Opinion Poll by Sifo for Svenska Dagbladet, 16–18 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 32.7% | 31.3–34.2% | 30.9–34.6% | 30.5–35.0% | 29.8–35.7% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 17.6% | 16.5–18.9% | 16.1–19.2% | 15.9–19.5% | 15.3–20.1% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 16.1% | 15.0–17.3% | 14.7–17.7% | 14.4–18.0% | 13.9–18.5% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.4–9.8% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.4–7.0% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.1–7.4% | 4.8–7.8% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.1% | 5.0–7.3% | 4.6–7.7% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9–6.4% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.6–6.8% | 4.3–7.2% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6–6.1% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.5% | 4.0–6.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 117 | 111–122 | 110–124 | 109–125 | 107–127 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 63 | 59–68 | 58–68 | 56–69 | 55–72 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 58 | 54–62 | 52–63 | 52–64 | 49–66 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 28 | 26–32 | 25–33 | 24–34 | 23–35 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 22 | 19–25 | 19–26 | 18–26 | 17–28 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 22 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 20 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 16–24 | 15–26 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 19 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 14–24 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 107 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 108 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 109 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 110 | 3% | 97% | |
| 111 | 4% | 94% | |
| 112 | 4% | 90% | |
| 113 | 8% | 86% | |
| 114 | 7% | 78% | |
| 115 | 7% | 71% | |
| 116 | 13% | 63% | |
| 117 | 11% | 50% | Median |
| 118 | 7% | 40% | |
| 119 | 8% | 33% | |
| 120 | 8% | 25% | |
| 121 | 5% | 17% | |
| 122 | 3% | 13% | |
| 123 | 4% | 10% | |
| 124 | 2% | 6% | |
| 125 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 126 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 127 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 4% | 95% | |
| 59 | 7% | 91% | |
| 60 | 7% | 84% | |
| 61 | 13% | 77% | |
| 62 | 11% | 64% | |
| 63 | 11% | 53% | Median |
| 64 | 9% | 42% | |
| 65 | 12% | 33% | |
| 66 | 6% | 21% | |
| 67 | 4% | 14% | |
| 68 | 5% | 10% | |
| 69 | 2% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 2% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 52 | 3% | 98% | |
| 53 | 4% | 95% | |
| 54 | 9% | 91% | |
| 55 | 9% | 81% | |
| 56 | 8% | 72% | |
| 57 | 10% | 64% | |
| 58 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 59 | 18% | 45% | |
| 60 | 9% | 26% | |
| 61 | 6% | 17% | |
| 62 | 4% | 11% | Last Result |
| 63 | 4% | 7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 4% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 25 | 6% | 96% | |
| 26 | 9% | 90% | |
| 27 | 13% | 82% | |
| 28 | 21% | 69% | Last Result, Median |
| 29 | 13% | 48% | |
| 30 | 14% | 35% | |
| 31 | 8% | 21% | |
| 32 | 6% | 13% | |
| 33 | 4% | 6% | |
| 34 | 2% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 19 | 5% | 95% | |
| 20 | 14% | 90% | |
| 21 | 17% | 76% | |
| 22 | 14% | 59% | Median |
| 23 | 21% | 45% | |
| 24 | 10% | 23% | |
| 25 | 8% | 13% | |
| 26 | 3% | 5% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 6% | 98% | |
| 19 | 8% | 92% | |
| 20 | 12% | 83% | |
| 21 | 12% | 72% | |
| 22 | 16% | 60% | Last Result, Median |
| 23 | 20% | 44% | |
| 24 | 15% | 23% | |
| 25 | 5% | 8% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 17 | 6% | 97% | |
| 18 | 12% | 91% | |
| 19 | 16% | 79% | |
| 20 | 21% | 62% | Last Result, Median |
| 21 | 17% | 41% | |
| 22 | 12% | 25% | |
| 23 | 7% | 13% | |
| 24 | 4% | 6% | |
| 25 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 6% | 97% | Last Result |
| 17 | 11% | 91% | |
| 18 | 19% | 80% | |
| 19 | 24% | 61% | Median |
| 20 | 14% | 37% | |
| 21 | 12% | 23% | |
| 22 | 6% | 10% | |
| 23 | 3% | 4% | |
| 24 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 206 | 100% | 201–212 | 199–214 | 198–215 | 195–217 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 202 | 100% | 196–207 | 195–209 | 193–210 | 191–214 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 179 | 89% | 174–185 | 172–187 | 171–189 | 169–191 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 178 | 79% | 173–184 | 171–186 | 169–187 | 167–189 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 164 | 1.1% | 159–170 | 157–172 | 156–173 | 153–176 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 145 | 0% | 140–151 | 139–152 | 137–154 | 134–157 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 143 | 0% | 137–148 | 135–150 | 134–151 | 132–154 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 135 | 0% | 131–141 | 129–143 | 127–144 | 124–147 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 127 | 0% | 121–132 | 120–134 | 118–135 | 116–138 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 120 | 0% | 115–126 | 114–128 | 113–128 | 110–132 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 107 | 0% | 102–112 | 100–113 | 99–114 | 96–117 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 105 | 0% | 100–110 | 99–112 | 97–113 | 95–116 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 85 | 0% | 80–90 | 79–91 | 78–92 | 75–95 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 195 | 0.3% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 196 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 197 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 198 | 2% | 98% | |
| 199 | 2% | 96% | |
| 200 | 2% | 95% | |
| 201 | 6% | 93% | |
| 202 | 3% | 86% | |
| 203 | 6% | 83% | |
| 204 | 6% | 78% | |
| 205 | 8% | 71% | |
| 206 | 15% | 63% | Median |
| 207 | 9% | 49% | |
| 208 | 6% | 39% | |
| 209 | 8% | 33% | |
| 210 | 6% | 25% | |
| 211 | 7% | 19% | |
| 212 | 4% | 12% | |
| 213 | 3% | 8% | |
| 214 | 2% | 5% | |
| 215 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 216 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 217 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 218 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 219 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 220 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188 | 0% | 100% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 191 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 192 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 193 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 194 | 2% | 97% | |
| 195 | 3% | 95% | |
| 196 | 2% | 92% | |
| 197 | 6% | 90% | |
| 198 | 6% | 84% | |
| 199 | 9% | 78% | |
| 200 | 10% | 69% | |
| 201 | 9% | 59% | Last Result |
| 202 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 203 | 6% | 41% | |
| 204 | 8% | 35% | |
| 205 | 9% | 28% | |
| 206 | 6% | 19% | |
| 207 | 3% | 12% | |
| 208 | 3% | 9% | |
| 209 | 3% | 7% | |
| 210 | 2% | 4% | |
| 211 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 212 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 213 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 214 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 215 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 216 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 166 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 170 | 0.6% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 171 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 172 | 2% | 97% | |
| 173 | 2% | 95% | |
| 174 | 3% | 92% | |
| 175 | 5% | 89% | Majority |
| 176 | 8% | 84% | |
| 177 | 12% | 77% | |
| 178 | 6% | 65% | |
| 179 | 10% | 59% | |
| 180 | 7% | 49% | Median |
| 181 | 10% | 42% | |
| 182 | 7% | 32% | |
| 183 | 5% | 25% | |
| 184 | 6% | 20% | |
| 185 | 4% | 14% | |
| 186 | 3% | 10% | |
| 187 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 188 | 2% | 5% | |
| 189 | 2% | 3% | |
| 190 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 169 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 170 | 2% | 97% | |
| 171 | 2% | 95% | |
| 172 | 3% | 93% | |
| 173 | 6% | 90% | |
| 174 | 5% | 84% | |
| 175 | 6% | 79% | Majority |
| 176 | 7% | 73% | |
| 177 | 12% | 66% | |
| 178 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 179 | 7% | 43% | |
| 180 | 9% | 36% | |
| 181 | 5% | 26% | |
| 182 | 7% | 22% | |
| 183 | 4% | 15% | |
| 184 | 3% | 10% | |
| 185 | 2% | 7% | |
| 186 | 2% | 5% | |
| 187 | 2% | 3% | |
| 188 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 189 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 153 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 154 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 155 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 156 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 157 | 2% | 97% | |
| 158 | 3% | 94% | |
| 159 | 3% | 91% | |
| 160 | 8% | 88% | |
| 161 | 6% | 80% | |
| 162 | 7% | 75% | |
| 163 | 11% | 68% | |
| 164 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 165 | 10% | 48% | |
| 166 | 6% | 37% | |
| 167 | 8% | 31% | |
| 168 | 6% | 24% | |
| 169 | 5% | 17% | |
| 170 | 3% | 12% | |
| 171 | 4% | 9% | |
| 172 | 2% | 5% | |
| 173 | 2% | 3% | |
| 174 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 175 | 0.6% | 1.1% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 136 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 137 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 138 | 2% | 97% | |
| 139 | 2% | 95% | |
| 140 | 6% | 93% | |
| 141 | 5% | 87% | |
| 142 | 8% | 82% | |
| 143 | 7% | 75% | |
| 144 | 11% | 67% | |
| 145 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 146 | 7% | 47% | |
| 147 | 10% | 40% | |
| 148 | 6% | 30% | |
| 149 | 8% | 24% | |
| 150 | 5% | 17% | |
| 151 | 4% | 12% | |
| 152 | 3% | 8% | |
| 153 | 2% | 5% | |
| 154 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 155 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 133 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 134 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 135 | 2% | 97% | |
| 136 | 3% | 95% | |
| 137 | 4% | 92% | |
| 138 | 7% | 88% | |
| 139 | 6% | 81% | |
| 140 | 8% | 75% | |
| 141 | 6% | 67% | |
| 142 | 9% | 61% | |
| 143 | 15% | 51% | Median |
| 144 | 8% | 37% | |
| 145 | 6% | 29% | |
| 146 | 6% | 22% | |
| 147 | 3% | 17% | |
| 148 | 6% | 14% | |
| 149 | 2% | 7% | |
| 150 | 2% | 5% | |
| 151 | 2% | 3% | |
| 152 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 126 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 127 | 1.1% | 98.5% | |
| 128 | 2% | 97% | |
| 129 | 3% | 96% | |
| 130 | 2% | 93% | |
| 131 | 7% | 91% | |
| 132 | 6% | 84% | |
| 133 | 6% | 78% | |
| 134 | 10% | 71% | |
| 135 | 13% | 61% | |
| 136 | 6% | 48% | Median |
| 137 | 9% | 42% | |
| 138 | 8% | 34% | |
| 139 | 5% | 25% | |
| 140 | 6% | 20% | |
| 141 | 4% | 14% | |
| 142 | 3% | 10% | |
| 143 | 2% | 6% | |
| 144 | 2% | 4% | |
| 145 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 147 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 117 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 118 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 119 | 2% | 97% | |
| 120 | 2% | 96% | |
| 121 | 4% | 94% | |
| 122 | 4% | 90% | |
| 123 | 5% | 85% | |
| 124 | 8% | 80% | |
| 125 | 7% | 72% | |
| 126 | 9% | 65% | |
| 127 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 128 | 7% | 43% | |
| 129 | 7% | 36% | |
| 130 | 10% | 29% | |
| 131 | 6% | 19% | |
| 132 | 5% | 14% | |
| 133 | 3% | 9% | |
| 134 | 3% | 6% | |
| 135 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 136 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 137 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 112 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 113 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 114 | 2% | 96% | |
| 115 | 7% | 94% | |
| 116 | 4% | 87% | |
| 117 | 5% | 84% | |
| 118 | 7% | 78% | |
| 119 | 11% | 71% | |
| 120 | 14% | 61% | |
| 121 | 8% | 47% | Median |
| 122 | 7% | 39% | |
| 123 | 8% | 32% | |
| 124 | 8% | 23% | |
| 125 | 2% | 15% | |
| 126 | 4% | 13% | |
| 127 | 3% | 9% | |
| 128 | 3% | 6% | |
| 129 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 131 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 132 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 99 | 2% | 98% | |
| 100 | 2% | 96% | |
| 101 | 4% | 94% | |
| 102 | 6% | 90% | |
| 103 | 5% | 84% | |
| 104 | 9% | 80% | |
| 105 | 7% | 71% | |
| 106 | 7% | 64% | |
| 107 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 108 | 6% | 41% | |
| 109 | 10% | 35% | |
| 110 | 8% | 25% | |
| 111 | 5% | 17% | |
| 112 | 5% | 13% | |
| 113 | 2% | 7% | |
| 114 | 3% | 5% | |
| 115 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 96 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 97 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 98 | 2% | 97% | |
| 99 | 3% | 96% | |
| 100 | 5% | 92% | |
| 101 | 6% | 87% | |
| 102 | 6% | 81% | |
| 103 | 6% | 75% | |
| 104 | 15% | 69% | |
| 105 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 106 | 11% | 45% | |
| 107 | 6% | 34% | |
| 108 | 9% | 28% | |
| 109 | 6% | 20% | |
| 110 | 4% | 14% | |
| 111 | 4% | 10% | |
| 112 | 2% | 5% | |
| 113 | 2% | 4% | |
| 114 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 78 | 2% | 98% | |
| 79 | 4% | 96% | |
| 80 | 4% | 93% | |
| 81 | 5% | 88% | |
| 82 | 9% | 83% | |
| 83 | 8% | 74% | |
| 84 | 13% | 66% | |
| 85 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 86 | 10% | 43% | |
| 87 | 8% | 33% | |
| 88 | 7% | 25% | |
| 89 | 7% | 18% | |
| 90 | 3% | 11% | |
| 91 | 3% | 7% | |
| 92 | 2% | 4% | |
| 93 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): Svenska Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 16–18 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1681
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.25%