Opinion Poll by Sifo for Svenska Dagbladet, 30 August–1 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 28.7% | 27.3–30.2% | 26.9–30.6% | 26.6–30.9% | 26.0–31.6% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 20.7% | 19.5–22.0% | 19.1–22.4% | 18.8–22.7% | 18.3–23.3% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 16.6% | 15.5–17.9% | 15.2–18.2% | 15.0–18.5% | 14.4–19.1% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7–8.4% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.3–8.9% | 6.0–9.3% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7–8.3% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.3–8.8% | 5.9–9.2% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5–7.0% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.2–7.5% | 4.8–7.9% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5–7.0% | 5.3–7.2% | 5.1–7.4% | 4.8–7.8% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3–5.6% | 4.1–5.8% | 3.9–6.0% | 3.7–6.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 102 | 97–107 | 95–108 | 94–110 | 92–113 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 73 | 70–78 | 68–80 | 67–81 | 64–83 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 59 | 55–63 | 54–65 | 53–65 | 51–68 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 27 | 24–30 | 23–31 | 23–31 | 21–33 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 27 | 24–29 | 23–30 | 22–31 | 21–33 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 22 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 18–26 | 17–28 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 22 | 19–24 | 19–26 | 18–26 | 17–28 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 17 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 0–21 | 0–23 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 94 | 2% | 98% | |
| 95 | 2% | 96% | |
| 96 | 4% | 94% | |
| 97 | 3% | 91% | |
| 98 | 6% | 88% | |
| 99 | 4% | 82% | |
| 100 | 10% | 78% | Last Result |
| 101 | 10% | 69% | |
| 102 | 15% | 59% | Median |
| 103 | 8% | 44% | |
| 104 | 15% | 36% | |
| 105 | 6% | 21% | |
| 106 | 4% | 15% | |
| 107 | 3% | 11% | |
| 108 | 3% | 8% | |
| 109 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 110 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 111 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 112 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 96% | |
| 69 | 4% | 94% | |
| 70 | 8% | 90% | |
| 71 | 8% | 82% | |
| 72 | 14% | 74% | |
| 73 | 18% | 60% | Median |
| 74 | 10% | 42% | |
| 75 | 7% | 32% | |
| 76 | 7% | 24% | |
| 77 | 4% | 18% | |
| 78 | 4% | 13% | |
| 79 | 3% | 9% | |
| 80 | 3% | 6% | |
| 81 | 2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 2% | 96% | |
| 55 | 6% | 94% | |
| 56 | 14% | 88% | |
| 57 | 9% | 74% | |
| 58 | 9% | 65% | |
| 59 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 60 | 12% | 47% | |
| 61 | 15% | 35% | |
| 62 | 6% | 19% | |
| 63 | 4% | 13% | |
| 64 | 4% | 9% | |
| 65 | 3% | 5% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 23 | 5% | 98% | |
| 24 | 7% | 93% | |
| 25 | 11% | 86% | |
| 26 | 19% | 75% | |
| 27 | 19% | 56% | Median |
| 28 | 14% | 37% | Last Result |
| 29 | 12% | 23% | |
| 30 | 4% | 10% | |
| 31 | 4% | 6% | |
| 32 | 2% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 23 | 4% | 97% | |
| 24 | 10% | 93% | |
| 25 | 16% | 83% | |
| 26 | 16% | 67% | |
| 27 | 19% | 50% | Median |
| 28 | 14% | 32% | |
| 29 | 9% | 18% | |
| 30 | 5% | 9% | |
| 31 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 32 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 19 | 6% | 97% | |
| 20 | 10% | 91% | |
| 21 | 22% | 81% | |
| 22 | 18% | 60% | Last Result, Median |
| 23 | 17% | 42% | |
| 24 | 12% | 25% | |
| 25 | 7% | 13% | |
| 26 | 3% | 6% | |
| 27 | 2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 19 | 7% | 97% | |
| 20 | 12% | 90% | Last Result |
| 21 | 11% | 78% | |
| 22 | 31% | 67% | Median |
| 23 | 7% | 36% | |
| 24 | 19% | 29% | |
| 25 | 5% | 10% | |
| 26 | 3% | 5% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0% | 97% | |
| 8 | 0% | 97% | |
| 9 | 0% | 97% | |
| 10 | 0% | 97% | |
| 11 | 0% | 97% | |
| 12 | 0% | 97% | |
| 13 | 0% | 97% | |
| 14 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 15 | 14% | 95% | |
| 16 | 15% | 81% | Last Result |
| 17 | 25% | 66% | Median |
| 18 | 18% | 41% | |
| 19 | 11% | 23% | |
| 20 | 6% | 11% | |
| 21 | 3% | 5% | |
| 22 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 195 | 100% | 189–200 | 187–201 | 185–202 | 181–205 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 188 | 99.9% | 182–193 | 180–195 | 179–197 | 176–202 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 174 | 177 | 67% | 171–183 | 170–185 | 168–186 | 166–190 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 175 | 172 | 33% | 166–178 | 164–179 | 163–181 | 159–183 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 168 | 5% | 161–173 | 160–174 | 157–176 | 154–179 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 161 | 0.5% | 156–167 | 154–169 | 153–170 | 150–174 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 154 | 0% | 149–160 | 148–162 | 147–164 | 144–168 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 146 | 0% | 140–151 | 138–153 | 136–154 | 131–157 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 147 | 146 | 0% | 140–151 | 137–152 | 135–154 | 131–157 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 132 | 0% | 127–138 | 126–140 | 125–142 | 122–145 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 130 | 0% | 124–135 | 123–137 | 122–138 | 119–142 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 129 | 0% | 124–134 | 122–136 | 120–137 | 118–141 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 119 | 0% | 113–124 | 111–126 | 109–127 | 103–130 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 107 | 0% | 103–113 | 101–114 | 100–116 | 98–119 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 108 | 0% | 102–113 | 101–114 | 100–116 | 98–119 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 112 | 104 | 0% | 98–108 | 97–110 | 96–111 | 93–114 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 102 | 0% | 97–107 | 95–108 | 94–110 | 92–113 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 86 | 0% | 81–90 | 79–92 | 79–93 | 77–96 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 92 | 81 | 0% | 77–86 | 75–87 | 74–88 | 72–91 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 183 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 184 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 185 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 186 | 2% | 97% | |
| 187 | 2% | 95% | |
| 188 | 3% | 93% | |
| 189 | 4% | 91% | |
| 190 | 5% | 87% | |
| 191 | 5% | 81% | |
| 192 | 9% | 77% | |
| 193 | 8% | 67% | |
| 194 | 8% | 60% | |
| 195 | 12% | 51% | Last Result, Median |
| 196 | 5% | 39% | |
| 197 | 10% | 35% | |
| 198 | 7% | 24% | |
| 199 | 6% | 17% | |
| 200 | 4% | 11% | |
| 201 | 2% | 7% | |
| 202 | 2% | 5% | |
| 203 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 204 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 205 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 177 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 178 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 179 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 180 | 2% | 97% | |
| 181 | 3% | 95% | |
| 182 | 4% | 92% | |
| 183 | 6% | 88% | |
| 184 | 6% | 82% | |
| 185 | 7% | 76% | |
| 186 | 8% | 69% | |
| 187 | 9% | 60% | |
| 188 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 189 | 14% | 43% | |
| 190 | 8% | 30% | |
| 191 | 6% | 22% | |
| 192 | 4% | 17% | |
| 193 | 3% | 13% | |
| 194 | 3% | 10% | |
| 195 | 3% | 7% | |
| 196 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 197 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 198 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 199 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 166 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 167 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 168 | 2% | 98% | |
| 169 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 170 | 3% | 96% | |
| 171 | 3% | 92% | |
| 172 | 8% | 89% | |
| 173 | 5% | 82% | |
| 174 | 9% | 77% | Last Result |
| 175 | 8% | 67% | Majority |
| 176 | 7% | 60% | Median |
| 177 | 9% | 52% | |
| 178 | 10% | 43% | |
| 179 | 8% | 33% | |
| 180 | 7% | 25% | |
| 181 | 4% | 18% | |
| 182 | 4% | 14% | |
| 183 | 2% | 10% | |
| 184 | 3% | 8% | |
| 185 | 2% | 5% | |
| 186 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 187 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 189 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 190 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 160 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 161 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 162 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 163 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 164 | 2% | 97% | |
| 165 | 3% | 95% | |
| 166 | 2% | 92% | |
| 167 | 4% | 90% | |
| 168 | 4% | 86% | |
| 169 | 7% | 82% | |
| 170 | 8% | 75% | |
| 171 | 10% | 67% | |
| 172 | 9% | 57% | |
| 173 | 7% | 48% | Median |
| 174 | 8% | 40% | |
| 175 | 9% | 33% | Last Result, Majority |
| 176 | 5% | 23% | |
| 177 | 8% | 18% | |
| 178 | 3% | 11% | |
| 179 | 3% | 8% | |
| 180 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 181 | 2% | 3% | |
| 182 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 183 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 148 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 154 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 155 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 156 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 158 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 159 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 160 | 2% | 95% | |
| 161 | 3% | 93% | |
| 162 | 3% | 90% | |
| 163 | 3% | 87% | |
| 164 | 5% | 84% | |
| 165 | 9% | 79% | |
| 166 | 7% | 70% | |
| 167 | 7% | 63% | Last Result |
| 168 | 14% | 56% | Median |
| 169 | 8% | 42% | |
| 170 | 11% | 34% | |
| 171 | 7% | 23% | |
| 172 | 6% | 16% | |
| 173 | 4% | 11% | |
| 174 | 2% | 7% | |
| 175 | 2% | 5% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 3% | |
| 177 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 178 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 179 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 147 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 152 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 153 | 2% | 98% | |
| 154 | 3% | 96% | |
| 155 | 3% | 94% | |
| 156 | 6% | 90% | |
| 157 | 4% | 85% | |
| 158 | 11% | 81% | |
| 159 | 5% | 70% | |
| 160 | 13% | 65% | |
| 161 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 162 | 9% | 45% | |
| 163 | 9% | 36% | |
| 164 | 3% | 26% | |
| 165 | 9% | 23% | |
| 166 | 3% | 13% | |
| 167 | 4% | 11% | |
| 168 | 2% | 7% | |
| 169 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 170 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 172 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 144 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 145 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 146 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 147 | 2% | 98% | |
| 148 | 2% | 95% | |
| 149 | 4% | 93% | |
| 150 | 6% | 89% | |
| 151 | 7% | 83% | |
| 152 | 10% | 76% | |
| 153 | 5% | 65% | |
| 154 | 12% | 61% | Last Result, Median |
| 155 | 8% | 49% | |
| 156 | 8% | 40% | |
| 157 | 9% | 33% | |
| 158 | 5% | 23% | |
| 159 | 5% | 19% | |
| 160 | 4% | 13% | |
| 161 | 3% | 9% | |
| 162 | 2% | 7% | |
| 163 | 2% | 5% | |
| 164 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 165 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 135 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 137 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 138 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 139 | 2% | 94% | |
| 140 | 5% | 92% | |
| 141 | 4% | 87% | |
| 142 | 6% | 83% | |
| 143 | 6% | 77% | |
| 144 | 9% | 71% | Last Result |
| 145 | 6% | 63% | |
| 146 | 11% | 56% | Median |
| 147 | 11% | 45% | |
| 148 | 9% | 34% | |
| 149 | 7% | 25% | |
| 150 | 6% | 19% | |
| 151 | 4% | 13% | |
| 152 | 3% | 9% | |
| 153 | 3% | 6% | |
| 154 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 134 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 135 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 136 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 137 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 138 | 2% | 95% | |
| 139 | 2% | 92% | |
| 140 | 3% | 91% | |
| 141 | 3% | 88% | |
| 142 | 5% | 84% | |
| 143 | 11% | 79% | |
| 144 | 8% | 68% | |
| 145 | 5% | 60% | |
| 146 | 16% | 55% | Median |
| 147 | 10% | 40% | Last Result |
| 148 | 7% | 30% | |
| 149 | 6% | 22% | |
| 150 | 5% | 17% | |
| 151 | 4% | 11% | |
| 152 | 3% | 7% | |
| 153 | 2% | 5% | |
| 154 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 155 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 123 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 124 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 126 | 3% | 96% | |
| 127 | 4% | 93% | |
| 128 | 4% | 89% | |
| 129 | 9% | 85% | |
| 130 | 13% | 76% | |
| 131 | 9% | 63% | |
| 132 | 7% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 133 | 7% | 47% | |
| 134 | 11% | 40% | |
| 135 | 6% | 29% | |
| 136 | 5% | 23% | |
| 137 | 6% | 18% | |
| 138 | 4% | 12% | |
| 139 | 3% | 8% | |
| 140 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 141 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 142 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 120 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 121 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 122 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 123 | 3% | 97% | |
| 124 | 4% | 94% | |
| 125 | 3% | 90% | |
| 126 | 9% | 87% | |
| 127 | 6% | 77% | |
| 128 | 6% | 71% | |
| 129 | 15% | 66% | |
| 130 | 5% | 50% | Median |
| 131 | 12% | 46% | |
| 132 | 9% | 34% | |
| 133 | 6% | 24% | |
| 134 | 6% | 18% | |
| 135 | 3% | 13% | |
| 136 | 3% | 10% | |
| 137 | 3% | 7% | |
| 138 | 2% | 4% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 120 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 121 | 2% | 97% | |
| 122 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 123 | 4% | 94% | |
| 124 | 6% | 90% | |
| 125 | 8% | 84% | |
| 126 | 4% | 76% | |
| 127 | 5% | 72% | |
| 128 | 7% | 66% | Last Result |
| 129 | 15% | 59% | Median |
| 130 | 13% | 45% | |
| 131 | 9% | 32% | |
| 132 | 3% | 22% | |
| 133 | 5% | 19% | |
| 134 | 4% | 14% | |
| 135 | 4% | 10% | |
| 136 | 2% | 6% | |
| 137 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 138 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 107 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 109 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 110 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 111 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 112 | 2% | 94% | |
| 113 | 3% | 92% | |
| 114 | 4% | 89% | |
| 115 | 5% | 85% | |
| 116 | 6% | 81% | Last Result |
| 117 | 10% | 75% | |
| 118 | 6% | 65% | |
| 119 | 14% | 59% | Median |
| 120 | 8% | 45% | |
| 121 | 13% | 37% | |
| 122 | 6% | 24% | |
| 123 | 6% | 18% | |
| 124 | 5% | 12% | |
| 125 | 2% | 7% | |
| 126 | 2% | 5% | |
| 127 | 2% | 4% | |
| 128 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 129 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 130 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 100 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 101 | 3% | 97% | |
| 102 | 4% | 94% | |
| 103 | 4% | 91% | |
| 104 | 8% | 87% | |
| 105 | 8% | 79% | |
| 106 | 6% | 72% | |
| 107 | 16% | 65% | |
| 108 | 8% | 49% | Median |
| 109 | 7% | 41% | |
| 110 | 12% | 34% | |
| 111 | 6% | 22% | |
| 112 | 5% | 16% | |
| 113 | 3% | 11% | |
| 114 | 3% | 8% | |
| 115 | 2% | 5% | |
| 116 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 117 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 100 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 101 | 4% | 97% | |
| 102 | 4% | 93% | |
| 103 | 3% | 89% | |
| 104 | 6% | 86% | |
| 105 | 13% | 80% | |
| 106 | 5% | 68% | |
| 107 | 5% | 62% | |
| 108 | 13% | 57% | Median |
| 109 | 16% | 44% | |
| 110 | 3% | 27% | |
| 111 | 6% | 24% | |
| 112 | 7% | 18% | |
| 113 | 4% | 11% | |
| 114 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 115 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 116 | 2% | 4% | |
| 117 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 95 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 96 | 2% | 98% | |
| 97 | 3% | 96% | |
| 98 | 3% | 93% | |
| 99 | 7% | 89% | |
| 100 | 5% | 83% | |
| 101 | 9% | 77% | |
| 102 | 10% | 68% | |
| 103 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 104 | 15% | 51% | |
| 105 | 7% | 36% | |
| 106 | 10% | 29% | |
| 107 | 5% | 19% | |
| 108 | 5% | 14% | |
| 109 | 3% | 9% | |
| 110 | 2% | 6% | |
| 111 | 2% | 4% | |
| 112 | 0.8% | 2% | Last Result |
| 113 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 94 | 2% | 98% | |
| 95 | 2% | 96% | |
| 96 | 4% | 94% | |
| 97 | 3% | 91% | |
| 98 | 6% | 88% | |
| 99 | 4% | 82% | |
| 100 | 10% | 78% | Last Result |
| 101 | 10% | 69% | |
| 102 | 15% | 59% | Median |
| 103 | 8% | 44% | |
| 104 | 15% | 36% | |
| 105 | 6% | 21% | |
| 106 | 4% | 15% | |
| 107 | 3% | 11% | |
| 108 | 3% | 8% | |
| 109 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 110 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 111 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 112 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 79 | 3% | 98% | |
| 80 | 2% | 95% | |
| 81 | 9% | 93% | |
| 82 | 5% | 84% | |
| 83 | 8% | 79% | |
| 84 | 7% | 70% | |
| 85 | 12% | 64% | |
| 86 | 12% | 52% | Median |
| 87 | 12% | 40% | |
| 88 | 6% | 28% | |
| 89 | 8% | 22% | |
| 90 | 5% | 14% | |
| 91 | 3% | 9% | |
| 92 | 2% | 6% | |
| 93 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 75 | 3% | 97% | |
| 76 | 3% | 94% | |
| 77 | 7% | 91% | |
| 78 | 6% | 84% | |
| 79 | 8% | 78% | |
| 80 | 14% | 70% | |
| 81 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 82 | 16% | 48% | |
| 83 | 7% | 33% | |
| 84 | 10% | 26% | |
| 85 | 4% | 16% | |
| 86 | 6% | 12% | |
| 87 | 2% | 6% | |
| 88 | 2% | 4% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): Svenska Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 30 August–1 September 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1706
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.70%