Opinion Poll by Sifo for Svenska Dagbladet, 17–19 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 32.2% | 30.8–33.7% | 30.4–34.1% | 30.0–34.5% | 29.4–35.2% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 17.9% | 16.7–19.1% | 16.4–19.5% | 16.1–19.8% | 15.6–20.4% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 16.9% | 15.8–18.1% | 15.5–18.4% | 15.2–18.7% | 14.7–19.3% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0–8.7% | 6.8–8.9% | 6.6–9.1% | 6.2–9.6% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.0% | 5.0–7.2% | 4.6–7.6% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.0% | 5.0–7.2% | 4.6–7.6% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9–6.3% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.5–6.7% | 4.2–7.1% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5–5.9% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.2–6.3% | 3.9–6.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 115 | 110–120 | 109–122 | 108–123 | 105–126 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 64 | 60–68 | 59–69 | 58–71 | 56–73 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 60 | 57–65 | 55–66 | 54–67 | 53–69 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 28 | 25–31 | 24–32 | 24–33 | 22–34 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 21 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 21 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 20 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–24 | 15–25 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 19 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 0–24 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 107 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 108 | 2% | 98% | |
| 109 | 3% | 96% | |
| 110 | 4% | 93% | |
| 111 | 5% | 89% | |
| 112 | 6% | 84% | |
| 113 | 12% | 78% | |
| 114 | 8% | 66% | |
| 115 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 116 | 13% | 49% | |
| 117 | 8% | 36% | |
| 118 | 8% | 27% | |
| 119 | 6% | 19% | |
| 120 | 4% | 13% | |
| 121 | 4% | 9% | |
| 122 | 2% | 5% | |
| 123 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 124 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 126 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 3% | 96% | |
| 60 | 7% | 93% | |
| 61 | 7% | 87% | |
| 62 | 12% | 79% | |
| 63 | 11% | 68% | |
| 64 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 65 | 15% | 46% | |
| 66 | 8% | 31% | |
| 67 | 11% | 23% | |
| 68 | 4% | 12% | |
| 69 | 4% | 8% | |
| 70 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 71 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 55 | 3% | 97% | |
| 56 | 4% | 95% | |
| 57 | 7% | 91% | |
| 58 | 7% | 84% | |
| 59 | 16% | 77% | |
| 60 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 61 | 14% | 50% | |
| 62 | 10% | 36% | Last Result |
| 63 | 9% | 25% | |
| 64 | 6% | 16% | |
| 65 | 5% | 11% | |
| 66 | 3% | 6% | |
| 67 | 2% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 24 | 4% | 98% | |
| 25 | 9% | 94% | |
| 26 | 11% | 85% | |
| 27 | 16% | 74% | |
| 28 | 18% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 29 | 15% | 40% | |
| 30 | 10% | 25% | |
| 31 | 8% | 14% | |
| 32 | 4% | 6% | |
| 33 | 2% | 3% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 6% | 98% | |
| 19 | 9% | 92% | |
| 20 | 13% | 82% | |
| 21 | 20% | 69% | Median |
| 22 | 14% | 49% | |
| 23 | 15% | 35% | |
| 24 | 10% | 20% | |
| 25 | 6% | 10% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 4% | 98% | |
| 19 | 9% | 94% | |
| 20 | 20% | 85% | |
| 21 | 19% | 65% | Median |
| 22 | 14% | 45% | Last Result |
| 23 | 15% | 31% | |
| 24 | 7% | 16% | |
| 25 | 5% | 9% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 17 | 9% | 97% | |
| 18 | 13% | 88% | |
| 19 | 22% | 75% | |
| 20 | 21% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 21 | 14% | 32% | |
| 22 | 10% | 18% | |
| 23 | 4% | 8% | |
| 24 | 3% | 4% | |
| 25 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 15 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 16 | 10% | 95% | Last Result |
| 17 | 16% | 85% | |
| 18 | 18% | 69% | |
| 19 | 27% | 51% | Median |
| 20 | 11% | 24% | |
| 21 | 9% | 14% | |
| 22 | 2% | 4% | |
| 23 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 203 | 100% | 198–208 | 196–210 | 194–211 | 191–214 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 201 | 100% | 196–206 | 194–208 | 192–210 | 189–213 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 180 | 88% | 174–185 | 172–186 | 171–188 | 168–191 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 175 | 54% | 170–181 | 168–182 | 166–183 | 163–186 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 162 | 0.1% | 156–167 | 154–168 | 153–170 | 149–173 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 146 | 0% | 141–151 | 139–153 | 138–155 | 135–158 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 144 | 0% | 138–148 | 137–150 | 135–152 | 132–155 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 134 | 0% | 128–139 | 127–140 | 125–142 | 121–144 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 127 | 0% | 122–132 | 120–134 | 119–135 | 117–138 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 124 | 0% | 119–130 | 118–132 | 117–133 | 114–136 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 107 | 0% | 102–112 | 101–114 | 100–115 | 97–118 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 106 | 0% | 100–111 | 99–112 | 98–113 | 95–116 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 86 | 0% | 81–91 | 80–92 | 79–93 | 76–95 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 186 | 0% | 100% | |
| 187 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 188 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 192 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 193 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 194 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 195 | 1.3% | 97% | Last Result |
| 196 | 3% | 96% | |
| 197 | 2% | 93% | |
| 198 | 4% | 91% | |
| 199 | 10% | 86% | |
| 200 | 4% | 77% | |
| 201 | 9% | 73% | |
| 202 | 9% | 65% | |
| 203 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 204 | 10% | 46% | |
| 205 | 10% | 36% | |
| 206 | 7% | 26% | |
| 207 | 7% | 20% | |
| 208 | 3% | 13% | |
| 209 | 4% | 10% | |
| 210 | 2% | 6% | |
| 211 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 212 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 213 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 214 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 216 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 187 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 189 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 190 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 191 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 192 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 193 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 194 | 2% | 96% | |
| 195 | 3% | 94% | |
| 196 | 4% | 91% | |
| 197 | 7% | 86% | |
| 198 | 8% | 79% | |
| 199 | 8% | 71% | |
| 200 | 9% | 63% | Median |
| 201 | 10% | 54% | Last Result |
| 202 | 10% | 44% | |
| 203 | 7% | 34% | |
| 204 | 9% | 27% | |
| 205 | 4% | 18% | |
| 206 | 5% | 14% | |
| 207 | 4% | 9% | |
| 208 | 2% | 6% | |
| 209 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 210 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 211 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 212 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 216 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 218 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 169 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 170 | 0.9% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 171 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 172 | 2% | 97% | |
| 173 | 3% | 95% | |
| 174 | 3% | 92% | |
| 175 | 5% | 88% | Majority |
| 176 | 8% | 83% | |
| 177 | 11% | 76% | |
| 178 | 8% | 65% | |
| 179 | 6% | 57% | Median |
| 180 | 8% | 50% | |
| 181 | 13% | 42% | |
| 182 | 8% | 29% | |
| 183 | 5% | 21% | |
| 184 | 6% | 16% | |
| 185 | 4% | 10% | |
| 186 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 187 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 188 | 2% | 3% | |
| 189 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 165 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 166 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 167 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 168 | 2% | 96% | |
| 169 | 4% | 94% | |
| 170 | 5% | 90% | |
| 171 | 7% | 86% | |
| 172 | 6% | 79% | |
| 173 | 9% | 73% | |
| 174 | 10% | 64% | |
| 175 | 7% | 54% | Median, Majority |
| 176 | 13% | 46% | |
| 177 | 7% | 33% | |
| 178 | 6% | 27% | |
| 179 | 6% | 20% | |
| 180 | 4% | 14% | |
| 181 | 5% | 10% | |
| 182 | 2% | 6% | |
| 183 | 2% | 4% | |
| 184 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 185 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 151 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 152 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 153 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 154 | 3% | 97% | |
| 155 | 3% | 94% | |
| 156 | 3% | 91% | |
| 157 | 5% | 88% | |
| 158 | 8% | 83% | |
| 159 | 8% | 75% | |
| 160 | 7% | 67% | |
| 161 | 10% | 60% | |
| 162 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 163 | 7% | 43% | |
| 164 | 11% | 36% | |
| 165 | 8% | 25% | |
| 166 | 3% | 17% | |
| 167 | 4% | 14% | |
| 168 | 5% | 10% | |
| 169 | 2% | 5% | |
| 170 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 171 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 172 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 173 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 136 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 137 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 138 | 2% | 98% | |
| 139 | 2% | 96% | |
| 140 | 4% | 94% | |
| 141 | 3% | 90% | |
| 142 | 7% | 87% | |
| 143 | 7% | 80% | |
| 144 | 10% | 74% | |
| 145 | 10% | 64% | Median |
| 146 | 10% | 54% | |
| 147 | 9% | 44% | |
| 148 | 9% | 35% | |
| 149 | 4% | 27% | |
| 150 | 10% | 23% | |
| 151 | 4% | 13% | |
| 152 | 2% | 9% | |
| 153 | 3% | 7% | |
| 154 | 1.3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 156 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 133 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 134 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 136 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 137 | 3% | 96% | |
| 138 | 6% | 93% | |
| 139 | 8% | 87% | |
| 140 | 11% | 79% | |
| 141 | 5% | 68% | |
| 142 | 5% | 63% | |
| 143 | 6% | 59% | Median |
| 144 | 8% | 53% | |
| 145 | 13% | 45% | |
| 146 | 13% | 32% | |
| 147 | 6% | 19% | |
| 148 | 5% | 13% | |
| 149 | 2% | 8% | |
| 150 | 2% | 6% | |
| 151 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 152 | 2% | 4% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 124 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 125 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 126 | 2% | 97% | |
| 127 | 3% | 95% | |
| 128 | 3% | 92% | |
| 129 | 5% | 89% | |
| 130 | 6% | 84% | |
| 131 | 6% | 78% | |
| 132 | 10% | 72% | |
| 133 | 10% | 61% | |
| 134 | 12% | 52% | Median |
| 135 | 9% | 40% | |
| 136 | 7% | 31% | |
| 137 | 6% | 24% | |
| 138 | 6% | 18% | |
| 139 | 4% | 12% | |
| 140 | 3% | 8% | |
| 141 | 2% | 5% | |
| 142 | 2% | 3% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 144 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 117 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 118 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 119 | 2% | 98% | |
| 120 | 3% | 96% | |
| 121 | 2% | 93% | |
| 122 | 7% | 91% | |
| 123 | 8% | 84% | |
| 124 | 6% | 77% | |
| 125 | 6% | 70% | |
| 126 | 14% | 64% | Median |
| 127 | 9% | 50% | |
| 128 | 6% | 41% | |
| 129 | 8% | 35% | |
| 130 | 5% | 27% | |
| 131 | 8% | 22% | |
| 132 | 4% | 14% | |
| 133 | 2% | 10% | |
| 134 | 3% | 7% | |
| 135 | 2% | 4% | |
| 136 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 137 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 115 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 116 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 117 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 118 | 3% | 96% | |
| 119 | 4% | 94% | |
| 120 | 5% | 89% | |
| 121 | 7% | 85% | |
| 122 | 6% | 78% | |
| 123 | 9% | 72% | |
| 124 | 14% | 63% | Median |
| 125 | 10% | 49% | |
| 126 | 8% | 39% | |
| 127 | 9% | 31% | |
| 128 | 8% | 22% | |
| 129 | 4% | 14% | |
| 130 | 3% | 10% | |
| 131 | 2% | 7% | |
| 132 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 133 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 99 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 100 | 2% | 98% | |
| 101 | 4% | 96% | |
| 102 | 4% | 91% | |
| 103 | 9% | 88% | |
| 104 | 6% | 78% | |
| 105 | 7% | 72% | |
| 106 | 12% | 65% | Median |
| 107 | 8% | 53% | |
| 108 | 9% | 45% | |
| 109 | 7% | 36% | |
| 110 | 6% | 29% | |
| 111 | 5% | 23% | |
| 112 | 8% | 17% | |
| 113 | 3% | 9% | |
| 114 | 3% | 6% | |
| 115 | 2% | 4% | |
| 116 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 98 | 2% | 98% | |
| 99 | 3% | 96% | |
| 100 | 4% | 93% | |
| 101 | 8% | 89% | |
| 102 | 5% | 81% | |
| 103 | 9% | 76% | |
| 104 | 9% | 68% | |
| 105 | 7% | 59% | Median |
| 106 | 15% | 52% | |
| 107 | 6% | 37% | |
| 108 | 8% | 31% | |
| 109 | 8% | 22% | |
| 110 | 4% | 15% | |
| 111 | 4% | 11% | |
| 112 | 2% | 6% | |
| 113 | 2% | 4% | |
| 114 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 79 | 3% | 98% | |
| 80 | 4% | 95% | |
| 81 | 4% | 91% | |
| 82 | 9% | 87% | |
| 83 | 7% | 78% | |
| 84 | 9% | 71% | |
| 85 | 8% | 62% | Median |
| 86 | 15% | 54% | |
| 87 | 6% | 39% | |
| 88 | 10% | 32% | |
| 89 | 6% | 22% | |
| 90 | 6% | 16% | |
| 91 | 5% | 10% | |
| 92 | 2% | 6% | |
| 93 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): Svenska Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 17–19 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1723
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.84%