Opinion Poll by Sifo for Svenska Dagbladet, 21–23 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 30.2% | 28.9–31.5% | 28.6–31.8% | 28.3–32.1% | 27.7–32.8% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.2% | 18.1–20.3% | 17.8–20.6% | 17.6–20.9% | 17.1–21.4% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 18.6% | 17.6–19.7% | 17.3–20.0% | 17.0–20.3% | 16.5–20.8% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2–8.7% | 7.0–8.9% | 6.8–9.1% | 6.5–9.5% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7–7.0% | 5.5–7.2% | 5.3–7.4% | 5.1–7.7% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.8–7.5% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2–5.4% | 4.1–5.6% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.7–6.1% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.6–6.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 108 | 104–113 | 102–115 | 101–116 | 99–119 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 69 | 65–72 | 64–74 | 63–75 | 61–77 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 66 | 63–71 | 62–72 | 61–73 | 59–75 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 28 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 24–33 | 23–34 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 22 | 20–25 | 20–26 | 19–26 | 18–28 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 22 | 19–24 | 19–25 | 18–25 | 17–27 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 17 | 15–19 | 15–20 | 0–21 | 0–22 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 17 | 15–19 | 0–20 | 0–20 | 0–21 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 100 | 0.9% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 101 | 2% | 98% | |
| 102 | 3% | 97% | |
| 103 | 4% | 94% | |
| 104 | 6% | 90% | |
| 105 | 12% | 84% | |
| 106 | 7% | 72% | |
| 107 | 15% | 66% | |
| 108 | 10% | 51% | Median |
| 109 | 11% | 41% | |
| 110 | 6% | 30% | |
| 111 | 8% | 24% | |
| 112 | 4% | 16% | |
| 113 | 3% | 11% | |
| 114 | 2% | 8% | |
| 115 | 3% | 6% | |
| 116 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 117 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 4% | 96% | |
| 65 | 4% | 92% | |
| 66 | 9% | 87% | |
| 67 | 13% | 78% | |
| 68 | 12% | 66% | |
| 69 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 70 | 16% | 40% | |
| 71 | 7% | 23% | |
| 72 | 6% | 16% | |
| 73 | 3% | 10% | |
| 74 | 3% | 7% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 4% | 97% | |
| 63 | 6% | 93% | |
| 64 | 7% | 87% | |
| 65 | 9% | 80% | |
| 66 | 21% | 71% | Median |
| 67 | 10% | 49% | |
| 68 | 10% | 39% | |
| 69 | 12% | 29% | |
| 70 | 6% | 17% | Last Result |
| 71 | 5% | 12% | |
| 72 | 3% | 6% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 25 | 6% | 97% | |
| 26 | 11% | 91% | |
| 27 | 15% | 80% | |
| 28 | 17% | 64% | Last Result, Median |
| 29 | 22% | 48% | |
| 30 | 12% | 25% | |
| 31 | 7% | 14% | |
| 32 | 4% | 6% | |
| 33 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 20 | 9% | 95% | |
| 21 | 13% | 86% | |
| 22 | 26% | 73% | Last Result, Median |
| 23 | 17% | 47% | |
| 24 | 14% | 30% | |
| 25 | 10% | 16% | |
| 26 | 3% | 6% | |
| 27 | 2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 19 | 7% | 96% | |
| 20 | 14% | 90% | |
| 21 | 22% | 76% | |
| 22 | 22% | 54% | Median |
| 23 | 17% | 31% | |
| 24 | 8% | 15% | |
| 25 | 5% | 7% | |
| 26 | 2% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0% | 97% | |
| 8 | 0% | 97% | |
| 9 | 0% | 97% | |
| 10 | 0% | 97% | |
| 11 | 0% | 97% | |
| 12 | 0% | 97% | |
| 13 | 0% | 97% | |
| 14 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 15 | 9% | 96% | |
| 16 | 16% | 87% | |
| 17 | 26% | 71% | Median |
| 18 | 21% | 44% | |
| 19 | 14% | 23% | |
| 20 | 6% | 9% | Last Result |
| 21 | 2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 94% | |
| 2 | 0% | 94% | |
| 3 | 0% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0% | 94% | |
| 6 | 0% | 94% | |
| 7 | 0% | 94% | |
| 8 | 0% | 94% | |
| 9 | 0% | 94% | |
| 10 | 0% | 94% | |
| 11 | 0% | 94% | |
| 12 | 0% | 94% | |
| 13 | 0% | 94% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 15 | 14% | 93% | |
| 16 | 22% | 79% | Last Result |
| 17 | 25% | 57% | Median |
| 18 | 16% | 32% | |
| 19 | 11% | 16% | |
| 20 | 4% | 6% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 196 | 100% | 191–202 | 190–205 | 188–207 | 186–211 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 191 | 99.9% | 186–196 | 183–197 | 182–199 | 177–201 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 174 | 49% | 170–180 | 168–183 | 167–185 | 165–189 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 163 | 0.1% | 157–168 | 154–169 | 152–171 | 147–173 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 158 | 0.1% | 153–163 | 152–166 | 150–167 | 148–172 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 152 | 0% | 147–158 | 145–160 | 142–161 | 138–165 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 136 | 0% | 131–142 | 130–144 | 129–146 | 127–149 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 136 | 0% | 130–140 | 129–142 | 128–144 | 125–148 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 143 | 128 | 0% | 123–133 | 121–135 | 119–136 | 114–139 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 124 | 0% | 119–130 | 116–131 | 113–132 | 108–135 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet | 123 | 111 | 0% | 106–116 | 105–118 | 104–119 | 102–122 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 106 | 0% | 101–110 | 99–111 | 96–112 | 90–115 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 89 | 0% | 84–93 | 83–94 | 82–95 | 80–98 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 187 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 188 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 189 | 2% | 97% | |
| 190 | 3% | 95% | |
| 191 | 4% | 92% | |
| 192 | 6% | 89% | |
| 193 | 4% | 83% | |
| 194 | 15% | 78% | |
| 195 | 8% | 64% | |
| 196 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 197 | 9% | 45% | |
| 198 | 9% | 36% | |
| 199 | 6% | 27% | |
| 200 | 6% | 21% | |
| 201 | 3% | 15% | Last Result |
| 202 | 3% | 12% | |
| 203 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 204 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 205 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 206 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 207 | 2% | 4% | |
| 208 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 209 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 210 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 211 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 212 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 173 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 177 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 179 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 180 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 181 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 182 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 183 | 2% | 96% | |
| 184 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 185 | 3% | 94% | |
| 186 | 4% | 91% | |
| 187 | 6% | 87% | |
| 188 | 8% | 80% | |
| 189 | 5% | 72% | |
| 190 | 8% | 67% | |
| 191 | 14% | 59% | |
| 192 | 11% | 44% | Median |
| 193 | 8% | 34% | |
| 194 | 4% | 26% | |
| 195 | 9% | 21% | Last Result |
| 196 | 4% | 12% | |
| 197 | 4% | 8% | |
| 198 | 2% | 5% | |
| 199 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 200 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 201 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 202 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 162 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 165 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 166 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 167 | 2% | 98% | |
| 168 | 3% | 96% | |
| 169 | 3% | 93% | |
| 170 | 3% | 90% | Last Result |
| 171 | 8% | 87% | |
| 172 | 7% | 79% | |
| 173 | 13% | 71% | |
| 174 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 175 | 10% | 49% | Majority |
| 176 | 9% | 40% | |
| 177 | 9% | 31% | |
| 178 | 6% | 22% | |
| 179 | 5% | 16% | |
| 180 | 2% | 11% | |
| 181 | 2% | 9% | |
| 182 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 183 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 184 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 185 | 2% | 4% | |
| 186 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 188 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 190 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 152 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 153 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 154 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 155 | 3% | 95% | |
| 156 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 157 | 2% | 90% | |
| 158 | 5% | 88% | |
| 159 | 5% | 84% | |
| 160 | 6% | 79% | |
| 161 | 8% | 73% | |
| 162 | 10% | 65% | |
| 163 | 12% | 54% | |
| 164 | 5% | 43% | Median |
| 165 | 11% | 38% | |
| 166 | 8% | 27% | |
| 167 | 8% | 19% | Last Result |
| 168 | 3% | 11% | |
| 169 | 4% | 8% | |
| 170 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 171 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 172 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 149 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 150 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 151 | 2% | 97% | |
| 152 | 4% | 95% | |
| 153 | 4% | 92% | |
| 154 | 9% | 88% | Last Result |
| 155 | 4% | 79% | |
| 156 | 8% | 74% | |
| 157 | 11% | 66% | Median |
| 158 | 14% | 56% | |
| 159 | 8% | 41% | |
| 160 | 5% | 33% | |
| 161 | 8% | 28% | |
| 162 | 6% | 20% | |
| 163 | 4% | 13% | |
| 164 | 3% | 9% | |
| 165 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 166 | 2% | 5% | |
| 167 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 168 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 170 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 142 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 144 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 145 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 146 | 2% | 94% | |
| 147 | 3% | 92% | |
| 148 | 3% | 89% | |
| 149 | 8% | 86% | |
| 150 | 8% | 78% | |
| 151 | 14% | 70% | |
| 152 | 10% | 55% | |
| 153 | 15% | 45% | Median |
| 154 | 6% | 31% | |
| 155 | 4% | 25% | |
| 156 | 5% | 21% | |
| 157 | 3% | 16% | |
| 158 | 5% | 14% | |
| 159 | 3% | 8% | |
| 160 | 2% | 6% | |
| 161 | 2% | 4% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 128 | 1.1% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 129 | 2% | 98% | |
| 130 | 2% | 96% | |
| 131 | 5% | 95% | |
| 132 | 9% | 89% | |
| 133 | 5% | 80% | |
| 134 | 7% | 76% | |
| 135 | 14% | 68% | |
| 136 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 137 | 9% | 40% | |
| 138 | 5% | 31% | |
| 139 | 7% | 26% | |
| 140 | 5% | 19% | |
| 141 | 2% | 14% | |
| 142 | 2% | 11% | |
| 143 | 3% | 9% | |
| 144 | 2% | 6% | |
| 145 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 146 | 2% | 3% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 126 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 127 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 128 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 129 | 3% | 97% | |
| 130 | 4% | 94% | |
| 131 | 5% | 89% | |
| 132 | 7% | 84% | Last Result |
| 133 | 7% | 77% | |
| 134 | 6% | 70% | |
| 135 | 9% | 64% | Median |
| 136 | 17% | 55% | |
| 137 | 9% | 38% | |
| 138 | 7% | 28% | |
| 139 | 6% | 21% | |
| 140 | 7% | 15% | |
| 141 | 2% | 8% | |
| 142 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 143 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 145 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 148 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 114 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 119 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 120 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 121 | 2% | 96% | |
| 122 | 2% | 94% | |
| 123 | 4% | 92% | |
| 124 | 5% | 87% | |
| 125 | 4% | 82% | |
| 126 | 13% | 78% | |
| 127 | 10% | 65% | Median |
| 128 | 7% | 55% | |
| 129 | 8% | 47% | |
| 130 | 12% | 39% | |
| 131 | 9% | 28% | |
| 132 | 5% | 19% | |
| 133 | 5% | 14% | |
| 134 | 3% | 8% | |
| 135 | 2% | 5% | |
| 136 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 137 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 138 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 112 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 113 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 115 | 2% | 97% | |
| 116 | 1.1% | 95% | Last Result |
| 117 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 118 | 2% | 93% | |
| 119 | 2% | 91% | |
| 120 | 3% | 89% | |
| 121 | 11% | 86% | |
| 122 | 7% | 75% | |
| 123 | 7% | 68% | |
| 124 | 19% | 61% | |
| 125 | 10% | 42% | Median |
| 126 | 6% | 32% | |
| 127 | 9% | 26% | |
| 128 | 4% | 18% | |
| 129 | 3% | 14% | |
| 130 | 3% | 10% | |
| 131 | 4% | 7% | |
| 132 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 133 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 104 | 2% | 98% | |
| 105 | 3% | 96% | |
| 106 | 4% | 93% | |
| 107 | 5% | 89% | |
| 108 | 6% | 84% | |
| 109 | 15% | 78% | |
| 110 | 8% | 63% | Median |
| 111 | 14% | 55% | |
| 112 | 6% | 42% | |
| 113 | 10% | 36% | |
| 114 | 8% | 26% | |
| 115 | 7% | 18% | |
| 116 | 4% | 11% | |
| 117 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 118 | 3% | 6% | |
| 119 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 120 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 97 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 98 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 99 | 2% | 95% | |
| 100 | 3% | 94% | |
| 101 | 4% | 90% | |
| 102 | 6% | 86% | |
| 103 | 6% | 81% | |
| 104 | 15% | 74% | |
| 105 | 6% | 60% | Median |
| 106 | 11% | 54% | |
| 107 | 9% | 43% | |
| 108 | 12% | 34% | |
| 109 | 8% | 22% | |
| 110 | 6% | 14% | |
| 111 | 4% | 9% | |
| 112 | 2% | 5% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 114 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 82 | 3% | 98% | |
| 83 | 2% | 95% | |
| 84 | 5% | 94% | |
| 85 | 7% | 89% | |
| 86 | 9% | 81% | |
| 87 | 13% | 73% | |
| 88 | 9% | 60% | Median |
| 89 | 13% | 51% | |
| 90 | 9% | 38% | |
| 91 | 8% | 28% | |
| 92 | 8% | 20% | |
| 93 | 6% | 12% | |
| 94 | 2% | 7% | |
| 95 | 2% | 4% | |
| 96 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): Svenska Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 21–23 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 2194
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.73%