Opinion Poll by Novus for SVT, 3–5 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 28.7% 27.3–30.3% 26.9–30.7% 26.5–31.1% 25.8–31.8%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 19.9% 18.7–21.3% 18.3–21.7% 18.0–22.0% 17.4–22.7%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 17.9% 16.7–19.3% 16.4–19.6% 16.1–20.0% 15.5–20.6%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 8.8% 7.9–9.8% 7.7–10.1% 7.5–10.3% 7.1–10.9%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 7.5% 6.7–8.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 5.9–9.5%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 6.1% 5.4–7.0% 5.2–7.3% 5.0–7.5% 4.7–7.9%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 5.6% 4.9–6.4% 4.7–6.7% 4.5–6.9% 4.2–7.3%
Liberalerna 5.5% 4.4% 3.8–5.2% 3.6–5.4% 3.5–5.6% 3.2–6.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 101 96–108 94–109 93–111 91–114
Sverigedemokraterna 62 71 65–76 65–78 63–79 61–81
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 63 59–69 57–70 56–72 55–74
Centerpartiet 31 31 28–35 28–36 26–37 25–38
Vänsterpartiet 28 27 24–30 23–31 22–32 21–34
Kristdemokraterna 22 22 19–25 18–26 18–27 16–28
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 20 17–23 17–24 16–24 15–26
Liberalerna 20 16 0–18 0–19 0–20 0–21

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.3% 99.8%  
91 0.3% 99.5%  
92 1.4% 99.2%  
93 2% 98%  
94 3% 96%  
95 3% 93%  
96 3% 90%  
97 5% 87%  
98 4% 82%  
99 9% 78%  
100 7% 69% Last Result
101 13% 63% Median
102 8% 49%  
103 5% 41%  
104 11% 36%  
105 6% 26%  
106 4% 20%  
107 6% 16%  
108 2% 10%  
109 3% 8%  
110 2% 5%  
111 0.8% 3%  
112 0.4% 2%  
113 0.8% 2%  
114 0.3% 0.7%  
115 0.2% 0.4%  
116 0% 0.2%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0.1% 0.1%  
119 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.4% 99.7%  
62 1.0% 99.3% Last Result
63 2% 98%  
64 1.3% 97%  
65 6% 95%  
66 6% 90%  
67 5% 83%  
68 7% 78%  
69 10% 72%  
70 9% 61%  
71 10% 52% Median
72 9% 43%  
73 10% 34%  
74 6% 24%  
75 6% 18%  
76 5% 13%  
77 3% 8%  
78 1.4% 5%  
79 2% 4%  
80 1.0% 2%  
81 0.4% 0.8%  
82 0.2% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.3% 99.8%  
55 0.7% 99.5%  
56 2% 98.9%  
57 2% 97%  
58 3% 95%  
59 6% 92%  
60 7% 86%  
61 11% 80%  
62 11% 69%  
63 8% 58% Median
64 10% 50%  
65 9% 39%  
66 5% 30%  
67 8% 25%  
68 5% 17%  
69 4% 12%  
70 4% 8% Last Result
71 1.2% 4%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.4% 1.0%  
74 0.3% 0.6%  
75 0.2% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.9%  
25 1.0% 99.6%  
26 1.3% 98.6%  
27 1.5% 97%  
28 7% 96%  
29 16% 89%  
30 19% 73%  
31 16% 53% Last Result, Median
32 7% 38%  
33 7% 31%  
34 10% 25%  
35 8% 15%  
36 4% 7%  
37 2% 3%  
38 0.9% 1.4%  
39 0.2% 0.5%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.2% 100%  
21 1.0% 99.8%  
22 3% 98.8%  
23 5% 96%  
24 8% 90%  
25 14% 82%  
26 14% 68%  
27 16% 54% Median
28 15% 38% Last Result
29 9% 23%  
30 6% 15%  
31 5% 8%  
32 2% 3%  
33 1.0% 2%  
34 0.4% 0.6%  
35 0.1% 0.2%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.5% 99.9%  
17 1.4% 99.4%  
18 4% 98%  
19 5% 94%  
20 21% 89%  
21 15% 68%  
22 14% 54% Last Result, Median
23 14% 40%  
24 12% 26%  
25 7% 14%  
26 4% 7%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.6% 0.9%  
29 0.2% 0.3%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0.1% 99.9%  
15 1.1% 99.8%  
16 3% 98.7% Last Result
17 6% 96%  
18 13% 89%  
19 17% 77%  
20 20% 60% Median
21 16% 40%  
22 10% 24%  
23 8% 14%  
24 4% 6%  
25 1.3% 2%  
26 0.6% 0.9%  
27 0.1% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100%  
1 0% 78%  
2 0% 78%  
3 0% 78%  
4 0% 78%  
5 0% 78%  
6 0% 78%  
7 0% 78%  
8 0% 78%  
9 0% 78%  
10 0% 78%  
11 0% 78%  
12 0% 78%  
13 0% 78%  
14 9% 78%  
15 17% 69%  
16 18% 52% Median
17 17% 34%  
18 9% 17%  
19 5% 8%  
20 2% 3% Last Result
21 0.5% 0.8%  
22 0.2% 0.3%  
23 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 196 100% 190–206 188–208 186–210 184–213
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 195 194 99.9% 185–200 182–201 181–203 179–205
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 175 180 82% 172–187 171–189 170–192 167–197
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 174 169 18% 162–177 160–178 157–179 152–182
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 165 8% 159–173 157–175 155–177 152–181
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 167 166 6% 157–173 155–175 153–176 150–179
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna 154 155 0.1% 149–164 148–167 146–168 144–170
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 147 153 0% 147–160 145–162 143–164 140–167
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 144 149 0% 142–155 140–157 139–159 136–164
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet 132 134 0% 127–142 126–144 125–145 122–147
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 143 130 0% 121–137 118–138 116–140 113–143
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 129 0% 122–135 120–136 119–139 117–143
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 122 0% 115–128 114–130 112–132 110–135
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 117 0% 110–124 109–127 108–127 105–131
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 109 0% 98–115 96–117 94–118 91–121
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 101 0% 96–108 94–109 93–111 91–114
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 112 99 0% 89–106 87–106 85–108 81–112
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 95 0% 89–101 87–103 86–105 84–107
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna 92 85 0% 80–91 79–94 77–96 75–97

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100%  
181 0.1% 99.9%  
182 0.1% 99.9%  
183 0.2% 99.7%  
184 0.3% 99.5%  
185 1.1% 99.3%  
186 0.8% 98%  
187 1.4% 97%  
188 3% 96%  
189 2% 93%  
190 5% 91%  
191 6% 86%  
192 9% 81%  
193 3% 72%  
194 9% 68%  
195 6% 59% Median
196 7% 54%  
197 6% 47%  
198 8% 41%  
199 3% 32%  
200 4% 29%  
201 5% 25% Last Result
202 3% 21%  
203 3% 17%  
204 2% 15%  
205 2% 12%  
206 3% 10%  
207 1.1% 7%  
208 2% 6%  
209 1.0% 4%  
210 1.1% 3%  
211 0.8% 2%  
212 0.2% 0.8%  
213 0.2% 0.6%  
214 0.3% 0.4%  
215 0.1% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0.1% 100%  
175 0% 99.9% Majority
176 0% 99.9%  
177 0.1% 99.8%  
178 0.1% 99.7%  
179 0.6% 99.7%  
180 0.3% 99.0%  
181 2% 98.7%  
182 3% 97%  
183 2% 94%  
184 2% 92%  
185 3% 91%  
186 5% 87%  
187 4% 83%  
188 5% 78%  
189 4% 74%  
190 7% 70%  
191 5% 63%  
192 3% 58%  
193 4% 55%  
194 8% 51%  
195 7% 43% Last Result, Median
196 8% 36%  
197 4% 28%  
198 7% 24%  
199 5% 17%  
200 4% 12%  
201 4% 8%  
202 2% 5%  
203 1.3% 3%  
204 0.8% 1.4%  
205 0.2% 0.6%  
206 0.2% 0.4%  
207 0.1% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0.1% 99.9%  
166 0.2% 99.8%  
167 0.4% 99.5%  
168 0.3% 99.2%  
169 0.7% 98.9%  
170 1.2% 98%  
171 4% 97%  
172 3% 93%  
173 3% 89%  
174 5% 87%  
175 5% 82% Last Result, Majority
176 4% 77%  
177 7% 73%  
178 8% 66%  
179 6% 58% Median
180 7% 53%  
181 9% 46%  
182 7% 37%  
183 5% 31%  
184 6% 26%  
185 3% 20%  
186 5% 16%  
187 4% 11%  
188 2% 7%  
189 2% 5%  
190 0.5% 4%  
191 0.7% 3%  
192 0.4% 3%  
193 0.4% 2%  
194 0.7% 2%  
195 0.4% 1.2%  
196 0.3% 0.8%  
197 0.2% 0.5%  
198 0.2% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.2% 99.8%  
152 0.2% 99.7%  
153 0.3% 99.5%  
154 0.4% 99.2%  
155 0.7% 98.8%  
156 0.4% 98%  
157 0.4% 98%  
158 0.7% 97%  
159 0.5% 97%  
160 2% 96%  
161 2% 95%  
162 4% 93%  
163 5% 89%  
164 3% 84%  
165 6% 80%  
166 5% 74%  
167 7% 69%  
168 9% 63%  
169 7% 54%  
170 6% 47%  
171 8% 42%  
172 7% 34% Median
173 4% 27%  
174 5% 23% Last Result
175 5% 18% Majority
176 3% 13%  
177 3% 11%  
178 4% 7%  
179 1.2% 3%  
180 0.7% 2%  
181 0.3% 1.1%  
182 0.4% 0.8%  
183 0.2% 0.5%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.8%  
152 0.2% 99.7%  
153 0.5% 99.5%  
154 0.5% 99.0%  
155 1.2% 98%  
156 2% 97%  
157 1.3% 95%  
158 3% 94%  
159 4% 90%  
160 6% 87%  
161 7% 80%  
162 7% 73%  
163 8% 66%  
164 6% 58% Median
165 4% 52%  
166 8% 48%  
167 6% 40%  
168 6% 34%  
169 4% 27%  
170 4% 24% Last Result
171 5% 20%  
172 3% 15%  
173 1.3% 11%  
174 2% 10%  
175 4% 8% Majority
176 0.9% 4%  
177 1.2% 3%  
178 0.7% 2%  
179 0.3% 1.1%  
180 0.1% 0.8%  
181 0.3% 0.6%  
182 0.2% 0.4%  
183 0% 0.2%  
184 0.1% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0.1% 99.8%  
150 0.4% 99.7%  
151 1.1% 99.3%  
152 0.6% 98%  
153 0.5% 98%  
154 2% 97%  
155 2% 95%  
156 2% 93%  
157 1.5% 91%  
158 3% 90%  
159 3% 87%  
160 3% 84%  
161 5% 81%  
162 4% 77%  
163 4% 73%  
164 6% 69%  
165 7% 63%  
166 6% 56%  
167 7% 50% Last Result
168 7% 43% Median
169 5% 36%  
170 5% 31%  
171 7% 25%  
172 7% 19%  
173 3% 12%  
174 3% 9%  
175 2% 6% Majority
176 1.4% 4%  
177 1.1% 2%  
178 0.7% 1.3%  
179 0.3% 0.6%  
180 0.2% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0.1% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.2% 99.8%  
144 0.2% 99.6%  
145 0.8% 99.4%  
146 1.3% 98.6%  
147 2% 97%  
148 4% 95%  
149 4% 92%  
150 5% 88%  
151 7% 83%  
152 4% 76%  
153 8% 72%  
154 7% 64% Last Result
155 8% 57%  
156 4% 49% Median
157 3% 45%  
158 5% 42%  
159 7% 37%  
160 4% 30%  
161 5% 26%  
162 4% 22%  
163 5% 17%  
164 3% 13%  
165 2% 9%  
166 2% 8%  
167 3% 6%  
168 2% 3%  
169 0.3% 1.3%  
170 0.6% 1.0%  
171 0.1% 0.3%  
172 0.1% 0.3%  
173 0% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0.1% 0.1% Majority
176 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.2% 99.8%  
140 0.3% 99.6%  
141 0.3% 99.3%  
142 0.9% 99.0%  
143 0.8% 98%  
144 1.4% 97%  
145 2% 96%  
146 3% 93%  
147 4% 90% Last Result
148 5% 86%  
149 8% 81%  
150 5% 73%  
151 8% 68%  
152 7% 61% Median
153 8% 54%  
154 9% 46%  
155 7% 37%  
156 5% 29%  
157 4% 25%  
158 6% 21%  
159 4% 15%  
160 3% 11%  
161 3% 9%  
162 1.3% 5%  
163 1.3% 4%  
164 0.4% 3%  
165 0.6% 2%  
166 0.6% 2%  
167 0.7% 1.2%  
168 0.1% 0.5%  
169 0.2% 0.4%  
170 0.1% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0.2% 99.8%  
136 0.3% 99.6%  
137 0.4% 99.3%  
138 1.3% 98.9%  
139 2% 98%  
140 1.1% 95%  
141 2% 94%  
142 7% 92%  
143 5% 85%  
144 2% 81% Last Result
145 7% 79%  
146 7% 72%  
147 6% 65%  
148 7% 60% Median
149 10% 53%  
150 6% 43%  
151 8% 37%  
152 8% 29%  
153 5% 21%  
154 4% 16%  
155 4% 12%  
156 2% 9%  
157 2% 6%  
158 0.8% 4%  
159 1.1% 4%  
160 0.5% 2%  
161 0.7% 2%  
162 0.5% 1.2%  
163 0.2% 0.8%  
164 0.1% 0.6%  
165 0.2% 0.5%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.4% 99.7%  
123 0.3% 99.3%  
124 0.9% 99.0%  
125 2% 98%  
126 3% 96%  
127 3% 93%  
128 4% 90%  
129 5% 86%  
130 8% 81%  
131 8% 73%  
132 8% 65% Last Result
133 5% 57%  
134 4% 52% Median
135 7% 48%  
136 5% 41%  
137 6% 36%  
138 5% 30%  
139 4% 25%  
140 4% 21%  
141 6% 17%  
142 3% 11%  
143 3% 8%  
144 2% 5%  
145 2% 3%  
146 0.7% 1.5%  
147 0.4% 0.8%  
148 0.2% 0.4%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0.1% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.2% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.7%  
113 0.5% 99.6%  
114 0.4% 99.0%  
115 0.6% 98.6%  
116 0.6% 98%  
117 0.7% 97%  
118 2% 97%  
119 2% 95%  
120 0.9% 93%  
121 3% 92%  
122 3% 89%  
123 1.4% 86%  
124 3% 85%  
125 4% 82%  
126 5% 79%  
127 6% 74%  
128 7% 68%  
129 6% 60%  
130 6% 55%  
131 8% 49%  
132 7% 41% Median
133 8% 34%  
134 6% 26%  
135 5% 20%  
136 4% 15%  
137 3% 11%  
138 3% 8%  
139 1.5% 5%  
140 2% 3%  
141 0.7% 2%  
142 0.5% 1.1%  
143 0.3% 0.6% Last Result
144 0.2% 0.4%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0.1% 100%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.2% 99.8%  
117 0.7% 99.6%  
118 0.9% 98.9%  
119 1.2% 98%  
120 2% 97%  
121 3% 95%  
122 6% 92%  
123 5% 86%  
124 4% 81%  
125 7% 77%  
126 6% 70%  
127 5% 64%  
128 6% 60% Last Result, Median
129 9% 54%  
130 7% 45%  
131 8% 38%  
132 9% 30%  
133 7% 21%  
134 3% 14%  
135 3% 10%  
136 3% 7%  
137 0.8% 4%  
138 0.6% 3%  
139 0.5% 3%  
140 0.9% 2%  
141 0.4% 1.5%  
142 0.3% 1.0%  
143 0.3% 0.7%  
144 0.2% 0.4%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0.1% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.2% 99.8%  
110 0.3% 99.6%  
111 0.8% 99.3%  
112 1.5% 98%  
113 2% 97%  
114 4% 95%  
115 2% 92%  
116 4% 90% Last Result
117 3% 86%  
118 5% 83%  
119 6% 78%  
120 12% 72%  
121 8% 60% Median
122 10% 52%  
123 8% 42%  
124 6% 33%  
125 6% 27%  
126 4% 21%  
127 5% 17%  
128 3% 12%  
129 3% 9%  
130 2% 6%  
131 0.7% 4%  
132 1.0% 3%  
133 0.7% 2%  
134 0.8% 1.4%  
135 0.2% 0.6%  
136 0.1% 0.4%  
137 0.2% 0.3%  
138 0.1% 0.2%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.2% 99.9%  
105 0.3% 99.7%  
106 0.9% 99.4%  
107 1.0% 98%  
108 2% 98%  
109 2% 96%  
110 4% 94%  
111 5% 90%  
112 6% 85%  
113 7% 78%  
114 6% 72%  
115 7% 65%  
116 7% 58% Median
117 9% 51%  
118 7% 42%  
119 8% 35%  
120 5% 27%  
121 4% 23%  
122 5% 18%  
123 1.0% 14% Last Result
124 3% 13%  
125 3% 10%  
126 2% 7%  
127 3% 5%  
128 0.6% 2%  
129 0.7% 2%  
130 0.2% 0.9%  
131 0.5% 0.8%  
132 0.2% 0.3%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.2% 99.8%  
91 0.2% 99.6%  
92 0.8% 99.4%  
93 0.5% 98.6%  
94 1.5% 98%  
95 0.8% 97%  
96 2% 96%  
97 3% 94%  
98 2% 92%  
99 2% 90%  
100 0.6% 88%  
101 4% 87%  
102 2% 83%  
103 5% 81%  
104 3% 76%  
105 6% 73%  
106 3% 67%  
107 5% 65%  
108 9% 59%  
109 8% 50%  
110 5% 42% Median
111 9% 38%  
112 7% 29%  
113 6% 22%  
114 3% 16%  
115 4% 12%  
116 2% 8%  
117 3% 6%  
118 0.7% 3%  
119 0.6% 2%  
120 0.7% 1.3%  
121 0.2% 0.6% Last Result
122 0.2% 0.4%  
123 0.1% 0.2%  
124 0.1% 0.1%  
125 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.3% 99.8%  
91 0.3% 99.5%  
92 1.4% 99.2%  
93 2% 98%  
94 3% 96%  
95 3% 93%  
96 3% 90%  
97 5% 87%  
98 4% 82%  
99 9% 78%  
100 7% 69% Last Result
101 13% 63% Median
102 8% 49%  
103 5% 41%  
104 11% 36%  
105 6% 26%  
106 4% 20%  
107 6% 16%  
108 2% 10%  
109 3% 8%  
110 2% 5%  
111 0.8% 3%  
112 0.4% 2%  
113 0.8% 2%  
114 0.3% 0.7%  
115 0.2% 0.4%  
116 0% 0.2%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0.1% 0.1%  
119 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8%  
81 0.3% 99.6%  
82 0.5% 99.3%  
83 0.7% 98.8%  
84 0.4% 98%  
85 1.3% 98%  
86 1.3% 96%  
87 3% 95%  
88 1.2% 93%  
89 3% 91%  
90 2% 88%  
91 2% 86%  
92 2% 85%  
93 2% 82%  
94 2% 80%  
95 5% 78%  
96 5% 73%  
97 2% 68%  
98 8% 66%  
99 14% 58%  
100 3% 44%  
101 7% 41% Median
102 7% 34%  
103 8% 26%  
104 2% 18%  
105 5% 17%  
106 7% 11%  
107 0.9% 5%  
108 2% 4%  
109 1.1% 2%  
110 0.4% 1.2%  
111 0.2% 0.7%  
112 0.2% 0.5% Last Result
113 0.2% 0.3%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.3% 99.9%  
84 0.4% 99.6%  
85 0.8% 99.2%  
86 1.0% 98%  
87 3% 97%  
88 2% 94%  
89 4% 92%  
90 4% 87%  
91 9% 83%  
92 6% 75%  
93 9% 69%  
94 8% 60% Median
95 9% 52%  
96 8% 43%  
97 9% 36%  
98 6% 27%  
99 5% 21%  
100 2% 16%  
101 5% 13% Last Result
102 2% 9%  
103 3% 7%  
104 0.4% 4%  
105 2% 3%  
106 0.2% 2%  
107 0.8% 1.3%  
108 0.3% 0.5%  
109 0.1% 0.2%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.4% 99.6%  
76 0.5% 99.3%  
77 2% 98.8%  
78 2% 97%  
79 4% 95%  
80 3% 92%  
81 5% 88%  
82 10% 83%  
83 7% 73%  
84 9% 66%  
85 9% 57% Median
86 9% 48%  
87 8% 40%  
88 7% 32%  
89 8% 25%  
90 5% 17%  
91 3% 13%  
92 2% 10% Last Result
93 2% 8%  
94 2% 6%  
95 0.5% 4%  
96 3% 3%  
97 0.3% 0.7%  
98 0.1% 0.3%  
99 0% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations