Opinion Poll by Sifo for Svenska Dagbladet, 13–15 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 29.9% | 28.6–31.3% | 28.3–31.7% | 28.0–32.0% | 27.3–32.7% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 19.5% | 18.3–20.6% | 18.0–21.0% | 17.8–21.3% | 17.2–21.8% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 17.6% | 16.5–18.7% | 16.2–19.1% | 16.0–19.3% | 15.5–19.9% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8–8.3% | 6.6–8.6% | 6.4–8.7% | 6.1–9.2% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5–6.9% | 5.3–7.1% | 5.2–7.3% | 4.9–7.7% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.2–6.6% | 5.1–6.8% | 4.9–7.0% | 4.6–7.4% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0–6.3% | 4.8–6.5% | 4.6–6.7% | 4.4–7.0% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9–6.2% | 4.7–6.4% | 4.5–6.6% | 4.3–6.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 106 | 102–111 | 101–113 | 100–114 | 98–116 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 69 | 66–73 | 64–75 | 63–76 | 62–78 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 63 | 59–67 | 58–68 | 57–69 | 55–71 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 27 | 24–29 | 24–30 | 23–31 | 22–33 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 22 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 19–26 | 17–27 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 21 | 19–24 | 18–24 | 18–25 | 16–26 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 20 | 18–22 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 16–25 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 20 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–23 | 15–25 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 99 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 100 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 101 | 3% | 96% | |
| 102 | 4% | 93% | |
| 103 | 10% | 89% | |
| 104 | 5% | 79% | |
| 105 | 10% | 74% | |
| 106 | 16% | 64% | Median |
| 107 | 6% | 48% | |
| 108 | 12% | 41% | |
| 109 | 7% | 29% | |
| 110 | 7% | 22% | |
| 111 | 7% | 15% | |
| 112 | 3% | 9% | |
| 113 | 3% | 6% | |
| 114 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 115 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 64 | 3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 4% | 95% | |
| 66 | 7% | 91% | |
| 67 | 9% | 84% | |
| 68 | 13% | 75% | |
| 69 | 14% | 62% | Median |
| 70 | 7% | 48% | Last Result |
| 71 | 14% | 41% | |
| 72 | 8% | 27% | |
| 73 | 10% | 19% | |
| 74 | 4% | 9% | |
| 75 | 2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 4% | 96% | |
| 59 | 6% | 92% | |
| 60 | 8% | 86% | |
| 61 | 10% | 78% | |
| 62 | 10% | 68% | Last Result |
| 63 | 15% | 59% | Median |
| 64 | 14% | 44% | |
| 65 | 12% | 30% | |
| 66 | 6% | 18% | |
| 67 | 6% | 12% | |
| 68 | 2% | 5% | |
| 69 | 2% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 23 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 24 | 7% | 95% | |
| 25 | 17% | 88% | |
| 26 | 19% | 71% | |
| 27 | 14% | 52% | Median |
| 28 | 17% | 38% | Last Result |
| 29 | 11% | 21% | |
| 30 | 5% | 10% | |
| 31 | 3% | 5% | |
| 32 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 19 | 4% | 98% | |
| 20 | 9% | 94% | |
| 21 | 22% | 85% | |
| 22 | 26% | 64% | Last Result, Median |
| 23 | 14% | 37% | |
| 24 | 9% | 23% | |
| 25 | 9% | 14% | |
| 26 | 4% | 5% | |
| 27 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 18 | 5% | 98% | |
| 19 | 10% | 92% | |
| 20 | 21% | 82% | |
| 21 | 19% | 61% | Median |
| 22 | 20% | 42% | |
| 23 | 12% | 22% | |
| 24 | 6% | 10% | |
| 25 | 3% | 4% | |
| 26 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 17 | 4% | 98% | |
| 18 | 12% | 93% | |
| 19 | 21% | 81% | |
| 20 | 22% | 60% | Median |
| 21 | 18% | 38% | |
| 22 | 10% | 20% | |
| 23 | 6% | 10% | |
| 24 | 3% | 4% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 17 | 10% | 97% | |
| 18 | 11% | 88% | |
| 19 | 26% | 77% | |
| 20 | 15% | 51% | Last Result, Median |
| 21 | 23% | 36% | |
| 22 | 6% | 13% | |
| 23 | 5% | 6% | |
| 24 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 197 | 100% | 193–203 | 191–204 | 190–205 | 187–208 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 194 | 100% | 189–199 | 188–201 | 187–202 | 184–204 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 176 | 66% | 171–181 | 170–183 | 168–184 | 166–187 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 168 | 4% | 162–172 | 161–174 | 160–175 | 157–178 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 155 | 0% | 150–160 | 148–161 | 147–162 | 145–165 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 153 | 0% | 149–159 | 148–160 | 146–162 | 143–164 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 133 | 0% | 129–138 | 128–140 | 126–141 | 124–144 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 143 | 133 | 0% | 128–137 | 126–139 | 125–140 | 122–142 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 133 | 0% | 128–137 | 126–139 | 125–140 | 123–142 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 127 | 0% | 122–132 | 121–133 | 120–134 | 117–137 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet | 123 | 113 | 0% | 108–118 | 107–119 | 106–120 | 103–122 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 110 | 0% | 106–115 | 104–116 | 103–118 | 101–120 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 91 | 0% | 86–95 | 85–96 | 84–98 | 82–100 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 188 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 189 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 190 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 191 | 3% | 96% | |
| 192 | 3% | 93% | |
| 193 | 6% | 90% | |
| 194 | 5% | 84% | |
| 195 | 8% | 79% | |
| 196 | 13% | 71% | Median |
| 197 | 12% | 59% | |
| 198 | 13% | 47% | |
| 199 | 7% | 34% | |
| 200 | 7% | 27% | |
| 201 | 7% | 21% | Last Result |
| 202 | 4% | 14% | |
| 203 | 4% | 10% | |
| 204 | 3% | 6% | |
| 205 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 206 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 207 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 208 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 185 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 186 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 187 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 188 | 3% | 96% | |
| 189 | 5% | 94% | |
| 190 | 5% | 89% | |
| 191 | 5% | 84% | |
| 192 | 13% | 79% | |
| 193 | 10% | 66% | |
| 194 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 195 | 8% | 46% | Last Result |
| 196 | 11% | 38% | |
| 197 | 5% | 27% | |
| 198 | 8% | 22% | |
| 199 | 5% | 14% | |
| 200 | 3% | 9% | |
| 201 | 2% | 6% | |
| 202 | 2% | 4% | |
| 203 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 204 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 205 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 167 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 168 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 169 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 170 | 2% | 96% | Last Result |
| 171 | 4% | 94% | |
| 172 | 5% | 90% | |
| 173 | 6% | 85% | |
| 174 | 13% | 79% | |
| 175 | 7% | 66% | Median, Majority |
| 176 | 13% | 59% | |
| 177 | 13% | 46% | |
| 178 | 8% | 33% | |
| 179 | 5% | 25% | |
| 180 | 5% | 20% | |
| 181 | 6% | 15% | |
| 182 | 3% | 9% | |
| 183 | 2% | 6% | |
| 184 | 2% | 4% | |
| 185 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 186 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 158 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 159 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 160 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 161 | 3% | 97% | |
| 162 | 5% | 94% | |
| 163 | 5% | 90% | |
| 164 | 6% | 84% | |
| 165 | 9% | 78% | |
| 166 | 8% | 70% | |
| 167 | 7% | 62% | Last Result, Median |
| 168 | 18% | 54% | |
| 169 | 9% | 36% | |
| 170 | 4% | 27% | |
| 171 | 9% | 23% | |
| 172 | 5% | 14% | |
| 173 | 3% | 9% | |
| 174 | 2% | 7% | |
| 175 | 2% | 4% | Majority |
| 176 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 177 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 145 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 146 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 147 | 2% | 98% | |
| 148 | 2% | 96% | |
| 149 | 3% | 94% | |
| 150 | 5% | 91% | |
| 151 | 8% | 86% | |
| 152 | 5% | 78% | |
| 153 | 11% | 73% | |
| 154 | 8% | 62% | Last Result, Median |
| 155 | 10% | 54% | |
| 156 | 10% | 44% | |
| 157 | 13% | 34% | |
| 158 | 5% | 21% | |
| 159 | 5% | 16% | |
| 160 | 5% | 11% | |
| 161 | 3% | 6% | |
| 162 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 163 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 144 | 0.4% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 146 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 147 | 2% | 97% | |
| 148 | 5% | 95% | |
| 149 | 5% | 90% | |
| 150 | 5% | 85% | |
| 151 | 13% | 80% | |
| 152 | 7% | 67% | |
| 153 | 14% | 60% | Median |
| 154 | 8% | 45% | |
| 155 | 8% | 37% | |
| 156 | 7% | 29% | |
| 157 | 6% | 22% | |
| 158 | 4% | 16% | |
| 159 | 4% | 12% | |
| 160 | 3% | 8% | |
| 161 | 2% | 5% | |
| 162 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 163 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 164 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 125 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 126 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 127 | 2% | 97% | |
| 128 | 5% | 95% | Last Result |
| 129 | 7% | 90% | |
| 130 | 5% | 84% | |
| 131 | 7% | 79% | |
| 132 | 14% | 72% | |
| 133 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 134 | 12% | 48% | |
| 135 | 5% | 36% | |
| 136 | 8% | 31% | |
| 137 | 8% | 23% | |
| 138 | 5% | 15% | |
| 139 | 3% | 9% | |
| 140 | 2% | 6% | |
| 141 | 2% | 4% | |
| 142 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 123 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 124 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 125 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 126 | 3% | 97% | |
| 127 | 4% | 94% | |
| 128 | 4% | 90% | |
| 129 | 6% | 86% | |
| 130 | 10% | 80% | |
| 131 | 11% | 70% | |
| 132 | 7% | 58% | Median |
| 133 | 11% | 52% | |
| 134 | 11% | 41% | |
| 135 | 7% | 30% | |
| 136 | 5% | 23% | |
| 137 | 9% | 18% | |
| 138 | 4% | 10% | |
| 139 | 2% | 6% | |
| 140 | 2% | 4% | |
| 141 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 123 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 124 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 125 | 2% | 98% | |
| 126 | 3% | 96% | |
| 127 | 2% | 93% | |
| 128 | 5% | 91% | |
| 129 | 7% | 85% | |
| 130 | 6% | 78% | |
| 131 | 12% | 72% | |
| 132 | 7% | 60% | Last Result, Median |
| 133 | 13% | 52% | |
| 134 | 8% | 39% | |
| 135 | 10% | 32% | |
| 136 | 9% | 21% | |
| 137 | 3% | 12% | |
| 138 | 4% | 9% | |
| 139 | 2% | 5% | |
| 140 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 141 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 119 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 120 | 2% | 98% | |
| 121 | 3% | 95% | |
| 122 | 7% | 93% | |
| 123 | 7% | 86% | |
| 124 | 9% | 79% | |
| 125 | 7% | 70% | |
| 126 | 11% | 63% | Median |
| 127 | 11% | 52% | |
| 128 | 9% | 41% | |
| 129 | 11% | 32% | |
| 130 | 6% | 21% | |
| 131 | 4% | 15% | |
| 132 | 4% | 11% | |
| 133 | 3% | 7% | |
| 134 | 2% | 4% | |
| 135 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 106 | 2% | 98% | |
| 107 | 3% | 96% | |
| 108 | 5% | 93% | |
| 109 | 6% | 87% | |
| 110 | 5% | 81% | |
| 111 | 8% | 76% | |
| 112 | 15% | 68% | Median |
| 113 | 12% | 53% | |
| 114 | 9% | 41% | |
| 115 | 7% | 32% | |
| 116 | 7% | 25% | |
| 117 | 7% | 18% | |
| 118 | 5% | 11% | |
| 119 | 3% | 6% | |
| 120 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 121 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 122 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 102 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 104 | 3% | 97% | |
| 105 | 2% | 94% | |
| 106 | 5% | 91% | |
| 107 | 7% | 86% | |
| 108 | 9% | 79% | |
| 109 | 14% | 70% | |
| 110 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 111 | 9% | 49% | |
| 112 | 12% | 40% | |
| 113 | 6% | 27% | |
| 114 | 8% | 21% | |
| 115 | 5% | 14% | |
| 116 | 5% | 9% | |
| 117 | 2% | 4% | |
| 118 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 119 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 84 | 2% | 98% | |
| 85 | 2% | 96% | |
| 86 | 5% | 94% | |
| 87 | 8% | 89% | |
| 88 | 6% | 80% | |
| 89 | 8% | 74% | |
| 90 | 13% | 66% | Median |
| 91 | 13% | 53% | |
| 92 | 11% | 40% | |
| 93 | 8% | 29% | |
| 94 | 7% | 21% | |
| 95 | 6% | 14% | |
| 96 | 3% | 8% | |
| 97 | 2% | 5% | |
| 98 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): Svenska Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 13–15 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1974
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.76%