Opinion Poll by Novus for SVT, 28–30 August 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 28.3% 26.8–29.8% 26.4–30.2% 26.0–30.6% 25.3–31.4%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 19.6% 18.3–21.0% 18.0–21.4% 17.7–21.7% 17.1–22.4%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 18.4% 17.2–19.7% 16.8–20.1% 16.5–20.5% 15.9–21.1%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 7.3% 6.5–8.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.7–9.2%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 7.3% 6.5–8.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.7–9.2%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 6.6% 5.8–7.5% 5.6–7.8% 5.4–8.0% 5.1–8.4%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 5.9% 5.2–6.8% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.5–7.7%
Liberalerna 5.5% 5.6% 4.9–6.4% 4.7–6.7% 4.5–6.9% 4.2–7.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 100 94–105 92–106 91–107 89–110
Sverigedemokraterna 62 69 64–73 63–75 62–76 60–79
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 65 60–69 59–70 58–71 56–74
Centerpartiet 31 26 23–29 22–30 21–31 20–32
Vänsterpartiet 28 26 23–29 22–30 21–31 20–32
Kristdemokraterna 22 23 21–27 20–28 19–28 18–30
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 21 18–24 18–25 17–26 16–27
Liberalerna 20 20 17–23 17–23 16–24 15–26

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.3% 99.8%  
89 0.4% 99.6%  
90 0.6% 99.2%  
91 2% 98.6%  
92 2% 97%  
93 4% 95%  
94 4% 91%  
95 5% 87%  
96 7% 82%  
97 6% 75%  
98 11% 68%  
99 7% 57%  
100 10% 50% Last Result, Median
101 8% 40%  
102 11% 32%  
103 5% 21%  
104 4% 16%  
105 4% 12%  
106 4% 8%  
107 1.3% 4%  
108 1.1% 2%  
109 0.6% 1.3%  
110 0.4% 0.7%  
111 0.2% 0.3%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.8%  
60 0.4% 99.7%  
61 0.7% 99.3%  
62 2% 98.6% Last Result
63 3% 97%  
64 4% 94%  
65 7% 90%  
66 9% 83%  
67 10% 74%  
68 9% 64%  
69 10% 56% Median
70 10% 46%  
71 11% 36%  
72 8% 25%  
73 8% 16%  
74 3% 9%  
75 2% 5%  
76 1.3% 3%  
77 0.8% 2%  
78 0.5% 1.1%  
79 0.4% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 0.4% 99.7%  
57 1.1% 99.3%  
58 2% 98%  
59 2% 96%  
60 6% 94%  
61 6% 88%  
62 9% 82%  
63 7% 73%  
64 9% 66%  
65 18% 57% Median
66 9% 40%  
67 8% 31%  
68 7% 23%  
69 6% 15%  
70 5% 9% Last Result
71 2% 5%  
72 0.6% 2%  
73 1.0% 2%  
74 0.4% 0.7%  
75 0.2% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.7% 99.9%  
21 2% 99.2%  
22 5% 97%  
23 10% 92%  
24 15% 82%  
25 13% 67%  
26 17% 54% Median
27 15% 37%  
28 8% 22%  
29 7% 14%  
30 4% 7%  
31 2% 3% Last Result
32 0.7% 1.2%  
33 0.4% 0.5%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.6% 99.9%  
21 2% 99.3%  
22 4% 97%  
23 7% 93%  
24 13% 86%  
25 21% 72%  
26 13% 51% Median
27 13% 38%  
28 13% 25% Last Result
29 6% 13%  
30 3% 7%  
31 2% 4%  
32 1.1% 1.4%  
33 0.2% 0.4%  
34 0.1% 0.2%  
35 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.2% 100%  
18 1.0% 99.8%  
19 2% 98.8%  
20 5% 96%  
21 12% 91%  
22 16% 79% Last Result
23 18% 63% Median
24 13% 45%  
25 14% 32%  
26 8% 18%  
27 5% 10%  
28 4% 5%  
29 1.3% 2%  
30 0.4% 0.5%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.7% 99.8% Last Result
17 4% 99.1%  
18 10% 95%  
19 17% 85%  
20 14% 69%  
21 15% 54% Median
22 10% 39%  
23 11% 29%  
24 12% 18%  
25 4% 7%  
26 2% 3%  
27 0.5% 0.6%  
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0.2% 99.9%  
15 1.2% 99.7%  
16 3% 98%  
17 10% 95%  
18 14% 86%  
19 18% 72%  
20 21% 54% Last Result, Median
21 14% 33%  
22 8% 20%  
23 7% 11%  
24 3% 5%  
25 1.3% 2%  
26 0.5% 0.6%  
27 0.1% 0.2%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 195 192 100% 187–198 184–199 183–201 180–204
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 190 100% 184–196 183–197 181–199 178–202
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 174 177 73% 171–183 169–184 168–186 165–189
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 175 172 27% 166–178 165–180 163–181 160–184
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 167 166 3% 160–172 159–173 157–175 154–178
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 164 1.0% 158–170 157–172 155–173 152–176
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna 154 157 0% 151–162 150–165 148–166 145–169
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 147 146 0% 140–152 139–153 138–155 135–158
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 144 146 0% 141–152 139–154 138–155 135–158
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 143 134 0% 128–139 126–141 125–143 123–145
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet 132 134 0% 128–139 126–141 125–142 123–145
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 125 0% 120–131 118–133 117–134 114–137
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 121 0% 115–126 113–128 112–129 109–132
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 114 0% 109–119 107–121 105–122 103–125
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 110 0% 105–116 103–117 102–119 100–121
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 112 108 0% 103–113 101–115 100–116 97–119
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 100 0% 94–105 92–106 91–107 89–110
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 91 0% 86–96 84–97 83–98 81–101
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna 92 88 0% 83–93 82–95 81–96 78–99

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
177 0% 100%  
178 0.1% 99.9%  
179 0.2% 99.8%  
180 0.2% 99.7%  
181 0.5% 99.5%  
182 0.9% 99.0%  
183 1.0% 98%  
184 2% 97%  
185 2% 95%  
186 2% 93%  
187 8% 91%  
188 10% 82%  
189 6% 73%  
190 5% 66%  
191 11% 62%  
192 6% 50%  
193 9% 44% Median
194 7% 34%  
195 7% 27% Last Result
196 4% 20%  
197 5% 16%  
198 4% 11%  
199 3% 7%  
200 1.0% 4%  
201 2% 3%  
202 0.9% 2%  
203 0.4% 0.9%  
204 0.2% 0.5%  
205 0.2% 0.3%  
206 0.1% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
175 0% 100% Majority
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.1% 99.9%  
178 0.3% 99.7%  
179 0.7% 99.4%  
180 0.7% 98.7%  
181 1.1% 98%  
182 2% 97%  
183 2% 95%  
184 6% 93%  
185 4% 87%  
186 7% 83%  
187 6% 76%  
188 7% 71%  
189 9% 63%  
190 6% 54%  
191 9% 47% Median
192 10% 38%  
193 7% 28%  
194 5% 21%  
195 5% 16%  
196 3% 11%  
197 4% 8%  
198 2% 4%  
199 1.2% 3%  
200 0.5% 2%  
201 0.5% 1.1% Last Result
202 0.3% 0.5%  
203 0.1% 0.3%  
204 0.1% 0.2%  
205 0.1% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0.1% 99.9%  
164 0.2% 99.8%  
165 0.3% 99.6%  
166 0.8% 99.3%  
167 0.3% 98.6%  
168 1.4% 98%  
169 2% 97%  
170 3% 95%  
171 4% 92%  
172 5% 87%  
173 4% 83%  
174 5% 78% Last Result
175 8% 73% Majority
176 10% 65%  
177 9% 54% Median
178 8% 45%  
179 8% 37%  
180 4% 29%  
181 9% 25%  
182 6% 16%  
183 4% 10%  
184 2% 6%  
185 2% 4%  
186 1.3% 3%  
187 0.5% 2%  
188 0.5% 1.1%  
189 0.4% 0.6%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0.4% 99.8%  
161 0.5% 99.4%  
162 0.5% 98.9%  
163 1.3% 98%  
164 2% 97%  
165 2% 96%  
166 4% 94%  
167 6% 90%  
168 9% 84%  
169 4% 75%  
170 8% 71%  
171 8% 63%  
172 9% 55%  
173 10% 46% Median
174 8% 35%  
175 5% 27% Last Result, Majority
176 4% 22%  
177 5% 17%  
178 4% 13%  
179 3% 8%  
180 2% 5%  
181 1.4% 3%  
182 0.3% 2%  
183 0.8% 1.4%  
184 0.3% 0.7%  
185 0.2% 0.4%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0% 100%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.2% 99.8%  
154 0.2% 99.6%  
155 0.4% 99.4%  
156 0.8% 99.0%  
157 1.1% 98%  
158 2% 97%  
159 3% 95%  
160 3% 92%  
161 3% 89%  
162 8% 86%  
163 9% 78%  
164 9% 69%  
165 8% 59%  
166 6% 52%  
167 10% 46% Last Result, Median
168 8% 35%  
169 7% 27%  
170 4% 20%  
171 4% 16%  
172 4% 12%  
173 3% 8%  
174 2% 4%  
175 0.7% 3% Majority
176 0.7% 2%  
177 0.6% 1.2%  
178 0.4% 0.6%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0.1% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.2% 99.9%  
152 0.4% 99.7%  
153 0.4% 99.3%  
154 0.9% 99.0%  
155 0.9% 98%  
156 1.3% 97%  
157 4% 96%  
158 4% 92%  
159 4% 88%  
160 6% 84%  
161 4% 78%  
162 8% 73%  
163 9% 65%  
164 7% 56%  
165 11% 49% Median
166 5% 38%  
167 8% 34%  
168 9% 25%  
169 4% 16%  
170 6% 13% Last Result
171 2% 7%  
172 1.4% 5%  
173 2% 4%  
174 1.4% 2%  
175 0.5% 1.0% Majority
176 0.2% 0.5%  
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0% 100%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.2% 99.9%  
145 0.2% 99.7%  
146 0.4% 99.5%  
147 0.9% 99.1%  
148 2% 98%  
149 1.0% 97%  
150 3% 96%  
151 4% 93%  
152 5% 89%  
153 4% 84%  
154 7% 80% Last Result
155 7% 73%  
156 9% 66%  
157 6% 56% Median
158 11% 50%  
159 5% 38%  
160 6% 34%  
161 10% 27%  
162 8% 18%  
163 2% 9%  
164 2% 7%  
165 2% 5%  
166 1.0% 3%  
167 0.9% 2%  
168 0.5% 1.0%  
169 0.2% 0.5%  
170 0.2% 0.3%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0.1% 100%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.2% 99.8%  
135 0.5% 99.6%  
136 0.5% 99.1%  
137 1.0% 98.6%  
138 1.4% 98%  
139 3% 96%  
140 4% 93%  
141 4% 89%  
142 7% 86%  
143 6% 79%  
144 10% 73%  
145 9% 63%  
146 8% 54%  
147 9% 46% Last Result, Median
148 8% 37%  
149 7% 29%  
150 4% 22%  
151 8% 18%  
152 2% 11%  
153 4% 8%  
154 2% 5%  
155 1.1% 3%  
156 0.9% 2%  
157 0.3% 1.1%  
158 0.5% 0.8%  
159 0.1% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0% 100%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.2% 99.8%  
135 0.3% 99.6%  
136 0.5% 99.3%  
137 1.0% 98.8%  
138 2% 98%  
139 2% 96%  
140 3% 94%  
141 6% 91%  
142 6% 85%  
143 6% 80%  
144 9% 74% Last Result
145 8% 65%  
146 11% 57%  
147 9% 46% Median
148 8% 36%  
149 4% 28%  
150 7% 24%  
151 5% 17%  
152 3% 12%  
153 3% 9%  
154 3% 6%  
155 1.1% 3%  
156 0.8% 2%  
157 0.4% 1.2%  
158 0.4% 0.7%  
159 0.2% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.2% 99.8%  
122 0.1% 99.7%  
123 0.5% 99.5%  
124 0.5% 99.0%  
125 1.5% 98.5%  
126 2% 97%  
127 3% 95%  
128 4% 92%  
129 5% 88%  
130 7% 83%  
131 7% 76%  
132 6% 70%  
133 12% 63%  
134 8% 52% Median
135 9% 44%  
136 9% 35%  
137 6% 26%  
138 7% 20%  
139 5% 14%  
140 2% 9%  
141 3% 7%  
142 1.0% 4%  
143 1.0% 3% Last Result
144 0.8% 2%  
145 0.3% 0.8%  
146 0.3% 0.5%  
147 0.1% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.2% 99.7%  
123 0.5% 99.5%  
124 0.8% 99.0%  
125 1.2% 98%  
126 2% 97%  
127 3% 95%  
128 4% 91%  
129 5% 88%  
130 7% 83%  
131 6% 76%  
132 7% 70% Last Result
133 9% 62%  
134 8% 54% Median
135 9% 46%  
136 12% 37%  
137 6% 26%  
138 5% 20%  
139 7% 16%  
140 2% 8%  
141 3% 7%  
142 1.2% 4%  
143 1.1% 2%  
144 0.6% 1.4%  
145 0.3% 0.7%  
146 0.1% 0.4%  
147 0.2% 0.3%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.8%  
114 0.4% 99.7%  
115 0.5% 99.3%  
116 0.8% 98.8%  
117 2% 98%  
118 3% 96%  
119 3% 94%  
120 4% 91%  
121 6% 87%  
122 6% 81%  
123 10% 74%  
124 10% 64%  
125 8% 54%  
126 8% 47% Median
127 10% 39%  
128 6% 29% Last Result
129 5% 23%  
130 5% 18%  
131 5% 13%  
132 2% 8%  
133 2% 5%  
134 1.5% 3%  
135 0.9% 2%  
136 0.5% 1.0%  
137 0.2% 0.5%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.2% 99.7%  
110 0.4% 99.5%  
111 1.0% 99.1%  
112 2% 98%  
113 2% 97%  
114 3% 94%  
115 3% 92%  
116 7% 88% Last Result
117 7% 81%  
118 8% 75%  
119 9% 66%  
120 6% 57%  
121 11% 51% Median
122 11% 39%  
123 5% 28%  
124 7% 23%  
125 4% 16%  
126 4% 12%  
127 3% 8%  
128 2% 5%  
129 0.9% 3%  
130 0.8% 2%  
131 0.5% 1.1%  
132 0.3% 0.6%  
133 0.2% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.3% 99.7%  
104 0.5% 99.4%  
105 1.4% 98.9%  
106 1.1% 97%  
107 3% 96%  
108 3% 94%  
109 5% 91%  
110 6% 86%  
111 8% 80%  
112 8% 72%  
113 9% 64%  
114 9% 55% Median
115 8% 46%  
116 12% 38%  
117 6% 26%  
118 5% 20%  
119 6% 15%  
120 4% 9%  
121 2% 6%  
122 1.2% 3%  
123 0.9% 2% Last Result
124 0.6% 1.3%  
125 0.3% 0.7%  
126 0.2% 0.4%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.2% 99.7%  
100 0.3% 99.5%  
101 0.8% 99.2%  
102 2% 98%  
103 3% 97%  
104 3% 94%  
105 3% 92%  
106 7% 89%  
107 6% 81%  
108 11% 75%  
109 6% 64%  
110 9% 58%  
111 9% 49% Median
112 7% 40%  
113 13% 33%  
114 4% 20%  
115 4% 16%  
116 3% 12%  
117 4% 8%  
118 2% 5%  
119 1.1% 3%  
120 0.5% 1.4%  
121 0.5% 0.9% Last Result
122 0.2% 0.4%  
123 0.1% 0.3%  
124 0.1% 0.1%  
125 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0.2% 99.8%  
97 0.3% 99.6%  
98 0.3% 99.3%  
99 0.7% 98.9%  
100 2% 98%  
101 2% 96%  
102 4% 94%  
103 4% 90%  
104 6% 86%  
105 9% 80%  
106 9% 71%  
107 6% 62%  
108 9% 56% Median
109 8% 47%  
110 12% 39%  
111 6% 27%  
112 8% 21% Last Result
113 4% 13%  
114 4% 9%  
115 2% 5%  
116 2% 4%  
117 0.8% 2%  
118 0.7% 1.3%  
119 0.2% 0.7%  
120 0.3% 0.4%  
121 0.1% 0.2%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.3% 99.8%  
89 0.4% 99.6%  
90 0.6% 99.2%  
91 2% 98.6%  
92 2% 97%  
93 4% 95%  
94 4% 91%  
95 5% 87%  
96 7% 82%  
97 6% 75%  
98 11% 68%  
99 7% 57%  
100 10% 50% Last Result, Median
101 8% 40%  
102 11% 32%  
103 5% 21%  
104 4% 16%  
105 4% 12%  
106 4% 8%  
107 1.3% 4%  
108 1.1% 2%  
109 0.6% 1.3%  
110 0.4% 0.7%  
111 0.2% 0.3%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8%  
81 0.6% 99.6%  
82 1.3% 99.0%  
83 2% 98%  
84 2% 96%  
85 3% 94%  
86 6% 91%  
87 6% 85%  
88 11% 78%  
89 5% 68%  
90 11% 63%  
91 10% 52% Median
92 11% 42%  
93 9% 31%  
94 7% 22%  
95 4% 15%  
96 3% 11%  
97 3% 7%  
98 2% 4%  
99 0.9% 2%  
100 0.6% 1.3%  
101 0.4% 0.7% Last Result
102 0.2% 0.4%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.3% 99.7%  
79 0.6% 99.4%  
80 0.9% 98.8%  
81 3% 98%  
82 2% 95%  
83 5% 93%  
84 5% 88%  
85 7% 83%  
86 9% 76%  
87 9% 67%  
88 12% 59% Median
89 8% 46%  
90 11% 39%  
91 9% 28%  
92 5% 19% Last Result
93 6% 14%  
94 3% 8%  
95 2% 5%  
96 1.4% 3%  
97 1.1% 2%  
98 0.3% 0.9%  
99 0.3% 0.5%  
100 0.2% 0.3%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations