Opinion Poll by Sifo for Svenska Dagbladet, 23–25 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 31.2% | 29.9–32.5% | 29.6–32.8% | 29.3–33.2% | 28.7–33.8% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.8% | 18.7–20.9% | 18.4–21.2% | 18.2–21.5% | 17.7–22.1% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 17.5% | 16.5–18.6% | 16.2–18.9% | 15.9–19.1% | 15.5–19.7% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6–8.0% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.0–8.8% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.2–6.5% | 5.0–6.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.6–7.2% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2–6.5% | 5.0–6.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.6–7.2% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1–6.4% | 4.9–6.6% | 4.8–6.8% | 4.5–7.1% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6–5.9% | 4.5–6.0% | 4.3–6.2% | 4.1–6.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 110 | 106–115 | 105–117 | 104–118 | 102–120 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 70 | 66–74 | 65–75 | 64–76 | 63–78 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 62 | 58–66 | 57–67 | 57–68 | 55–69 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 26 | 23–28 | 23–29 | 22–30 | 21–31 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 21 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 17–24 | 16–25 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 21 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 17–24 | 16–26 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 20 | 18–23 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 16–25 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 18 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 15–23 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 103 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 104 | 3% | 98% | |
| 105 | 4% | 95% | |
| 106 | 5% | 92% | |
| 107 | 8% | 87% | |
| 108 | 11% | 79% | |
| 109 | 7% | 67% | |
| 110 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 111 | 9% | 49% | |
| 112 | 8% | 40% | |
| 113 | 7% | 31% | |
| 114 | 9% | 24% | |
| 115 | 6% | 15% | |
| 116 | 3% | 8% | |
| 117 | 2% | 5% | |
| 118 | 2% | 3% | |
| 119 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 7% | 95% | |
| 67 | 6% | 88% | |
| 68 | 11% | 81% | |
| 69 | 13% | 70% | |
| 70 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 71 | 11% | 46% | |
| 72 | 11% | 36% | |
| 73 | 9% | 25% | |
| 74 | 6% | 16% | |
| 75 | 6% | 10% | |
| 76 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 77 | 2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 57 | 3% | 98% | |
| 58 | 7% | 94% | |
| 59 | 9% | 87% | |
| 60 | 10% | 78% | |
| 61 | 12% | 68% | |
| 62 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 63 | 9% | 44% | |
| 64 | 9% | 35% | |
| 65 | 12% | 25% | |
| 66 | 8% | 14% | |
| 67 | 3% | 6% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 23 | 6% | 96% | |
| 24 | 13% | 89% | |
| 25 | 19% | 76% | |
| 26 | 19% | 57% | Median |
| 27 | 16% | 39% | |
| 28 | 13% | 22% | Last Result |
| 29 | 5% | 10% | |
| 30 | 3% | 4% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 18 | 9% | 97% | |
| 19 | 17% | 88% | |
| 20 | 12% | 71% | |
| 21 | 24% | 59% | Median |
| 22 | 21% | 36% | |
| 23 | 9% | 15% | |
| 24 | 4% | 6% | |
| 25 | 2% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 18 | 6% | 96% | |
| 19 | 16% | 90% | |
| 20 | 22% | 74% | |
| 21 | 24% | 52% | Median |
| 22 | 12% | 27% | Last Result |
| 23 | 7% | 15% | |
| 24 | 6% | 8% | |
| 25 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 1.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 17 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 18 | 8% | 95% | |
| 19 | 20% | 86% | |
| 20 | 21% | 66% | Median |
| 21 | 18% | 45% | |
| 22 | 16% | 26% | |
| 23 | 7% | 10% | |
| 24 | 3% | 4% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 16 | 8% | 97% | |
| 17 | 19% | 90% | |
| 18 | 22% | 71% | Median |
| 19 | 20% | 49% | |
| 20 | 17% | 29% | Last Result |
| 21 | 8% | 12% | |
| 22 | 3% | 5% | |
| 23 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 196 | 100% | 191–202 | 190–202 | 189–203 | 186–205 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 193 | 100% | 188–198 | 187–200 | 186–201 | 184–203 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 172 | 31% | 168–177 | 167–179 | 165–180 | 163–183 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 170 | 15% | 165–175 | 164–176 | 163–178 | 160–180 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 157 | 0% | 152–163 | 150–163 | 150–164 | 147–167 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 153 | 0% | 147–158 | 147–159 | 146–160 | 144–163 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 136 | 0% | 132–142 | 130–143 | 130–144 | 127–146 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 132 | 0% | 127–138 | 126–139 | 125–139 | 123–142 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 131 | 0% | 126–136 | 125–137 | 124–138 | 122–141 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 122 | 0% | 117–127 | 116–128 | 115–129 | 112–131 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 104 | 0% | 99–108 | 98–109 | 97–109 | 96–113 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 101 | 0% | 96–106 | 95–107 | 94–108 | 92–110 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 83 | 0% | 78–87 | 77–88 | 77–89 | 75–91 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 187 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 188 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 189 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 190 | 5% | 96% | |
| 191 | 3% | 91% | |
| 192 | 6% | 88% | |
| 193 | 11% | 81% | |
| 194 | 9% | 71% | |
| 195 | 9% | 62% | Last Result, Median |
| 196 | 8% | 53% | |
| 197 | 10% | 45% | |
| 198 | 7% | 35% | |
| 199 | 7% | 28% | |
| 200 | 5% | 21% | |
| 201 | 5% | 16% | |
| 202 | 7% | 11% | |
| 203 | 2% | 4% | |
| 204 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 205 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 206 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 181 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 184 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 185 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 186 | 2% | 98% | |
| 187 | 2% | 96% | |
| 188 | 4% | 94% | |
| 189 | 7% | 90% | |
| 190 | 6% | 82% | |
| 191 | 8% | 77% | |
| 192 | 9% | 69% | |
| 193 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 194 | 9% | 49% | |
| 195 | 10% | 40% | |
| 196 | 12% | 30% | |
| 197 | 5% | 18% | |
| 198 | 5% | 13% | |
| 199 | 3% | 9% | |
| 200 | 2% | 5% | |
| 201 | 1.3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 203 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 204 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 160 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 164 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 165 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 166 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 167 | 5% | 95% | |
| 168 | 4% | 90% | |
| 169 | 6% | 86% | |
| 170 | 10% | 81% | Last Result |
| 171 | 7% | 70% | |
| 172 | 14% | 63% | Median |
| 173 | 8% | 49% | |
| 174 | 10% | 41% | |
| 175 | 10% | 31% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 21% | |
| 177 | 8% | 17% | |
| 178 | 2% | 9% | |
| 179 | 3% | 8% | |
| 180 | 2% | 4% | |
| 181 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 182 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 160 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 162 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 163 | 2% | 98% | |
| 164 | 2% | 96% | |
| 165 | 5% | 93% | |
| 166 | 8% | 89% | |
| 167 | 8% | 80% | Last Result |
| 168 | 8% | 72% | |
| 169 | 10% | 64% | Median |
| 170 | 6% | 54% | |
| 171 | 11% | 47% | |
| 172 | 9% | 37% | |
| 173 | 6% | 28% | |
| 174 | 6% | 22% | |
| 175 | 6% | 15% | Majority |
| 176 | 5% | 9% | |
| 177 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 178 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 179 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 180 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 148 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 149 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 150 | 3% | 98% | |
| 151 | 3% | 95% | |
| 152 | 8% | 92% | |
| 153 | 6% | 83% | |
| 154 | 9% | 77% | |
| 155 | 9% | 68% | |
| 156 | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 157 | 7% | 51% | |
| 158 | 10% | 44% | |
| 159 | 6% | 34% | |
| 160 | 6% | 27% | |
| 161 | 6% | 21% | |
| 162 | 4% | 15% | |
| 163 | 7% | 11% | |
| 164 | 2% | 4% | |
| 165 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 144 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 145 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 146 | 2% | 98% | |
| 147 | 7% | 96% | |
| 148 | 5% | 89% | |
| 149 | 5% | 84% | |
| 150 | 7% | 79% | |
| 151 | 7% | 72% | |
| 152 | 10% | 65% | |
| 153 | 8% | 55% | Median |
| 154 | 9% | 47% | Last Result |
| 155 | 9% | 38% | |
| 156 | 11% | 29% | |
| 157 | 6% | 19% | |
| 158 | 3% | 12% | |
| 159 | 5% | 9% | |
| 160 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 161 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 129 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 130 | 4% | 98% | |
| 131 | 3% | 93% | |
| 132 | 6% | 90% | |
| 133 | 9% | 84% | |
| 134 | 7% | 74% | |
| 135 | 12% | 67% | |
| 136 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 137 | 8% | 48% | |
| 138 | 8% | 40% | |
| 139 | 7% | 33% | |
| 140 | 7% | 25% | |
| 141 | 8% | 19% | |
| 142 | 5% | 11% | |
| 143 | 3% | 6% | |
| 144 | 2% | 4% | |
| 145 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 124 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 125 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 126 | 4% | 97% | |
| 127 | 7% | 94% | |
| 128 | 5% | 86% | |
| 129 | 5% | 82% | |
| 130 | 9% | 76% | |
| 131 | 10% | 67% | |
| 132 | 8% | 57% | Last Result, Median |
| 133 | 7% | 49% | |
| 134 | 11% | 42% | |
| 135 | 11% | 32% | |
| 136 | 8% | 21% | |
| 137 | 3% | 13% | |
| 138 | 5% | 10% | |
| 139 | 3% | 5% | |
| 140 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 123 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 124 | 2% | 98% | |
| 125 | 4% | 96% | |
| 126 | 4% | 92% | |
| 127 | 12% | 88% | |
| 128 | 7% | 76% | |
| 129 | 7% | 69% | |
| 130 | 11% | 63% | Median |
| 131 | 7% | 52% | |
| 132 | 10% | 44% | |
| 133 | 7% | 34% | |
| 134 | 7% | 27% | |
| 135 | 7% | 20% | |
| 136 | 5% | 13% | |
| 137 | 4% | 8% | |
| 138 | 2% | 4% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 114 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 115 | 3% | 98% | |
| 116 | 3% | 96% | |
| 117 | 7% | 92% | |
| 118 | 9% | 85% | |
| 119 | 6% | 77% | |
| 120 | 9% | 70% | |
| 121 | 6% | 62% | |
| 122 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 123 | 7% | 47% | |
| 124 | 9% | 40% | |
| 125 | 13% | 31% | |
| 126 | 6% | 17% | |
| 127 | 5% | 12% | |
| 128 | 3% | 7% | |
| 129 | 2% | 4% | |
| 130 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 97 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 98 | 5% | 96% | |
| 99 | 10% | 91% | |
| 100 | 10% | 81% | |
| 101 | 8% | 71% | |
| 102 | 5% | 62% | |
| 103 | 4% | 57% | |
| 104 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 105 | 10% | 47% | |
| 106 | 11% | 37% | |
| 107 | 12% | 26% | |
| 108 | 9% | 14% | |
| 109 | 3% | 5% | |
| 110 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 95 | 2% | 97% | |
| 96 | 5% | 95% | |
| 97 | 5% | 90% | |
| 98 | 6% | 85% | |
| 99 | 10% | 79% | |
| 100 | 9% | 69% | |
| 101 | 13% | 60% | Median |
| 102 | 10% | 47% | |
| 103 | 8% | 37% | |
| 104 | 11% | 29% | |
| 105 | 5% | 19% | |
| 106 | 6% | 13% | |
| 107 | 2% | 7% | |
| 108 | 3% | 5% | |
| 109 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 1.5% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 3% | 98% | |
| 78 | 5% | 95% | |
| 79 | 9% | 89% | |
| 80 | 7% | 80% | |
| 81 | 9% | 73% | |
| 82 | 13% | 64% | |
| 83 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 84 | 8% | 43% | |
| 85 | 12% | 35% | |
| 86 | 7% | 24% | |
| 87 | 7% | 16% | |
| 88 | 6% | 9% | |
| 89 | 2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): Svenska Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 23–25 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 2197
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.86%