Opinion Poll by Demoskop for Aftonbladet, 31 August–4 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 29.2% 28.0–30.5% 27.6–30.9% 27.3–31.2% 26.8–31.8%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 20.5% 19.4–21.6% 19.1–21.9% 18.8–22.2% 18.3–22.8%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 18.3% 17.3–19.4% 17.0–19.7% 16.7–20.0% 16.3–20.5%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 8.3% 7.6–9.1% 7.4–9.3% 7.2–9.5% 6.9–9.9%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 8.1% 7.4–8.9% 7.2–9.1% 7.0–9.3% 6.7–9.7%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 5.3% 4.7–6.0% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.3% 4.2–6.7%
Liberalerna 5.5% 5.3% 4.7–6.0% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.3% 4.2–6.7%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 4.3% 3.8–4.9% 3.6–5.1% 3.5–5.2% 3.3–5.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 104 99–109 97–111 96–112 94–115
Sverigedemokraterna 62 72 68–77 67–78 66–80 65–82
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 65 61–69 60–71 59–72 57–74
Vänsterpartiet 28 29 27–32 26–33 25–34 24–35
Centerpartiet 31 29 26–32 25–33 25–33 24–35
Kristdemokraterna 22 19 16–21 16–22 16–22 15–24
Liberalerna 20 19 17–21 16–22 16–23 15–24
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 15 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–19

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0.1% 100%  
93 0.2% 99.9%  
94 0.3% 99.7%  
95 0.7% 99.4%  
96 2% 98.8%  
97 4% 97%  
98 2% 93%  
99 6% 91%  
100 7% 85% Last Result
101 11% 78%  
102 8% 67%  
103 8% 59%  
104 10% 52% Median
105 13% 41%  
106 5% 28%  
107 7% 23%  
108 3% 16%  
109 4% 14%  
110 2% 9%  
111 3% 7%  
112 1.3% 4%  
113 1.0% 2%  
114 0.4% 1.3%  
115 0.5% 0.9%  
116 0.3% 0.4%  
117 0.1% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100% Last Result
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 1.0% 99.6%  
66 1.4% 98.6%  
67 5% 97%  
68 4% 93%  
69 8% 89%  
70 7% 80%  
71 12% 74%  
72 14% 61% Median
73 14% 47%  
74 8% 34%  
75 8% 26%  
76 5% 18%  
77 4% 13%  
78 4% 8%  
79 2% 5%  
80 1.5% 3%  
81 0.7% 1.4%  
82 0.4% 0.7%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.2% 99.9%  
57 0.5% 99.7%  
58 1.1% 99.3%  
59 1.5% 98%  
60 4% 97%  
61 7% 93%  
62 8% 85%  
63 14% 77%  
64 12% 63%  
65 13% 51% Median
66 10% 38%  
67 9% 28%  
68 5% 19%  
69 5% 13%  
70 3% 8% Last Result
71 2% 5%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.6% 1.1%  
74 0.3% 0.5%  
75 0.2% 0.3%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.2% 100%  
24 0.5% 99.8%  
25 3% 99.3%  
26 4% 96%  
27 9% 92%  
28 16% 82% Last Result
29 17% 66% Median
30 20% 49%  
31 10% 29%  
32 11% 19%  
33 4% 8%  
34 3% 4%  
35 0.6% 1.1%  
36 0.3% 0.5%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.4% 99.9%  
24 1.5% 99.5%  
25 5% 98%  
26 9% 93%  
27 13% 84%  
28 19% 71%  
29 17% 52% Median
30 16% 36%  
31 9% 20% Last Result
32 5% 10%  
33 3% 5%  
34 1.3% 2%  
35 0.4% 0.6%  
36 0.1% 0.2%  
37 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0% 99.8%  
10 0% 99.8%  
11 0% 99.8%  
12 0% 99.8%  
13 0% 99.8%  
14 0.2% 99.8%  
15 1.5% 99.7%  
16 8% 98%  
17 13% 90%  
18 19% 77%  
19 24% 58% Median
20 16% 34%  
21 11% 18%  
22 4% 7% Last Result
23 2% 2%  
24 0.4% 0.5%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0.2% 99.9%  
15 2% 99.6%  
16 7% 98%  
17 16% 91%  
18 20% 75%  
19 22% 55% Median
20 15% 33% Last Result
21 9% 17%  
22 5% 8%  
23 2% 3%  
24 0.6% 0.8%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100%  
1 0% 77%  
2 0% 77%  
3 0% 77%  
4 0% 77%  
5 0% 77%  
6 0% 77%  
7 0% 77%  
8 0% 77%  
9 0% 77%  
10 0% 77%  
11 0% 77%  
12 0% 77%  
13 0% 77%  
14 7% 77%  
15 30% 70% Median
16 16% 40% Last Result
17 17% 24%  
18 6% 7%  
19 1.2% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.5%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 196 100% 190–206 189–207 188–209 186–212
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna 195 193 100% 187–198 184–200 182–202 179–204
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 174 174 50% 169–182 168–184 166–186 164–189
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 175 175 50% 167–180 165–181 163–183 160–185
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 168 13% 162–176 161–177 160–179 157–183
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna 167 164 0.5% 156–169 154–171 152–173 149–174
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna 154 156 0% 151–162 149–165 147–167 145–170
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 147 145 0% 137–151 135–152 133–154 130–156
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 144 146 0% 137–152 135–153 133–153 130–156
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet 132 137 0% 132–143 130–146 129–148 127–151
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 133 0% 128–140 126–142 125–143 123–146
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 143 131 0% 126–137 125–139 124–141 121–144
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 117 0% 107–122 105–123 103–125 100–127
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 112 0% 107–119 106–120 105–122 102–124
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 112 0% 108–117 106–120 105–121 103–124
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 104 0% 99–109 97–111 96–112 94–115
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 112 102 0% 98–108 97–109 96–111 92–114
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 93 0% 89–99 88–100 87–102 84–104
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna 92 83 0% 79–88 78–90 77–91 75–94

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
183 0.1% 100%  
184 0.2% 99.9%  
185 0.1% 99.7%  
186 0.3% 99.6%  
187 0.6% 99.3%  
188 2% 98.7%  
189 3% 97%  
190 6% 94%  
191 3% 88%  
192 3% 85%  
193 4% 82%  
194 6% 77%  
195 9% 71%  
196 14% 62%  
197 10% 48%  
198 5% 38% Median
199 5% 33%  
200 4% 28%  
201 4% 25% Last Result
202 3% 20%  
203 3% 17%  
204 2% 14%  
205 2% 13%  
206 2% 11%  
207 4% 9%  
208 2% 5%  
209 1.0% 3%  
210 0.8% 2%  
211 0.3% 1.0%  
212 0.3% 0.6%  
213 0.1% 0.4%  
214 0.1% 0.2%  
215 0.1% 0.2%  
216 0.1% 0.1%  
217 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
176 0.1% 100%  
177 0.2% 99.9%  
178 0.1% 99.7%  
179 0.4% 99.6%  
180 0.5% 99.2%  
181 1.1% 98.6%  
182 0.6% 98%  
183 2% 97%  
184 0.6% 95%  
185 2% 95%  
186 2% 93%  
187 3% 91%  
188 5% 88%  
189 3% 83%  
190 7% 80%  
191 7% 72%  
192 8% 65%  
193 9% 58%  
194 10% 49%  
195 11% 39% Last Result
196 6% 28% Median
197 6% 22%  
198 6% 16%  
199 2% 9%  
200 4% 8%  
201 1.3% 4%  
202 2% 3%  
203 0.4% 0.9%  
204 0.2% 0.5%  
205 0.1% 0.3%  
206 0.1% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0.1% 99.9%  
162 0.1% 99.8%  
163 0.2% 99.8%  
164 0.3% 99.6%  
165 0.5% 99.3%  
166 1.4% 98.8%  
167 2% 97%  
168 4% 95%  
169 4% 91%  
170 5% 87%  
171 12% 82%  
172 5% 70%  
173 7% 64%  
174 7% 57% Last Result
175 9% 50% Median, Majority
176 8% 41%  
177 4% 33%  
178 7% 28%  
179 4% 21%  
180 3% 18%  
181 3% 15%  
182 3% 11%  
183 3% 9%  
184 0.9% 6%  
185 1.2% 5%  
186 1.2% 4%  
187 1.1% 2%  
188 0.4% 1.3%  
189 0.4% 0.9%  
190 0.2% 0.4%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0.1% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
156 0.1% 100%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.9%  
159 0.2% 99.8%  
160 0.4% 99.6%  
161 0.4% 99.1%  
162 1.1% 98.7%  
163 1.2% 98%  
164 1.2% 96%  
165 0.9% 95%  
166 3% 94%  
167 3% 91%  
168 3% 89%  
169 3% 85%  
170 4% 82%  
171 7% 79%  
172 4% 72%  
173 8% 67%  
174 9% 59%  
175 7% 50% Last Result, Majority
176 7% 43%  
177 5% 36% Median
178 12% 30%  
179 5% 18%  
180 4% 13%  
181 4% 9%  
182 2% 5%  
183 1.4% 3%  
184 0.5% 1.2%  
185 0.3% 0.7%  
186 0.2% 0.4%  
187 0.1% 0.2%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0% 100%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.2% 99.8%  
157 0.3% 99.6%  
158 0.2% 99.3%  
159 1.2% 99.1%  
160 1.5% 98%  
161 5% 96%  
162 4% 92%  
163 6% 88%  
164 6% 83%  
165 5% 77%  
166 6% 72%  
167 7% 66%  
168 13% 59%  
169 9% 46% Median
170 8% 37% Last Result
171 5% 29%  
172 3% 24%  
173 4% 21%  
174 3% 17%  
175 1.4% 13% Majority
176 3% 12%  
177 4% 9%  
178 1.4% 4%  
179 0.9% 3%  
180 0.7% 2%  
181 0.3% 2%  
182 0.7% 1.2%  
183 0.2% 0.5%  
184 0.2% 0.3%  
185 0.1% 0.2%  
186 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
144 0% 100%  
145 0.1% 99.9%  
146 0.1% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.8%  
148 0.1% 99.7%  
149 0.5% 99.6%  
150 0.6% 99.1%  
151 0.6% 98%  
152 0.6% 98%  
153 1.2% 97%  
154 1.4% 96%  
155 2% 95%  
156 3% 92%  
157 2% 90%  
158 3% 88%  
159 3% 84%  
160 9% 81%  
161 4% 72%  
162 5% 68%  
163 9% 64%  
164 8% 55%  
165 13% 46%  
166 5% 34%  
167 6% 28% Last Result, Median
168 6% 22%  
169 7% 15%  
170 3% 9%  
171 1.2% 5%  
172 2% 4%  
173 2% 3%  
174 0.3% 0.8%  
175 0.2% 0.5% Majority
176 0.1% 0.3%  
177 0.1% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0% 100%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.8%  
145 0.2% 99.7%  
146 0.4% 99.5%  
147 2% 99.1%  
148 1.3% 97%  
149 4% 96%  
150 2% 92%  
151 6% 91%  
152 6% 84%  
153 6% 78%  
154 11% 72% Last Result
155 10% 61%  
156 9% 51% Median
157 8% 42%  
158 7% 35%  
159 7% 28%  
160 3% 20%  
161 5% 17%  
162 3% 12%  
163 2% 9%  
164 2% 7%  
165 0.6% 5%  
166 2% 5%  
167 0.6% 3%  
168 1.1% 2%  
169 0.5% 1.4%  
170 0.4% 0.8%  
171 0.1% 0.4%  
172 0.2% 0.3%  
173 0.1% 0.1%  
174 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0.1% 100%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.8%  
129 0.2% 99.7%  
130 0.2% 99.5%  
131 0.7% 99.3%  
132 0.6% 98.6%  
133 1.2% 98%  
134 2% 97%  
135 2% 95%  
136 2% 93%  
137 2% 91%  
138 3% 89%  
139 4% 86%  
140 2% 82%  
141 7% 80%  
142 3% 73%  
143 6% 69%  
144 7% 63%  
145 8% 56%  
146 7% 49%  
147 6% 42% Last Result
148 12% 36% Median
149 6% 23%  
150 5% 17%  
151 6% 13%  
152 3% 7%  
153 1.4% 4%  
154 2% 3%  
155 0.5% 1.2%  
156 0.4% 0.7%  
157 0.1% 0.3%  
158 0.1% 0.2%  
159 0.1% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
127 0% 100%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.2% 99.8%  
130 0.3% 99.6%  
131 0.6% 99.3%  
132 0.5% 98.7%  
133 2% 98%  
134 0.8% 97%  
135 1.4% 96%  
136 2% 94%  
137 3% 92%  
138 2% 90%  
139 3% 88%  
140 2% 85%  
141 4% 83%  
142 4% 79%  
143 9% 75%  
144 4% 66% Last Result
145 7% 62%  
146 6% 55%  
147 10% 49%  
148 9% 39% Median
149 4% 30%  
150 10% 25%  
151 6% 16%  
152 4% 10%  
153 4% 6%  
154 0.8% 2%  
155 0.7% 2%  
156 0.3% 0.8%  
157 0.2% 0.5%  
158 0.1% 0.3%  
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0.1% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
125 0.1% 100%  
126 0.2% 99.9%  
127 0.6% 99.7%  
128 0.5% 99.1%  
129 1.2% 98.6%  
130 3% 97%  
131 2% 94%  
132 4% 92% Last Result
133 8% 88%  
134 7% 80%  
135 10% 74%  
136 8% 63%  
137 11% 56% Median
138 8% 45%  
139 10% 37%  
140 6% 27%  
141 6% 21%  
142 3% 15%  
143 4% 12%  
144 2% 8%  
145 1.1% 7%  
146 2% 5%  
147 1.0% 4%  
148 1.4% 3%  
149 0.6% 1.5%  
150 0.4% 0.9%  
151 0.2% 0.5%  
152 0.2% 0.3%  
153 0.1% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0.1% 100%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.3% 99.8%  
123 0.5% 99.5%  
124 0.6% 99.0%  
125 3% 98%  
126 3% 96%  
127 2% 93%  
128 5% 91% Last Result
129 6% 86%  
130 10% 79%  
131 9% 70%  
132 8% 60%  
133 9% 53% Median
134 4% 44%  
135 15% 40%  
136 5% 26%  
137 5% 20%  
138 3% 16%  
139 3% 13%  
140 2% 10%  
141 2% 8%  
142 2% 6%  
143 2% 4%  
144 0.6% 2%  
145 0.6% 1.3%  
146 0.4% 0.7%  
147 0.1% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.8%  
120 0.2% 99.7%  
121 0.4% 99.5%  
122 0.5% 99.1%  
123 1.0% 98.6%  
124 2% 98%  
125 4% 96%  
126 4% 92%  
127 13% 88%  
128 8% 75%  
129 9% 67%  
130 6% 58%  
131 8% 52%  
132 8% 44% Median
133 6% 36%  
134 6% 30%  
135 7% 24%  
136 5% 17%  
137 3% 13%  
138 4% 9%  
139 2% 6%  
140 0.7% 4%  
141 1.3% 3%  
142 1.0% 2%  
143 0.4% 1.1% Last Result
144 0.5% 0.7%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0.1% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0.2% 99.9%  
99 0.2% 99.8%  
100 0.2% 99.5%  
101 0.4% 99.3%  
102 0.6% 98.8%  
103 1.3% 98%  
104 2% 97%  
105 2% 95%  
106 1.4% 93%  
107 2% 92%  
108 1.3% 90%  
109 4% 88%  
110 2% 85%  
111 4% 82%  
112 2% 79%  
113 4% 76%  
114 5% 72%  
115 8% 68%  
116 7% 59% Last Result
117 7% 53%  
118 7% 46%  
119 7% 39% Median
120 12% 32%  
121 6% 20%  
122 5% 14%  
123 4% 8%  
124 1.3% 4%  
125 2% 3%  
126 0.6% 1.4%  
127 0.4% 0.7%  
128 0.1% 0.3%  
129 0.1% 0.2%  
130 0.1% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.3% 99.8%  
103 0.3% 99.5%  
104 1.4% 99.2%  
105 1.4% 98%  
106 2% 96%  
107 6% 94%  
108 10% 88%  
109 5% 79%  
110 8% 73%  
111 11% 65%  
112 12% 55%  
113 6% 43% Median
114 6% 37%  
115 10% 31%  
116 6% 21%  
117 3% 15%  
118 3% 13%  
119 4% 10%  
120 2% 6%  
121 0.8% 3% Last Result
122 1.0% 3%  
123 0.8% 1.5%  
124 0.5% 0.7%  
125 0.1% 0.2%  
126 0.1% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.8%  
102 0.2% 99.7%  
103 0.4% 99.6%  
104 1.3% 99.2%  
105 2% 98%  
106 2% 96%  
107 3% 95%  
108 8% 92%  
109 9% 84%  
110 13% 74%  
111 8% 62%  
112 8% 53%  
113 9% 45% Median
114 6% 37%  
115 8% 31%  
116 8% 23%  
117 5% 15%  
118 2% 10%  
119 3% 8%  
120 1.3% 5%  
121 2% 4%  
122 0.8% 2%  
123 0.5% 1.3% Last Result
124 0.5% 0.9%  
125 0.2% 0.4%  
126 0.1% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0.1% 100%  
93 0.2% 99.9%  
94 0.3% 99.7%  
95 0.7% 99.4%  
96 2% 98.8%  
97 4% 97%  
98 2% 93%  
99 6% 91%  
100 7% 85% Last Result
101 11% 78%  
102 8% 67%  
103 8% 59%  
104 10% 52% Median
105 13% 41%  
106 5% 28%  
107 7% 23%  
108 3% 16%  
109 4% 14%  
110 2% 9%  
111 3% 7%  
112 1.3% 4%  
113 1.0% 2%  
114 0.4% 1.3%  
115 0.5% 0.9%  
116 0.3% 0.4%  
117 0.1% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0.1% 99.8%  
92 0.4% 99.7%  
93 0.2% 99.3%  
94 0.8% 99.0%  
95 0.7% 98%  
96 1.1% 98%  
97 4% 96%  
98 8% 93%  
99 15% 85%  
100 8% 70%  
101 10% 62%  
102 4% 52%  
103 7% 47% Median
104 8% 40%  
105 8% 33%  
106 8% 25%  
107 7% 17%  
108 4% 10%  
109 2% 6%  
110 1.1% 4%  
111 0.6% 3%  
112 0.9% 2% Last Result
113 0.8% 1.3%  
114 0.4% 0.6%  
115 0.1% 0.2%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.4% 99.8%  
85 0.8% 99.5%  
86 0.8% 98.7%  
87 3% 98%  
88 3% 95%  
89 4% 92%  
90 9% 88%  
91 12% 80%  
92 9% 68%  
93 11% 58%  
94 9% 47% Median
95 10% 38%  
96 7% 27%  
97 5% 20%  
98 5% 15%  
99 3% 10%  
100 2% 7%  
101 2% 5% Last Result
102 2% 3%  
103 0.6% 1.2%  
104 0.3% 0.6%  
105 0.2% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 0.2% 99.8%  
75 0.5% 99.6%  
76 0.7% 99.1%  
77 1.0% 98%  
78 4% 97%  
79 4% 94%  
80 8% 89%  
81 8% 81%  
82 16% 73%  
83 9% 57%  
84 9% 48% Median
85 9% 39%  
86 9% 29%  
87 6% 20%  
88 5% 15%  
89 4% 10%  
90 2% 6%  
91 1.3% 4%  
92 1.3% 2% Last Result
93 0.3% 1.1%  
94 0.5% 0.8%  
95 0.2% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations