Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 16–24 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 30.4% | 28.9–31.9% | 28.5–32.3% | 28.2–32.6% | 27.5–33.4% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 20.7% | 19.4–22.0% | 19.1–22.4% | 18.8–22.7% | 18.2–23.4% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 16.6% | 15.4–17.8% | 15.1–18.2% | 14.8–18.5% | 14.3–19.1% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6–9.4% | 7.4–9.7% | 7.2–9.9% | 6.8–10.4% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.1–7.7% | 5.9–8.0% | 5.7–8.2% | 5.4–8.6% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8–6.3% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.8% | 4.2–7.1% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.7–6.5% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0–5.3% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.7–5.7% | 3.4–6.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 109 | 103–114 | 102–116 | 100–117 | 98–121 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 73 | 69–78 | 68–80 | 67–82 | 65–85 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 59 | 55–64 | 53–65 | 53–66 | 51–69 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 30 | 27–34 | 26–35 | 26–35 | 24–37 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 25 | 22–28 | 21–28 | 21–29 | 19–31 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 20 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 16–24 | 15–26 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 18 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 0–23 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 16 | 0–19 | 0–20 | 0–20 | 0–22 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 100 | 1.2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 101 | 2% | 97% | |
| 102 | 3% | 95% | |
| 103 | 3% | 93% | |
| 104 | 5% | 90% | |
| 105 | 5% | 85% | |
| 106 | 10% | 80% | |
| 107 | 8% | 69% | |
| 108 | 9% | 61% | |
| 109 | 11% | 53% | Median |
| 110 | 10% | 41% | |
| 111 | 6% | 32% | |
| 112 | 8% | 26% | |
| 113 | 7% | 18% | |
| 114 | 3% | 12% | |
| 115 | 3% | 9% | |
| 116 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 117 | 2% | 4% | |
| 118 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 68 | 2% | 97% | |
| 69 | 7% | 95% | |
| 70 | 8% | 88% | |
| 71 | 12% | 80% | |
| 72 | 13% | 68% | |
| 73 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 74 | 11% | 43% | |
| 75 | 9% | 32% | |
| 76 | 5% | 23% | |
| 77 | 5% | 18% | |
| 78 | 4% | 14% | |
| 79 | 2% | 10% | |
| 80 | 3% | 8% | |
| 81 | 2% | 5% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 53 | 4% | 98% | |
| 54 | 3% | 95% | |
| 55 | 6% | 92% | |
| 56 | 8% | 86% | |
| 57 | 10% | 78% | |
| 58 | 8% | 68% | |
| 59 | 14% | 60% | Median |
| 60 | 6% | 46% | |
| 61 | 11% | 40% | |
| 62 | 12% | 29% | |
| 63 | 5% | 16% | |
| 64 | 6% | 12% | |
| 65 | 2% | 6% | |
| 66 | 2% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 1.5% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 4% | 98% | |
| 27 | 7% | 94% | |
| 28 | 9% | 87% | Last Result |
| 29 | 15% | 78% | |
| 30 | 15% | 63% | Median |
| 31 | 13% | 47% | |
| 32 | 12% | 34% | |
| 33 | 10% | 22% | |
| 34 | 7% | 12% | |
| 35 | 3% | 6% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 21 | 3% | 98% | |
| 22 | 9% | 94% | |
| 23 | 11% | 85% | |
| 24 | 18% | 75% | |
| 25 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 26 | 19% | 41% | |
| 27 | 11% | 22% | |
| 28 | 7% | 11% | |
| 29 | 2% | 4% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 17 | 8% | 96% | |
| 18 | 12% | 88% | |
| 19 | 17% | 75% | |
| 20 | 24% | 59% | Median |
| 21 | 13% | 35% | |
| 22 | 10% | 22% | Last Result |
| 23 | 9% | 13% | |
| 24 | 2% | 4% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 0% | 98% | |
| 10 | 0% | 98% | |
| 11 | 0% | 98% | |
| 12 | 0% | 98% | |
| 13 | 0% | 98% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 15 | 7% | 97% | |
| 16 | 15% | 90% | Last Result |
| 17 | 16% | 76% | |
| 18 | 22% | 59% | Median |
| 19 | 17% | 38% | |
| 20 | 13% | 21% | |
| 21 | 5% | 8% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | |
| 23 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 87% | |
| 2 | 0% | 87% | |
| 3 | 0% | 87% | |
| 4 | 0% | 87% | |
| 5 | 0% | 87% | |
| 6 | 0% | 87% | |
| 7 | 0% | 87% | |
| 8 | 0% | 87% | |
| 9 | 0% | 87% | |
| 10 | 0% | 87% | |
| 11 | 0% | 87% | |
| 12 | 0% | 87% | |
| 13 | 0% | 87% | |
| 14 | 3% | 87% | |
| 15 | 16% | 84% | |
| 16 | 18% | 68% | Median |
| 17 | 20% | 50% | |
| 18 | 18% | 30% | |
| 19 | 7% | 12% | |
| 20 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 21 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 197 | 100% | 190–202 | 188–204 | 185–205 | 182–208 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 193 | 100% | 186–200 | 184–201 | 183–205 | 180–209 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 175 | 182 | 93% | 175–188 | 173–191 | 171–193 | 167–195 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 168 | 10% | 162–175 | 160–177 | 158–178 | 155–183 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 174 | 167 | 7% | 161–174 | 158–176 | 156–178 | 154–182 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 167 | 3% | 158–172 | 156–174 | 154–175 | 149–178 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 156 | 0.1% | 151–163 | 149–165 | 146–167 | 143–170 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 152 | 0% | 147–159 | 145–161 | 144–164 | 141–167 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 147 | 151 | 0% | 145–157 | 143–159 | 141–161 | 137–165 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 139 | 0% | 134–145 | 132–147 | 130–150 | 127–153 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 132 | 0% | 127–139 | 126–141 | 125–143 | 122–147 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 126 | 0% | 121–132 | 118–134 | 116–136 | 111–139 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 120 | 0% | 110–125 | 107–127 | 105–128 | 102–131 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 109 | 0% | 103–114 | 102–116 | 100–117 | 98–121 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 104 | 0% | 99–109 | 98–111 | 96–113 | 93–116 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 100 | 0% | 89–105 | 87–107 | 84–108 | 81–111 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 112 | 95 | 0% | 84–100 | 82–102 | 79–103 | 77–106 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 84 | 0% | 79–89 | 78–91 | 77–92 | 74–95 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 92 | 79 | 0% | 74–84 | 73–86 | 72–87 | 69–89 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 176 | 0% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 182 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 183 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 184 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 185 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 186 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 187 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 188 | 4% | 96% | |
| 189 | 2% | 92% | |
| 190 | 3% | 90% | |
| 191 | 5% | 87% | |
| 192 | 4% | 82% | |
| 193 | 6% | 78% | |
| 194 | 4% | 73% | |
| 195 | 5% | 69% | Last Result |
| 196 | 11% | 63% | |
| 197 | 9% | 52% | |
| 198 | 5% | 43% | Median |
| 199 | 9% | 38% | |
| 200 | 6% | 29% | |
| 201 | 8% | 23% | |
| 202 | 5% | 15% | |
| 203 | 3% | 9% | |
| 204 | 4% | 7% | |
| 205 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 206 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 207 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 180 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 181 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 182 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 183 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 184 | 2% | 97% | |
| 185 | 3% | 95% | |
| 186 | 2% | 92% | |
| 187 | 5% | 90% | |
| 188 | 7% | 85% | |
| 189 | 7% | 78% | |
| 190 | 5% | 71% | |
| 191 | 4% | 66% | |
| 192 | 8% | 62% | |
| 193 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 194 | 8% | 44% | |
| 195 | 6% | 36% | |
| 196 | 5% | 30% | |
| 197 | 7% | 25% | |
| 198 | 5% | 18% | |
| 199 | 1.5% | 13% | |
| 200 | 2% | 11% | |
| 201 | 5% | 9% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 203 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 204 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 205 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 206 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 207 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 210 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 169 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 170 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 171 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 172 | 2% | 97% | |
| 173 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 174 | 2% | 95% | |
| 175 | 4% | 93% | Last Result, Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 89% | |
| 177 | 3% | 85% | |
| 178 | 6% | 82% | |
| 179 | 10% | 76% | |
| 180 | 7% | 67% | |
| 181 | 9% | 60% | |
| 182 | 10% | 51% | Median |
| 183 | 7% | 41% | |
| 184 | 8% | 34% | |
| 185 | 6% | 26% | |
| 186 | 5% | 21% | |
| 187 | 2% | 16% | |
| 188 | 4% | 14% | |
| 189 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 190 | 2% | 8% | |
| 191 | 2% | 6% | |
| 192 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 193 | 2% | 3% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 195 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 153 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 157 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 158 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 159 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 160 | 2% | 96% | |
| 161 | 3% | 93% | |
| 162 | 6% | 91% | |
| 163 | 3% | 85% | |
| 164 | 7% | 82% | |
| 165 | 8% | 75% | |
| 166 | 4% | 66% | |
| 167 | 10% | 62% | |
| 168 | 7% | 52% | Median |
| 169 | 5% | 46% | |
| 170 | 11% | 41% | Last Result |
| 171 | 5% | 30% | |
| 172 | 8% | 25% | |
| 173 | 3% | 17% | |
| 174 | 5% | 15% | |
| 175 | 3% | 10% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 7% | |
| 177 | 2% | 6% | |
| 178 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 179 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 180 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 182 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 154 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 156 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 157 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 158 | 2% | 96% | |
| 159 | 2% | 94% | |
| 160 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 161 | 4% | 91% | |
| 162 | 2% | 86% | |
| 163 | 5% | 84% | |
| 164 | 6% | 79% | |
| 165 | 8% | 74% | |
| 166 | 7% | 66% | |
| 167 | 10% | 59% | |
| 168 | 9% | 49% | Median |
| 169 | 7% | 40% | |
| 170 | 10% | 33% | |
| 171 | 6% | 24% | |
| 172 | 3% | 18% | |
| 173 | 4% | 15% | |
| 174 | 4% | 11% | Last Result |
| 175 | 2% | 7% | Majority |
| 176 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 177 | 2% | 4% | |
| 178 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 179 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 180 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 181 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 152 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 153 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 154 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 155 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 156 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 157 | 3% | 94% | |
| 158 | 2% | 91% | |
| 159 | 3% | 89% | |
| 160 | 3% | 86% | |
| 161 | 3% | 84% | |
| 162 | 3% | 81% | |
| 163 | 7% | 78% | |
| 164 | 4% | 71% | |
| 165 | 8% | 67% | |
| 166 | 6% | 59% | |
| 167 | 11% | 53% | Last Result |
| 168 | 7% | 42% | Median |
| 169 | 8% | 35% | |
| 170 | 6% | 27% | |
| 171 | 8% | 21% | |
| 172 | 4% | 13% | |
| 173 | 2% | 8% | |
| 174 | 3% | 6% | |
| 175 | 2% | 3% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 177 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 146 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 147 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 148 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 149 | 2% | 95% | |
| 150 | 3% | 93% | |
| 151 | 3% | 90% | |
| 152 | 5% | 87% | |
| 153 | 5% | 82% | |
| 154 | 8% | 77% | |
| 155 | 11% | 69% | |
| 156 | 8% | 58% | |
| 157 | 6% | 49% | Median |
| 158 | 7% | 43% | |
| 159 | 5% | 36% | |
| 160 | 9% | 32% | |
| 161 | 8% | 23% | |
| 162 | 4% | 15% | |
| 163 | 2% | 12% | |
| 164 | 2% | 10% | |
| 165 | 3% | 8% | |
| 166 | 2% | 5% | |
| 167 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 168 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 170 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 143 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 144 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 145 | 4% | 97% | |
| 146 | 3% | 93% | |
| 147 | 5% | 91% | |
| 148 | 8% | 85% | |
| 149 | 6% | 77% | |
| 150 | 9% | 71% | |
| 151 | 5% | 62% | |
| 152 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 153 | 11% | 48% | |
| 154 | 5% | 37% | Last Result |
| 155 | 4% | 31% | |
| 156 | 6% | 27% | |
| 157 | 4% | 22% | |
| 158 | 5% | 18% | |
| 159 | 3% | 13% | |
| 160 | 2% | 10% | |
| 161 | 4% | 8% | |
| 162 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 163 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 164 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 165 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 140 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 141 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 142 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 143 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 144 | 2% | 94% | |
| 145 | 3% | 92% | |
| 146 | 4% | 90% | |
| 147 | 4% | 85% | Last Result |
| 148 | 8% | 81% | |
| 149 | 5% | 73% | |
| 150 | 13% | 68% | |
| 151 | 6% | 55% | |
| 152 | 12% | 49% | Median |
| 153 | 6% | 37% | |
| 154 | 9% | 31% | |
| 155 | 3% | 23% | |
| 156 | 4% | 19% | |
| 157 | 6% | 15% | |
| 158 | 2% | 9% | |
| 159 | 3% | 7% | |
| 160 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 161 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 162 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 130 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 131 | 2% | 97% | |
| 132 | 2% | 95% | |
| 133 | 3% | 93% | |
| 134 | 5% | 90% | |
| 135 | 7% | 85% | |
| 136 | 7% | 78% | |
| 137 | 6% | 71% | |
| 138 | 8% | 64% | |
| 139 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 140 | 13% | 48% | |
| 141 | 6% | 35% | |
| 142 | 6% | 29% | |
| 143 | 8% | 23% | |
| 144 | 3% | 15% | |
| 145 | 2% | 12% | |
| 146 | 4% | 10% | |
| 147 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 148 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 149 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 150 | 2% | 3% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 123 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 124 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 125 | 2% | 98% | |
| 126 | 3% | 96% | |
| 127 | 6% | 93% | |
| 128 | 6% | 87% | |
| 129 | 7% | 81% | |
| 130 | 10% | 74% | |
| 131 | 10% | 64% | |
| 132 | 7% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 133 | 8% | 47% | |
| 134 | 6% | 39% | |
| 135 | 6% | 33% | |
| 136 | 7% | 27% | |
| 137 | 5% | 21% | |
| 138 | 3% | 16% | |
| 139 | 4% | 12% | |
| 140 | 2% | 8% | |
| 141 | 2% | 6% | |
| 142 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 143 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 144 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 116 | 1.0% | 98% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 118 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 119 | 2% | 95% | |
| 120 | 2% | 93% | |
| 121 | 3% | 91% | |
| 122 | 6% | 87% | |
| 123 | 7% | 82% | |
| 124 | 11% | 75% | |
| 125 | 7% | 64% | |
| 126 | 9% | 57% | |
| 127 | 9% | 48% | Median |
| 128 | 6% | 39% | |
| 129 | 6% | 33% | |
| 130 | 7% | 27% | |
| 131 | 6% | 20% | |
| 132 | 6% | 14% | |
| 133 | 2% | 8% | |
| 134 | 2% | 7% | |
| 135 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 136 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 103 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 104 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 105 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 106 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 107 | 2% | 96% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 109 | 4% | 94% | |
| 110 | 2% | 91% | |
| 111 | 1.3% | 89% | |
| 112 | 1.0% | 88% | |
| 113 | 3% | 87% | |
| 114 | 3% | 83% | |
| 115 | 4% | 81% | |
| 116 | 4% | 77% | |
| 117 | 7% | 72% | |
| 118 | 7% | 66% | |
| 119 | 8% | 59% | |
| 120 | 6% | 51% | Median |
| 121 | 6% | 44% | |
| 122 | 13% | 38% | |
| 123 | 8% | 25% | |
| 124 | 4% | 17% | |
| 125 | 4% | 13% | |
| 126 | 3% | 9% | |
| 127 | 2% | 6% | |
| 128 | 2% | 4% | |
| 129 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 130 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 131 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 100 | 1.2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 101 | 2% | 97% | |
| 102 | 3% | 95% | |
| 103 | 3% | 93% | |
| 104 | 5% | 90% | |
| 105 | 5% | 85% | |
| 106 | 10% | 80% | |
| 107 | 8% | 69% | |
| 108 | 9% | 61% | |
| 109 | 11% | 53% | Median |
| 110 | 10% | 41% | |
| 111 | 6% | 32% | |
| 112 | 8% | 26% | |
| 113 | 7% | 18% | |
| 114 | 3% | 12% | |
| 115 | 3% | 9% | |
| 116 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 117 | 2% | 4% | |
| 118 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 95 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 96 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 97 | 2% | 97% | |
| 98 | 5% | 95% | |
| 99 | 7% | 91% | |
| 100 | 4% | 84% | |
| 101 | 10% | 79% | |
| 102 | 7% | 69% | |
| 103 | 6% | 62% | |
| 104 | 6% | 56% | Median |
| 105 | 12% | 49% | |
| 106 | 6% | 37% | |
| 107 | 8% | 30% | |
| 108 | 6% | 22% | |
| 109 | 7% | 16% | |
| 110 | 2% | 9% | |
| 111 | 2% | 6% | |
| 112 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 113 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 114 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 84 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 87 | 2% | 96% | |
| 88 | 4% | 95% | |
| 89 | 1.4% | 90% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 88% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 87% | |
| 93 | 1.3% | 86% | |
| 94 | 4% | 85% | |
| 95 | 4% | 81% | |
| 96 | 3% | 78% | |
| 97 | 4% | 74% | |
| 98 | 9% | 70% | |
| 99 | 9% | 61% | |
| 100 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 101 | 4% | 44% | |
| 102 | 13% | 40% | |
| 103 | 11% | 27% | |
| 104 | 6% | 17% | |
| 105 | 2% | 11% | |
| 106 | 3% | 9% | |
| 107 | 3% | 7% | |
| 108 | 2% | 4% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 81 | 2% | 97% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 83 | 4% | 94% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 86 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 88 | 2% | 87% | |
| 89 | 2% | 85% | |
| 90 | 5% | 83% | |
| 91 | 5% | 78% | |
| 92 | 6% | 73% | |
| 93 | 3% | 67% | |
| 94 | 7% | 64% | |
| 95 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 96 | 16% | 48% | |
| 97 | 5% | 31% | |
| 98 | 6% | 26% | |
| 99 | 5% | 20% | |
| 100 | 5% | 15% | |
| 101 | 4% | 10% | |
| 102 | 3% | 6% | |
| 103 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 78 | 6% | 97% | |
| 79 | 2% | 90% | |
| 80 | 2% | 88% | |
| 81 | 15% | 87% | |
| 82 | 10% | 71% | |
| 83 | 2% | 62% | |
| 84 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 85 | 16% | 48% | |
| 86 | 2% | 32% | |
| 87 | 4% | 30% | |
| 88 | 14% | 26% | |
| 89 | 5% | 11% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 91 | 3% | 6% | |
| 92 | 2% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 73 | 5% | 97% | |
| 74 | 7% | 93% | |
| 75 | 6% | 86% | |
| 76 | 4% | 80% | |
| 77 | 5% | 76% | |
| 78 | 11% | 70% | |
| 79 | 18% | 59% | Median |
| 80 | 6% | 42% | |
| 81 | 7% | 36% | |
| 82 | 4% | 28% | |
| 83 | 10% | 24% | |
| 84 | 7% | 14% | |
| 85 | 2% | 7% | |
| 86 | 2% | 5% | |
| 87 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 16–24 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1630
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.63%