Opinion Poll by Sifo for Svenska Dagbladet, 26–28 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 30.9% | 29.6–32.3% | 29.2–32.7% | 28.9–33.0% | 28.2–33.7% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.4% | 18.3–20.6% | 18.0–20.9% | 17.7–21.2% | 17.2–21.8% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 18.0% | 16.9–19.2% | 16.6–19.5% | 16.4–19.8% | 15.9–20.4% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0–8.6% | 6.8–8.8% | 6.6–9.0% | 6.3–9.4% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.7–7.2% | 5.6–7.4% | 5.4–7.6% | 5.1–8.0% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2–6.5% | 5.0–6.8% | 4.8–6.9% | 4.5–7.3% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.4–6.4% | 4.1–6.7% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 109 | 104–114 | 103–115 | 102–117 | 100–120 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 69 | 64–73 | 63–74 | 62–75 | 61–77 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 64 | 60–68 | 59–69 | 58–70 | 56–72 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 27 | 25–30 | 24–31 | 23–32 | 22–33 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 23 | 20–25 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 18–28 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 20 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 17–24 | 16–26 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 19 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 16–22 | 15–24 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 18 | 16–20 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 0–23 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 102 | 2% | 98% | |
| 103 | 3% | 97% | |
| 104 | 4% | 94% | |
| 105 | 4% | 90% | |
| 106 | 9% | 86% | |
| 107 | 5% | 77% | |
| 108 | 16% | 72% | |
| 109 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 110 | 13% | 45% | |
| 111 | 7% | 32% | |
| 112 | 6% | 25% | |
| 113 | 8% | 19% | |
| 114 | 3% | 11% | |
| 115 | 3% | 8% | |
| 116 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 117 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 118 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 63 | 3% | 97% | |
| 64 | 6% | 95% | |
| 65 | 6% | 89% | |
| 66 | 8% | 82% | |
| 67 | 8% | 74% | |
| 68 | 14% | 66% | |
| 69 | 12% | 51% | Median |
| 70 | 10% | 39% | |
| 71 | 7% | 29% | |
| 72 | 9% | 22% | |
| 73 | 7% | 13% | |
| 74 | 3% | 6% | |
| 75 | 2% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 4% | 96% | |
| 60 | 6% | 92% | |
| 61 | 11% | 86% | |
| 62 | 7% | 75% | |
| 63 | 12% | 68% | |
| 64 | 11% | 56% | Median |
| 65 | 17% | 45% | |
| 66 | 10% | 27% | |
| 67 | 6% | 17% | |
| 68 | 4% | 11% | |
| 69 | 3% | 7% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 3% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 24 | 4% | 97% | |
| 25 | 14% | 93% | |
| 26 | 11% | 79% | |
| 27 | 23% | 68% | Median |
| 28 | 17% | 45% | Last Result |
| 29 | 12% | 28% | |
| 30 | 8% | 16% | |
| 31 | 4% | 7% | |
| 32 | 2% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 20 | 7% | 95% | |
| 21 | 16% | 89% | |
| 22 | 21% | 73% | |
| 23 | 15% | 52% | Median |
| 24 | 19% | 37% | |
| 25 | 11% | 19% | |
| 26 | 4% | 8% | |
| 27 | 3% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 18 | 7% | 95% | |
| 19 | 17% | 88% | |
| 20 | 21% | 71% | Last Result, Median |
| 21 | 22% | 50% | |
| 22 | 12% | 28% | |
| 23 | 10% | 16% | |
| 24 | 4% | 6% | |
| 25 | 2% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 6% | 98% | Last Result |
| 17 | 14% | 92% | |
| 18 | 21% | 77% | |
| 19 | 18% | 57% | Median |
| 20 | 23% | 39% | |
| 21 | 8% | 15% | |
| 22 | 5% | 7% | |
| 23 | 2% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 10 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 11 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 12 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 13 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 15 | 4% | 98% | |
| 16 | 8% | 95% | |
| 17 | 25% | 86% | |
| 18 | 30% | 61% | Median |
| 19 | 18% | 31% | |
| 20 | 8% | 13% | |
| 21 | 2% | 5% | |
| 22 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 198 | 100% | 194–204 | 192–206 | 191–207 | 188–212 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 195 | 100% | 191–201 | 189–202 | 188–204 | 186–209 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 173 | 29% | 168–178 | 166–179 | 165–181 | 162–185 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 171 | 23% | 166–176 | 165–178 | 164–180 | 161–184 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 155 | 0% | 150–161 | 149–162 | 147–164 | 145–167 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 151 | 0% | 145–155 | 143–157 | 142–158 | 137–161 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 136 | 0% | 132–142 | 130–143 | 129–145 | 127–148 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 133 | 0% | 127–137 | 126–139 | 125–140 | 123–144 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 128 | 0% | 123–133 | 121–134 | 120–136 | 118–139 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 143 | 125 | 0% | 120–130 | 119–131 | 117–133 | 112–135 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 107 | 0% | 102–112 | 101–113 | 100–115 | 98–117 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 104 | 0% | 100–109 | 98–110 | 97–111 | 90–114 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 87 | 0% | 82–91 | 81–92 | 80–93 | 78–96 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 189 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 190 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 191 | 2% | 98% | |
| 192 | 3% | 96% | |
| 193 | 3% | 93% | |
| 194 | 5% | 90% | |
| 195 | 6% | 85% | Last Result |
| 196 | 8% | 79% | |
| 197 | 7% | 71% | |
| 198 | 16% | 64% | Median |
| 199 | 5% | 48% | |
| 200 | 11% | 43% | |
| 201 | 8% | 32% | |
| 202 | 5% | 24% | |
| 203 | 7% | 19% | |
| 204 | 4% | 12% | |
| 205 | 3% | 8% | |
| 206 | 2% | 5% | |
| 207 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 208 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 209 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 210 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 211 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 213 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 187 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 188 | 2% | 98% | |
| 189 | 2% | 97% | |
| 190 | 4% | 95% | |
| 191 | 4% | 90% | |
| 192 | 5% | 86% | |
| 193 | 5% | 81% | |
| 194 | 15% | 76% | |
| 195 | 12% | 60% | |
| 196 | 7% | 48% | Median |
| 197 | 7% | 42% | |
| 198 | 12% | 35% | |
| 199 | 5% | 22% | |
| 200 | 6% | 17% | |
| 201 | 4% | 12% | Last Result |
| 202 | 3% | 7% | |
| 203 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 204 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 205 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 206 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 207 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 160 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 164 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 165 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 166 | 3% | 97% | |
| 167 | 3% | 94% | |
| 168 | 3% | 91% | |
| 169 | 7% | 88% | |
| 170 | 6% | 80% | Last Result |
| 171 | 6% | 75% | |
| 172 | 6% | 69% | |
| 173 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 174 | 16% | 45% | |
| 175 | 7% | 29% | Majority |
| 176 | 5% | 22% | |
| 177 | 5% | 17% | |
| 178 | 3% | 12% | |
| 179 | 4% | 9% | |
| 180 | 2% | 5% | |
| 181 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 182 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 183 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 163 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 164 | 2% | 98% | |
| 165 | 4% | 96% | |
| 166 | 4% | 92% | |
| 167 | 3% | 88% | Last Result |
| 168 | 10% | 85% | |
| 169 | 5% | 76% | |
| 170 | 11% | 71% | |
| 171 | 14% | 59% | Median |
| 172 | 4% | 45% | |
| 173 | 14% | 41% | |
| 174 | 3% | 27% | |
| 175 | 9% | 23% | Majority |
| 176 | 6% | 15% | |
| 177 | 2% | 9% | |
| 178 | 3% | 7% | |
| 179 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 180 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 181 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 182 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 147 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 148 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 149 | 3% | 96% | |
| 150 | 3% | 93% | |
| 151 | 5% | 89% | |
| 152 | 7% | 84% | |
| 153 | 9% | 77% | |
| 154 | 7% | 67% | |
| 155 | 10% | 60% | Median |
| 156 | 13% | 50% | |
| 157 | 7% | 36% | |
| 158 | 8% | 29% | |
| 159 | 5% | 22% | |
| 160 | 6% | 16% | |
| 161 | 4% | 10% | |
| 162 | 3% | 7% | |
| 163 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 164 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 165 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 141 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 142 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 143 | 2% | 97% | |
| 144 | 3% | 95% | |
| 145 | 4% | 92% | |
| 146 | 7% | 88% | |
| 147 | 5% | 81% | |
| 148 | 8% | 76% | |
| 149 | 11% | 68% | |
| 150 | 5% | 57% | |
| 151 | 16% | 52% | Median |
| 152 | 7% | 36% | |
| 153 | 8% | 29% | |
| 154 | 6% | 21% | Last Result |
| 155 | 5% | 15% | |
| 156 | 3% | 10% | |
| 157 | 3% | 7% | |
| 158 | 2% | 4% | |
| 159 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 160 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 128 | 0.9% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 129 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 130 | 3% | 97% | |
| 131 | 4% | 94% | |
| 132 | 4% | 90% | |
| 133 | 6% | 86% | |
| 134 | 8% | 80% | |
| 135 | 12% | 71% | |
| 136 | 13% | 60% | Median |
| 137 | 8% | 47% | |
| 138 | 11% | 40% | |
| 139 | 6% | 29% | |
| 140 | 8% | 23% | |
| 141 | 3% | 15% | |
| 142 | 5% | 12% | |
| 143 | 3% | 7% | |
| 144 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 145 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 147 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 148 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 123 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 124 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 125 | 2% | 98% | |
| 126 | 5% | 97% | |
| 127 | 4% | 92% | |
| 128 | 4% | 88% | |
| 129 | 6% | 84% | |
| 130 | 11% | 77% | |
| 131 | 6% | 67% | |
| 132 | 7% | 61% | Last Result |
| 133 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 134 | 12% | 42% | |
| 135 | 4% | 30% | |
| 136 | 12% | 25% | |
| 137 | 5% | 14% | |
| 138 | 2% | 9% | |
| 139 | 2% | 7% | |
| 140 | 3% | 5% | |
| 141 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 120 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 121 | 2% | 97% | |
| 122 | 3% | 95% | |
| 123 | 5% | 92% | |
| 124 | 5% | 88% | |
| 125 | 7% | 83% | |
| 126 | 8% | 75% | |
| 127 | 8% | 67% | |
| 128 | 16% | 59% | Median |
| 129 | 9% | 43% | |
| 130 | 9% | 34% | |
| 131 | 9% | 25% | |
| 132 | 4% | 16% | |
| 133 | 4% | 12% | |
| 134 | 4% | 8% | |
| 135 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 136 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 137 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 110 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 116 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 117 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 118 | 2% | 97% | |
| 119 | 3% | 95% | |
| 120 | 4% | 92% | |
| 121 | 8% | 88% | |
| 122 | 6% | 80% | |
| 123 | 6% | 74% | |
| 124 | 16% | 69% | |
| 125 | 9% | 53% | Median |
| 126 | 11% | 44% | |
| 127 | 10% | 33% | |
| 128 | 5% | 23% | |
| 129 | 5% | 18% | |
| 130 | 5% | 13% | |
| 131 | 3% | 8% | |
| 132 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 133 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 99 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 100 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 101 | 4% | 97% | |
| 102 | 4% | 94% | |
| 103 | 6% | 90% | |
| 104 | 9% | 84% | |
| 105 | 5% | 75% | |
| 106 | 12% | 70% | |
| 107 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 108 | 12% | 45% | |
| 109 | 10% | 34% | |
| 110 | 5% | 24% | |
| 111 | 7% | 19% | |
| 112 | 4% | 12% | |
| 113 | 3% | 8% | |
| 114 | 2% | 5% | |
| 115 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 97 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 98 | 2% | 97% | |
| 99 | 3% | 95% | |
| 100 | 6% | 92% | |
| 101 | 6% | 86% | |
| 102 | 9% | 80% | |
| 103 | 13% | 71% | |
| 104 | 10% | 59% | |
| 105 | 13% | 49% | Median |
| 106 | 6% | 36% | |
| 107 | 10% | 30% | |
| 108 | 7% | 20% | |
| 109 | 3% | 13% | |
| 110 | 4% | 9% | |
| 111 | 3% | 5% | |
| 112 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 113 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 80 | 2% | 98% | |
| 81 | 3% | 96% | |
| 82 | 5% | 93% | |
| 83 | 7% | 88% | |
| 84 | 8% | 81% | |
| 85 | 10% | 73% | |
| 86 | 11% | 63% | |
| 87 | 14% | 52% | Median |
| 88 | 9% | 37% | |
| 89 | 7% | 28% | |
| 90 | 7% | 21% | |
| 91 | 6% | 14% | |
| 92 | 4% | 8% | |
| 93 | 2% | 4% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): Svenska Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 26–28 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1932
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.70%