Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 26–30 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 28.3% | 26.7–30.0% | 26.3–30.4% | 25.9–30.8% | 25.1–31.6% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 22.2% | 20.8–23.7% | 20.3–24.2% | 20.0–24.6% | 19.3–25.3% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 16.8% | 15.5–18.2% | 15.2–18.6% | 14.9–19.0% | 14.3–19.7% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7–9.8% | 7.5–10.1% | 7.3–10.3% | 6.8–10.9% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.3–7.0% | 5.1–7.3% | 4.9–7.6% | 4.6–8.0% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3–7.0% | 5.1–7.3% | 4.9–7.6% | 4.6–8.0% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0–6.6% | 4.7–6.9% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.2–7.6% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1–5.6% | 3.9–5.9% | 3.7–6.1% | 3.4–6.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 100 | 94–106 | 92–109 | 91–110 | 89–113 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 79 | 73–84 | 72–86 | 70–87 | 68–90 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 60 | 55–65 | 54–66 | 52–67 | 50–70 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 31 | 27–35 | 26–36 | 25–37 | 24–39 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 22 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 | 16–28 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 22 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 | 16–28 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 21 | 18–24 | 17–24 | 16–25 | 15–27 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 17 | 14–20 | 0–21 | 0–21 | 0–23 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 91 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 92 | 2% | 97% | |
| 93 | 3% | 95% | |
| 94 | 5% | 92% | |
| 95 | 6% | 87% | |
| 96 | 8% | 81% | |
| 97 | 8% | 73% | |
| 98 | 5% | 65% | |
| 99 | 7% | 61% | |
| 100 | 9% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 101 | 7% | 44% | |
| 102 | 8% | 37% | |
| 103 | 7% | 29% | |
| 104 | 3% | 22% | |
| 105 | 6% | 19% | |
| 106 | 3% | 13% | |
| 107 | 2% | 10% | |
| 108 | 2% | 7% | |
| 109 | 2% | 5% | |
| 110 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 111 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 98.8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 4% | 95% | |
| 73 | 4% | 91% | |
| 74 | 5% | 87% | |
| 75 | 5% | 82% | |
| 76 | 8% | 76% | |
| 77 | 8% | 69% | |
| 78 | 9% | 60% | |
| 79 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 80 | 7% | 43% | |
| 81 | 8% | 36% | |
| 82 | 6% | 28% | |
| 83 | 9% | 22% | |
| 84 | 5% | 13% | |
| 85 | 3% | 8% | |
| 86 | 2% | 5% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 52 | 1.5% | 98.6% | |
| 53 | 2% | 97% | |
| 54 | 4% | 95% | |
| 55 | 6% | 91% | |
| 56 | 7% | 85% | |
| 57 | 7% | 78% | |
| 58 | 10% | 71% | |
| 59 | 10% | 61% | |
| 60 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 61 | 9% | 40% | |
| 62 | 8% | 31% | |
| 63 | 7% | 22% | |
| 64 | 4% | 15% | |
| 65 | 4% | 11% | |
| 66 | 2% | 6% | |
| 67 | 2% | 4% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 26 | 3% | 97% | |
| 27 | 6% | 94% | |
| 28 | 9% | 88% | Last Result |
| 29 | 12% | 79% | |
| 30 | 12% | 67% | |
| 31 | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 32 | 11% | 40% | |
| 33 | 12% | 29% | |
| 34 | 7% | 18% | |
| 35 | 4% | 11% | |
| 36 | 4% | 6% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 18 | 4% | 97% | |
| 19 | 9% | 92% | |
| 20 | 14% | 83% | |
| 21 | 14% | 69% | |
| 22 | 18% | 55% | Median |
| 23 | 14% | 37% | |
| 24 | 11% | 23% | |
| 25 | 6% | 13% | |
| 26 | 4% | 7% | |
| 27 | 2% | 3% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 18 | 5% | 97% | |
| 19 | 9% | 92% | |
| 20 | 16% | 84% | |
| 21 | 16% | 68% | |
| 22 | 15% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 23 | 14% | 37% | |
| 24 | 12% | 23% | |
| 25 | 6% | 12% | |
| 26 | 3% | 6% | |
| 27 | 2% | 3% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 3% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 17 | 4% | 96% | |
| 18 | 16% | 92% | |
| 19 | 14% | 76% | |
