Opinion Poll by SKOP, 1 August–4 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 30.0% 28.3–31.8% 27.8–32.3% 27.4–32.7% 26.6–33.6%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 18.8% 17.4–20.3% 17.0–20.8% 16.6–21.2% 16.0–21.9%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 17.6% 16.2–19.1% 15.8–19.5% 15.5–19.9% 14.9–20.6%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 7.8% 6.9–8.9% 6.6–9.2% 6.4–9.5% 6.0–10.1%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 7.5% 6.5–8.5% 6.3–8.9% 6.1–9.1% 5.7–9.7%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 7.2% 6.3–8.3% 6.1–8.6% 5.8–8.8% 5.4–9.4%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 5.9% 5.1–6.9% 4.9–7.2% 4.7–7.4% 4.3–7.9%
Liberalerna 5.5% 4.8% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–5.9% 3.7–6.2% 3.4–6.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 106 99–112 97–113 96–115 93–119
Sverigedemokraterna 62 66 61–71 59–73 58–74 56–78
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 61 56–66 55–68 54–70 52–73
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 27 24–32 23–32 22–33 21–35
Centerpartiet 31 26 23–30 22–31 21–32 20–35
Vänsterpartiet 28 26 22–29 21–30 20–31 19–33
Kristdemokraterna 22 21 18–24 17–25 16–26 15–28
Liberalerna 20 17 14–20 0–21 0–21 0–23

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0.1% 100%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.5% 99.7%  
94 0.8% 99.2%  
95 0.4% 98%  
96 2% 98%  
97 3% 96%  
98 0.9% 93%  
99 4% 92%  
100 5% 89% Last Result
101 6% 84%  
102 4% 78%  
103 10% 74%  
104 7% 64%  
105 6% 57%  
106 8% 51% Median
107 10% 43%  
108 3% 34%  
109 10% 31%  
110 7% 20%  
111 3% 13%  
112 4% 11%  
113 2% 6%  
114 0.8% 4%  
115 1.3% 3%  
116 0.6% 2%  
117 0.2% 1.0%  
118 0.2% 0.7%  
119 0.2% 0.5%  
120 0.1% 0.3%  
121 0.1% 0.3%  
122 0.1% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.8%  
56 0.5% 99.7%  
57 0.7% 99.2%  
58 1.2% 98.5%  
59 3% 97%  
60 2% 95%  
61 6% 92%  
62 6% 86% Last Result
63 6% 80%  
64 14% 73%  
65 6% 59%  
66 11% 53% Median
67 11% 43%  
68 8% 32%  
69 7% 24%  
70 6% 17%  
71 4% 11%  
72 2% 8%  
73 2% 6%  
74 1.4% 3%  
75 0.7% 2%  
76 0.7% 1.4%  
77 0.2% 0.7%  
78 0.3% 0.5%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.5% 99.7%  
53 0.9% 99.2%  
54 1.1% 98%  
55 3% 97%  
56 6% 94%  
57 4% 88%  
58 11% 84%  
59 7% 73%  
60 8% 66%  
61 12% 58% Median
62 11% 46%  
63 7% 36%  
64 7% 28%  
65 7% 21%  
66 4% 14%  
67 3% 10%  
68 3% 7%  
69 2% 4%  
70 1.3% 3% Last Result
71 0.7% 2%  
72 0.3% 0.9%  
73 0.3% 0.5%  
74 0.1% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.2% 99.9%  
21 0.6% 99.7%  
22 2% 99.1%  
23 4% 97%  
24 8% 94%  
25 10% 86%  
26 14% 76%  
27 12% 62% Median
28 13% 49%  
29 8% 36%  
30 11% 28%  
31 6% 17%  
32 7% 11%  
33 3% 5%  
34 0.8% 2%  
35 0.5% 0.9%  
36 0.2% 0.4%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.2% 99.9%  
20 0.9% 99.7%  
21 2% 98.8%  
22 4% 97%  
23 5% 92%  
24 12% 87%  
25 11% 76%  
26 16% 65% Median
27 14% 49%  
28 14% 35%  
29 8% 21%  
30 6% 13%  
31 3% 7% Last Result
32 3% 4%  
33 1.0% 2%  
34 0.2% 0.7%  
35 0.4% 0.5%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100%  
18 0.3% 99.9%  
19 0.8% 99.7%  
20 2% 98.9%  
21 4% 97%  
22 5% 94%  
23 10% 88%  
24 12% 78%  
25 14% 66%  
26 17% 52% Median
27 12% 35%  
28 12% 23% Last Result
29 5% 11%  
30 3% 6%  
31 2% 4%  
32 0.8% 2%  
33 0.5% 0.8%  
34 0.2% 0.3%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0.1% 99.9%  
15 0.8% 99.8%  
16 2% 99.0%  
17 5% 97%  
18 9% 92%  
19 17% 83%  
20 13% 66%  
21 15% 53% Median
22 16% 38% Last Result
23 8% 22%  
24 7% 14%  
25 4% 7%  
26 2% 4%  
27 0.9% 2%  
28 0.4% 0.6%  
29 0.2% 0.2%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 0% 93%  
9 0% 93%  
10 0% 93%  
11 0% 93%  
12 0% 93%  
13 0% 93%  
14 6% 93%  
15 16% 86%  
16 13% 71%  
17 18% 57% Median
18 17% 39%  
19 9% 22%  
20 6% 13% Last Result
21 5% 7%  
22 2% 2%  
23 0.6% 0.8%  
24 0.2% 0.3%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Liberalerna 195 202 100% 194–207 191–208 189–210 185–213
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 193 100% 186–200 184–203 183–205 179–210
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet 175 186 97% 178–191 176–194 174–199 171–201
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 167 176 59% 168–182 165–184 164–185 158–188
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 167 8% 160–174 158–176 156–178 153–184
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 174 163 3% 158–171 155–173 150–175 148–178
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet 147 160 0.6% 152–166 150–168 148–171 145–175
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Vänsterpartiet 144 159 0.5% 152–166 150–167 148–171 145–175
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna 154 147 0% 142–155 141–158 139–160 136–164
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 133 0% 126–139 124–141 122–143 119–147
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 131 0% 124–138 123–140 121–143 118–145
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet 132 126 0% 122–134 120–137 118–139 115–143
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 143 125 0% 118–132 114–133 110–136 107–138
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 108 0% 103–115 101–117 99–119 97–122
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 106 0% 99–112 97–113 96–115 93–119
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 104 0% 97–110 93–112 89–113 85–118
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 112 98 0% 91–105 87–107 82–109 80–111
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 88 0% 82–93 80–95 79–97 77–100
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna 92 81 0% 77–89 75–90 75–91 72–95

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 99.9%  
181 0% 99.9%  
182 0.1% 99.9%  
183 0.1% 99.8%  
184 0.2% 99.8%  
185 0.3% 99.5%  
186 0.4% 99.3%  
187 0.5% 98.9%  
188 0.7% 98%  
189 0.4% 98%  
190 1.0% 97%  
191 2% 96%  
192 1.3% 95%  
193 3% 93%  
194 3% 90%  
195 6% 87% Last Result
196 3% 81%  
197 6% 78%  
198 5% 72%  
199 4% 68%  
200 4% 64%  
201 4% 60%  
202 9% 55% Median
203 7% 47%  
204 7% 39%  
205 10% 33%  
206 7% 22%  
207 7% 15%  
208 4% 9%  
209 2% 5%  
210 1.4% 3%  
211 0.7% 2%  
212 0.2% 0.9%  
213 0.2% 0.7%  
214 0.1% 0.4%  
215 0.1% 0.3%  
216 0.1% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 99.9%  
178 0.2% 99.9%  
179 0.4% 99.7%  
180 0.4% 99.4%  
181 0.7% 99.0%  
182 0.5% 98%  
183 0.9% 98%  
184 2% 97%  
185 4% 95%  
186 3% 91%  
187 6% 88%  
188 2% 82%  
189 4% 80%  
190 5% 77%  
191 8% 71%  
192 11% 64%  
193 11% 52% Median
194 3% 41%  
195 6% 38%  
196 3% 32%  
197 7% 29%  
198 4% 23%  
199 7% 19%  
200 3% 11%  
201 2% 8% Last Result
202 0.9% 7%  
203 1.0% 6%  
204 1.0% 5%  
205 1.4% 4%  
206 0.5% 2%  
207 0.6% 2%  
208 0.4% 1.2%  
209 0.1% 0.7%  
210 0.2% 0.7%  
211 0.2% 0.5%  
212 0.1% 0.3%  
213 0.1% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0.1% 99.9%  
170 0.2% 99.8%  
171 0.2% 99.6%  
172 0.4% 99.4%  
173 0.6% 99.0%  
174 2% 98%  
175 2% 97% Last Result, Majority
176 2% 95%  
177 2% 93%  
178 5% 91%  
179 3% 85%  
180 4% 82%  
181 5% 78%  
182 6% 73%  
183 3% 67%  
184 8% 64%  
185 5% 56% Median
186 7% 51%  
187 13% 44%  
188 5% 31%  
189 5% 26%  
190 6% 21%  
191 6% 15%  
192 2% 9%  
193 0.9% 7%  
194 2% 6%  
195 0.6% 5%  
196 0.3% 4%  
197 0.3% 4%  
198 0.9% 3%  
199 1.3% 3%  
200 0.3% 1.3%  
201 0.5% 0.9%  
202 0.1% 0.5%  
203 0.3% 0.4%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.8%  
157 0.1% 99.7%  
158 0.2% 99.6%  
159 0.2% 99.5%  
160 0.2% 99.3%  
161 0.6% 99.0%  
162 0.3% 98%  
163 0.5% 98%  
164 1.2% 98%  
165 1.5% 96%  
166 1.3% 95%  
167 2% 94% Last Result
168 4% 92%  
169 4% 88%  
170 3% 84%  
171 5% 80%  
172 7% 76%  
173 4% 68%  
174 6% 64%  
175 4% 59% Majority
176 5% 54% Median
177 5% 49%  
178 13% 43%  
179 3% 31%  
180 7% 27%  
181 4% 20%  
182 8% 17%  
183 3% 9%  
184 3% 6%  
185 0.8% 3%  
186 0.9% 2%  
187 0.6% 1.2%  
188 0.2% 0.6%  
189 0.2% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0.1% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.2% 99.8%  
153 0.2% 99.7%  
154 0.5% 99.4%  
155 0.7% 99.0%  
156 0.8% 98%  
157 0.9% 97%  
158 2% 96%  
159 3% 94%  
160 4% 92%  
161 6% 88%  
162 5% 83%  
163 4% 78%  
164 12% 74%  
165 6% 63%  
166 6% 56%  
167 6% 50% Median
168 9% 44%  
169 6% 36%  
170 6% 29% Last Result
171 4% 23%  
172 4% 19%  
173 4% 15%  
174 3% 10%  
175 2% 8% Majority
176 1.2% 6%  
177 1.3% 5%  
178 0.8% 3%  
179 0.8% 2%  
180 0.6% 2%  
181 0.2% 1.1%  
182 0.2% 0.9%  
183 0.2% 0.7%  
184 0.2% 0.5%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.2%  
188 0.1% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0.3% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.6%  
148 0.5% 99.5%  
149 0.3% 99.1%  
150 1.3% 98.7%  
151 0.9% 97%  
152 0.3% 97%  
153 0.3% 96%  
154 0.6% 96%  
155 2% 95%  
156 0.9% 94%  
157 2% 93%  
158 6% 91%  
159 6% 85%  
160 5% 79%  
161 5% 74%  
162 13% 69%  
163 7% 56%  
164 5% 49%  
165 8% 44% Median
166 3% 36%  
167 6% 33%  
168 5% 27%  
169 4% 22%  
170 3% 18%  
171 5% 15%  
172 2% 9%  
173 2% 7%  
174 2% 5% Last Result
175 2% 3% Majority
176 0.6% 2%  
177 0.4% 1.0%  
178 0.2% 0.6%  
179 0.2% 0.4%  
180 0.1% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0% 100%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.3% 99.7%  
146 0.3% 99.5%  
147 0.5% 99.1% Last Result
148 1.5% 98.6%  
149 1.4% 97%  
150 2% 96%  
151 3% 94%  
152 4% 91%  
153 2% 87%  
154 4% 84%  
155 4% 80%  
156 3% 76%  
157 5% 73%  
158 7% 68%  
159 8% 61% Median
160 7% 52%  
161 8% 45%  
162 4% 38%  
163 10% 34%  
164 8% 24%  
165 6% 16%  
166 2% 10%  
167 2% 8%  
168 2% 7%  
169 0.9% 4%  
170 0.9% 3%  
171 0.6% 3%  
172 0.8% 2%  
173 0.4% 1.1%  
174 0.1% 0.7%  
175 0.2% 0.6% Majority
176 0.1% 0.4%  
177 0.2% 0.3%  
178 0.1% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.7% Last Result
145 0.4% 99.6%  
146 0.5% 99.2%  
147 0.8% 98.7%  
148 1.1% 98%  
149 2% 97%  
150 2% 95%  
151 3% 93%  
152 5% 90%  
153 4% 86%  
154 5% 82%  
155 4% 77%  
156 10% 74%  
157 7% 63%  
158 5% 56%  
159 4% 51% Median
160 8% 47%  
161 13% 39%  
162 6% 26%  
163 3% 21%  
164 5% 18%  
165 3% 13%  
166 2% 11%  
167 3% 8%  
168 1.0% 5%  
169 0.9% 4%  
170 0.4% 3%  
171 0.3% 3%  
172 1.0% 2%  
173 0.5% 1.3%  
174 0.2% 0.8%  
175 0.2% 0.5% Majority
176 0.1% 0.3%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.8%  
135 0.1% 99.7%  
136 0.2% 99.6%  
137 0.2% 99.3%  
138 0.7% 99.1%  
139 1.4% 98%  
140 2% 97%  
141 4% 95%  
142 7% 91%  
143 7% 85%  
144 10% 78%  
145 7% 67%  
146 7% 61%  
147 9% 53%  
148 4% 45% Median
149 4% 40%  
150 4% 36%  
151 5% 32%  
152 6% 28%  
153 3% 22%  
154 6% 19% Last Result
155 3% 13%  
156 3% 10%  
157 1.3% 7%  
158 2% 5%  
159 1.0% 4%  
160 0.4% 3%  
161 0.7% 2%  
162 0.5% 2%  
163 0.4% 1.1%  
164 0.3% 0.7%  
165 0.2% 0.5%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100% Last Result
117 0% 100%  
118 0.2% 99.9%  
119 0.3% 99.7%  
120 0.4% 99.4%  
121 0.5% 99.0%  
122 1.2% 98.5%  
123 2% 97%  
124 2% 96%  
125 2% 94%  
126 4% 91%  
127 4% 87%  
128 3% 84%  
129 4% 80%  
130 5% 76%  
131 5% 71%  
132 7% 66%  
133 11% 59% Median
134 7% 48%  
135 8% 41%  
136 7% 33%  
137 7% 25%  
138 4% 18%  
139 4% 13%  
140 3% 9%  
141 2% 6%  
142 1.1% 4%  
143 0.9% 3%  
144 0.6% 2%  
145 0.5% 1.4%  
146 0.3% 0.9%  
147 0.2% 0.6%  
148 0.2% 0.5%  
149 0.1% 0.3%  
150 0.1% 0.2%  
151 0.1% 0.2%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.7%  
118 0.3% 99.6%  
119 0.7% 99.3%  
120 0.6% 98.6%  
121 1.2% 98%  
122 2% 97%  
123 2% 95%  
124 4% 93%  
125 4% 90%  
126 5% 86%  
127 7% 81%  
128 6% 74% Last Result
129 8% 68%  
130 9% 60%  
131 8% 51%  
132 4% 43% Median
133 8% 39%  
134 7% 31%  
135 5% 24%  
136 4% 19%  
137 4% 15%  
138 4% 11%  
139 2% 7%  
140 1.0% 6%  
141 1.3% 5%  
142 0.6% 3%  
143 2% 3%  
144 0.2% 0.9%  
145 0.2% 0.7%  
146 0.1% 0.5%  
147 0.1% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.2% 99.8%  
115 0.2% 99.6%  
116 0.5% 99.4%  
117 0.8% 99.0%  
118 1.1% 98%  
119 2% 97%  
120 2% 96%  
121 3% 94%  
122 8% 91%  
123 7% 83%  
124 8% 77%  
125 9% 69%  
126 12% 60%  
127 5% 48% Median
128 10% 43%  
129 4% 33%  
130 5% 28%  
131 4% 23%  
132 4% 19% Last Result
133 3% 15%  
134 2% 12%  
135 2% 9%  
136 2% 7%  
137 1.1% 5%  
138 1.1% 4%  
139 0.8% 3%  
140 0.9% 2%  
141 0.5% 1.3%  
142 0.2% 0.7%  
143 0.2% 0.6%  
144 0.2% 0.4%  
145 0.1% 0.3%  
146 0.1% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0.1% 100%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.1% 99.7%  
107 1.0% 99.6%  
108 0.3% 98.6%  
109 0.6% 98%  
110 0.3% 98%  
111 0.2% 97%  
112 0.7% 97%  
113 1.0% 96%  
114 1.0% 95%  
115 1.2% 94%  
116 1.3% 93%  
117 2% 92%  
118 4% 90%  
119 3% 87%  
120 2% 83%  
121 9% 81%  
122 6% 73%  
123 6% 66%  
124 10% 60%  
125 4% 50% Median
126 10% 46%  
127 4% 36%  
128 7% 32%  
129 4% 24%  
130 5% 20%  
131 4% 15%  
132 3% 11%  
133 3% 8%  
134 1.1% 5%  
135 1.4% 4%  
136 0.8% 3%  
137 0.8% 2%  
138 0.4% 0.9%  
139 0.1% 0.5%  
140 0.2% 0.4%  
141 0.1% 0.1%  
142 0.1% 0.1%  
143 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.8%  
96 0.2% 99.7%  
97 0.2% 99.5%  
98 0.8% 99.3%  
99 2% 98.6%  
100 2% 97%  
101 2% 95%  
102 2% 93%  
103 5% 91%  
104 12% 86%  
105 3% 74%  
106 3% 71%  
107 10% 68%  
108 12% 59% Median
109 6% 46%  
110 6% 41%  
111 5% 34%  
112 7% 30%  
113 7% 22%  
114 5% 16%  
115 2% 11%  
116 2% 9%  
117 2% 7%  
118 2% 4%  
119 0.7% 3%  
120 0.5% 2%  
121 0.6% 1.4%  
122 0.3% 0.8%  
123 0.2% 0.5% Last Result
124 0.1% 0.3%  
125 0.1% 0.2%  
126 0.1% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0.1% 100%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.5% 99.7%  
94 0.8% 99.2%  
95 0.4% 98%  
96 2% 98%  
97 3% 96%  
98 0.9% 93%  
99 4% 92%  
100 5% 89% Last Result
101 6% 84%  
102 4% 78%  
103 10% 74%  
104 7% 64%  
105 6% 57%  
106 8% 51% Median
107 10% 43%  
108 3% 34%  
109 10% 31%  
110 7% 20%  
111 3% 13%  
112 4% 11%  
113 2% 6%  
114 0.8% 4%  
115 1.3% 3%  
116 0.6% 2%  
117 0.2% 1.0%  
118 0.2% 0.7%  
119 0.2% 0.5%  
120 0.1% 0.3%  
121 0.1% 0.3%  
122 0.1% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 0.2% 99.6%  
86 0.2% 99.4%  
87 0.6% 99.2%  
88 1.0% 98.5%  
89 0.4% 98%  
90 0.7% 97%  
91 0.3% 96%  
92 0.6% 96%  
93 0.9% 95%  
94 1.2% 95%  
95 1.0% 93%  
96 2% 92%  
97 2% 90%  
98 2% 89%  
99 4% 87%  
100 5% 82%  
101 5% 77%  
102 8% 72%  
103 7% 64%  
104 9% 57% Median
105 9% 48%  
106 8% 38%  
107 5% 30%  
108 4% 25%  
109 7% 21%  
110 6% 14%  
111 2% 8%  
112 1.4% 6%  
113 2% 4%  
114 0.7% 2%  
115 0.6% 2%  
116 0.3% 1.2%  
117 0.4% 0.9%  
118 0.3% 0.5%  
119 0.1% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1% Last Result
122 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0.1% 99.7%  
80 1.1% 99.6%  
81 0.8% 98.5%  
82 0.3% 98%  
83 0.3% 97%  
84 0.4% 97%  
85 1.0% 97%  
86 0.5% 96%  
87 0.5% 95%  
88 0.5% 95%  
89 0.6% 94%  
90 0.7% 94%  
91 3% 93%  
92 4% 90%  
93 3% 86%  
94 3% 83%  
95 6% 80%  
96 13% 74%  
97 7% 61%  
98 6% 54%  
99 6% 47% Median
100 5% 41%  
101 11% 36%  
102 4% 24%  
103 4% 20%  
104 2% 16%  
105 4% 14%  
106 3% 10%  
107 3% 7%  
108 1.1% 4%  
109 0.9% 3%  
110 1.0% 2%  
111 0.6% 1.1%  
112 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
113 0.1% 0.3%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 0.7% 99.7%  
78 0.8% 98.9%  
79 1.1% 98%  
80 2% 97%  
81 3% 95%  
82 4% 92%  
83 6% 89%  
84 7% 83%  
85 7% 77%  
86 7% 70%  
87 9% 63% Median
88 13% 54%  
89 5% 41%  
90 12% 36%  
91 4% 25%  
92 7% 20%  
93 5% 14%  
94 2% 9%  
95 2% 7%  
96 2% 5%  
97 0.9% 3%  
98 0.5% 2%  
99 0.6% 1.5%  
100 0.4% 0.9%  
101 0.2% 0.5% Last Result
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 0.1% 99.7%  
72 0.4% 99.5%  
73 0.5% 99.1%  
74 0.8% 98.6%  
75 3% 98%  
76 5% 95%  
77 5% 90%  
78 8% 85%  
79 9% 77%  
80 12% 68%  
81 8% 56%  
82 6% 48% Median
83 6% 42%  
84 5% 37%  
85 5% 32%  
86 8% 27%  
87 4% 19%  
88 4% 14%  
89 4% 10%  
90 3% 7%  
91 2% 4%  
92 1.0% 2% Last Result
93 0.7% 1.5%  
94 0.2% 0.8%  
95 0.3% 0.7%  
96 0.2% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations