Opinion Poll by SKOP, 18–21 August 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 27.8% 26.1–29.5% 25.6–30.0% 25.2–30.5% 24.4–31.3%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 19.3% 17.8–20.9% 17.4–21.3% 17.0–21.7% 16.4–22.5%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 17.5% 16.0–19.0% 15.7–19.4% 15.3–19.8% 14.7–20.6%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.1% 7.1–10.4% 6.6–11.0%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.0% 7.0–10.3% 6.5–10.9%
Liberalerna 5.5% 6.3% 5.5–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–7.9% 4.6–8.5%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 5.9% 5.1–6.9% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.4% 4.3–7.9%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 4.9% 4.1–5.8% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.3% 3.4–6.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 98 92–104 90–106 89–108 86–112
Sverigedemokraterna 62 68 63–74 62–75 60–77 58–80
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 61 57–68 56–69 55–70 52–73
Centerpartiet 31 31 27–34 26–36 25–37 23–39
Vänsterpartiet 28 30 26–34 25–35 25–36 23–38
Liberalerna 20 22 20–26 19–27 18–28 17–30
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 21 18–24 17–25 16–26 15–28
Kristdemokraterna 22 17 15–20 0–21 0–22 0–24

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.2% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.8%  
86 0.5% 99.6%  
87 0.7% 99.2%  
88 0.7% 98%  
89 2% 98%  
90 2% 96%  
91 2% 94%  
92 5% 92%  
93 4% 87%  
94 5% 84%  
95 8% 79%  
96 4% 71%  
97 6% 66%  
98 12% 61% Median
99 5% 49%  
100 11% 44% Last Result
101 7% 33%  
102 6% 26%  
103 7% 20%  
104 3% 13%  
105 3% 10%  
106 3% 7%  
107 0.9% 4%  
108 1.1% 3%  
109 0.6% 2%  
110 0.4% 1.1%  
111 0.2% 0.7%  
112 0.1% 0.5%  
113 0.3% 0.4%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.2% 99.8%  
58 0.7% 99.6%  
59 0.8% 98.8%  
60 1.5% 98%  
61 1.4% 96%  
62 4% 95% Last Result
63 4% 91%  
64 7% 88%  
65 8% 81%  
66 6% 73%  
67 13% 67%  
68 8% 54% Median
69 5% 46%  
70 9% 40%  
71 9% 31%  
72 6% 22%  
73 5% 16%  
74 4% 11%  
75 3% 7%  
76 2% 5%  
77 1.4% 3%  
78 0.7% 2%  
79 0.3% 0.9%  
80 0.3% 0.6%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.8%  
52 0.4% 99.7%  
53 0.5% 99.3%  
54 1.3% 98.8%  
55 2% 98%  
56 4% 95%  
57 8% 92%  
58 11% 83%  
59 8% 72%  
60 14% 65%  
61 11% 50% Median
62 6% 40%  
63 5% 34%  
64 3% 28%  
65 4% 25%  
66 4% 21%  
67 5% 17%  
68 3% 12%  
69 4% 8%  
70 2% 4% Last Result
71 1.1% 2%  
72 0.5% 1.0%  
73 0.3% 0.5%  
74 0.1% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 0.4% 99.8%  
24 0.9% 99.4%  
25 2% 98%  
26 3% 96%  
27 6% 93%  
28 11% 87%  
29 10% 76%  
30 14% 66%  
31 17% 53% Last Result, Median
32 13% 36%  
33 9% 23%  
34 5% 15%  
35 4% 9%  
36 2% 5%  
37 1.2% 3%  
38 0.8% 2%  
39 0.5% 0.8%  
40 0.2% 0.3%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 0.5% 99.8%  
24 2% 99.3%  
25 4% 98%  
26 5% 94%  
27 8% 88%  
28 11% 80% Last Result
29 11% 70%  
30 15% 59% Median
31 14% 44%  
32 9% 30%  
33 6% 21%  
34 7% 15%  
35 4% 8%  
36 2% 4%  
37 0.9% 2%  
38 0.4% 0.9%  
39 0.2% 0.4%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.4% 99.9%  
17 1.3% 99.5%  
18 2% 98%  
19 6% 96%  
20 12% 90% Last Result
21 14% 78%  
22 17% 64% Median
23 11% 47%  
24 13% 36%  
25 7% 23%  
26 9% 16%  
27 4% 7%  
28 2% 3%  
29 0.8% 1.5%  
30 0.5% 0.7%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0.1% 99.9%  
15 0.7% 99.8%  
16 2% 99.1% Last Result
17 4% 97%  
18 8% 93%  
19 12% 85%  
20 18% 73%  
21 13% 55% Median
22 14% 42%  
23 13% 28%  
24 8% 15%  
25 3% 7%  
26 2% 4%  
27 1.2% 2%  
28 0.4% 0.7%  
29 0.2% 0.3%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 0% 94%  
5 0% 94%  
6 0% 94%  
7 0% 94%  
8 0% 94%  
9 0% 94%  
10 0% 94%  
11 0% 94%  
12 0% 94%  
13 0% 94%  
14 3% 94%  
15 12% 91%  
16 18% 79%  
17 18% 62% Median
18 15% 44%  
19 11% 29%  
20 9% 18%  
21 5% 9%  
22 3% 5% Last Result
23 1.2% 2%  
24 0.6% 0.8%  
25 0.2% 0.2%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna 195 203 100% 195–210 193–212 191–215 188–220
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 191 99.9% 184–197 181–201 180–202 176–208
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna 167 173 40% 164–179 163–182 161–184 158–188
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 160 0.9% 153–167 151–169 149–171 146–176
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 144 150 0% 142–156 140–159 139–161 135–165
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna 154 146 0% 139–154 137–156 134–158 129–161
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet 132 129 0% 123–137 121–139 120–142 117–146
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna 143 131 0% 124–139 122–140 118–142 114–146
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 128 0% 122–135 120–138 118–139 115–143
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 120 0% 113–126 110–128 109–129 106–134
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 114 0% 108–122 106–123 105–126 102–129
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 109 0% 102–116 99–118 95–119 90–122
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 92 0% 86–99 84–101 83–102 81–105

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
185 0.1% 100%  
186 0.1% 99.9%  
187 0.1% 99.8%  
188 0.4% 99.6%  
189 0.2% 99.2%  
190 0.7% 99.0%  
191 1.3% 98%  
192 1.0% 97%  
193 1.3% 96%  
194 3% 95%  
195 2% 91% Last Result
196 5% 90%  
197 3% 85%  
198 4% 82%  
199 7% 77%  
200 5% 71%  
201 6% 66%  
202 7% 59% Median
203 7% 52%  
204 8% 46%  
205 5% 37%  
206 10% 32%  
207 3% 22%  
208 3% 19%  
209 5% 16%  
210 3% 11%  
211 1.4% 8%  
212 2% 7%  
213 1.0% 5%  
214 0.4% 4%  
215 1.4% 4%  
216 0.7% 2%  
217 0.3% 2%  
218 0.3% 1.2%  
219 0.2% 0.8%  
220 0.3% 0.7%  
221 0% 0.3%  
222 0.1% 0.3%  
223 0.1% 0.2%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 99.9%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.1% 99.9% Majority
176 0.3% 99.8%  
177 0.4% 99.5%  
178 0.4% 99.1%  
179 0.5% 98.7%  
180 2% 98%  
181 1.5% 96%  
182 3% 95%  
183 1.1% 91%  
184 4% 90%  
185 6% 87%  
186 10% 81%  
187 4% 71%  
188 3% 66%  
189 6% 63%  
190 6% 57% Median
191 13% 51%  
192 5% 38%  
193 4% 33%  
194 3% 30%  
195 4% 26%  
196 7% 22%  
197 5% 15%  
198 2% 10%  
199 1.2% 7%  
200 1.1% 6%  
201 2% 5% Last Result
202 1.3% 3%  
203 0.4% 2%  
204 0.3% 2%  
205 0.1% 1.2%  
206 0.3% 1.1%  
207 0.2% 0.8%  
208 0.3% 0.6%  
209 0.1% 0.3%  
210 0.1% 0.2%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0.1% 0.1%  
214 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.1% 99.8%  
158 0.3% 99.7%  
159 0.8% 99.4%  
160 1.0% 98.6%  
161 1.1% 98%  
162 0.9% 97%  
163 1.5% 96%  
164 4% 94%  
165 2% 90%  
166 2% 88%  
167 4% 86% Last Result
168 5% 81%  
169 5% 76%  
170 5% 71%  
171 5% 67%  
172 7% 62% Median
173 8% 55%  
174 6% 47%  
175 13% 40% Majority
176 4% 27%  
177 5% 23%  
178 5% 18%  
179 4% 13%  
180 2% 9%  
181 2% 7%  
182 2% 5%  
183 0.9% 4%  
184 0.6% 3%  
185 0.4% 2%  
186 0.5% 2%  
187 0.3% 1.3%  
188 0.6% 1.0%  
189 0.2% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0.1% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0% 100%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.2% 99.8%  
146 0.2% 99.6%  
147 0.4% 99.4%  
148 0.7% 98.9%  
149 1.0% 98%  
150 1.1% 97%  
151 2% 96%  
152 3% 94%  
153 5% 91%  
154 3% 86%  
155 5% 83%  
156 7% 78%  
157 5% 70%  
158 7% 65%  
159 5% 58% Median
160 10% 53%  
161 6% 43%  
162 4% 37%  
163 6% 32%  
164 6% 26%  
165 5% 20%  
166 3% 15%  
167 5% 13%  
168 2% 8%  
169 2% 6%  
170 1.4% 4% Last Result
171 0.9% 3%  
172 0.5% 2%  
173 0.4% 2%  
174 0.3% 1.2%  
175 0.3% 0.9% Majority
176 0.1% 0.6%  
177 0.1% 0.5%  
178 0.2% 0.4%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0.1% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.8%  
135 0.3% 99.7%  
136 0.2% 99.4%  
137 0.6% 99.2%  
138 0.8% 98.6%  
139 2% 98%  
140 1.2% 96%  
141 2% 95%  
142 4% 93%  
143 3% 89%  
144 4% 86% Last Result
145 4% 82%  
146 6% 78%  
147 6% 72%  
148 8% 66%  
149 6% 58% Median
150 8% 52%  
151 10% 44%  
152 8% 35%  
153 7% 27%  
154 3% 20%  
155 5% 17%  
156 2% 11%  
157 2% 9%  
158 2% 8%  
159 1.3% 6%  
160 1.4% 4%  
161 0.6% 3%  
162 1.0% 2%  
163 0.2% 1.4%  
164 0.3% 1.1%  
165 0.4% 0.8%  
166 0.1% 0.4%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0.3% 99.7%  
130 0.2% 99.3%  
131 0.3% 99.2%  
132 0.3% 98.8%  
133 0.7% 98%  
134 1.4% 98%  
135 0.4% 96%  
136 1.0% 96%  
137 2% 95%  
138 1.4% 93%  
139 3% 92%  
140 5% 89%  
141 3% 84%  
142 3% 81%  
143 10% 78%  
144 5% 68%  
145 8% 63%  
146 7% 54% Median
147 7% 48%  
148 6% 41%  
149 5% 34%  
150 7% 29%  
151 4% 23%  
152 3% 18%  
153 5% 15%  
154 2% 10% Last Result
155 3% 9%  
156 1.3% 5%  
157 1.0% 4%  
158 1.3% 3%  
159 0.7% 2%  
160 0.2% 1.0%  
161 0.4% 0.8%  
162 0.1% 0.4%  
163 0.1% 0.2%  
164 0.1% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0% 100%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.2% 99.8%  
117 0.2% 99.6%  
118 0.4% 99.4%  
119 1.0% 99.0%  
120 2% 98%  
121 2% 96%  
122 2% 95%  
123 4% 93%  
124 6% 88%  
125 6% 83%  
126 4% 77%  
127 10% 72%  
128 5% 62%  
129 9% 57% Median
130 7% 48%  
131 6% 41%  
132 5% 35% Last Result
133 6% 30%  
134 6% 24%  
135 3% 19%  
136 5% 16%  
137 4% 12%  
138 1.3% 8%  
139 3% 7%  
140 0.9% 4%  
141 0.7% 3%  
142 1.0% 3%  
143 0.6% 2%  
144 0.3% 0.9%  
145 0.1% 0.7%  
146 0.3% 0.6%  
147 0.2% 0.3%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0.1% 0.1%  
151 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0% 100%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.7%  
113 0.1% 99.7%  
114 0.9% 99.6%  
115 0.4% 98.7%  
116 0.4% 98%  
117 0.3% 98%  
118 0.3% 98%  
119 0.6% 97%  
120 0.9% 97%  
121 0.7% 96%  
122 0.7% 95%  
123 1.4% 94%  
124 4% 93%  
125 5% 89%  
126 6% 85%  
127 3% 79%  
128 3% 76%  
129 5% 73%  
130 9% 68%  
131 12% 59% Median
132 9% 47%  
133 7% 38%  
134 4% 31%  
135 5% 28%  
136 4% 23%  
137 4% 19%  
138 4% 15%  
139 4% 11%  
140 3% 7%  
141 2% 4%  
142 0.6% 3%  
143 0.5% 2% Last Result
144 0.5% 2%  
145 0.4% 1.1%  
146 0.4% 0.7%  
147 0.2% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.8%  
115 0.3% 99.7%  
116 0.4% 99.4%  
117 1.3% 98.9%  
118 0.9% 98%  
119 1.0% 97%  
120 3% 96%  
121 3% 93%  
122 3% 90%  
123 4% 87%  
124 3% 82%  
125 9% 79%  
126 5% 70%  
127 5% 65%  
128 13% 60% Last Result, Median
129 5% 47%  
130 6% 42%  
131 8% 36%  
132 8% 28%  
133 5% 20%  
134 2% 15%  
135 5% 13%  
136 2% 9%  
137 1.4% 7%  
138 2% 6%  
139 1.4% 4%  
140 1.0% 2%  
141 0.3% 1.3%  
142 0.2% 1.0%  
143 0.3% 0.8%  
144 0.2% 0.5%  
145 0.1% 0.3%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0.2% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.7%  
106 0.2% 99.6%  
107 0.5% 99.4%  
108 1.1% 98.9%  
109 1.0% 98%  
110 2% 97%  
111 2% 95%  
112 2% 92%  
113 2% 91%  
114 5% 88%  
115 4% 83%  
116 5% 78% Last Result
117 10% 73%  
118 6% 63%  
119 5% 58% Median
120 12% 53%  
121 6% 41%  
122 7% 35%  
123 10% 28%  
124 4% 18%  
125 3% 14%  
126 3% 11%  
127 3% 8%  
128 2% 5%  
129 2% 4%  
130 0.7% 2%  
131 0.3% 2%  
132 0.3% 1.2%  
133 0.2% 0.9%  
134 0.5% 0.7%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.2% 99.8%  
102 0.2% 99.7%  
103 0.6% 99.5%  
104 0.9% 98.9%  
105 1.2% 98%  
106 3% 97%  
107 2% 94%  
108 2% 92%  
109 6% 90%  
110 5% 83%  
111 5% 78%  
112 7% 74%  
113 7% 66%  
114 11% 60% Median
115 10% 49%  
116 5% 38%  
117 5% 33%  
118 5% 27%  
119 3% 22%  
120 4% 19%  
121 3% 15% Last Result
122 4% 12%  
123 3% 7%  
124 1.0% 5%  
125 0.9% 4%  
126 0.7% 3%  
127 0.6% 2%  
128 0.7% 1.5%  
129 0.4% 0.8%  
130 0.2% 0.4%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 99.8%  
89 0.2% 99.8%  
90 0.1% 99.6%  
91 0.3% 99.5%  
92 0.9% 99.2%  
93 0.2% 98%  
94 0.6% 98%  
95 0.5% 98%  
96 0.5% 97%  
97 0.3% 97%  
98 1.2% 96%  
99 1.3% 95%  
100 1.0% 94%  
101 2% 93%  
102 3% 91%  
103 4% 88%  
104 4% 84%  
105 6% 80%  
106 5% 74%  
107 9% 69%  
108 10% 60%  
109 5% 50% Median
110 8% 45%  
111 7% 38%  
112 7% 30%  
113 5% 23%  
114 4% 18%  
115 2% 14%  
116 4% 12%  
117 3% 8%  
118 2% 5%  
119 1.2% 4%  
120 0.9% 2%  
121 0.5% 1.4%  
122 0.4% 0.9%  
123 0.2% 0.5% Last Result
124 0.1% 0.3%  
125 0.1% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8%  
81 0.4% 99.6%  
82 0.7% 99.1%  
83 2% 98%  
84 2% 97%  
85 4% 95%  
86 4% 91%  
87 4% 87%  
88 7% 83%  
89 6% 76%  
90 9% 70%  
91 9% 62%  
92 8% 53% Median
93 8% 45%  
94 7% 37%  
95 6% 29%  
96 5% 23%  
97 4% 18%  
98 4% 14%  
99 3% 11%  
100 2% 7%  
101 2% 5% Last Result
102 2% 4%  
103 0.7% 2%  
104 0.6% 1.3%  
105 0.3% 0.8%  
106 0.2% 0.5%  
107 0.1% 0.3%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations