–127 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 111 | 0% | 103–118 | 101–121 | 100–122 | 96–125 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 90 | 0% | 83–97 | 82–99 | 80–100 | 77–104 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 188 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 189 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 190 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 191 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 192 | 2% | 96% | |
| 193 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 194 | 2% | 93% | |
| 195 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 196 | 2% | 90% | |
| 197 | 2% | 87% | |
| 198 | 5% | 85% | |
| 199 | 5% | 80% | |
| 200 | 4% | 75% | |
| 201 | 5% | 71% | Last Result |
| 202 | 4% | 66% | |
| 203 | 11% | 62% | Median |
| 204 | 7% | 51% | |
| 205 | 4% | 44% | |
| 206 | 7% | 40% | |
| 207 | 4% | 33% | |
| 208 | 4% | 28% | |
| 209 | 5% | 24% | |
| 210 | 4% | 19% | |
| 211 | 4% | 15% | |
| 212 | 2% | 11% | |
| 213 | 3% | 9% | |
| 214 | 2% | 6% | |
| 215 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 216 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 217 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 218 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 219 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 220 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 221 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 223 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 224 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 225 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 226 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 181 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 187 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 188 | 0.8% | 98.5% | |
| 189 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 190 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 191 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 192 | 4% | 94% | |
| 193 | 3% | 89% | |
| 194 | 4% | 87% | |
| 195 | 3% | 83% | Last Result |
| 196 | 4% | 80% | |
| 197 | 5% | 77% | Median |
| 198 | 9% | 72% | |
| 199 | 5% | 62% | |
| 200 | 6% | 57% | |
| 201 | 10% | 51% | |
| 202 | 5% | 41% | |
| 203 | 4% | 36% | |
| 204 | 4% | 32% | |
| 205 | 4% | 28% | |
| 206 | 5% | 24% | |
| 207 | 4% | 20% | |
| 208 | 3% | 15% | |
| 209 | 4% | 12% | |
| 210 | 2% | 8% | |
| 211 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 212 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 213 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 214 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 215 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 216 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 217 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 218 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 219 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 220 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 221 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 223 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 167 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 168 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 170 | 2% | 96% | Last Result |
| 171 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 172 | 3% | 93% | |
| 173 | 2% | 90% | |
| 174 | 3% | 87% | |
| 175 | 5% | 84% | Majority |
| 176 | 5% | 80% | |
| 177 | 3% | 75% | |
| 178 | 6% | 71% | |
| 179 | 5% | 66% | |
| 180 | 4% | 60% | Median |
| 181 | 8% | 56% | |
| 182 | 6% | 48% | |
| 183 | 7% | 42% | |
| 184 | 5% | 35% | |
| 185 | 4% | 30% | |
| 186 | 9% | 27% | |
| 187 | 4% | 18% | |
| 188 | 3% | 14% | |
| 189 | 3% | 12% | |
| 190 | 3% | 9% | |
| 191 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 192 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 193 | 2% | 4% | |
| 194 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 196 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 149 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 150 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 151 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 152 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 153 | 3% | 96% | |