| 20 | 11% | 62% | |
| 21 | 24% | 51% | Median |
| 22 | 10% | 27% | |
| 23 | 6% | 17% | |
| 24 | 8% | 11% | |
| 25 | 2% | 4% | |
| 26 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 92% | |
| 2 | 0% | 92% | |
| 3 | 0% | 92% | |
| 4 | 0% | 92% | |
| 5 | 0% | 92% | |
| 6 | 0% | 92% | |
| 7 | 0% | 92% | |
| 8 | 0% | 92% | |
| 9 | 0% | 92% | |
| 10 | 0% | 92% | |
| 11 | 0% | 92% | |
| 12 | 0% | 92% | |
| 13 | 0% | 92% | |
| 14 | 4% | 92% | |
| 15 | 11% | 88% | |
| 16 | 18% | 77% | |
| 17 | 17% | 59% | Median |
| 18 | 19% | 42% | |
| 19 | 10% | 23% | |
| 20 | 7% | 13% | Last Result |
| 21 | 3% | 5% | |
| 22 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 189 | 99.0% | 183–197 | 180–198 | 177–200 | 172–202 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 181 | 89% | 174–189 | 173–191 | 172–194 | 168–198 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 174 | 176 | 66% | 168–183 | 165–184 | 164–186 | 160–189 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 175 | 173 | 34% | 166–181 | 165–184 | 163–185 | 160–189 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 159 | 1.1% | 152–167 | 151–170 | 150–172 | 147–175 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 160 | 1.0% | 152–166 | 151–169 | 149–172 | 147–177 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 157 | 0% | 152–167 | 149–167 | 146–169 | 141–171 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 151 | 0% | 144–159 | 143–161 | 141–163 | 139–166 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 147 | 141 | 0% | 136–150 | 134–152 | 133–153 | 129–156 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 139 | 0% | 130–144 | 129–147 | 128–149 | 126–154 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 131 | 0% | 124–138 | 123–140 | 122–142 | 119–144 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 120 | 0% | 114–127 | 112–130 | 111–131 | 108–134 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 119 | 0% | 112–125 | 109–128 | 105–130 | 102–132 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 103 | 0% | 97–109 | 96–111 | 94–113 | 91–116 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 100 | 0% | 94–106 | 92–109 | 91–110 | 89–113 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 99 | 0% | 90–104 | 86–105 | 84–107 | 79–110 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 112 | 98 | 0% | 90–104 | 86–105 | 82–107 | 79–110 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 81 | 0% | 76–87 | 74–89 | 73–90 | 71–93 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 92 | 81 | 0% | 76–87 | 74–89 | 73–90 | 71–93 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 169 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 174 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 175 | 0.5% | 99.0% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 177 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 178 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 179 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 180 | 2% | 96% | |
| 181 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 182 | 2% | 93% | |
| 183 | 2% | 91% | |
| 184 | 6% | 89% | |
| 185 | 5% | 82% | |
| 186 | 6% | 78% | |
| 187 | 13% | 72% | |
| 188 | 5% | 59% | |
| 189 | 13% | 53% | |
| 190 | 6% | 40% | |
| 191 | 7% | 34% | Median |
| 192 | 4% | 27% | |
| 193 | 4% | 23% | |
| 194 | 3% | 19% | |
| 195 | 3% | 16% | Last Result |
| 196 | 3% | 13% | |
| 197 | 2% | 11% | |
| 198 | 4% | 9% | |
| 199 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 200 | 2% | 3% | |
| 201 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 202 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 170 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 171 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 172 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 173 | 4% | 97% | |
| 174 | 3% | 93% | |
| 175 | 3% | 89% | Majority |
| 176 | 8% | 86% | |
| 177 | 8% | 78% | |
| 178 | 6% | 70% | |
| 179 | 6% | 65% | |
| 180 | 8% | 58% | |
| 181 | 4% | 51% | |
| 182 | 6% | 47% | Median |
| 183 | 5% | 41% | |
| 184 | 5% | 36% | |
| 185 | 7% | 31% | |
| 186 | 4% | 24% | |
| 187 | 5% | 20% | |
| 188 | 5% | 15% | |
| 189 | 2% | 11% | |
| 190 | 3% | 9% | |
| 191 | 2% | 6% | |
| 192 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 193 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 194 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 195 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 198 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 162 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 163 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 164 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 165 | 2% | 97% | |
| 166 | 2% | 94% | |
| 167 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 168 | 2% | 91% | |
| 169 | 3% | 89% | |
| 170 | 4% | 87% | |
| 171 | 4% | 83% | |
| 172 | 4% | 79% | |
| 173 | 4% | 75% | |
| 174 | 6% | 71% | Last Result |
| 175 | 7% | 66% | Majority |
| 176 | 10% | 59% | |
| 177 | 7% | 49% | |
| 178 | 7% | 42% | Median |
| 179 | 5% | 35% | |
| 180 | 9% | 30% | |
| 181 | 6% | 21% | |
| 182 | 3% | 15% | |
| 183 | 5% | 12% | |
| 184 | 3% | 7% | |
| 185 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 186 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 187 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 161 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 163 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 164 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 165 | 3% | 96% | |
| 166 | 5% | 93% | |
| 167 | 3% | 88% | |
| 168 | 6% | 85% | |
| 169 | 9% | 79% | |
| 170 | 5% | 70% | |
| 171 | 7% | 65% | |
| 172 | 7% | 58% | |
| 173 | 10% | 51% | |
| 174 | 7% | 41% | Median |
| 175 | 6% | 34% | Last Result, Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 29% | |
| 177 | 4% | 25% | |
| 178 | 4% | 21% | |
| 179 | 4% | 17% | |
| 180 | 3% | 13% | |
| 181 | 2% | 11% | |
| 182 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 183 | 2% | 8% | |
| 184 | 2% | 6% | |
| 185 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 186 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 189 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 147 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 150 | 3% | 98% | |
| 151 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 152 | 5% | 94% | |
| 153 | 3% | 90% | |
| 154 | 3% | 86% | |
| 155 | 10% | 83% | |
| 156 | 4% | 74% | |
| 157 | 8% | 70% | |
| 158 | 8% | 62% | |
| 159 | 4% | 53% | |
| 160 | 8% | 49% | Median |
| 161 | 6% | 42% | |
| 162 | 6% | 35% | |
| 163 | 7% | 29% | |
| 164 | 2% | 22% | |
| 165 | 7% | 20% | |
| 166 | 2% | 14% | |
| 167 | 3% | 11% | |
| 168 | 2% | 8% | |
| 169 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 170 | 1.2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 171 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 172 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 173 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 175 | 0.8% | 1.1% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 147 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 149 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 150 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 151 | 4% | 96% | |
| 152 | 2% | 91% | |
| 153 | 3% | 89% | |
| 154 | 3% | 87% | Last Result |
| 155 | 3% | 84% | |
| 156 | 4% | 81% | |
| 157 | 4% | 77% | |
| 158 | 7% | 73% | |
| 159 | 6% | 66% | |
| 160 | 13% | 60% | |
| 161 | 5% | 47% | Median |
| 162 | 13% | 41% | |
| 163 | 6% | 28% | |
| 164 | 5% | 22% | |
| 165 | 6% | 18% | |
| 166 | 2% | 11% | |
| 167 | 2% | 9% | |
| 168 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 169 | 2% | 6% | |
| 170 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 171 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 172 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 173 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 174 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 175 | 0.3% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 177 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 138 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 142 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 147 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 148 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 149 | 2% | 95% | |
| 150 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 151 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 152 | 3% | 91% | |
| 153 | 3% | 88% | |
| 154 | 7% | 85% | |
| 155 | 7% | 78% | |
| 156 | 12% | 71% | |
| 157 | 9% | 59% | |
| 158 | 7% | 50% | |
| 159 | 8% | 43% | |
| 160 | 4% | 35% | Median |
| 161 | 4% | 31% | |
| 162 | 6% | 26% | |
| 163 | 3% | 20% | |
| 164 | 2% | 17% | |
| 165 | 2% | 15% | |
| 166 | 2% | 13% | |
| 167 | 6% | 11% | Last Result |
| 168 | 2% | 5% | |
| 169 | 2% | 3% | |
| 170 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 171 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 141 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 142 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 143 | 3% | 95% | |
| 144 | 4% | 93% | Last Result |
| 145 | 4% | 89% | |
| 146 | 4% | 85% | |
| 147 | 6% | 81% | |
| 148 | 7% | 75% | |
| 149 | 8% | 68% | |
| 150 | 7% | 60% | |
| 151 | 9% | 53% | |
| 152 | 6% | 44% | Median |
| 153 | 6% | 37% | |
| 154 | 6% | 32% | |
| 155 | 5% | 26% | |
| 156 | 5% | 20% | |
| 157 | 2% | 16% | |
| 158 | 3% | 14% | |
| 159 | 3% | 11% | |
| 160 | 2% | 8% | |
| 161 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 162 | 2% | 5% | |
| 163 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 164 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 131 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 132 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 133 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 134 | 3% | 97% | |
| 135 | 2% | 95% | |
| 136 | 5% | 92% | |
| 137 | 6% | 87% | |
| 138 | 11% | 81% | |
| 139 | 5% | 69% | |
| 140 | 10% | 64% | |
| 141 | 5% | 54% | |
| 142 | 6% | 49% | |
| 143 | 3% | 43% | Median |
| 144 | 7% | 39% | |
| 145 | 5% | 32% | |
| 146 | 5% | 27% | |
| 147 | 4% | 22% | Last Result |
| 148 | 5% | 19% | |
| 149 | 3% | 14% | |
| 150 | 3% | 11% | |
| 151 | 2% | 8% | |
| 152 | 3% | 6% | |
| 153 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 154 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 127 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 128 | 2% | 98% | |
| 129 | 3% | 96% | |
| 130 | 4% | 93% | |
| 131 | 2% | 89% | |
| 132 | 3% | 87% | Last Result |
| 133 | 2% | 84% | |
| 134 | 3% | 82% | |
| 135 | 3% | 79% | |
| 136 | 4% | 75% | |
| 137 | 6% | 72% | |
| 138 | 11% | 66% | |
| 139 | 13% | 55% | Median |
| 140 | 9% | 41% | |
| 141 | 10% | 32% | |
| 142 | 9% | 22% | |
| 143 | 3% | 14% | |
| 144 | 3% | 11% | |
| 145 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 146 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 147 | 2% | 6% | |
| 148 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 149 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 120 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 121 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 122 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 123 | 6% | 97% | |
| 124 | 4% | 91% | |
| 125 | 3% | 87% | |
| 126 | 2% | 84% | |
| 127 | 8% | 81% | |
| 128 | 11% | 74% | Last Result |
| 129 | 9% | 63% | |
| 130 | 4% | 54% | |
| 131 | 4% | 50% | Median |
| 132 | 7% | 46% | |
| 133 | 10% | 39% | |
| 134 | 7% | 28% | |
| 135 | 2% | 22% | |
| 136 | 3% | 20% | |
| 137 | 3% | 16% | |
| 138 | 6% | 13% | |
| 139 | 2% | 7% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 141 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 142 | 2% | 4% | |
| 143 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 144 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 111 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 112 | 3% | 97% | |
| 113 | 2% | 94% | |
| 114 | 3% | 92% | |
| 115 | 7% | 88% | |
| 116 | 5% | 81% | Last Result |
| 117 | 7% | 76% | |
| 118 | 8% | 68% | |
| 119 | 4% | 61% | |
| 120 | 11% | 57% | |
| 121 | 9% | 46% | Median |
| 122 | 5% | 37% | |
| 123 | 6% | 32% | |
| 124 | 6% | 26% | |
| 125 | 3% | 21% | |
| 126 | 5% | 17% | |
| 127 | 3% | 12% | |
| 128 | 2% | 9% | |
| 129 | 2% | 8% | |
| 130 | 2% | 5% | |
| 131 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 132 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 104 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 105 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 106 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 109 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 110 | 2% | 94% | |
| 111 | 2% | 92% | |
| 112 | 3% | 90% | |
| 113 | 3% | 87% | |
| 114 | 3% | 84% | |
| 115 | 3% | 80% | |
| 116 | 4% | 77% | |
| 117 | 5% | 74% | |
| 118 | 10% | 69% | |
| 119 | 10% | 59% | |
| 120 | 8% | 49% | |
| 121 | 5% | 41% | Median |
| 122 | 6% | 37% | |
| 123 | 7% | 31% | |
| 124 | 9% | 24% | |
| 125 | 6% | 15% | |
| 126 | 3% | 9% | |
| 127 | 2% | 7% | |
| 128 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 129 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 130 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 131 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 94 | 2% | 98% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 96 | 3% | 95% | |
| 97 | 6% | 92% | |
| 98 | 3% | 86% | |
| 99 | 4% | 83% | |
| 100 | 9% | 79% | |
| 101 | 8% | 70% | |
| 102 | 8% | 63% | |
| 103 | 7% | 54% | |
| 104 | 8% | 47% | Median |
| 105 | 8% | 40% | |
| 106 | 8% | 32% | |
| 107 | 6% | 24% | |
| 108 | 4% | 18% | |
| 109 | 5% | 14% | |
| 110 | 3% | 9% | |
| 111 | 2% | 6% | |
| 112 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 114 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 91 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 92 | 2% | 97% | |
| 93 | 3% | 95% | |
| 94 | 5% | 92% | |
| 95 | 6% | 87% | |
| 96 | 8% | 81% | |
| 97 | 8% | 73% | |
| 98 | 5% | 65% | |
| 99 | 7% | 61% | |
| 100 | 9% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 101 | 7% | 44% | |
| 102 | 8% | 37% | |
| 103 | 7% | 29% | |
| 104 | 3% | 22% | |
| 105 | 6% | 19% | |
| 106 | 3% | 13% | |
| 107 | 2% | 10% | |
| 108 | 2% | 7% | |
| 109 | 2% | 5% | |
| 110 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 111 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 84 | 2% | 98% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 86 | 2% | 96% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 90 | 2% | 91% | |
| 91 | 1.3% | 89% | |
| 92 | 4% | 88% | |
| 93 | 3% | 84% | |
| 94 | 6% | 80% | |
| 95 | 8% | 75% | |
| 96 | 7% | 66% | |
| 97 | 5% | 60% | |
| 98 | 5% | 55% | |
| 99 | 10% | 50% | Median |
| 100 | 9% | 40% | |
| 101 | 10% | 31% | |
| 102 | 5% | 21% | |
| 103 | 4% | 16% | |
| 104 | 4% | 12% | |
| 105 | 3% | 8% | |
| 106 | 2% | 5% | |
| 107 | 2% | 3% | |
| 108 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 98.5% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 89 | 2% | 93% | |
| 90 | 2% | 91% | |
| 91 | 2% | 89% | |
| 92 | 4% | 87% | |
| 93 | 5% | 83% | |
| 94 | 2% | 78% | |
| 95 | 8% | 76% | |
| 96 | 5% | 68% | |
| 97 | 9% | 63% | |
| 98 | 8% | 54% | |
| 99 | 10% | 46% | Median |
| 100 | 8% | 37% | |
| 101 | 5% | 29% | |
| 102 | 8% | 23% | |
| 103 | 5% | 15% | |
| 104 | 3% | 10% | |
| 105 | 3% | 7% | |
| 106 | 2% | 5% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 108 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 110 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 113 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 74 | 3% | 97% | |
| 75 | 3% | 94% | |
| 76 | 5% | 92% | |
| 77 | 8% | 87% | |
| 78 | 5% | 79% | |
| 79 | 8% | 74% | |
| 80 | 8% | 66% | |
| 81 | 9% | 58% | |
| 82 | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 83 | 10% | 42% | |
| 84 | 8% | 32% | |
| 85 | 7% | 24% | |
| 86 | 7% | 18% | |
| 87 | 2% | 11% | |
| 88 | 3% | 8% | |
| 89 | 2% | 5% | |
| 90 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 3% | 97% | |
| 75 | 3% | 94% | |
| 76 | 5% | 91% | |
| 77 | 5% | 85% | |
| 78 | 5% | 80% | |
| 79 | 11% | 75% | |
| 80 | 6% | 64% | |
| 81 | 9% | 58% | |
| 82 | 10% | 49% | Median |
| 83 | 7% | 39% | |
| 84 | 9% | 32% | |
| 85 | 4% | 23% | |
| 86 | 6% | 18% | |
| 87 | 4% | 12% | |
| 88 | 3% | 8% | |
| 89 | 2% | 5% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 26–30 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1279
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.96%