Opinion Poll by Sifo for Svenska Dagbladet, 15–17 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 31.2% | 29.9–32.5% | 29.6–32.9% | 29.2–33.2% | 28.7–33.9% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 18.2% | 17.2–19.3% | 16.9–19.6% | 16.6–19.9% | 16.1–20.5% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 17.1% | 16.1–18.2% | 15.8–18.5% | 15.6–18.8% | 15.1–19.3% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3–8.8% | 7.1–9.1% | 6.9–9.3% | 6.6–9.7% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.8% | 5.2–7.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.8–7.5% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3–6.6% | 5.1–6.8% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.7–7.3% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0–6.3% | 4.8–6.5% | 4.7–6.7% | 4.4–7.0% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9–6.2% | 4.7–6.4% | 4.6–6.6% | 4.3–6.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 112 | 107–116 | 106–117 | 105–119 | 102–121 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 65 | 61–69 | 60–70 | 59–71 | 57–73 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 61 | 57–65 | 57–66 | 55–67 | 54–69 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 29 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 25–33 | 24–35 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 21 | 19–24 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 21 | 19–24 | 18–24 | 18–25 | 17–26 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 20 | 18–22 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 16–25 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 20 | 18–22 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 16–25 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 104 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 105 | 3% | 98% | |
| 106 | 4% | 95% | |
| 107 | 8% | 92% | |
| 108 | 7% | 84% | |
| 109 | 8% | 77% | |
| 110 | 8% | 69% | |
| 111 | 9% | 61% | |
| 112 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 113 | 13% | 40% | |
| 114 | 11% | 27% | |
| 115 | 5% | 16% | |
| 116 | 3% | 10% | |
| 117 | 3% | 7% | |
| 118 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 119 | 2% | 3% | |
| 120 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 60 | 2% | 97% | |
| 61 | 6% | 94% | |
| 62 | 6% | 88% | |
| 63 | 9% | 82% | |
| 64 | 11% | 73% | |
| 65 | 14% | 62% | Median |
| 66 | 13% | 48% | |
| 67 | 15% | 35% | |
| 68 | 8% | 20% | |
| 69 | 5% | 12% | |
| 70 | 3% | 6% | Last Result |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 56 | 2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 7% | 95% | |
| 58 | 7% | 89% | |
| 59 | 11% | 82% | |
| 60 | 17% | 71% | |
| 61 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 62 | 12% | 43% | Last Result |
| 63 | 11% | 31% | |
| 64 | 7% | 19% | |
| 65 | 5% | 12% | |
| 66 | 4% | 7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 3% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 6% | 98.5% | |
| 26 | 8% | 93% | |
| 27 | 15% | 85% | |
| 28 | 11% | 70% | Last Result |
| 29 | 20% | 59% | Median |
| 30 | 13% | 40% | |
| 31 | 19% | 26% | |
| 32 | 3% | 7% | |
| 33 | 2% | 4% | |
| 34 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 19 | 10% | 96% | |
| 20 | 11% | 86% | |
| 21 | 29% | 75% | Median |
| 22 | 17% | 47% | |
| 23 | 15% | 30% | |
| 24 | 8% | 15% | |
| 25 | 3% | 6% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 5% | 98% | |
| 19 | 11% | 93% | |
| 20 | 20% | 82% | Last Result |
| 21 | 24% | 62% | Median |
| 22 | 17% | 39% | |
| 23 | 12% | 22% | |
| 24 | 7% | 10% | |
| 25 | 2% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 17 | 4% | 98% | |
| 18 | 9% | 94% | |
| 19 | 21% | 85% | |
| 20 | 25% | 65% | Median |
| 21 | 19% | 39% | |
| 22 | 11% | 21% | Last Result |
| 23 | 6% | 9% | |
| 24 | 2% | 4% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 17 | 7% | 98% | |
| 18 | 17% | 90% | |
| 19 | 22% | 74% | |
| 20 | 19% | 52% | Median |
| 21 | 15% | 33% | |
| 22 | 12% | 18% | |
| 23 | 5% | 7% | |
| 24 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 203 | 100% | 197–208 | 196–209 | 195–210 | 193–213 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 198 | 100% | 193–203 | 192–204 | 191–205 | 188–208 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 177 | 69% | 172–181 | 170–183 | 169–184 | 167–186 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 174 | 42% | 169–179 | 168–180 | 167–182 | 164–184 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 160 | 0% | 155–164 | 154–166 | 152–167 | 150–170 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 146 | 0% | 141–152 | 140–153 | 139–154 | 136–156 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 141 | 0% | 135–144 | 134–146 | 133–148 | 130–150 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 131 | 0% | 126–136 | 125–137 | 124–138 | 121–141 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 143 | 128 | 0% | 123–133 | 122–134 | 121–135 | 119–138 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 126 | 0% | 121–131 | 120–132 | 119–133 | 117–136 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 108 | 0% | 104–112 | 102–114 | 101–115 | 99–117 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 107 | 0% | 103–111 | 101–113 | 100–114 | 98–116 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 87 | 0% | 82–91 | 81–92 | 80–93 | 78–95 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 192 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 193 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 194 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 195 | 1.3% | 98.5% | Last Result |
| 196 | 3% | 97% | |
| 197 | 4% | 94% | |
| 198 | 3% | 90% | |
| 199 | 8% | 87% | |
| 200 | 8% | 79% | |
| 201 | 10% | 71% | |
| 202 | 8% | 62% | |
| 203 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 204 | 13% | 41% | |
| 205 | 7% | 28% | |
| 206 | 7% | 21% | |
| 207 | 4% | 14% | |
| 208 | 4% | 10% | |
| 209 | 3% | 6% | |
| 210 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 211 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 212 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 213 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 189 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 190 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 191 | 2% | 98% | |
| 192 | 3% | 96% | |
| 193 | 5% | 93% | |
| 194 | 4% | 88% | |
| 195 | 9% | 84% | |
| 196 | 7% | 75% | |
| 197 | 9% | 68% | |
| 198 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 199 | 10% | 47% | |
| 200 | 11% | 37% | |
| 201 | 8% | 26% | Last Result |
| 202 | 5% | 17% | |
| 203 | 6% | 13% | |
| 204 | 3% | 7% | |
| 205 | 2% | 5% | |
| 206 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 207 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 208 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 167 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 168 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 169 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 170 | 3% | 97% | Last Result |
| 171 | 4% | 94% | |
| 172 | 5% | 91% | |
| 173 | 7% | 86% | |
| 174 | 10% | 79% | |
| 175 | 8% | 69% | Majority |
| 176 | 8% | 61% | |
| 177 | 11% | 53% | Median |
| 178 | 11% | 42% | |
| 179 | 10% | 32% | |
| 180 | 9% | 22% | |
| 181 | 5% | 13% | |
| 182 | 3% | 8% | |
| 183 | 2% | 6% | |
| 184 | 2% | 4% | |
| 185 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 186 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 165 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 166 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 167 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 168 | 6% | 96% | |
| 169 | 3% | 90% | |
| 170 | 9% | 87% | |
| 171 | 5% | 78% | |
| 172 | 10% | 73% | |
| 173 | 12% | 62% | |
| 174 | 8% | 50% | Median |
| 175 | 10% | 42% | Majority |
| 176 | 8% | 32% | |
| 177 | 8% | 24% | |
| 178 | 4% | 17% | |
| 179 | 5% | 12% | |
| 180 | 3% | 7% | |
| 181 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 182 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 183 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 184 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 152 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 153 | 2% | 97% | |
| 154 | 5% | 95% | |
| 155 | 3% | 91% | |
| 156 | 7% | 88% | |
| 157 | 9% | 81% | |
| 158 | 5% | 72% | |
| 159 | 13% | 67% | |
| 160 | 10% | 54% | |
| 161 | 5% | 44% | Median |
| 162 | 14% | 39% | |
| 163 | 11% | 26% | |
| 164 | 5% | 15% | |
| 165 | 3% | 10% | |
| 166 | 3% | 7% | |
| 167 | 2% | 4% | |
| 168 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 169 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 138 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 139 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 140 | 3% | 97% | |
| 141 | 4% | 94% | |
| 142 | 4% | 90% | |
| 143 | 7% | 86% | |
| 144 | 7% | 79% | |
| 145 | 13% | 72% | |
| 146 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 147 | 8% | 46% | |
| 148 | 10% | 38% | |
| 149 | 8% | 29% | |
| 150 | 8% | 21% | |
| 151 | 3% | 13% | |
| 152 | 4% | 10% | |
| 153 | 3% | 6% | |
| 154 | 1.3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 157 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 132 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 133 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 134 | 3% | 97% | |
| 135 | 7% | 93% | |
| 136 | 6% | 87% | |
| 137 | 5% | 81% | |
| 138 | 9% | 76% | |
| 139 | 6% | 67% | |
| 140 | 9% | 60% | |
| 141 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 142 | 12% | 40% | |
| 143 | 12% | 28% | |
| 144 | 7% | 16% | |
| 145 | 3% | 9% | |
| 146 | 2% | 7% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 148 | 2% | 3% | |
| 149 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 123 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 124 | 2% | 98% | |
| 125 | 2% | 96% | |
| 126 | 5% | 94% | |
| 127 | 6% | 89% | |
| 128 | 7% | 83% | |
| 129 | 9% | 76% | |
| 130 | 10% | 66% | |
| 131 | 10% | 56% | |
| 132 | 12% | 46% | Median |
| 133 | 7% | 34% | |
| 134 | 9% | 27% | |
| 135 | 8% | 18% | |
| 136 | 3% | 11% | |
| 137 | 4% | 8% | |
| 138 | 2% | 4% | |
| 139 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 120 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 121 | 2% | 98% | |
| 122 | 2% | 96% | |
| 123 | 4% | 94% | |
| 124 | 5% | 90% | |
| 125 | 8% | 85% | |
| 126 | 7% | 77% | |
| 127 | 14% | 70% | Median |
| 128 | 11% | 55% | |
| 129 | 13% | 44% | |
| 130 | 8% | 31% | |
| 131 | 7% | 24% | |
| 132 | 7% | 17% | |
| 133 | 3% | 10% | |
| 134 | 3% | 7% | |
| 135 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 136 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 137 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 118 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 119 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 120 | 2% | 97% | |
| 121 | 5% | 95% | |
| 122 | 5% | 89% | |
| 123 | 6% | 85% | |
| 124 | 8% | 78% | |
| 125 | 15% | 70% | |
| 126 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 127 | 9% | 46% | |
| 128 | 10% | 37% | |
| 129 | 9% | 28% | |
| 130 | 8% | 19% | |
| 131 | 3% | 11% | |
| 132 | 4% | 8% | Last Result |
| 133 | 2% | 4% | |
| 134 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 136 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 100 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 101 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 102 | 3% | 97% | |
| 103 | 3% | 93% | |
| 104 | 7% | 90% | |
| 105 | 8% | 83% | |
| 106 | 9% | 76% | |
| 107 | 11% | 67% | Median |
| 108 | 14% | 56% | |
| 109 | 11% | 42% | |
| 110 | 10% | 31% | |
| 111 | 8% | 21% | |
| 112 | 5% | 13% | |
| 113 | 3% | 8% | |
| 114 | 3% | 6% | |
| 115 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 99 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 100 | 2% | 98% | |
| 101 | 3% | 96% | |
| 102 | 3% | 93% | |
| 103 | 5% | 90% | |
| 104 | 8% | 85% | |
| 105 | 8% | 77% | |
| 106 | 13% | 69% | Median |
| 107 | 14% | 56% | |
| 108 | 11% | 42% | |
| 109 | 7% | 31% | |
| 110 | 10% | 24% | |
| 111 | 4% | 14% | |
| 112 | 5% | 10% | |
| 113 | 3% | 5% | |
| 114 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 115 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 80 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 81 | 4% | 97% | |
| 82 | 4% | 94% | |
| 83 | 6% | 90% | |
| 84 | 7% | 84% | |
| 85 | 9% | 77% | |
| 86 | 12% | 68% | Median |
| 87 | 15% | 56% | |
| 88 | 15% | 41% | |
| 89 | 7% | 26% | |
| 90 | 6% | 19% | |
| 91 | 5% | 13% | |
| 92 | 4% | 8% | |
| 93 | 2% | 4% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): Svenska Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 15–17 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 2109
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.79%