| 154 | 5% | 93% | |
| 155 | 2% | 88% | |
| 156 | 4% | 86% | |
| 157 | 4% | 83% | |
| 158 | 8% | 79% | |
| 159 | 3% | 71% | Median |
| 160 | 4% | 68% | |
| 161 | 8% | 64% | |
| 162 | 6% | 56% | |
| 163 | 4% | 50% | |
| 164 | 5% | 46% | |
| 165 | 4% | 41% | |
| 166 | 6% | 37% | |
| 167 | 6% | 31% | Last Result |
| 168 | 3% | 26% | |
| 169 | 3% | 23% | |
| 170 | 5% | 19% | |
| 171 | 2% | 15% | |
| 172 | 4% | 13% | |
| 173 | 2% | 9% | |
| 174 | 2% | 7% | |
| 175 | 2% | 5% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 177 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 178 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 179 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 181 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 142 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 143 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 144 | 1.3% | 97% | Last Result |
| 145 | 2% | 96% | |
| 146 | 2% | 93% | |
| 147 | 2% | 91% | |
| 148 | 3% | 89% | |
| 149 | 3% | 86% | |
| 150 | 5% | 83% | |
| 151 | 6% | 79% | |
| 152 | 6% | 72% | Median |
| 153 | 4% | 66% | |
| 154 | 7% | 62% | |
| 155 | 9% | 55% | |
| 156 | 8% | 46% | |
| 157 | 3% | 38% | |
| 158 | 5% | 35% | |
| 159 | 4% | 30% | |
| 160 | 4% | 27% | |
| 161 | 4% | 23% | |
| 162 | 3% | 19% | |
| 163 | 3% | 16% | |
| 164 | 3% | 13% | |
| 165 | 3% | 10% | |
| 166 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 167 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 168 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 170 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 171 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 174 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 138 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 139 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 140 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 141 | 3% | 96% | |
| 142 | 2% | 93% | |
| 143 | 2% | 91% | |
| 144 | 3% | 88% | |
| 145 | 4% | 86% | |
| 146 | 4% | 81% | |
| 147 | 4% | 78% | |
| 148 | 4% | 74% | |
| 149 | 5% | 70% | |
| 150 | 6% | 65% | |
| 151 | 8% | 59% | |
| 152 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 153 | 4% | 45% | |
| 154 | 7% | 40% | |
| 155 | 7% | 33% | |
| 156 | 7% | 26% | |
| 157 | 3% | 19% | |
| 158 | 3% | 16% | |
| 159 | 3% | 13% | |
| 160 | 3% | 10% | |
| 161 | 2% | 7% | |
| 162 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 163 | 2% | 4% | |
| 164 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 165 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 135 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 136 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 137 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 138 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 139 | 2% | 94% | |
| 140 | 4% | 92% | |
| 141 | 3% | 88% | |
| 142 | 4% | 85% | |
| 143 | 5% | 80% | |
| 144 | 4% | 76% | |
| 145 | 4% | 72% | |
| 146 | 4% | 68% | |
| 147 | 5% | 64% | Median |
| 148 | 10% | 59% | |
| 149 | 6% | 49% | |
| 150 | 5% | 43% | |
| 151 | 9% | 38% | |
| 152 | 5% | 28% | |
| 153 | 4% | 23% | |
| 154 | 3% | 20% | Last Result |
| 155 | 4% | 17% | |
| 156 | 3% | 13% | |
| 157 | 4% | 11% | |
| 158 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 159 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 160 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 119 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 120 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 121 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 122 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 123 | 2% | 96% | |
| 124 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 125 | 2% | 92% | |
| 126 | 2% | 90% | |
| 127 | 3% | 88% | |
| 128 | 4% | 84% | |
| 129 | 4% | 80% | |
| 130 | 3% | 77% | |
| 131 | 8% | 74% | |
| 132 | 12% | 66% | Median |
| 133 | 4% | 53% | |
| 134 | 4% | 49% | |
| 135 | 10% | 44% | |
| 136 | 5% | 35% | |
| 137 | 4% | 29% | |
| 138 | 5% | 26% | |
| 139 | 6% | 21% | |
| 140 | 2% | 15% | |
| 141 | 5% | 13% | |
| 142 | 2% | 9% | |
| 143 | 2% | 7% | Last Result |
| 144 | 2% | 5% | |
| 145 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 146 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 147 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 115 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 116 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 117 | 2% | 96% | |
| 118 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 119 | 3% | 93% | |
| 120 | 4% | 90% | |
| 121 | 4% | 86% | |
| 122 | 4% | 82% | |
| 123 | 6% | 78% | |
| 124 | 4% | 72% | |
| 125 | 7% | 68% | |
| 126 | 4% | 62% | Median |
| 127 | 7% | 57% | |
| 128 | 12% | 51% | |
| 129 | 6% | 39% | |
| 130 | 6% | 33% | |
| 131 | 3% | 28% | |
| 132 | 6% | 24% | Last Result |
| 133 | 4% | 18% | |
| 134 | 2% | 14% | |
| 135 | 3% | 12% | |
| 136 | 5% | 9% | |
| 137 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 138 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 139 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 106 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 107 | 3% | 96% | |
| 108 | 2% | 94% | |
| 109 | 2% | 92% | |
| 110 | 4% | 90% | |
| 111 | 4% | 86% | |
| 112 | 4% | 82% | |
| 113 | 6% | 78% | |
| 114 | 4% | 71% | Median |
| 115 | 9% | 68% | |
| 116 | 8% | 59% | Last Result |
| 117 | 4% | 51% | |
| 118 | 5% | 48% | |
| 119 | 5% | 42% | |
| 120 | 4% | 38% | |
| 121 | 5% | 34% | |
| 122 | 4% | 29% | |
| 123 | 4% | 25% | |
| 124 | 3% | 21% | |
| 125 | 3% | 18% | |
| 126 | 3% | 15% | |
| 127 | 2% | 12% | |
| 128 | 2% | 10% | |
| 129 | 2% | 8% | |
| 130 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 131 | 2% | 5% | |
| 132 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 133 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 99 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 100 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 102 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 103 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 104 | 2% | 95% | |
| 105 | 4% | 93% | |
| 106 | 4% | 89% | |
| 107 | 4% | 85% | |
| 108 | 8% | 82% | |
| 109 | 4% | 74% | |
| 110 | 3% | 70% | |
| 111 | 8% | 67% | Median |
| 112 | 9% | 58% | |
| 113 | 6% | 49% | |
| 114 | 9% | 42% | |
| 115 | 5% | 33% | |
| 116 | 5% | 28% | |
| 117 | 3% | 23% | |
| 118 | 5% | 20% | |
| 119 | 4% | 15% | |
| 120 | 4% | 11% | |
| 121 | 2% | 7% | Last Result |
| 122 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 123 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 124 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 125 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 100 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 101 | 2% | 97% | |
| 102 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 103 | 4% | 94% | |
| 104 | 2% | 90% | |
| 105 | 4% | 87% | |
| 106 | 4% | 83% | |
| 107 | 5% | 79% | |
| 108 | 8% | 75% | |
| 109 | 6% | 66% | |
| 110 | 9% | 60% | Median |
| 111 | 5% | 51% | |
| 112 | 7% | 46% | |
| 113 | 4% | 39% | |
| 114 | 8% | 35% | |
| 115 | 5% | 27% | |
| 116 | 7% | 22% | |
| 117 | 3% | 16% | |
| 118 | 3% | 12% | |
| 119 | 2% | 10% | |
| 120 | 2% | 7% | |
| 121 | 2% | 5% | |
| 122 | 2% | 4% | |
| 123 | 0.9% | 2% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 125 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 81 | 2% | 97% | |
| 82 | 2% | 95% | |
| 83 | 3% | 93% | |
| 84 | 4% | 90% | |
| 85 | 5% | 86% | |
| 86 | 5% | 81% | |
| 87 | 9% | 76% | |
| 88 | 8% | 67% | |
| 89 | 7% | 59% | Median |
| 90 | 7% | 52% | |
| 91 | 7% | 45% | |
| 92 | 5% | 38% | |
| 93 | 9% | 33% | |
| 94 | 5% | 24% | |
| 95 | 5% | 19% | |
| 96 | 4% | 14% | |
| 97 | 2% | 10% | |
| 98 | 3% | 8% | |
| 99 | 2% | 5% | |
| 100 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKOP
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 8–11 July 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1009
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.05%